SEEAW – Asset Accounts and Valuation Regional Workshop on Water Accounting Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic 16-18 July 2007 Michael Vardon United Nations Statistics Division 1 Outline • • • • • What do Asset accounts measure? Basic definitions Asset classification SEEAW standard tables Supplementary tables/information • Breakdown of water flows • Matrix of flows within the environment What do asset accounts measure? Asset Accounts describe in physical units • The stocks of water resources • The changes in stocks that occur during the accounting period (natural and anthropogenic changes) They link information on abstraction and returns with information on the stocks of water resources Hydrological cycle and water balance Water in the atmosphere Water on land surface and sub-surface Water in oceans and seas Liquid/solid flows - precipitation Vapour flows - evaporation, transpiration Precipitation = Evapotranspiration + runoff +/- changes in storage Basic structure Opening Stocks Increases in stocks due to human activities due to natural processes Decreases in stocks due to human activities due to natural processes Closing Stocks 1993 SNA Asset classification “Aquifers and other groundwater resources to the extent that their scarcity leads to the enforcement of ownership and/or use of rights, market valuation and some measure of economic control”. Thus only a small portion of the water resources in a country is included in the 1993 SNA. SEEAW Water resources include water found in fresh and brackish surface and groundwater bodies within the national territory that provide direct use benefits now or in the future (option benefits) through the provision of raw material and may be subject to quantitative depletion through human use. SEEAW asset classification EA.13 Water Resources (measured in cubic metres) EA.131 Surface water EA.1311 Artificial Reservoirs EA.1312 Lakes EA.1313 Rivers and streams EA 1314 Glaciers, Snow and Ice EA 132 Groundwater EA.133 Soil Water Asset accounts Millions cubic metres EA.131 Surface water EA.1314 EA.1311 Snow, Ice EA.132 EA.133 Artificial EA.1312 EA.131 and Groundwat Soil Reservoirs Lakes 3 Rivers Glaciers er water 1. Opening Stocks Increases in stocks 2. Returns from the economy 3. Precipitation 4. Inflows 4.a. from upstream territories 4.b. from other resources in Decreases in stocks 5. Abstraction 6. Evaporation/Actual 7. Outflows 7.a to downstream territories 7.b to the sea 7.c to other resources in the 8. Other changes in volume 9. Closing Stocks Total Water resources Surface water: water which flows over, or is stored on the ground surface. It includes: artificial reservoirs, lakes, rivers and streams, glaciers, snow and ice. Groundwater: water which collects in porous layers of underground formations known as aquifers Soil water: water suspended in the uppermost belt of soil, or in the zone of aeration near the ground surface, that can be discharged in to the atmosphere by evapotranspiration Water in oceans, seas and atmosphere …..not recorded in terms of stocks but only in terms of flows. For example, abstraction from the seas, collection of precipitation, outflows to the seas, evaporation/evapotranspiration etc. Fresh and non-fresh water Water resources include fresh and brackish water. Brackish water can be used with or without treatment for some industrial uses or for irrigation purposes for some specific crops Water resources can be further disaggregated into fresh and brackish water Stocks for rivers It is not easy to define. The stock of a river should be measured as the volume of the active riverbed determined on the basis of the geographic profile of the riverbed and the water level. This quantity is usually very small compared to the total stocks of water resources and the annual flows of rivers. It can be avoided computing the stocks of rivers Matrix of transfers within the environment Destination: Origin EA.1311 Reservoirs EA.1312 Lakes EA.1313 Rivers EA.1314 Snow, Ice and Glaciers EA.132 Groundwater EA.133 Soil water nflows from other esources in the territory EA.131 Surface water Outflows to other EA.1314 EA.133 resources Snow, EA.1311 EA.1312 EA.1313 Ice and EA.132 Soil in the Reservoirs Lakes Rivers territory Glaciers Groundwater water Valuation of Environmental Assets • Why value environmental assets? • Definitions of environmental assets • Asset boundary between SNA and SEEA • SNA asset classification • SEEA asset classification • Methods of valuation • Net present value • Other methods • Example: Valuing Water Why value environmental resources? Efficient and equitable allocation of resources among competing users, both • within the present generation • between present and future generation Efficient and equitable infrastructure investment in the resource sector (how much, where, when) Design of economic instruments: pricing, property rights, taxes on depletion and degradation Helps to ensure that the environment is included in decision-making Assets in the SNA For an asset to be included in the SNA it must have: • An identifiable owner who enforces ownership rights • Be able to produced economic benefits for the owner by using or holding them AN.1 Produced assets AN.11 Fixed assets AN.111 Tangible fixed assets AN.1114 SNA Environmental Assets Cultivated assets AN.11141 Livestock for breeding, dairy, draught etc. AN.11142 Vineyards, orchards and other plantations AN.112 Intangible fixed assets AN.1121 Mineral exploration AN.12 Inventories AN.122 Work in progress AN.1221 Work in progress on cultivated assets AN.2 Non-produced assets AN.21 Tangible non-produced assets AN.211 Land AN.2111 Land underlying buildings and structures AN.2112 Land under cultivation AN.2113 Recreational land and associated surface water AN.2119 Other land and associated surface water AN.212 Subsoil assets AN.2121 Coal, oil and natural gas reserves AN.2122 Metallic mineral reserves AN.2123 Non-metallic mineral reserves AN.213 Non-cultivated biological resources AN.214 Water resources AN.22 Intangible non-produced assets AN.222 Leases and other transferable contracts Assets in SEEA • SEEA expands the definition in the SNA to cover all environmental assets used whether they are owned or not provided EA.1 Natural resources EA.11 Mineral and energy resources (cubic metres, tons, tons of oil equivalents, joules) EA.12 Soil resources (cubic metres, tons) EA.13 Water resources (cubic metres) EA.14 Biological resources EA.141 Timber resources (cubic metres) SEEA EA.142 Crop and plant resources, other than timber (cubic metres, tons, number) Environmental Assets EA.144 Animal resources, other than aquatic (number) EA.143 Aquatic resources (tons, number) EA.2 Land and surface water (hectares) EA.21 Land underlying buildings and structures EA.22 Agricultural land and associated surface water EA.23 Wooded land and associated surface water EA.24 Major water bodies EA.25 Other land EA.3 Ecosystems EA.31 Terrestrial ecosystems EA.32 Aquatic ecosystems EA.33 Atmospheric systems Memorandum items: Intangible assets related to environmental issues (extended SNA codes) AN.1121 Mineral exploration AN.2221 Transferable licences and concessions for the exploitation of natural resources AN.2222 Tradable permits allowing the emission of residuals How to value SNA is very clear • Market price should be the basis of valuation • Where market prices are unobservable or do not exist then economic theory may be used to determine a “shadow price” Shadow price • The true economic PRICE of an activity: the OPPORTUNITY COST. Shadow prices can be calculated for those goods and SERVICES that do not have a market price, perhaps because they are set by GOVERNMENT. Shadow pricing is often used in COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS, where the whole purpose of the analysis is to capture all the variables involved in a decision, not merely those for which market prices exist. Source: The Economist www.economist.com/research/Economics/alphabetic.cfm?letter=S#shadowprice Options for valuation – SNA and SEEA SNA • Market price • Net present value • Cost of production (provides a lower bound) SEEA describes • SNA methods • Revealed preferences • Stated preferences Net present value The net present value of future expected earning can be used to determine asset values Net present value calculation • Net present value (NPV) of expected future income streams n RR t=1 (1+r)n Vt = Σ Where V=NPV, RR = resource rent, r = discount rate, n =asset life Net present value calculations: resource rent • Resource rent – the value of the flow of capital services provided by a natural asset. • RR = (p-c)*Q Where RR = resource rent, p = unit price, c = unit cost (including wages, intermediate costs, normal return to produced capital, and taxes), Q = quantity extracted Net present value calculations: asset life • This is the amount of time that the asset will continue to exist, given current rates of extraction Asset life = Volume of stock t1 Volume extracted t0 – t1 Net present value calculations: discount rate • Choosing an appropriate discount rate is crucial to the NPV calculation. An area of debate • Rate used differs between countries • The higher the discount rate, the lower the NPV Concerns about using ‘non-market valuation’ techniques 1. Accuracy of values and cost of valuation 2. Consistency of value concepts with SNA 3. Aggregation: scaling up site-specific values Accuracy of non-market valuation • Data requirements are very high, so valuation is costly • Value is often uncertain, very sensitive to assumptions • Results are often presented as a range of values rather than a point estimate, a single value • Values are most reliable for water used as input to • agriculture, • hydroelectric power and other uses where water is a major component of production costs Concepts of value Consistent with the SNA? In principle, SNA measures market values, or sometimes cost of production Many valuation techniques were developed for CostBenefit Analysis of projects (not national economy): • CBA often tries to measure of economic welfare (total economic value) not market price • Programming models measure values in an optimizing economy which usually differs from actual economy Aggregation and national accounts • Some values highly site-specific, dependent on local uses, as well as season, water quality and reliability • Values are not amenable to ‘benefits transfer’—using an estimate from one case study for another area • Little experience scaling up local values to the national level Revealed Preference (based on observed market preferences) Residual value Marginal contribution of water to output, measured by subtracting all other costs from revenue Production function approach Marginal contribution measured as the change in output from a unit increase in water input in a given sector Optimization models and programming Marginal contribution measured as the change in sectoral output from reallocation of water across the entire economy Hedonic pricing Price differential paid for land with water resources Opportunity Cost Price differential for alternative (example: replacing hydroelectric power with coal-fired electricity) Stated Preference (based on surveys of willingness to pay) Contingent Valuation Method • Survey of users, especially household water use and recreational services Valuing water and treating it an economic good has strong support • In Integrate Water Resource management • 2002 World Summit on Sustainable Development in Johannesburg • 2003 Third World Water Forum • 2006 World Water Development Report • Human Development Report 2006 Beyond scarcity: power, poverty and the global water crisis SNA values water at price of transaction. There are some prices for water, so why may it be inappropriate use these? • Because the price charged by water suppliers—if any—is often unrelated to value of water, and may be too low • ‘Bulky’ commodity (very high transport costs relative to value inhibiting trade) • Water price often does not even reflect full costs of water supply • Water is not supplied by competitive markets due to natural characteristics • Necessary for human survival • Natural monopoly • Characteristics of public good • Property rights not always well defined for multiple use or sequential use Some markets for trading water rights are developing • Australia, • California • Chile • but still uncommon, local Price of tradable water rights does not yet provide a reliable indicator of value because markets too ‘thin’ (too few traders) So we must estimate or impute economic value of water Most commonly used water valuation techniques Agriculture Frequency of water valuation studies Most common application Manufacturing Uncommon Hydroelectric power Consumer good Waste assimilation services Common Common Common Most common methods used Residual value (and variations) Production function Programming models Production function, programming Programming models, opportunity cost CVM, programming models Cost of prevention, Benefits from damages averted Residual Value (Value Marginal Product) The easiest & most commonly applied valuation technique TVP pi qi pwqw pw TVP pi qi qw where TVP = Total Value of the commodity Produced piqi = the opportunity costs of non-water inputs to production pw = value of water (its marginal product) qw = the cubic meters of water used in production Non-water inputs include: intermediate inputs, labor, capital costs, land Challenges to Implementing Residual Value Technique • Is the quantity of water measured accurately? • Is labor cost accurate—how to value unpaid family labor? • Value of land—minus water rights • Capital costs • Are all capital costs accounted for accurately? • What rate of return to capital should be used? • Are there other inputs that have not been included? • Do the prices of output & all inputs reflect true economic value, or are they distorted? Example: Agricultural water use in Namibia (Stampriet area) Farm revenue & costs (in 1999 Namibia $) Data source Gross farm income $ 601,543 Output x market prices from survey Inputs of goods and services $ 242,620 Inputs x prices from survey Value-added, of which: $ 358,923 Compensation of employees $ 71,964 Gross operating surplus, of which: $ 286,959 Imputed value of farmers’ labour Wages paid + in-kind payments from survey $ 48,000 Imputed based on average salary of hired farm manager Depreciation $ 66,845 Depreciation rates x Farmers’ estimated cost of capital in survey Cost of working capital $ 17,059 Imputed as % of the value of fixed capital Cost of fixed capital including land, 3% -7% $75,739 to $176,724 Based on farmers’ estimated cost of capital reported in survey Residual value of water $79,316 to -$21,669 Amount of water used (m3) Residual value N$/m3 154,869 $0.51 to -$0.14 Farmers’ “best guess;” water is not metered Net present value of hydropower & geothermal in New Zealand 4,000 Geothermal 3,500 Hydropower 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 0 1987 Million NZ$ 4,500 Approach Environmental Valuation Cautiously Value consistent with SNA: include all values but indicate type of value and robustness Accuracy/uncertainty: start with major uses that are easiest to value & indicate range of values Aggregation: implement valuation at local/river basin level Asset value: begin with resources with single or few uses that can be easily valued Acknowledgement Many thanks to Glenn-Marie Lange for allowing me to use some material from her presentations Glenn-Marie Lange Senior Research Scholar The Earth Institute at Columbia University Center for Economy, Environment and Society 2910 Broadway, Room 110 New York, New York 10025 Cell phone: 1-718-290-0454 Phone: 1-212-854-3533 Fax: 1-212-854-6309 http://www.earthinstitute.columbia.edu/cgsd/lange.html