STATISTICS 200: SECTION 102 (SUMMER SEMESTER 2013) ELEMENTARY STATISTICS INSTRUCTOR: Name & Office Location: Patricia (Pat) Buchanan at 309 Thomas Office Hours: By Appointment & Phone: (814)-865-6266 Email: must send under Communicate tab in Angel (quick message option) for response ROOM & TIME: 7 Life Sciences (9:35 – 10:50 AM) – class will start on time REQUIRED MATERIALS: Textbook: Mind on Statistics, 4th Edition, by Jessica Utts & Robert Heckard Several options including a 3-hole punch loose leaf, hard cover, and electronic version. The Aplia code will only be needed for the electronic version. Instructor provides the code. Find the best deal which may include a rental copy or sharing a copy. Must be 4 th edition. No International Version. Copies available in the Physical and Mathematical Sciences (PAMS) & Pattee Libraries Iclicker (can use iclicker, iclicker+ and iclicker 2: (not web iclicker) need to have your “iclicker” correctly registered on Angel and in good working order (including good AAA batteries) by Wed May 15. A handout with the clicker policy will be posted. Simple Calculator: for homework assignments & lab activity calculations – won’t need for exams TEACHING ASSISTANT (TA): will hold office hours (TBA) COURSE FORMAT: Most days will include a combination of: Lectures (20-30 minutes) & Lab Activates (remaining 45-50 minutes) 1. PowerPoint slides: posted in advance by 7:30 PM previous day - bring copy to class 2. Lab Activity: posted in advance by 7:30 PM previous day – bring a copy to class 3. Complete Lab Activity Quiz (LAQ) before leave class 4. Lecture Quiz (LQ) after class – take to reinforce what was taught in class – do not count for points Note: You must attend the entire class in order to participate in the lab activities, including the quiz COURSE OVERVIEW: Welcome to Stat 200. In today’s world, we are seeing a major trend throughout both industry and government where decisions are data-driven. Statistics is a discipline dedicated to unraveling the mystery of making such decisions in the face of uncertainty. More precisely, statistics is the art and science of using sample data to make generalizations about populations. The objective of this course is to explore and apply basic statistical concepts and procedures that are used when analyzing data. What you should discover is that statistics is not just another math course. While you will be exposed to new terminology and concepts, much of the time you will use statistical software to solve problems that require quantitative solutions. You will not be inundated with repetitive calculations but instead will explore data with a context. Basic algebra is the only prerequisite. The second part of the course is more technical. Success in this course requires an ability to apply reasoning skills over memorization. Additionally you will need to integrate new material with previously-learned material. You are strongly encouraged to read newspapers where you can see how statistics can be applied to every-day life. COURSE GOALS: The two overarching goals are to: 1. explore the scientific method from a statistical perspective be able to identify questions, collect evidence, discover and apply tools needed to interpret the data, and communicate results. While you may never conduct a scientific study, it is still possible that you may encounter data or statistical results over the course of a career. 1 2. become good “statistical citizens be able to examine the information that you are inundated with, think critically about it, and use to make good decisions LEARNING GOALS: Be able to: 1. appropriately summarize data: both numerically and graphically 2. distinguish between population characteristics and sample information 3. understand the behavior of both distributions and sampling distributions 4. correctly apply procedures to make statistical inferences about population characteristics 5. identify the assumptions required for the validity of a statistical inference 6. recognize the strengths and limitations of both sampling methods and study designs 7. use computer software to find quantitative solutions when possible COURSE CALENDAR & WEEKLY AGENDA: Course Calendar: provides due dates for all exams, quizzes, & homework’s for entire semester Weekly Agenda: includes readings & homework problems for individual week COURSE WEB SITE (ANGEL): https://cms.psu.edu: On the Angel web site, you will find: Course syllabus, Course Calendar & Weekly Agenda’s (include assigned homework’s & readings) Lab activity quizzes, lecture quizzes, & homework’s (also available at a later time for review) Study guides for exams Power point slides (bring to lectures) & Lab activity handouts (bring to lab) Announcements & email correspondence (check Angel email daily during the week) COURSE AGREEMENT: This syllabus serves as an agreement that begins on the first day of class & ends upon completion of the final exam. With this course, you need to: accept that: 1. this is an in-residence course – don’t disappear for days/weeks expecting to make-up work 2. final grades will: not be changed for purposes of maintaining financial aid and/or academic progress. (also not curved or rounded) - based on mastery of material (not on attendance or negotiations) 3. individual extra credit will not be allowed 4. no use of cell phones during class 5. lab activities and LAQ’s must be completed during scheduled time (can prepare in advance) 6. all exams, including the final, must be taken at the scheduled time (can’t take early) 7. your iclicker must be: correctly registered & properly working (including new batteries) use Angel: 1. with an acceptable browser and wired connection 2. to send email; under the “Quick Message” option with polite and acceptable salutations and complete sentences 3. to regularly check: the grade book right after making a submission (can’t report problems days/weeks later) all posted materials and emails come to class: 1. at the scheduled start time, prepared to learn, willing to make the appropriate commitment, and being responsible for all provided information seek immediate help if having problems submit your own work – don’t copy from other classmates or have them make submissions for you sign up for exams and follow rules when using the computerized testing center instructor does not answer questions about grade calculations by email PENN STATE Expectations include: _____ practicing academic integrity owning individual responsibility for your academic progress maintaining social and personal responsibility respecting the dignity of everyone in the Penn State community 2 ACADEMIC INTEGRITY: Academic integrity includes a commitment to not engage in or tolerate acts of falsification, misrepresentation or deception. Such acts of dishonesty violate the fundamental ethical principles of the Penn State community and compromise the worth of work completed by others. This course will follow the guidelines found under Academic Integrity (Section 49-20) of the University Faculty Senate Policies for Students. DISABILITY POLICY: Penn State does not discriminate against qualified students with documented disabilities in its educational programs. If you have a disability-related need for modifications in the course, contact both the instructor and the Office for Disability Services (116 Boucke) at the beginning of the semester. Times allocated for homework’s, lab activity quizzes and lectures quizzes have already been adjusted to accommodate those who need additional time. COURSE REQUIREMENTS Exams: (3 exams will be given) –all count each will include 55 multiple choice questions take at computerized testing center on scheduled date & time - 75 minutes embedded information will be included in the exam some topics carry over from previous exams provided a piece of scratch paper at exam (bring your own pencil) – nothing else allowed Homework (HW): keep best 8 out of 9 scores* will be submitted inside Angel by a scheduled time and date (quiz format) – 30 minutes can take twice (best score will count) – will be open at noon and remain open on until 8: 30 AM – no extensions granted Lab Activity Quizzes (LAQ): keep best 21 out of 24 scores* taken inside Angel after completing each lab activity - 20 minutes consist of about 17-22 questions based on concepts covered in lectures and activities must take in 7 Life Sciences during scheduled lab time (one try) Final Exam: selectively comprehensive (about 55 questions) – 75 minutes must take on Mon June 24 same rules and procedures should be followed as found with exams Clicker Points: total will reported three times during the semester detailed handout of policy and procedures will be posted by Wed May 15 *Must check Angel Grade book immediately after submission to see if grade was recorded – not days later – Angel does not lose grades PreTest: take on your own after class on Mon May 13 (5 extra credit points for full completion) Posttest: Fri June 21 10 possible extra credit points ( one point for each correct answer) provides adjustments to off-set policies found with a large enrollment course. MAKE-UP POLICY: Lab Activity Quizzes & Homework Quizzes: no make-ups under most circumstances – the course is front-loaded with drops everyone will have to use one drop when sick, need to go to funeral, court, family issue. etc. extended illness/problems will be dealt with on an individual basis make-ups will not be granted to students who are not regularly participating in the class Exams: If you have University-related excuse or a religious conflict, you must talk to the instructor in person and provide documentation with appropriate letterhead and signatures prior to the exam for arrangements. Illnesses will be dealt with on an individual basis based. All exams will be available for review and practice after all students have submitted. 3 TABLE 2: SUMMARY OF COURSE REQUIREMENTS Requirement Exams Exam 1: Fri May 24 Exam 2: Fri June 7 Exam 3: Tues June 18 Lab Activity Quizzes (LAQ)** - keep best 21 of 24* Clicker Points (posted three times) Homework (HW)** - keep best 8 of 9 Final Total *Must attend entire class in order to participate **No Make-ups Pts/Effort 130 15 15 15 130 Overall Pts 390 Overall Percent (%) 39% 315 45 120 130 1000 31.5% 4. 5% 12% 13% 100% FINAL GRADES: based on 1000 points. point ranges for final grades are found in Table 3. do not expect the grades to be curved. grades will be posted in the Angel Grade Book as points (not percents) – use correct Angel settings TABLE 3: POINT BOUNDARIES FOR FINAL GRADES* Final Grade Minimum Points Needed A 930 points A900 points B+ 870 points B 830 points B800 points C+ 770 points C 700 points D 600 points F 0 points *You must achieve the listed point cut-off. No rounding will be used. For example, a point total of 929.99 will be assigned a grade of A- , while a point total of 699.99 will be assigned a grade of D. TABLE 4: CHAPTERS COVERED & CORRESPONDING TOPICS* Chapters Topics Chapter 1 (all sections) Overview of Statistics, Population, Sample, & Statistical Principles Chapter 2 (all sections) Descriptive Methods: (one quantitative) & (one categorical) variable Chapter 3: (all sections) Descriptive Methods: Regression & Correlation Chapter 4: Sections 4.1 – 4.4 Chi-square Procedure: 2X2 tables (also relative risk, etc) Chapter 5: Sections 5.2 Margin of error, polls, & corresponding confidence interval Chapter 6: Sections 6.1-6.3 Design of “Randomized Experiments” &” Observational Studies” Chapter 7: Sections 7.1- 7.2, 7.7 Probability Interpretation & Flawed Intuitive Judgments Chapter 8: Sections 8.1- 8.6 Random variables, Binomial distribution, & Normal distribution Chapter 9: Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.6, 9.9 Sampling Distributions Chapter 10: (all sections) Confidence Intervals: Population Proportion(s) Chapter 11: Sections 11.1 – 11.5 Confidence Intervals: Population Mean(s) Chapter 12: Sections (all sections) Hypothesis Tests: Population Proportion(s) Chapter 13: Sections 13.1 – 13.6 Hypotheses Tests: Population Mean(s) Chapter 14: Sections 14.3 Hypothesis test: Population Correlation (link to Population Slope test) Chapter 15: Sections 15.1 & 15.2 Chi-square Procedures: larger than 2X2 tables *Not all chapters will be covered in the order found in the textbook. 4 Stat 200 Section 102: Summer 2013 (Course Calendar) Wk 1 1 Day Mon May 13 Tues May 14 1 Wed May 15 1 Thurs May 16 1 Fri May 17 HW 1 submit by 8:30 AM Mon May 20 Lecture 4 (clicker 3) & Lab Activity 4 & LAQ4 Lecture 5 (clicker 4) & Lab Activity 5 & LAQ5 HW 2 submit by 8:30 AM 2 Tues May 21 2 Wed May 22 2 Thurs May 23 2 3 3 Fri May 24 Mon May 27 Tues May 28 3 Wed May 29 3 Thurs May 30 3 Fri May 31 4 Mon June 3 4 Tues June 4 4 Wed June 5 4 Thurs June 6 4 5 Fri June 7 Mon June 10 5 Tues June 11 5 Wed June 12 5 Thurs June 13 5 Fri June 14 Item Intro Lecture (take PreTest) Lecture 1 Lab Activity 1 & LAQ1 Lecture 2 (clicker 1) & Lab Activity 2 & LAQ2 Lecture 3 (clicker 2) & Lab Activity 3 & LAQ3 Lecture 6 (clicker 5) & Lab Activity 6 & LAQ6 Lecture 7 (clicker 6) & Lab Activity 7 & LAQ7 HW 3 submit by 8:30 AM Lab Activity 8 & LAQ8 Exam 1 No Class Lecture 8 (clicker 7) & Lab Activity 9 & LAQ9 Lecture 9 (clicker 8) & Lab Activity 10 & LAQ10 HW 4 submit by 8:30 AM Lecture 10 (clicker 9) & Lab Activity 11 & LAQ11 Lecture 11 (clicker 10) & Lab Activity 12 & LAQ12 HW 5 submit by 8:30 AM Lecture 12 (clicker 11) & Lab Activity 13 & LAQ13 Lecture 13 (clicker 12) & Lab Activity 14 & LAQ14 Lecture 14 (clicker 13) & Lab Activity 15 & LAQ15 HW 6 submit by 8:30 AM Lab Activity 16 & LAQ16 Exam 2 Lecture 15 (clicker 14) & Lab Activity 17 & LAQ17 Lecture 16 (clicker 15) & Lab Activity 18 & LAQ18 HW 7 submit by 8:30 AM Lecture 17 (clicker 16) & Lab Activity 19 & LAQ19 Lecture 18 (clicker 17) & Lab Activity 20 & LAQ20 Lab Activity 21 & LAQ21 Continued: 5 Mon June 17 HW8 submit by 8:30 AM 6 Tues June 18 Lecture 19 (clicker 18) & Lab Activity 22 & LAQ22 Exam 3 6 Wed June 19 6 Thurs June 20 6 7 Fri June 21 Mon June 24 6 Lecture 20 (clicker 19) & Lab Activity 23 & LAQ23 Lecture 21 (clicker 20) HW9 submit by 8:30 AM Lab Activity 24 & LAQ24 Post Test (pull things together) Final Exam (Selectively comprehensive): 6