MDG Indicators in PRSPs: Coverage and Trends Sulekha Patel Senior Demographer
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MDG Indicators in PRSPs: Coverage and Trends Sulekha Patel Senior Demographer Development Data Group The World Bank Coverage of MDG indicators in PRSPs (percentage of PRSPs including at least one indicator in category) Poverty Poverty headcount Poverty gap Income distribution Child Malnutrition Malnutrition Poverty average Education Gender Enrolment/Attendance Progression/Completion Literacy 100% 43% 30% 73% 25% Health 54% 100% 63% 70% Education average 78% Education Employment 83% 60% Voices 25% Gender average 56% Environment Child mortality Immunization Maternal health HIV/AIDS; STDs Other infectious diseases Health average 98% 80% 100% 78% 78% Energy/Electricity Forest Biological diversity Housing Water Sanitation Atmosphere/Air quality Environment average 73% 40% 25% 87% 30% 95% 70% 33% 52% How ambitious are the PRSPs? PRSP targets compared to MDGs - 40 PRSPs At least as ambitious Less ambitious 25 23 No data 22 21 No. of countries 20 15 20 18 14 17 15 14 13 17 11 10 8 8 4 5 7 5 3 0 Poverty Child Malnutrition Net Primary Enrollment Infant Mortality Maternal Mortality Gender Eq. at School Realism: PRSP targets vs. historical trends Poverty More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious Yes 8 2 No 4 10 Share 67% 17% Assisted delivery More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious Yes 4 3 No 2 3 Share 67% 50% Child malnutrition More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious 10 3 1 8 91% 27% Gender More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious 9 3 9 15 50% 17% Infant mortality rate More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious 25 9 7 23 78% 28% PCR More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious 4 1 4 7 50% 13% Immunization More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious 11 6 5 10 69% 38% Water More PRSP than 5% more points ambitious ambitious 14 3 2 13 88% 19% Summary • High alignment of MDGs and PRSP monitoring indicators in education, health, poverty headcount and gender equality at school. • PRSP targets are often more ambitious than historic trends, except for gender and PCR targets. Some set very ambitious targets (more than 5% points). • Except for a few countries, the continuous monitoring of the PRSP indicators through PRSP Progress Reports is weak. Some countries change indicators, others do not provide updates. One of the reasons is the selection of the indicators that are not monitorable on an annual basis.
