The energy balance in Finland The 7th Oslo Group Meeting, Helsinki 25.10.2012 Leena Timonen leena.timonen@stat.fi Compiling of energy balance in Finland Energy Balance sheets have been compiled at Statistics Finland since 1993 (earlier in the Ministry of Trade and Industry) In 1998 methodology was revised and harmonised with international “common” methodolgy (ie. physical energy content method) The energy balance is compiled on annual basis (calendar year) Energy commodity balance is compiled (ie. balance between energy supply and consumption) for all energy sources (in physical unit or in TJ) Commodity balances are used as data source for overall energy balance Leena Timonen 25.10.2012 2 Data sources for energy balance Energy statistics system uses multiple data soures The majority of the basic data for energy statistics are collected by Statistics Finland, obtained from other statistical authorities or administrative data sources Statistics Finland is obliged to utilize as much as possible the data sources that are collected by other organisations (Statistics Act) Energy statistics is also feeded to certain extent with the data from associations and federation operating in the field of energy “written” agreements on collaboration agreed methodology in data collection common fuel classification quality control (in case of annual statistics) used mainly in monthly statistics (with some exceptions) The model for estimating consumption patters of space heating and water heating has been developped in 1997 and thoroughly revised in Leena Timonen 25.10.2012 2010 and 2011 3 Modelling as a data source: e.g. Estimation model for space heating and water heating The model uses all relevant data sources available and creates a data system which is consistent and fits the frames. In the model space heating is calculated as the sum of main heating system and the supplementary systems In the model the heating patterns are estimated using the following main data sources: surveys: e.g. district heating statistics (annual), fuel wood consumption in small-sized dwellings, Household Budget survey, sales data of heat pumps (annual), natural gas statistics (annual), Households electricity consumption admininistrative data sources: the housing and building stock, tax-based information from Tax Administration, metering: Heating degree day data (monthly), measurement of electricity consumption and diary study of app. 100 household with relevat analysis inc. model testing and weighing for representativeness (in 2006) tecnology assumptions/research-inform.: energy efficiency values of dwellings, expert estimations: e.g. consumption of domestic water per occupant among different types of building and heatings systems The results are validated against energy commodity balances Leena Timonen 25.10.2012 4 Outcome: statistics Data sources Statistics Finland Direct data collection: - Monthly and annual data collection - Censuses and surveys - Additional questions to existing other surveys Other statistical authorities Direct data collection carried out by: eg. -National Board of Customs (foreign trade stat) -Information Centre of Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Tike (energy cons. in agriculture) Energy flows: *Indigenous production *Imports *Exports *Stocks *Transformation *Transmission, distribut. *Consumption by end use sectors *Non-energy use Data/statistics from associations (NGOs) - used mainly in short terms statistics - “written” agreements on collaboration - common classification, agreed methodology, quality control Modelling (eg. estimation model for space and water heating /StatFin) Researches, ad hoc surveys etc. Statistics on internet eg. - Energy supply and consumption - Energy prices - Energy use in manufacturing ind. - Production of elecricity and heat - Energy consumption in housing Publications /Energy CD: Energy Statistics -yearbook, Energy in Finland Energy balance sheet Pocketbook and other Statistical Yearbooks Reporting oblications to EU Energy products: * Oil, Coal, Natural gas, Biomass, Electricity & Heat etc. Administrative data sources Administrative data /databases, eg: - emission monitoring and environment loading data system /Environment administration - annual monitoring data of EU/ETS /Emission trading authority National publications /statistics releases *Technical characteristics of certain technologies, * Activity Information Such as GDP, value added,, produced tonns, population Energy Prices and Taxes Electricity and fuel stock prices, consumer price, import prices, energy taxes etc. Energy statistics regulation - Monthly reporting - Annual reporting (IEA, UN) Other directives eg. - monitoring of renewable energy sources, CHP-prod., biofuels in transportation, - New: Energy efficiency (EED) Other international reporting IEA, European Commision /DG Energy, UN, FAO etc. Greenhouse gas inventory Eg. energy consumption by sectors (non-point sources) Indicators Other information service Energy accounts (new) Leena Timonen 25.10.2012 5 Common national fuel classification Harmonised fuel/energy classification fasilitates the compilation process of EB Introduced in year 2005 Widely use in all organisations, which collect energy data surveys and energy statistics /Statistics Finland GHG-inventory /Statistics Finland Electricity and heat statistics /Energy industries (association) annual monitoring data of EU/ETS /Emission trading authority annual reports for emission monitoring and environment loading data system /Environment administration Other non-governmental organisations in the energy field (or on aggregated level) Regular review every second year (updated if necessary) Includes average default NCV values and CO2 default values for all fuels www.tilastokeskus.fi/polttoaineluokitus (also in english) Leena Timonen 25.10.2012 6 Energy balance sheet, 2010 (TJ, NCV) S UPPLY AND Coal and Crude oil and Petroleum CONS UMPTION coal derivates feedstocks Products Indigenous production 14 893 Recovered products 740 Imports 167 078 475 277 202 576 Exports -147 0 -283 662 International Marine Bunkers -8 945 Stock Changes 26 351 -5 087 35 076 TOTAL PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY 193 282 470 190 -39 323 STATISTICAL DIFFERENCE 488 -18 851 15 868 GROSS INLAND CONSUMPTION 192 794 489 040 -55 191 Electricity Generation -91 602 -1 322 CHP /energy industries -51 431 -2 180 CHP /manuf. industry -1 520 -1 838 Heat Production (sold) -4 032 - -13 467 Oil Refineries -489 040 486 873 Coal Transformation -21 290 Consumption of energy branch -5 796 Transmission and distrib. losses -1 615 -440 TOTAL FINAL CONSUMPTION Industry Transport Residential Agriculture/Forestry Commerce and Public Services Other Consumption /not specified NON-ENEGY USE 15 508 15 322 10 176 - - 412 436 91 774 196 448 23 630 25 176 12 783 8 548 54 078 Gas Nuclear - 248 727 160 668 160 668 248 727 108 0 160 560 248 727 -2 003 -248 727 -72 972 -13 198 -15 945 - Hydro and Wind Peat Fuel Biomass fuels Others Electricity Heat (sold) and heat pumps 47 592 75 620 322 673 6 114 10 990 - 20 045 71 2 358 2 367 56 588 -173 -3 372 - -18 785 19 504 47 592 95 022 321 659 28 526 37 804 10 990 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 592 95 022 321 659 28 526 37 804 10 990 -47 592 -23 437 -15 284 -2 470 176 785 - -48 841 -58 667 -7 022 69 372 136 100 -3 393 -33 004 -2 142 31 774 12 195 -8 346 -23 527 -4 856 60 704 - - - - - 56 442 40 296 612 2 006 448 1 200 - - 11 005 9 619 540 713 132 - 11 880 For quality control: checking of efficiencies and shares (%) Leena Timonen 191 177 12 036 123 297 3 965 - 6 116 58 380 544 6 000 483 3 500 260 668 - Totals -9 958 -12 434 726 609 20 785 1 066 983 -306 139 -8 945 75 844 1 575 136 -2 387 1 577 523 EFF.: -255 652 40,9 % -35 640 85 % -11 126 80 % -9 469 87 % -2 167 -21 290 -5 796 -24 447 305 777 150 552 2 664 85 136 3 240 64 184 - 207 555 79 095 81 138 534 46 788 - 1 211 936 513 921 205 839 251 385 36 770 128 847 9 216 65 958 25.10.2012 SHARE 42 % 17 % 21 % 3% 11 % 1% 5% 7 Room for improvements Efforts are now underway to facilitate the compiling of energy balance (a new database and data processing system is under construction and is expected to be in use in year 2014) There is always room for improvements in accuracy Further harmonisation of methodology Leena Timonen 25.10.2012 8 Energy balance Stock change 11.3 Recycled oil 1.0 Exports oil Oil refineries 460.7 Crude oil and NGL 443.7 178.7 Bunkers Petroleum products OIL 213.4 140.6 151.0 NATURAL GAS NUCLEAR POWER 243.9 1.7 1.3 7.4 1.7 45.7 27.4 COAL TRANSPORT 198.4 PJ 12.0 13.3 Stock change of peat 20.1 11.1 34.7 3.1 Exports of wood fuels 3.3 Natural gas 13.3 12.0 INDIGENOUS WOOD AND RECYCLED FUELS 232.7 ENERGY 371.8 Wood 14.7 Natural gas ELECTRICITY 2.5 Nuclear power GENERATION HEAT 24.7 202.4 Source: Energy Statistics 2005 Oil 1.3 33.1 Heat pumps 10.6 33.1 HEAT SUPPLY 54.3 Oil 70.2 27.3 2.5 Coal 28.9 INDUSTRY DISTRICT HEAT PRODUCTION CHP INDUSTRY ELECTRICITY Non-energy use and statistical difference 53.7 0.07 Peat 17.7 Wood 164.3 506.8 PJ District heat 16.8 4.1 Peat 1.1 District heat 103.1 16.8 103.1 4.1 Natural Coal Oil Wood gas 0.2 66.3 49.4 3.1 158.9 RESIDENTIAL AGRICULTURE. COMMERCE AND PUBLIC SERVICES 348.5 PJ 126.5 Losses 10.8 Losses 12.2 40.6 126.5 149.2 158.9 64.5 Hydro and wind power 49.6 91.0 Coal 1.7 54.3 243.9 Imports of electricity 64.5 40.6 DISTRICT Wood 24.8 Peat Oil Coal 12.0 1.5 27.4 Wood 32.6 CHP Natural gas67.4 HYDRO AND WIND POWER 49.6 Peat 3.9 Oil 1.7 Coal 45.7 Peat 30.4 PEAT 89.5 Eija Alakangas, VTT Natural Coal Oil gas 3.0 7.4 12.0 Peat 3.7 Wood 11.1 0.6 FINLAND'S ENERGY BALANCE SHEET (PJ) Natural gas 50.0 1.0 Imports of wood fuels 66.3 Exports of peat Exports of coal Coal transformation 0.9 Transport 3.0 IMPORTS OF ELECTRICITY 64.5 Stock change 21.1 Non-energy use, other consumption and statistical difference 1.5 Stock change6.3 IMPORTS 1257.1 PJ 213.1 24.7 ELECTRICITY SUPPLY 10.7 Exports of electricity 3.4 Electricity consumption in transport 2.3 Other consumption of electricity 6.8 27.1 Losses 264.9 Losses Leena Timonen 25.10.2012 9