Presentation to the
Oslo City Working Group Meeting
Session 5: Canada’s Energy Statistics
John Appleby, Natural Resources Canada,
Ottawa, Canada
February 2, 2009
Outline
•
•
Background/Context
RESD and the Sector Models
– Transportation
– Residential
– Commercial Institutional
– Industrial
•
Data/Products
2
Background/Context
Natural Resources
Canada (NRCan)
Office of Energy
Efficiency
a federal government department
responsible for the sustainable development
and use of natural resources
a branch of NRCan mandated to renew,
strengthen and expand Canada's commitment to
energy conservation and energy efficiency
Programs
Demand Policy and
Analysis Division
OEE proactively promotes
energy conservation and
efficiency in all sectors
a division of OEE created to
improve knowledge and understanding
of where and how energy is used in all
sectors of the Canadian economy
3
Energy End-Use Models
(OEE)
• Each model has the same general methodology
• Utilize a variety of data sources and assumptions to provide a
detailed look of their respective sector.
• These detailed data sources provide the breakdown of the
sector not provided by the RESD.
• Since the RESD is the official energy balance of Canada, the
estimated detailed energy use across sectors are then
calibrated to the Report on Energy Supply and Demand.
Five End-Use Models:
–
–
–
–
–
Transportation
Industrial
Residential
Commercial
Agriculture (No Break-down)
• Products
– Energy Use Data Handbook
– Energy Efficiency Trends in Canada
4
Producer Consumption
Total Non-Energy Use by Industrial Sector
Energy Use-Final Demand
Total Energy Use by Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Energy Use by Paper Manufacturing
Energy Use by Primary Metal Manufacturing, Ferrous
Energy Use by Primary Metal Manufacturing, Non-Ferrous
Energy Use by Cement Manufacturing
Energy Use by Petroleum Refining
Energy Use by Chemical Manufacturing
Energy Use by Other Manufacturing
Total Energy Use by Manufacturing
Total Energy Use by Forestry and Logging, and Support Activities for Forestry
Total Energy Use by Construction
Total Energy Use by Industrial Sector
Rail Transportation and Support Activities for Rail Transportation
Canadian Air Transportation
Foreign Air Transportation
Total Air Transportation
Canadian Water Transportation
Foreign Water Transportation
Total Water Transportation
Pipeline Transportation and Natural Gas Distribution
Truck, Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation
Gasoline Stations
Total Transportation and Warehousing
Total Agriculture
Total Residential
Public Administration
Commercial and Other Institutional
Industrial
Sector
Transportation
Sector
Agriculture
Sector
Residential
Sector
Commercial
Sector
Statistical Difference
5
Transportation Sector
Overview
Distance
Stock
Fuel
Consumption
Estimated
Road Energy
Demand
Off-Road
STC Road
Energy
Demand
Transportatio
n Energy
Demand
STC NonRoad Energy
Demand
GHG Factors
GHG Emissions
6
Residential End-Use Model
Energy Consumption – Household
Services
Energy use for lighting
By province and house type
• Energy use by appliances
Energy use for space cooling
and space heating
By province, house type,
vintage and heating system
By province, energy source and appliance type
• Energy use for water heating
By province, house type and energy source
Residential energy use Calibrated to
RESD
By province, end-use and energy source
• GHG emission factor
By energy source
Residential GHG emissions
By province, end-use and energy source
7
Industrial Sector
Overview
CIEEDAC
Detailed Industries
Energy Use
Scaling and
confidentiality
estimations
RESD
Energy
Use
Aggregate
Industries Energy
Use
8
COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL END-USE
DATABASE FLOWCHART
•FLOOR SPACE
•AVERAGE INTENSITY
•FUEL SHARES
•FUEL EFFICIENCY
Space Conditioning energy use
•SPACE COOLING
•SPACE HEATING
•HEATING DEGREE DAY
•COOLING DEGREE DAY
Non Space conditioning
energy use
•WATER HEATING
•AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT
•AUXILIARY MOTORS
•LIGHTING
Heat Gains
•HEATING HEAT GAIN INTENSITY
•COOLING HEAT GAIN INTENSITY
TOTAL COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL ESTIMATED ENERGY
ENERGY DEMAND
Calibration TO RESD
TOTAL COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL ENERGY DEMAND
EMISSION FACTORS EC
TOTAL COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL GHG EMISSIONS
9
COMMERCIAL/INSTITUTIONAL SECTOR
BREAKDOWN
•
By region (7):
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
•
1) Atlantic
2) Quebec
3) Ontario
•
4) Manitoba
5) Saskatchewan
6) Alberta
7) British Columbia &
Territories
•
By
–
–
–
By fuel types (5):
– 1) Electricity
– 2) Natural gas
–
– 3) Light fuel oil & Kerosene
– 4) Heavy Fuel Oil
–
– 5) Steam
–
– 6) Other (Steam & Coal) –
By end-use (6):
– 1) Space heating
– 2) Water heating
– 3) Auxiliary equipment
– 4) Auxiliary motors
– 5) Lighting
– 6) Space cooling
–
–
–
activity types (10):
1) Wholesale Trade
2) Retail Trade
3) Transportation and
Warehousing
4) Information and Cultural
Industries
5) Offices
6) Educational Services
7) Health Care and Social
Assistance
8) Arts, Entertainment and
Recreation
9) Accommodation and Food
Services
10) Other Services
10
Commercial/Institutional Secondary
Energy Use by Energy Source,
End-Use and Activity Type
Total Energy Use (PJ)a
Energy Use by Energy Source (PJ) a
Electricity
Natural Gas
Light Fuel Oil and Kerosene
Heavy Fuel Oil
Steam
Other1
Energy Use by End-Use (PJ) b
Space Heating
Water Heating
Auxiliary Equipment
Auxiliary Motors
Lighting
Space Cooling
Street Lightingf
Energy Use by Activity Type 2 (PJ) b
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Information and Cultural Industries
Offices3
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts, Entertainment and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services
Total Growth
1990–2006
1990
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
867.0
1,072.8
1,060.9
1,131.5
1,166.5
1,172.7
1,158.9
1,092.6
390.1
387.1
62.0
11.4
0.2
16.3
453.0
503.2
60.4
19.8
0.3
36.1
445.2
488.4
63.6
26.8
0.3
36.6
476.8
517.2
73.9
27.4
0.3
35.9
474.4
525.1
80.1
53.5
0.3
32.9
483.4
514.1
91.5
48.8
0.4
34.5
485.9
504.9
83.3
55.6
2.7
26.5
475.8
468.5
75.7
42.5
2.6
27.5
22.0%
21.0%
22.2%
274.1%
1175.7%
69.1%
471.1
68.2
82.4
91.2
114.5
30.6
8.9
579.1
89.6
132.9
96.0
120.3
47.2
7.7
549.7
92.2
140.1
94.2
118.0
59.0
7.7
583.7
93.4
144.6
95.4
119.6
87.1
7.8
617.2
98.9
157.5
94.7
118.8
71.6
7.8
618.1
103.0
169.5
95.6
119.4
59.4
7.8
592.5
99.4
172.7
88.2
108.0
89.9
8.3
537.4
95.2
177.4
89.5
107.5
77.1
8.4
14.1%
39.7%
115.2%
-1.9%
-6.2%
152.1%
-6.1%
56.3
143.7
54.3
17.9
273.1
119.3
84.9
23.6
66.4
18.7
64.4
174.5
55.3
25.0
358.7
147.5
104.1
33.4
80.9
21.2
63.3
172.6
52.8
24.9
356.5
146.5
103.0
33.1
79.7
20.9
66.3
184.2
55.2
26.8
381.9
156.2
110.5
34.9
85.9
21.9
68.3
190.1
55.5
27.9
394.9
161.9
112.7
36.1
88.8
22.4
68.5
194.4
54.4
27.9
395.4
162.5
113.3
35.9
90.3
22.3
65.8
191.0
50.8
27.1
402.4
159.2
110.0
34.9
88.1
21.4
61.3
179.2
46.8
25.9
381.2
149.9
103.2
33.0
83.9
19.9
9.0%
24.8%
-13.7%
44.5%
39.6%
25.6%
21.6%
39.8%
26.3%
6.3%
11
26.0%
Products
• In 1991, Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) launched the
National Energy Use Database (NEUD) initiative to help the
department improve its knowledge of energy consumption and
energy efficiency at the end-use level in Canada and to support
NRCan's analytical expertise.
• The NEUD plays a number of crucial roles directly related to
NRCan's ecoENERGY Efficiency initiatives; however, its most
important role is to secure the development of a reliable, Canadawide information base on energy consumption for all energyconsuming sectors.
• The new 2006 data are now available in our Comprehensive Energy
Use Database, Energy Use Data Handbook Tables and Energy
Efficiency Trends Analysis Tables.
12
Energy efficiency gains are
significant
Energy use with or without energy efficiency improvement,
1990–2006 (petajoules)
10 000
EE gains
• $21B
• 60 Mt
Petajoules
9 000
8 000
7 000
6 000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Energy use without energy efficiency improvements
Energy use with energy efficiency improvements
14
Decomposition Total Economy
Impact of activity, structure, service level, weather and energy
efficiency effects on the change in energy use, 1990–2006
3000
Petajoules
2000
2,585.4
1,461.2
1000
170.3
50.8
0
-84.9
-210.8
-1000
-1,049.5
-2000
Total
change in
energy use
Activity
effect
Structure
effect
Service
level effect
Weather
effect
Energy
efficiency
effect
15
Other*
Conclusion
•
Links to more information:
–
Comprehensive Energy Use Database http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/home.cfm
16