Agenda item 5b
United Nations Economic Commission for Europe
Statistical Division
Main challenges and priorities for future work
Implementation of the 2008 SNA
in the EECCA, SEE and Mongolia
Presentation by UNECE
Workshop on Implementation of the 2008 SNA
Kiev, 29 November - 2 December 2011
Overview
1. Survey results: Problems and Priorities for
future work
•
•
•
•
Overall issues
Need for improvement in basic statistics
Problem areas in National accounts
Ongoing projects and technical assistance
2. Way forward: Proposed elements of the
implementation plan for the region
•
•
•
•
Objectives and key deliverables
Main actors, Coordination and Governance
Technical assistance requested by countries
Activities of International organizations: current and planned
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 2
Overall issues conditioning
improvement in statistics in the region
• Overall changes to the institutional and informational
infrastructure in the country
• Need for adjustment of legislation, institutional bodies,
accounting standards
• Issues with human resources in statistics
•
Limited resources, high turnover, lack of continuous
training, but growing demand for statistical information
• Statistical issues
•
•
November 2011
The quality and availability of basic statistics
National accounts issues
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 3
Need for improvement in
Basic Statistics
Agricultural accounts
Government finance statistics
Social statistics, satellite
accounts
External sector statistics
Consumption, household
surveys
Labour force surveys
Monetary statistics
November 2011
x x
x
x x
Turkmenistan
Russian Federation
x x
x
x x
x
x
x x
7
x
x
x
x x
Ukraine
9
Tajikistan
x
Serbia
Montenegro
Mongolia
14
x x
x x
x
x x
x x x x x x
x x
x
Moldova
Kyrgyzstan
x
TOTAL
x x x
Kazakhstan
Georgia
FYR Macedonia
Croatia
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Belarus
Azerbaijan
x x
Uzbekistan
Business statistics
Prices, volume measures,
deflators
Business registers, administrative registers (exhaustiveness)
Classifications
Financial statistics
Armenia
Albania
Priorities for improvement in basic statistics
x
2
x
2
x
x
2
x
x
2
1
x
UNECE Statistical Division
4
3
x x
x
x
6
1
Slide 4
Need for improvement in
Basic Statistics
Main priorities for improvement in basic statistics:
• Business statistics
• Source for data on value added
• Coverage of services and methodological issues
• Price statistics
• Detailed price indices for all types of economic activity,
including services,
Export and import price indices
•
•
Exhaustiveness of business and administrative
registers
• Coverage of all enterprises and non-profit organisations
• Availability and use of administrative registers
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 5
Problem areas in National accounts
November 2011
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Ukraine
Uzbekistan
TOTAL, for all countries
33
21
10
0
10.6
30
0
12
0
15.5
7
0
0
0
10
3.6
0
11
0
0
20
0
5.6
100 100 100 100 100 100 100
100
56 100
33
46
0
0
5
0
0
37
25
30
20
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
24
0
0
0
0
0
3
21
UNECE Statistical Division
15
No reply
72
No reply
80
Mongolia
70
Serbia
25
29
Russia
64.8
30
Montenegro
90
Moldova
57
Kyrgyzstan
79
Kazakhstan
37
Georgia
42
FYR Macedonia
GDP and its basic
indicators
77 76 71 100 37
Integrated accounts
and tables
5
0
0
0
0
Institutional sector
accounts
16
0
0
0 63
Financial account
2 14
0
0
0
Balance sheet
0 10 29
0
0
Total, priorities 100 100 100 100 100
Croatia
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Belarus
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Albania
Current priorities for countries in the region by NA broad data groups
100 100 100 100 100.0
Slide 6
Problem areas in National accounts
Current priorities for countries in the region by NA detailed datasets
Financial services, FISIM
9.8
Institutional sector accounts
9.2
NOE, Informal sector
7.5
Quarterly accounts
7.0
Supply and use tables
6.8
GDP constant prices, deflators, indices
5.6
NA infrastructure improvement
5.0
Regional GDP
4.9
Balance sheets
4.0
GCF consumption
3.7
Financial accounts
3.6
R&D expenditure
3.6
0
3
6
9
12
Share in all priorities,%
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 7
New issues from the 2008 SNA
Non-financial assets
• R & D, military expenditures, mineral exploration, land
improvements, cultivated assets, ownership transfer
Non-observed economy
• Informal sector and illegal activities
Financial services, FISIM
• Pension schemes and employee stock options
Public sector
• Central banks and public/private/government
The rest of the world
• Multi-territory enterprises, processing, merchanting
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 8
Ongoing technical assistance projects:
Main areas
Main areas in national accounts with ongoing technical assistance projects in the region
Capacity building in NA
Supply and use tables
NOE, Informal sector
GDP constant prices, deflators, indices
Consumption of GCF
Quarterly accounts
Structure of GFCF
Regional GDP
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Number of countries
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 9
Proposed way ahead for the region.
Objectives and key deliverables
Main objective
• Strengthen national accounts statistics in the region and ensure
coordinated implementation of the 2008 SNA to enhance international
comparability.
Priorities for countries in the region
• Improve the quality of Annual and Quarterly GDP
• Improve the quality, availability and access to basic statistics, including
administrative data
• Implementation of the 2008 changes most affecting GDP and its main
components
• Implementation of changes affecting GNI and other main balancing
items
Recommendation: 2014 - GDP and GNI by the 2008 SNA
(to be discussed during Session 7 and developed
after)
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 10
Proposed way ahead for the region.
Objectives and key deliverables
Further Priorities
Medium term:
•Improvement of institutional sector accounts
Long term:
•Full system of accounts
Each country will determine its own detailed priorities and
their timeframe.
Regional implementation plan will be developed based on
the common priorities in the national implementation plans.
(to be discussed during Session 7 and
developed after)
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 11
Development of an implementation plan
C
H
A
L
L
E
N
G
E
S
Informal and
illegal sector
B
A
S
I
C
Financial Services
Stock options,
pensions
Institutional
sectors
Quarterly
accounts
Short-Term
Statistics
Output value,
intermediate
consumption
B
A
S
E
Statistics
on Services
Financial
accounts
Prices &
Costs
Deflators,
Labor
2008 SNA
National Accounts
NOE
International
Trade
Export and
import, FATS
Financial
Instruments
The rest of
the world
Globalisation
Non-Financial
Assets
R&D, military
C
O
R
E
S
T
A
T
I
S
I
C
S
Government,
Public Sector
Public-private,
central banks
Balance
sheets
FISIM
Regional
accounts
Social
Statistics
Health,
NGOs
Investment
Statistics
Capital
expenditure
Supply /
Use
1993 SNA
Input /
Output
Financial
Statistics
FISIM,
monetary
Agriculture
Statistics
Statistical Infrastructure
Business register, statistical units, survey design, administrative data, classifications
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 12
Proposed way ahead for the region.
Main actors, Coordination and Governance
National level
• National implementation plan for the 2008 SNA and
supporting statistics
 Global recommendations by ISWGNA adopted by UNSC
 Streamlining overall improvement of SNA and supporting
statistics
 Determine priorities and timeframe by needs of main users
• Organisation: Main actors
 NSO as primary institution responsible for SNA
 Other producers of economic statistics and administrative
registers
 Main users
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 13
Proposed way ahead for the region.
Main actors, Coordination and Governance
Regional level
• Coordination of work in the region
•
 Biennial Meeting of Group of experts in NA
 Regional Advisory body – SG on NA
Monitoring implementation in the region
 Annual and quarterly NA questionnaires
 Others, like:
– UNECE/Eurostat/EFTA Global Assessment Reports,
– IMF tools – SDDS, GDDS, DQAF, ROSC,
– WB Statistical Capacity Building initiatives,
– and, if needed, additional questionnaires from UNECE
and presentation of Progress Reports during the Meeting.
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 14
Requested technical assistance
•
Training workshops for the staff of NSOs
(national, regional and international)
•
Study visits to more developed statistical
offices
•
•
•
•
Region-specific manuals and guidelines
On-the-job training
Seminars for other producers of statistics
Exchange of experience with other countries
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 15
Activities –
National strategies towards 2008 SNA
• Most of the countries have national plans
•
for improvement of statistics and national
accounts focusing on the 1993 SNA
Some have adopted plans towards 2008
SNA
• Azerbaijan
• Kazakhstan
• Croatia
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 16
Activities –
International and Regional organizations
•
•
•
•
•
•
UN / UNECE
EU / Eurostat
EFTA
CISSTAT
IMF
World Bank
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 17
Points to consider during the discussion
Coordination of capacity building activities in the field of
National Accounts provided by international donors on
- Regional level (DISA),
- National level .
Coordination of SNA implementation activities in the
countries on a regional level.
November 2011
UNECE Statistical Division
Slide 18