Chapter 1 and Introduction Finance 4328 – Moore International Financial Management FINANCE 4328 - Moore Welcome Agenda Administrative Material Introduction and Roll Call Course Syllabus Index Cards with student details Course Overview and Chapter 1 Material To provide a foundation in international finance and an understanding of the basic problems faced by multinational corporations and international investors – Exchange Rate Determination – Exchange Rate Risk Measurement – Exchange Rate Risk Management Organization of the course FX Market Start with an overview of the systems of exchange rates - fixed versus floating Review the details of the foreign exchange market Parity conditions - Interest rate parity and Purchasing power parity Instruments available on the FX markets – forwards, options, futures, swaps Multinational corporations and their exposure to foreign currency risk Nature of risks Measurement of risks Management of risks -1- Chapter 1 and Introduction Finance 4328 – Moore Foundation Questions (Basic Issues) • Exchange Rate Determination – – What is an exchange rate? How does the exchange rate change? • Exchange Rate Risk Measurement – Why do we care about changing exchange rates? • Exchange Rate Risk Management – What can we do to manage our exchange rate risk? • Multinational Finance – – How does the above affect capital budgeting? How does the above affect individual investment decisions? What is the goal of the corporation? Maximize Shareholder Wealth or Stock Price. How does the corporation achieve this goal? Special Complications Arising In International Finance 1) Exchange Rate Risk. 2) Country or Political Risk. 3) Cultural Differences. What type of firm is affected by the international environment. 1) Large MNC’s 2) Small importers and exporters 3) What about purely domestic firms? -2- Chapter 1 and Introduction Finance 4328 – Moore Important concepts from financial theory. 1) Arbitrage. 2) Market Efficiency. – Weak – Semi-Strong – Strong 3) Capital Asset Pricing Model and Systematic Risk. What is the basis for international trade? Comparative advantage. (Think of Outsourcing Examples) “What is prudence in the conduct of every private family can scarce be folly in that of a great kingdom. If a foreign country can supply us with a commodity cheaper than we ourselves can make it, better buy it of them with some part of the produce of our own industry employed in a way in which we have some advantage.” – Adam Smith (1776) Japan/US example Suppose that, in the U.S., one worker can produce 1 ton of food or 1 ton of steel per year. There are 100 million workers. In Japan, one worker can produce 2 tons of food or 4 tons of steel. There are 50 million workers. Note that in this example Japan is more efficient than the U.S. in producing either good. Japan has an absolute advantage. So, the U.S. "can't compete"!? Relative price of opportunity cost per ton of output US Japan Food 1 unit food for food 2 Steel 1 unit steel for food .5 -3- Chapter 1 and Introduction Finance 4328 – Moore Without Trade Pattern of Employment US Japan Food 50 25 Steel 50 25 Output, Millions of Tons US Japan Food 50 = 50*1 50 = 25*2 Steel 50 = 50*1 100 = 25*4 With Trade Pattern of Employment US Japan Food 90 10 Steel 10 40 Output, Millions of Tons US Japan Food 90 = 90*1 20 = 10*2 Steel 10 = 10*1 160 = 40*4 -4- Chapter 1 and Introduction Finance 4328 – Moore Exchange rate is 1.5 tons of steel/food Japan trades 60 tons of steel for food Pattern of Employment US Japan Food 90 – 40 = 60 20+40 = 60 Steel 10 + 60 = 70 160 – 60 = 100 Do other possible exchange rates exist which make both partners better off? How does trade increase total welfare? Gains to trade If each country exports its cheaper to produce good to the other country, then it will lead to increased prices for each country's good and this results in pure exchange gain. In this example we assumed constant returns to scale, if we assume increasing returns to scale then we would get an even better result. Why hasn't International Trade reached the comparative advantage model? Countries are not specialists At least two factors of productions moves freely and directly between countries (capital and technology) Trade is determined partly by controlled pricing in a few markets Comparative advantages change over time Other assumptions don't hold ( above) -5- Chapter 1 and Introduction Finance 4328 – Moore The Growth and prosperity of MNC's The imperfections in the assumptions of the theory of comparative are the driving forces behind the prosperity of the MNC. MNC's strive to take advantage of these imperfections in the theoretical perfect world of free trade and the factors of production. Each violation of the assumptions leads to an opportunity for the growth or start of a multinational firm. The MNC takes advantage of these imperfections to maximize both shareholder and total corporate wealth. -6-