Emission Permits Thomas Olsen, Statistics Denmark Presented by Ole Gravgård, Statistics Denmark Prepared for the 13th London Group meeting, Brussels, 29 September – 3 October 2008 Outline of presentation • Treatment in SNA93, SEEA 2003 and SNA 2008 • Further developments for SEEA – Physical flows – Monetary flows – Link to environmental taxes – Some examples • Points for discussion 2 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Treatment of emission permits • AN.22 Non-financial intangible non-produced assets (AN. 222 Leases and other transferable contracts) SNA 1993 SEEA 2003 Other changes in volumes of assets: appearance Capital account: sale Revaluation account: change in market value SNA 2008 Revised SEEA 3 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting • Purchase from Government: Other taxes on production + Creation of assets (other changes in volumes) • SNA 2008 with extensions Further developments for SEEA • Accounts for the physical flows – Link to the use of energy, emissions, economy, etc. – Link between actual emissions and emission targets • Who owns, holds and trades the permits? • What is the relationship between the emissions of CO2 and the emission permits? • Have the industries acquired a sufficient number of permits compared to their CO2 emissions? • Basis for the national accounts’ treatment 4 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Further developments, cont. • A supplementary description of the monetary flows – Highlight the flows in order to understand the permit market and the effects on the economy • What is the value of the trade? • Is it the energy companies or manufacturing industries that buy permits in order to undertake their activities? • What is the role of non-emitters (e,g. investment banks) interested in the permits from an arbitrage perspective only? 5 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Further developments, cont. • Link to the environmental taxes – Describe the total economic regulation of – and burden on - the industries • The cost of CO2 permits in relation to the environmental related taxes • The value of the permits received for free in relation to (other) environmental related subsidies • Extending the environmental tax accounts to include the costs of surrendering permits in general 6 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Link to use of energy, emissions etc. Gross use of energy, CO2 emissions, CO2 permits and the link to the economy. Denmark, 2005. Industries Gross use CO2 of energy emissions TJ Total Households 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 7 Total industries Agriculture, fishing and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Wholesale and retail trade; hotels, rest. Transport, storage and communication Financial intermediation, business active. Public and personal services Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Surren- CO2 permits dered allocated permits Energy related taxes 1 000 tonnes CO2 / allowances Energy Gross value related added subsidies Mill. Dkk 1 810 902 268 311 1 542 591 95 486 13 843 81 642 26 471 0 26 471 37 371 0 37 371 36 370 21 764 14 606 81 618 469 705 338 207 18 692 43 601 528 299 17 755 44 715 4 988 8 356 25 964 1 369 1 269 37 950 471 1 275 2 328 5 438 18 704 0 0 0 0 0 3 056 7 525 26 790 0 0 0 0 0 931 2 251 95 1 193 2 193 2 954 1 323 3 667 Employment Persons 244 1 164 096 2 722 123 25 206 1 164 096 2 722 123 3 106 1 1 10 4 10 72 63 924 167 395 21 917 59 979 159 227 105 643 282 641 303 370 85 614 384 504 13 219 170 236 518 404 176 861 397 900 975 385 Physical stocks and flows of permits Physical balance sheet Industries Opening stock Closing stock Grand- Purchased fathered (1) (2) CDM JI credits credits (3) (4) Sold Surren- Surrendered dered allowan- (fines, etc) ces (6) (7) (8) (=1+...+56-7-8) (5) 1 000 allowances / 1 000 tonnes CO2 Total Households 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total industries Agriculture, fishing and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Wholesale and retail trade; hotels, rest. Transport, storage and communication Financial intermediation, business active. Public and personal services 8 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting + + + + ÷ ÷ ÷ = Monetary stocks and flows of permits Monetary balance sheet National Accounts Industries Opening stock Closing stock Grand- Purchase fathered d (1) (2) (3) CDM JI credits credits (4) Sold (5) Mill. [currency] Total Households 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Total industries Agriculture, fishing and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Wholesale and retail trade; hotels Transport, storage and comm. Financial intermediation, business Public and personal services Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Surrendered allowances (6) (7) Surren- Revaluadered tion (fines, etc) (8) (9) (=1+...+5 -6-7-8+9) Link between Danish emissions and targets Tonnes CO2 110.000 Total emissions in environmental accounts 90.000 Difference explained in bridge table 70.000 Total emissions reported to IPCC Extra permits explain the gap 50.000 Kyoto emissions level obliged to 30.000 1990 10 1992 1994 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Permits as a part of the environmental taxes Traditional environmental taxes Permits defined as taxes (SNA 2008) Permits Other surrendered permits 11 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Accounts for environmental related taxes Accounts for total economic regulation Points for discussion • Do you agree that the SEEA should follow the SNA 2008 as a starting point (accepting the tax treatment)? • Should the revised SEEA be developed to include the physical flows of the permits? • Should the revised SEEA offer supplementary information highlighting the monetary flows related to the permits? • Do you agree that environmental tax accounts should be extended/supplemented to include the costs of surrendering permits in general? • How to proceed? 12 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting Contact information Thomas Olsen, Statistics Denmark E-mail: Tol@dst.dk 13 Emission permits 13th London Group meeting