13 February 2015, University of Sheffield Higher education research: global, national local? Simon Marginson UCL Institute of Education Global, national and local agency: the three dimensions of higher • Higher education iseducation formed and regulated in national (and also in Europe pan-national regional) systems • Local individual and institutional agency is salient • Global flows, systems and patterns, e.g. in research science, policy borrowing, are increasingly obvious national global local 0 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 GTER World and North America/Western Europe, 1970-2012 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 World North America and Western Europe Gross Tertiary Enrolment Ratio 1995/2011 Selected OECD and European systems, UNESCO Institute for Statistics data 2014 South Korea USA Canada Slovenia Australia Spain New Zealand Iceland Ukraine Lithuania Netherlands Sweden Poland Norway Ireland Belgium Latvia Czech Republic Italy UK Turkey Japan Bulgaria Croa a Germany Greece 0 20 40 60 2011 1995 80 100 120 Gross Tertiary Enrolment Ratio 1995/2011 World regions, UNESCO Institute for Statistics data 2014 77 North America & Western Europe 68 Central & Eastern Europe 42 La n America & Carribean 30 East Asia & Pacific 24 Central Asia 23 Arab States 18 South & West Asia 8 Sub-Saharan Africa 30 WORLD 0 10 20 1995 30 40 2011 50 60 70 80 90 The global dimension: 1. Global systems (e.g. research knowledge, student mobility) not controlled by any one nation and shaping all national HE systems to some extent 2. Cross-border relations between national systems that also bring inner changes (e.g. policy borrowing) Components of a national innovation system Applied research and product development in national economy New research ideas in national science Global research knowledge system 51 countries with 1000 science papers a yearUS National Science Foundation data for 2011 ANGLOSPHERE EUROPE EU NATIONS EUROPE NON-EU ASIA LATIN AMERICA Australia Austria Italy Croatia* China Argentina Canada Belgium Netherlands Norway India Brazil N. Zealand Czech Rep. Poland Russia Japan Chile* UK Denmark Portugal* Serbia* Malaysia* Mexico USA Finland Romania* Switzerland Pakistan* M.EAST /AF France Slovakia Turkey Singapore Iran Germany Slovenia* Ukraine South Korea Israel Greece Sweden Taiwan Saudi Arab.* Hungary Spain Thailand* Sth. Africa Ireland Sweden Egypt Tunisia* * Reached 1000 papers since 1997 (11 out of 51 nations) Journal papers published per year, 1997-2011, USA, China & UK 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 USA 2002 2003 China 2004 2005 UK 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 4.5 million foreign tertiary students, 2012: share of on-shore world market by nation (OECD data) other non-OECD, 17% USA, 16% other OECD, 8% UK, 13% Belgium, 1% Switzerland, 1% Korea, 1% Netherlands, 1% South Africa, 2% Australia, 6% Austria, 2% Italy, 2% Germany, 6% New Zealand, 2% Russia, 4% China, 2% Spain, 2% France, 6% Japan, 3% Canada, 5% Students enrolled outside their country of citizenship, millions, 19752012 OECD data, 2014 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 4.5 4.1 3.0 2.1 1.7 0.8 1975 1.1 1.1 1980 1985 1.3 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 Percentage 25-34 year olds with degrees, 2012 OECD data 2014. Data for Tertiary type B not available for all countries Barriers to mobility: Advantage held by 2034 year olds with tertiary-educated parents, 2012 For example in Poland, a 20-34 year old person with at least one tertiary-educated parent is 9.5 times as likely to participate in tertiary education, as a person whose parents had less than upper secondary education. Data: OECD Poland Italy USA England (UK) N. Ireland (UK) France Flanders (Belgium) Japan Germany Austria Estonia Australia Spain Ireland Denmark Netherlands Russia Canada Sweden Norway Finland South Korea 9.5 9.5 6.8 6.3 6.1 6 5.7 5.1 5.1 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.3 3 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.3 2 1.4 1.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Top ten school systems OECD PISA 2012 (mean student scores, East Asian education systems in red) Reading Mathematics Science Shanghai China 570 Shanghai China 613 Shanghai China 580 Hong Kong SAR 545 Singapore 573 Hong Kong SAR 555 Singapore 542 Hong Kong SAR 561 Singapore 551 Japan 538 Taiwan 560 Japan 547 South Korea 536 South Korea 554 Finland 545 Finland 524 Macao SAR 538 Estonia 541 Taiwan 523 Japan 536 South Korea 538 Canada 523 Liechtenstein 535 Vietnam 528 Ireland 523 Switzerland 531 Poland 526 Poland 518 Netherlands 523 Liechtenstein 525 Vietnam 508 Vietnam 511 Canada 525 UK 499 UK 494 UK 514 USA 498 USA 481 USA 497 PISA performance at top and bottom One kind of civilisation: The Maya Chichen Itza Observatory, Chichen Itza Uxmal Palenque Another kind of civilisation things change The higher education world: Global, national, local national global local