THE 2010 POPULATION AND
HOUSING CENSUS OF
MONGOLIA
Presenter: Mr. Amarbal Avirmed,
Head of Population and housing census bureau , NSO
4 December 2013
CONTENTS
• Quick facts about Mongolia
• The 2010 Population and Housing
Census of Mongolia
• Data dissemination techniques
• Post enumeration survey - 2010
• Some main findings
QUICK FACTS ABOUT MONGOLIA
Indicators
Indicators
Territory
1564.1k
Population*
2867.7k
Rate of natural
increase
Household
GDP per capita**
19.7
768.3k
USD 3435.0
Adult literacy rate
97.8
Male
98.0
Female
97.5
Life expectancy
68.1
Male
64.9
Female
74.3
HDI**
0.778
* Administrative record in 2012
** Preliminary estimates Source: Statistical yearbook 2012
HISTORY OF CENSUSES IN MONGOLIA
Mongol Empire
• Numerous times of census and counting
• In 1245
• In 1247
Manchu
Conquest of
Mongolia
• Population counting 221 times
• Mid 1700s
• In 1758; In 1908
20th and 21st
centuries
• 10 times of census
• In 1918; 1935; 1944; 1956; 1963; 1979;
1989; 2000; 2010
CENSUSES DURING THE 1700S
Tusheet Khan aimag
1765-1908
77 times
Major censuses in
1836 and 1858
Setsen Khan aimag
1773-1908
144 times
Major censuses in
1836 and 1858
Zasagt Khan aimag
Records
N/A
Sain Noyon aimag
Records
N/A
POPULATION OF MONGOLIA, (in thousands)
Reached two million in 1988.
Average annual population
growth rate was 2.9 during
these years, highest in the
20th century.
Reached one million in 1962.
Average annual
population growth rate
was 0.3 during war
years, lowest in the
20th century.
In the 20th century,
population of
Mongolia increased
3.7 times.
POPULATION OF MONGOLIA, 2010
Total Population
2 754 685
Resident Population in Mongolia
In Abroad
2 647 545
107 140
Mongolian
Citizens
2 631 117
Foreign
Citizens
Stateless
Persons
16 320
108
POPULATION OF MONGOLIA AND AVERAGE
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE, BY CENSUS YEARS
Average annual growth rate
Population
FEATURES OF THE 2010 PHC
• Implementation of Law on PHC
o Secured funding and responsibilities of
stakeholders;
• Establishment of GIS and geo-database;
• Household waypoint collected without use of GPS
devices;
• Census for Mongolians living abroad via
Internet and main questionnaire from
households in Mongolia;
DATA COLLECTION OF THE 2010 PHC
• Canvassing method – one week (Nov 11-17,
2010)
• Successful field operation ensured :
o Massive communication campaign;
o Hired interpreters for enumerating foreigners
 Translated census questionnaire (English, Russian,
Chinese, French, Spanish, Korean);
o Extended e-enumeration period for Mongolians
living abroad;
• Household waypoints collected without use of
GPS devices.
DISSEMINATION CHANNELS
Web-based
Population Atlas
Internet
Publication
Workshops
and seminars
CD with all
publications ,
Web-GIS Census
Database
MONSTAT
application
DVD with
documentary
movie
11
DATA DISSEMINATION
• Main results launched after 6 months;
• National report (MNG and ENG) published after
one year;
• 14 series of census monographs (MNG and ENG)
published in two years;
• 22 provincial level reports published in two years.
• Development of new techniques and technologies:
o Web-based GIS database;
o Web-based population atlas;
o Monstat application of printed publications available on
App Store;
Census monographs – 14 series
Provincial reports – 22 series
Web-based ArcGIS Census Database
Shown on this map: The percentage of
population aged 30-34 in Ulaanbaatar
area with bachelor degree education.
Web-based ArcGIS Census Database
Shown on this map: Waypoints of households that live in gers
and have drinking water source from river, springs and without
any source of electricity of Binder soum, Khentii provice.
Web-based Population Atlas:
65 indicators are available at
provincial and lower level.
Post enumeration
survey - 2010
Administrative units of Mongolia, 2010
Aimag, capital
city (province)
/22/
Aimag
/21/
Capital city
/1/
Soum, district
(district)
/338/
Soum
/329/
District
/9/
Bagh, khoroo
(county)
/1700/
Bagh
/1568/
Khoroo
/132/
18
Post enumeration survey of 2010
Census
enumeration
period
PES
enumeration
period
2010.11.11-17
2010.11.19-21
• One percent of total
Sample frame
population .
19
Post enumeration survey of 2010
• Estimate coverage error
Objectives
• Estimate content errors
Organization • Provincial census committees
carried-out the PES as according to
guidelines and methodology provided
by the NSO.
• Enumerators and supervisors were
assigned for different enumeration
areas for the PES.
•The main objectives of the PES were
to evaluate coverage and age
distribution errors.
20
PES questionnaire - 2010
2010 PES questionnaire
-Front page
- Administrative unit
- Enumerator number
- Questionnaire form number
- Type of household
- Household address
- Number of persons residing abroad for over 6
months (main indicators)
Population questionnaire
- Last name, first name
- Relationship to head of the household
- Sex
- Age
- Residency status
- Duration of residency
- Administrative unit in which the person was
enumerated during the census
21
Challenges and further activities
PES
•
•
•
•
Planning
Sampling method
PES enumeration period
Technical support - national staff and
sub national staff
• PES questionnaire
Census Evaluation
Multiple Sources of Data
Challenges and further activities
For the 2015 Intercensal population
survey and 2020 Census;
Register based;
Combination of the internet and post; and
Use of PDAs and Tablet PCs.
• Conduct of the housing census when preparing
the household listing;
• Exploration of the possibility of using the satellite
images; and
• Quality control in the event of data collection
through advanced technology.
Some main findings
POPULATION AGED 15-54 REPRESENT 65 PERCENT
70+
Male
65-69
Female
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
64.7%
64.3%
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
200 000
100 000
0
100 000
Fertility has increased between 2005-2010
200 000
POPULATION SEX RATIO, BY AGE GROUPS, 2000, 2010
105.0
100.0
95.0
90.0
85.0
80.0
2000
75.0
2010
70.0
65.0
60.0
0-4
5-9
10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69
Difference between male and female life expectancy at birth was
5.7 years in 2000, however, it has increased to 7.3 years in 2010.
70+
SEX RATIO OF URBAN AND RURAL POPULATION, BY
AGE GROUPS, 2000, 2010
Urban
Rural
110.0
140.0
130.0
100.0
2000
90.0
120.0
2010
110.0
2010
100.0
80.0
2000
90.0
70.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
60.0
50.0
50.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Sex ratio of urban population reached 94.4 in 2010, down by 1.2 pp
since 2000, whereas, sex ratio of rural population reached 108, up by
5.4 pp.
Provinces
PROVINCIAL
POPULATION
CHANGES
DRAMATICALLY
DUE TO
MIGRATION
Total
Arkhangai
Bayan-Ulgii
Bayankhongor
Bulgan
Gobi-Altai
Dornogobi
Dornod
Dundgobi
Zavkhan
Uvurkhangai
Umnugobi
Sukhbaatar
Selenge
Tuv
Uvs
Khovd
Khuvsgul
Khentii
Darkhan-Uul
Ulaanbaatar
Orkhon
Gobisumber
Annual growth rate
1979-1989 1989-2000 2000-2010
116.1
2.51
1.37
1.46
87.1
0.86
1.27
-1.17
96.7
2.46
0.02
-0.30
89.7
1.70
1.17
-0.93
86.9
2.08
1.59
-1.20
84.2
1.17
0.13
-1.44
115.9
3.22
-1.10
1.44
92.3
3.31
-0.66
-0.70
75.4
2.41
0.40
-2.24
72.8
1.03
0.15
-2.48
90.9
1.59
1.31
-0.82
130.9
2.57
0.90
2.80
91.4
1.65
0.91
-0.78
97.6
3.17
1.27
-0.22
85.8
3.28
-0.07
-1.29
81.4
1.55
0.64
-1.69
88.5
2.04
1.15
-1.04
96.5
1.41
1.43
-0.32
92.8
3.55
-0.36
-0.66
113.6
6.77
-0.26
1.24
163.1
3.61
3.01
5.74
126.8
13.54
2.23
2.44
108.3
0.75
1989/1979 2000/1989 2010/2000
128.2
109.0
127.5
118.4
122.9
112.4
137.2
138.5
126.9
110.7
117.1
128.9
117.8
136.7
125.3
116.7
122.3
115.1
141.8
192.4
142.6
356.0
-
116.1
114.9
100.2
113.7
119.0
101.4
88.6
93.6
104.5
101.7
115.4
110.4
110.5
114.9
99.2
107.2
113.4
116.9
96.1
97.1
138.6
127.4
-
POPULATION LITERACY HAS INCREASED 46.8
TIMES SINCE 1921
92.7
96.5
97.8
98.3
81.5
70.5
71.5
46.8
times
more
27.3
2.1
7.4
1921 1935 1944 1956 1963 1969 1979 1989 2000 2010
POPULATION WITH HIGHER EDUCATION AGED 20
AND ABOVE, BY SEX, 1963-2010
30.0
Male
Эрэгтэй
27.4
Female
Эмэгтэй
25.0
20.0
20.1
15.0
12.1
9.4
10.0
11.1
5.4
5.0
0.0
11.1
8.8
3.4
4.8
1.7
1.0
1963
1969
1979
1989
2000
2010
USE OF INTERNET AND MOBILE PHONE AMONG
POPULATION AGED 6 AND ABOVE
Population aged 6 and above
2 315 698
Mobile phone users
1 714 645
(74 %)
Internet users
709 625
(30.6 %)
70+
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
6-9
Male
-200 000
Population
-100 000
Mobile users
Female
100 000
200 000
Internet users
HOUSEHOLDS WITHOUT ANY SOURCE OF
ELECTRICITY, PERCENTAGE
65.9
2000
2010
32.7
3.3
Бүгд
Total
7.7
5.4
1.1
Хот
Urban
Хөдөө
Rural
THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION!
National Statistical Office of Mongolia
www.nso.mn
www.1212.mn
धन्यवाद
terima kasih
Ташаккур
Рахмат!
THANK YOU …
ขอขอบคุณคุณ
cảm ơn bạn
谢谢
Kaadinchhey La
танд баярлалаа
Mr. Thomas Henri Michel Spoonrenberg