Research Methods in Behavioural Ecology Hypotheses, models, predictions, & theories • Principles are logical construction – Hypotheses are too, but they’re more tentative • Model: A formalized representation of a system – Can be ‘hypothetical’ – Mathematical, computational, physical • Prediction: A logical outcome of a model or hypothesis that can be tested against data • Studies: Attempts to disprove hypotheses • Theory: A broadly general body of scientific understanding Correlation and Causation • What is correlation? 3 • Height and traffic 2.8 tickets 2.6 • Phones and 2.4 longevity 2.2 • Confounding 2 variables 1.8 – Age, economic development – Drawing time 1.6 1.4 -4 -2 0 2 4 The logic of experiments • Manipulation of independent variable • Random assignment • Control groups • Solves the confound problem – Drawing time • Barn swallows Natural Experiments • “Nature” changes independent variable of interests From Gil da Costa et al. 2002 –E.g., disasters, human interference • Harpy eagle calls and howler monkeys http://www.dkimages.com/discover/previews/1453/11181132.JPG The Phenotypic Approach • The most common approach • “…we assume that studies at the level of the phenotype are sufficient for identifying the selective pressures that exert themselves on the organism…” Phenotypic: Optimization I • Optimality models – Assumption: Behavior serves to maximize some currency of fitness • Energy intake, access to eggs, etc. – Economic logic • Behavioral choices incur fitness costs and benefits; find maximum benefit – cost • Allow us to predict what animals should do if they are perfectly adapted to their environments Phenotypic: Optimization II • But… – Tradeoffs and constraints limit ‘perfectability’ – Our models should recognize that optimization is maximization under constraints – Proximately, animals behave to achieve “objective function” • Match of “cost function” to “objective function” • What happens when the environment changes? • An example of optimality thinking Phenotypic: Game Theory • Employed when the cost function is affected by the strategy played by others in the population – E..g, Which side to drive on, the sex ratio game • All players make adaptive choice • Population level vs. individual fitness – The evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS) cannot be invaded by one or a small group of actors playing an alternative strategy http://www.abc.net.au/reslib/200707/r162700_598492.jpg The Hawk-Dove Game • Resource value = V • Two strategies: Hawk & Dove – Hawks attack everyone • 50% chance of winning against hawk, 100% against dove • Cost of losing a fight = L – Doves display to doves, flee from hawks • 50% chance of winning against dove, 0% against hawk, but no cost of fighting • Cost of display = D Payoff to Against Hawk Against Dove Hawk (V-I)/2 V Dove 0 V/2 - D The Hawk-Dove Game Payoff to Hawk Dove Against Hawk (V-I)/2 0 Against Dove V V/2 - D • Suppose V = 50, L = 100, D = 10 Payoff to Hawk Dove Against Hawk -25 0 Against Dove +50 +15 • With these parameters, it’s good to be the rare phenotype • A “Mixed ESS” • This logic can explain the persistence of behavioral variability • If V > L, hawk is usually a pure ESS Proxies of Fitness • The phenotypic approach assumes equivalent demographic & genotypic fitness • Proxies of demographic fitness • Do these actually relate to fitness? – E.g, in the case of chicks in the nest, is there assurance of paternity? Phenotypic engineering • The logic of engineered “mutation” • Ablation experiments – Muting Scott’s seaside sparrows • Can show current stabilizing, neutral, or directional selection – How? – What about selection in the past? • Why might a trait be expressed at a suboptimal level? Limits to the Phenotypic Approach • Assumption of ‘state of adaptedness’ – What if environments are rapidly changing? • Assumption of single locus, haploid inheritance – What about heterozygote advantage? • Could coexistence of three “malaria” types be explained from phenotypic observations? • Assumption of unconstrained adaptation – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=enrLSfxTqZ 0&feature=related The Genetic Approach • Monogenic determinism of behavior is rare – for gene in fruit flies • Polygenic determinism is predominant – Meshing gene / phenotype relationships to defined traits • Variable expression of complex behavioral traits is attributable to variation in genes, the environment, and epigenetic factors Sokolowski 2001, Nat Rev. Quantitative genetics of behavior • Comparing populations – Common garden experiments • Controlling for simple maternal effects • Frightened fish – Transplant experiments • Looking for maternal effects – Crossing experiments Brown et al. 2007 BES Quantitative genetics of behavior II • Artificial selection –Continuous traits –Generally, diversifying selection –What do these kinds of experiments tell us? • What can be learned from cloning? Knockouts? The Comparative Approach • Comparing traits among species • Without phylogeny – Relate behavior to ecological factors across spp. or populations • E.g., Eggshell removal – Problems • Causation? • “Cherry picking” examples that support hypotheses • Confounds, like size, phylogeny Allometry • Body size is an important confound in comparative studies • Scaling one body part against another is tricky • Allometry is the study of the relationship between body measurements • log(Y)= b log (X) + log (a) • Slope (b) > 1 means Y increases faster than X – “positive allometry” • Comparing residuals is informative Controlling for phylogeny • Phylogenetic inertia • Homoplasy and homology • Determining ancestral characters –Maximum parsimony • Problem of equal parsimony Method of Independent Contrasts • Looks for relationship between two continuous variables while controlling for phylogeny –Examples • Assumes random change, independent changes in different branches Is evolution of x correlated with evolution of y (and if so, how)? Method of Maximum Likelihood • Discrete variables – E.g., duetting and monogamy • 1st model: State changes in two variables are independent (a) • 2nd model: State changes are interdependent (b) • Can find most likely direction, order