Energy Flow Accounts in Denmark - the whys and hows Thomas Olsen, Statistics Denmark Prepared for the 7th meeting of the Oslo Group on Energy Statistics 23 – 26 October 2012, Helsinki, Finland Outline • What is Energy Flow Accounts? • The whys – reasons for wanting energy accounts • The hows - compilation in practice • Quality control • Applications • Cooperation with Energy Agency 2 7/23/2016 What is Energy Flow Accounts? • Supply and use of energy organised within the System of National Accounts framework – Based on the same concepts, definitions and classifications as National Accounts – Described in SEEA – Energy • Supply and use of energy within the national economy (not the territory) – Described by ISIC/NACE industries – Transportation activities are also broken down by industries • This way of describing the flow of energy is fully consistent with the way economic activities are described 3 7/23/2016 Residence principle vs. territory principle Residents Abroad 4 7/23/2016 Energy accounts Territory Energy balance Non-residents The whys • Statistics Denmark has a long tradition for publishing energy statistics e.g. – Energy supply of Denmark 1900 – 1958 The Statistical Department, Copenhagen (1959) • Long tradition for compiling supply and use tables and IO-tables as part of the work with national accounts • First oil crisis – focus on energy and security of supply – Data needed for analysis of effects on the economy • Energy Agency founded in 1976 5 7/23/2016 The whys, cont.’ • Improvement of the national accounts – Wanted to have a close link with physical flows – Improve fixed price calculations • Link to economy, input-output tables – enables analysis of the link between economy and use of energy – at the macro as well as the industry level • Allows for a series of quality checks that cannot be carried out if only either physical or monetary data are available 6 7/23/2016 The Danish Energy Flow Accounts • Supply and use of 40 types of energy broken down by 117 industries – The same types of energy as in the energy balance • Time series 1966 – 2010 • Physical as well as monetary energy flow accounts • Monetary accounts part of the supply use tables of the National Accounts – Approx. 40 commodities out of a total of 2350 commodities 7 7/23/2016 The hows - compilation in practice • Compilation strategy – Product by product – First, supply and use in physical (specific) units and monetary values (basic prices) simultaneously – Secondly, uses in other price levels – Finally, common units and calculation of net use of energy Specific units Common units 8 7/23/2016 Basic prices Net use of energy Trade margins Energy, CO2, SO2 taxes VAT Market prices Compilation strategy and data sources • Step 1: What is available for economic activities? – Production + Imports – Exports – Changes in inventories • Step 2: What is used according to the data sources? – Data sources, e.g. • Basic energy statistics – energy balance • Census on the industrial companies’ use of energy • Administrative data. Reimbursement of energy taxes • Residual is broken down by data on employment • Step 3: Supply and use is balanced • Step 4: Rearrangement into a supply and use table • Please see spreadsheet for an example 9 7/23/2016 Trade margins • Based on a percentage of the basic price – Wholesale trade margins – Retail trade margins • Trade margins include transportation costs 10 7/23/2016 Environmental taxes • Energy taxes, CO2-tax, SO2-tax • Quantity * ‘specific energy product tax rate’ • Balanced to the actual revenue recorded in the public finances account 11 7/23/2016 Value added tax (VAT) • (Basic price + wholesale margins + retail trade margins + energy taxes + CO2-taxes + SO2-taxes) * ‘specific yearly VAT - rate’ • The standard VAT-rate is adjusted in order to take into account the VAT-legislation • Basic prices + Trade margins + Taxes + VAT = Market prices 12 7/23/2016 Quality control • Development in the time series • Development in the industry specific intensities – Use of energy compared to output at fixed prices • Internal checks: – Conversion losses – Input-output ratio in refineries – Contribution to Gross Value Added • Market unit prices in relation to observed prices • Value of energy input compared to total input 13 7/23/2016 The Danish Energy Flow Accounts 14 7/23/2016 Possible applications when organised in an integration framework like SEEA/SNA • Hybrid accounts – Links between energy, economy, employment etc. and other environmental domains • Energy intensities / energy productivity • Analysis of the relationship with the economy – Input-Output table based analysis – Input in extended macroeconomic models 15 7/23/2016 Hybrid Accounts: Link to the Economy Gross use of energy, CO2 emissions, CO2 permits and the link to the economy. Denmark, 2007. Industries Gross use CO2 of energy emissions TJ Total Households 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total industries Agriculture, fishing and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Wholesale and retail trade; hotels, rest. Transport, storage and communication Financial intermediation, business active. Public and personal services 16 7/23/2016 Surren- CO2 permits dered allocated permits Energy related taxes 1 000 tonnes CO2 / allowances 2 015 575 265 835 1 749 739 117 428 13 797 101 522 81 790 476 806 362 684 20 946 45 428 700 879 18 623 42 582 4 836 8 574 29 549 1 539 1 401 53 877 498 1 247 29 407 0 27 915 0 29 407 2 187 5 662 21 559 0 0 0 0 0 27 915 2 292 5 601 20 022 0 0 0 0 0 Energy Gross value related added subsidies Mill. Dkk 36 409 21 179 15 230 984 2 260 108 1 314 2 256 3 328 1 454 3 526 Employment Persons 202 1 218 064 2 897 520 85 117 1 218 064 2 897 520 11 46 3 2 21 9 8 17 85 714 51 895 186 376 396 153 16 410 12 430 72 701 192 422 170 092 564 496 109 403 186 800 303 273 456 839 307 914 1 002 666 Energy Intensities by industries 10 9 TJ / Mill Dkk output, at 2000-prices 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 agriculture, fishing and quarrying 17 7/23/2016 2 manufacturing 3 electricity, gas 4 construction 5 ws. and retail 6 transport, post and water trade; hotels, and telecomm. supply restaurants 7 finance and business activities 8 public and personal services Other applications: Modelling and compilation of air emissions accounts • Input-output analysis – Indirect flows – What are the drivers? Which types of final demand? – Consumption perspective rather than production perspective • Energy embodied in imports • The energy accounts are used as input in macroeconomic models – – – – Ministry of Climate, Energy and Building Danish Economic Councils Ministry of Finance Business associations, banks, consultants etc. • Input in the compilation of air emissions accounts 18 7/23/2016 IO modelling results • Use of energy by causing final demand • Can be broken down by industries – Direct and indirect. In Denmark and globally • Private consumption can be broken down by consumption categories – e.g. type of food or services 19 7/23/2016 Investments etc. 6 pct. Government consumption 6 pct. Private consumption 38 pct. Exports 50 pct. Close cooperation with Energy Agency September Energy Agency Statistics Denmark November 20 7/23/2016 Contact information Thomas Olsen Senior Adviser Statistics Denmark National Accounts Division Tol@dst.dk 21 7/23/2016