Course Syllabus: Stat 500 Spring 2010 Instructor: Dr. Mosuk Chow Office: 315 Thomas Phone: 863-8128 (e-mail: mchow@stat.psu.edu) Office Hours: Tues 2:00 - 3:30pm, Thur 1:00-2:30pm or by appointment Grader information: (will be announced on the course ANGEL site) Aim: The course is an introduction to the basic concepts and methods of applied statistics. It is intended for graduate students who either have no prior statistics courses (math skills assumed), or who wish to review the fundamentals before taking additional 500 level Statistics courses. Textbook: An Introduction to Statistical Methods and Data Analysis by R. Lyman Ott and Michael Longnecker ( 6th edition) bundled with Minitab 14 student version. International Thompson Publishing. ISBN: 9781111116318. Available at Penn State bookstore. The textbook is on reserve in Physical and Math Science Library (PAMS) at 201 Davey Lab. Minitab is also available in the computer labs on campus. (5 th edition of the textbook can also be used.) Grades: Homeworks 20 % (submit to dropboxes on ANGEL site) Midterms: 50 % (in class 6:00- 6:50pm on March 1 and March 29) location will be announced Project: 5 % ( project due April 27) Final Exam: 25 % (date will be announced) Grading (tentatively): Course grades in each of the nine categories will be tentatively awarded based on the following lower bounds: F 0 D 60 C 70 C+ 77 B80 B 83 B+ 87 A90 A 93 Exams: Midterm exams and final will be closed book and comprehensive. More focus will be given to material not covered in the prior exams. For midterm exams, you will be allowed to bring in a formula sheet made up by yourself. This sheet may comprise of a 2sided 8.5x11 inches sheets. For final exam, you can bring two 2-sided 8.5x11 inches sheets. No early or late exams will be allowed without a legitimate excuse. 1 Home works: Homeworks are to be submitted to their respective dropboxes by the due day. You must show all work on the homework problems to get full credit. Doing the homework promptly and carefully is necessary for learning the material. A reasonable amount of collaboration is allowed on homework. However, each student must turn in his or her own written work which reflects his or her own individual understanding of the material. Late home works will have 20% off for each day late. Note that the lowest homework score will be dropped. Solutions: Solutions for the homework assignments will be posted with a link to it from the homepage of Stat500. Project: You will be given a data set and you will be asked to employ techniques you have learned throughout this course to analyze the data set. One final team project will be assigned. Each team will consist of two to three students. Discussion: On our ANGEL site, there are Discussion Forums. You can post questions there on course materials, homeworks, etc. All of you are encouraged to answer the questions or to make comments. Academic Integrity: All Penn State and Eberly College of Science policies regarding academic integrity apply to this course. See http://www.science.psu.edu/academic/Integrity/index.html Course Objectives Upon completion of this course you will: Appreciate and understand the role of statistics in your field. Develop an ability to apply appropriate statistical methods to summarize and analyze data for some of the more routine experimental settings. Make sense of data and be able to report the results in appropriate table or statistical terms for inclusion in your thesis or paper. Interpret results from various computer packages (Minitab, SPSS, SAS) and be able to use Minitab to perform appropriate statistical techniques. 2 Getting Started Time frame: January 11, 2010 - January 15, 2010 Assignments: Complete the steps outlined in the Welcome Letter from your instructor (sent to you by Student Services with other course introductory materials) to acquaint yourself with the course environment. Complete the activities in the Getting Started folder (see the Lessons tab) by Jan 15 Lesson 1: An overview of Statistics, gathering data and graphical methods, introduction to Minitab Time frame: January 11, 2010 - January 20, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 1 (due January 20) Lesson 2: Summarizing data: measures of central tendency and measures of variability, box plot Time frame: January 20, 2010 - January 27, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 2 (due January 27) Lesson 3: Probabilities, conditional probability and independence, types of variables and probability distributions Time frame: January 27, 2010 - February 3, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 3 (due February 3) 3 Lesson 4: Binomial distribution and normal distribution Time frame: February 3, 2010 - February 10, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 4 (due February 10) Lesson 5: Sampling distribution and central limit theorem Time frame: February 10, 2010 - February 17, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 5 (due February 17) Lesson 6: Introduction to inferences, confidence interval for population proportion, margin of error and sample size computation Time frame: February 17, 2010 - February 24, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 6 (due February 24) Midterm 1 Time frame: 6:00 – 6:50 pm, March 1, 2010 location will be announced. Lesson 7: Confidence interval for population mean when population standard deviation is unknown, t-distribution, choosing the sample size for estimating the population mean Time frame: February 24, 2010 - March 4, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 7 (due March 4) 4 Lesson 8: Hypothesis testing, type I and type II error, statistical test for population proportion, p-value approach to hypothesis testing Time frame: March 4, 2010 - March 17, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 8 (due March 17) Lesson 9: Statistical test for using rejection region approach, statistical test for population mean, how to use confidence interval to draw conclusion about two sided test, power and sample sizes Time frame: March 17, – March 24, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 9 (due March 24) Midterm 2 Time frame: 6:00 – 6:50 pm, March 29, 2010 location will be announced Lesson 10: Comparing two population means, independent samples versus paired data, two sample t-test, paired t-test Time frame: March 24 – April 7, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 10 (due April 7) 5 Project (posted April 1) Time frame: April 1 – April 27, 2010 Assignments: Due April 27 Lesson 11: Comparing two population proportions, contingency table and Chi-square test of independence, comparing two population variances Time frame: April 7, 2010 - April 14, 2010 Assignments: Work on Homework 11 (due April 14) Lesson 12: Simple linear regression, correlation, inferences for simple linear regression Time frame: April 14, 2010 - April 21, 2010 Assignments: Work on – Homework 12 (due April 21) Lesson 13: Multiple regression, one-way ANOVA and two-way ANOVA [Note: The details in Lesson 13 will not be required for the final exam.] Time frame: April 21, 2010 - April 28, 2010 Assignments: Work on – Homework 13 (no need to submit) 6 Lesson 14 - Summary: To determine what statistical methods to use for specific situations, summary and review Time frame: April 21, 2010 – April 30, 2010 Assignments: Review material learned in STAT 500 Work on “to choose statistical techniques” Project - due April 27 The instructor will offer bonus points if you find mistakes in any of the course content dealing with statistical calculation. These bonus points will improve your grade in marginal cases. 7