Avaluació experimental de la millora de l’aprenentatge en estadística Pilar Muñoz, José-Antonio González, Erik Cobo, Lluis Jover JORNADES D’INNOVACIÓ DOCENT A LA UPC: Presentació de resultats dels projectes MQD ICE 28/06/07 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Outline 1. Aims and motivation 2. Model & subjects 3. Results 4. Conclusions and future work 2 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Outline 1. Aims and Motivation 2. Model & subjects 3. Results 4. Conclusions and future work 3 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Motivation • To improve student learning • To provide to students an automatic IT which generates and solves individual exercises • To apply statistical theory to formally measure its effects • To employ real examples in teaching 4 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Learning Model 5 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Factors to be efficient in the teaching process Training Practice of methods and techniques with realistic cases Instant feedback for students Feedback for teachers Immediate marking of work Evaluation of knowledge gained Evaluation of effort To monitor progress (globally or individually) 6 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD The tool: e-status (1) • Learning by practicing: – The exercise can be repeated – Initial data are always different • Immediate feedback providing: – Right answer – Error reason (if predicted) • Students’ assessment: – Any criteria (best answer, average, …) • Students’ follow up: – Both individual data and group summaries • Broad range of problems: based on R • Web-based tool 7 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD The tool: e-status (2) More information on e-status: Gonzalez & Muñoz (2006) (CAEE, 14(2): 151-159) 8 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD How e-status looks Wording Question Answer Grading 9 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD e-status previous experience • Experience since 2003: – Four schools: • Computer Science • Maths and Stat • Medicine • Dentistry – About 10 subjects – More than 2000 students – About 25000 executions • High positive correlation between e-status use and exam performance… but …experience is not experiment 10 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Outline 1. Aims and Motivation 2. Model & subjects 3. Results 4. Conclusions and future work 11 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Setting • Biostatistics course in the Dentistry School of the University of Barcelona • Prior experience in 2004/2005 academic course • Duration of the stat subject: 35 hours • Teachers: – theoretical classes: 1 – lab groups: 3 • Experiment: 2005/2006 year (fall) • Outcome: written final examination 12 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Operation 13 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Two “topics” Stat course content was divided in two ‘balanced’ topics A B • Descriptive statistics and graphical representation • Probabilities with Normal distribution • Agreement • Interval estimation of proportion and mean • Inference about one proportion • Assessment of sample size • Comparison of two means • Inference about one mean • Comparison of two proportions • Goodness of fit chi-square Every student had access to e-status Students were randomly allocated to group 1 or 2 Each group only had access to e-status exercises on only one topic Final exam contained questions about both topics A and B 14 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Outcome Exam Problems in the practical exam Topic e11 e12 e21 e22 e31 e32 A B Score Yt A i Score Yt B i 15 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Participants & allocation • All students (N =121) enrolled in the course • Random assignment to 1 or 2 balanced with respect to Lab group and new/old profile • Teacher was not involved in randomization neither data analysis • Final exam evaluator was masked to allocation group 16 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Hypothesis Yt j i stands for the exam performance: • by student i • assigned to intervention, t=1, 2 • in topic j=A, B Hypothesis: If e-status is effective, students in group 1 (2) trained with e-status exercises in topic A (B) should get better exam results in topic A (B) 17 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Statistical model Ytji = µ + t + πj + Φi + ij • • • • t: fixed effect of intervention t=1, 2 πj: fixed effect of exam topic j=A, B Φi: random effect of student i ij: measure error assessing performance in student i for question j Assumptions: • Access to e-status topic A(B) has no effect on exam topic B(A). • Error independence between students 18 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Statistical analysis Let D1 i (D2 i) be the difference of scores in part A and B for the student i receiving intervention 1(2): D1i = Y1Ai – Y1Bi = (µ + τ1 + πA + Φi + iA)-(µ + πB + Φi + iB) = τ1 + πA - πB+ iA- iB D2i = Y2Ai – Y2Bi = (µ + πA + Φi + iA)-(µ + τ2 + πB + Φi + iB) = - τ2 +πA -πB+ iA- iB As E(D1i)= τ1 + πA - πB E(D2i)= -τ2 + πA - πB V(Dji)= V(iA- iB) = 2σ2ε Then ED1 D2 1 2 VD1 D2 2 n 2 n 4 n 2 2 2 50 students per group provide 80% power to highlight an effect equal to 0.7x σ (α=0.05) 19 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Outline 1. Aims and Motivation 2. Model & subjects 3. Results 4. Conclusions and future work 20 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Main results 21 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Linear Mixed-Effects Model The random model, fitted with R, replicated the results SΦ = 2.81 (CI95%: 2.43 to 3.24) Sε = 1.48 (CI95%: 1.31 to 1.68) 3 2 2 Quantiles of standard normal Standardized residuals 1 0 1 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 -3 2 4 Fitted values 6 8 -2 -1 0 1 2 Standardized residuals 22 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Outline 1. Aims and Motivation 2. Model & subjects 3. Results 4. Conclusions and future work 23 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Conclusions +1. It is feasible to evaluate interventions in teaching with formal experiments Random allocation Masked evaluation Without interfering in course development +2. e-status improves student exam performance In an exam over 10 points, e-status improves performance by 0.96 points (CI95%: 0.20, 1.72) 24 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Interpretation (1) What did the students do when they had no access to e-status? That is, what is the reference for the intervention? a) Did they not study statistics at all? b) Did they spend their time on another kinds of exercises? If a, the estimated e-status effect is mediated by an increase in the time spent by the student to study. If b, e-status increases learning efficiency, since it improves the amount of learning with respect to the alternative method. 25 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Interpretation (3) If e-status influences advanced capabilities, such as motivation or statistical reasoning, there may be some contamination between interventions A and B: that is, intervention 1 (2) employing e-status on set A (B) would have some learning effect τ‘1 (τ‘2) on set B (A), and then E(D1 D2 ) = (τ1 + τ2 ) – (τ‘1 + τ‘2 ) = (τ1 - τ‘1) + (τ2 - τ‘2 ) If so, this design estimates e-status direct effect minus delayed, cross-over, effects If τ‘ positive, this design underestimates overall effects on learning 26 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Future work 1. Repeat the randomized experiment many times in many courses You are invited to do it! 2. Also you are invited: - to use it in your teaching work http://key.upc.es/estatus 3. To share your ideas with us pilar.munyoz@upc.edu, jose.a.gonzalez@upc.edu, erik.cobo@upc.edu 27 PRESENTACIÓ DE RESULTATS MQD Thanks for your attention Q&A 28