Regional Seminar on Developing a Program Supporting Statistics
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Regional Seminar on Developing a Program for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics Cevdet ÖĞÜT 11-13 September 2013 Ankara - Turkey National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey EXHAUSTIVENESS IN NATIONAL ACCOUNTS OF TURKEY National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey • In order to ensure the exhaustiveness of the Turkish national accounts, the work on GDP revision started after the General Census of Industry and Business Establishments. • During the revision work TurkStat participated some projects with Eurostat such as USST-I and USST-II. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey • The main revision points were elaboration of data sources and methods. • During the revision, TurkStat improved data sources of GDP by the production approach for all economic activities. • Revision of GDP is based primarily on the results of the 2002 Structural Business Statistics (SBS). • These form the most comprehensive source of data for national accounts. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey • Quarterly Labor Force Survey (LFS) served and serves as a basis for the estimation of total number of persons employed in the economy. • New system of accounting standards and rules were introduced for the government sector. The general government sector now consists of the exact number of units and includes all specific extra budgetary funds at central and local government level. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Reference Guidence Handbook on Measuring the Non-Observed Economy Tabular Approach to Exhaustiveness National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Types of Work for the Adjustments • The estimations from the output side are based on the SBS which includes many industries. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Types of Work for the Adjustments • Also, for several industries the data of the SBS are supplemented by Household Surveys (especially Household Budget Survey (HBS)), administrative records and quarterly data sources. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Tabular Approach Adjustment N1– Producers deliberately not registering – Labour Input Approach; Manufacturing, Underground economy Mining, Enegy, Hotel-Restaurants, Education, Health, Other Personel and Business Services N2– Producers deliberately not registering – No estimation Illegal activities N3– Producer not obliged to register Agriculture, own account construction N4– Legal persons not surveyed N5– Registered entrepreneur not surveyed N6– Producers deliberately misreporting N7– Other statistical deficiencies Can not be made (because of proper statistical business register does not exist) Can not be made (because of proper statistical business register does not exist) No estimates (Experimental survey was applied for selected activity K,M,N,O) Tips, Wages and salaries in kind, (Hotels and Restaurants) National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey GDP by the income approach and exhaustiveness GDP by the income approach exhaustiveness made for compensation of employees. Compensation of employees Agriculture, hunting and forestry Fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Construction Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and Restaurants Transport, storage and communication Real estate, renting and business activities Education Health and social work Other community, social and personal service activities Private household with employed persons National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey GDP by the expenditure approach and exhaustiveness When compiling the expenditure-based GDP measure, every effort is made to ensure that all relevant economic activity is captured. Most of the basic data on which the estimates are based will already have been edited and checked for completeness. • • • Final consumption expenditure of households Estimates of Household Consumption Expenditure were estimated by using commodity flows based on production, import and trade information. Most of the basic information from statistical surveys used in the Household Expenditure estimates were checked for reliability and exhaustiveness by the compiling branches before incorporated into the national accounts. The reliability and comprehensiveness of the production and external trade data used in the commodity flow estimates were checked and verified by the compilers of the basic statistics. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey GDP by the expenditure approach and exhaustiveness • • • • Non-Profit Institutions Serving Households (NPISH) Separate estimates for NPISH are not compiled in the Turkish national accounts. Final consumption expenditure of NPISH is combined with Household Consumption Expenditure. Final consumption expenditure of government The data sources for general government units are exhaustive. General government data is derived from the central government accounting system. The data concerning social security funds are also fully exhaustive. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey GDP by the expenditure approach and exhaustiveness Gross Fixed Capital Formation • The basic estimates of Capital Formation are also considered to be reasonably comprehensive. • The main sources used in the compilation of GFCF are administrative and fiscal data, surveys, direct information and the commodity flow method. • The private sector construction activity is measured using administrative data on building permits and occupancy permits. • The construction activity for the general government is measured using data from the public accounts. National Seminar Seminar on A Program Regional onDeveloping Developing A Program National Seminar on Developing A Program for the the Implementation ofof thethe for Implementation for the Implementation of the 20082008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in Turkey Supporting 2008 SNASNA and and Supporting StatisticsStatistics in Turkey 1010 September 2013 / Ankara Turkey September 2013 / Ankara - Turkey 11-13 September 2013 / Ankara – Turkey Updating of estimates in the current years Labor input estimates are updated annually by extrapolating from the 2002 estimates.
