Chapter Ten Making Capital Investment Decisions © 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 10.1 Key Concepts and Skills Understand how to determine the relevant cash flows for various types of proposed investments Be able to compute the CCA tax shield Understand the various methods for computing operating cash flow Understand how to analyze different capital budgeting decisions 10.2 Relevant Cash Flows 10.1 The cash flows that should be included in a capital budgeting analysis are those that will only occur (or not occur) if the project is accepted These cash flows are called incremental cash flows The stand-alone principle allows us to analyze each project in isolation from the firm simply by focusing on incremental cash flows 10.3 Asking the Right Question You should always ask yourself “Will this cash flow occur (or not occur) ONLY if we accept the project?” If the answer is “yes”, it should be included in the analysis because it is incremental If the answer is “no”, it should not be included in the analysis because it will occur anyway If the answer is “part of it”, then we should include the part that occurs (or does not occur) because of the project 10.4 Common Types of Cash Flows 10.2 Sunk costs – costs that have been incurred in the past (& thus must be excluded from the current decision) Example: A firm spent $1 million on R & D before making the decision to proceed with a project. Should the $1 million be included as part of the cost of the project? Answer: No – it is a sunk cost Opportunity costs – cost of foregone opportunities Example – you purchased an asset many years ago for a nominal sum. You now want to use that asset in a current project. How much do you charge to the project, since you already own the asset? Answer: You must charge the project with the amount you could obtain by selling the asset to another user. 10.5 Common Types of Cash Flows 10.2 Side effects Positive side effects – benefits to other projects Example: HP printers & the cost of consumables Negative side effects – costs to other projects Issue of erosion or cannibalism Be sure to only include erosion due to the new project. Erosion can also occur due to competition from other firms. Example: Air Canada – Tango versus the mainline fleet Changes in net working capital (NWC) Increases in NWC are a cost of the project Decreases in NWC are a benefit of the project NWC often increases initially and then decreases at the end of the project’s life 10.6 Common Types of Cash Flows 10.2 Financing costs Are never included in the cash flows of the project Financing costs are captured in the discount rate Inflation The nominal interest rate includes an inflation component (remember the Fisher Equation). Thus the discount rate captures expected future inflation. Therefore, project cash flows should also include the effects of inflation Capital Cost Allowance (CCA) CCA (depreciation for tax purposes) creates a beneficial tax shield A tax shield is the amount of tax that would have been paid, had the project not been undertaken 10.7 More on NWC 10.4 Why do we have to consider changes in NWC separately? An investment in current assets is exactly the same as an investment in a fixed asset (but it is harder to visualize) An increase in NWC requires either: An increase in Current Assets (a use of cash) A reduction in Current Liabilities (a use of cash) What might cause Current Assets to rise? GAAP requires that sales be recorded on the income statement when made, not when cash is received (The sale is recorded as an Account Receivable on the Balance Sheet) What might cause Current Liabilities to fall? Current Liabilities will go down when we reduce a Current Liability, such as an account payable Finally, we have to buy inventory to support sales although we haven’t collected cash yet (Both inventory (C/A) and accounts payable (C/L) rise) 10.8 Capital Cost Allowance (CCA) CCA is depreciation for tax purposes The depreciation expense used for capital budgeting should be calculated according to the CCA schedule dictated by the tax code (Refer to Slide #40, Chapter 2 for a list of the various CCA classes and rates) Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense. It is only relevant because it reduces taxes otherwise payable. The amount of tax reduction due to depreciation is called a tax shield The depreciation tax shield = DTC D = depreciation expense TC = corporation’s marginal tax rate 10.9 Computing Depreciation Depreciation can be calculated using two basic methods Declining Balance Method (Most Common) Multiply the undepreciated capital cost (UCC) by the CCA rate (from the Tax Act or Slide #40, Chapter 2) Half-year rule (can only deduct 50% of the usual amount in the year of acquisition of the asset) Can use PV of CCA Tax Shield Formula (see next page) Straight-line depreciation Very few assets are depreciated straight-line for tax purposes Depreciation = (Initial cost – salvage) / number of years 10.10 PV of Tax Shield from CCA PV Tax Shield from CCA dTc 1 0.5k UCC d k 1 k Calculates basic CCA Adjusts for the ½ year rule Where: UCC = Initial cost of asset, including installation costs less any trade-in value received for an existing asset d = CCA rate Tc = Corporate Tax Rate k = discount rate (corporation’s cost of capital) 10.11 PV of the Tax Shield from CCA Lost due to Salvage PV Tax Shield Lost due to Salvage dTc 1 Salvage N d k 1 k Where S = Salvage value n = number of periods until the salvage value is realized 10.12 Example: Depreciation and Salvage You purchase equipment for $100,000 plus it costs $10,000 to have it delivered and installed. Based on past information, you believe that the equipment will have a salvage value of $17,000 in 6 years. The company’s marginal tax rate is 40%. If the applicable CCA rate is 20% and the required return on this project is 10%, what is the present value of the tax shield from CCA less the present value of the tax shield lost from salvage? 10.13 Example: Depreciation and Salvage continued The delivery and installation costs must be added to the initial cost of the asset and then depreciated PV PV Tax Shield from CCA Tax Shield Lost due to Salvage dT 1 0.5k UCC c d k 1 k 0.200.40 1 0.50.10 110,000 0.20 0.10 1 .10 28,000 dTc 1 Salvage N d k 1 k 0.20 0.40 1 17,000 6 0 . 20 0.10 1.10 $2,558.95 10.14 The Six Steps of Capital Budgeting Step #1: Calculate the PV of the initial cost plus any delivery & installation expenses minus any trade-in received Step #2: Calculate the PV of the after-tax incremental operating cash flows from undertaking the project Step #3: Calculate the PV of the tax shield from CCA Step #4: Calculate the PV of salvage Step #5: Calculate the PV of the tax shield from CCA lost due to salvage Step #6: Calculate the PV of the change in NWC 10.15 The Six Steps of Capital Budgeting Step #1: PVInitial Cost= Purchase Cost + Installation – Trade-in N Step #2: PVAfter -tax Rev t 1 Cash Flows t – Exp t 1 Tc 1 k t dTc 1 0.5k UCC d k 1 k Step #3: PV Step #4: PV Salvage Salvage 1 k N Step #5: PV dTc 1 Salvage N d k 1 k Step #6: PV Tax Shield from CCA Tax Shield Lost due to Salvage NWC NWC NWC 1 k N 1 k N 10.16 Defining the Terms Where: Revt = Incremental revenue in period t Expt = Incremental expense in period t Tc = Corporate Tax Rate UCC = Undepreciated capital cost d = CCA tax rate k = discount rate (the firm’s cost of capital) Salvage = the value received at the end of the asset’s expected useful life N = number of periods until the salvage value is realized NWC = Net working capital (Current assets – current liabilities) 10.17 Example #1: Cost Cutting Your company is considering a new production system that will initially cost $1 million. It will save $300,000 a year in inventory and receivables management costs. The system is expected to last for five years and will be depreciated at a CCA rate of 20%. The system is expected to have a salvage value of $50,000 at the end of year 5. There is no impact on net working capital. The marginal tax rate is 40%. The required return is 8%. 10.18 Example #1: Cost Cutting Step #1: PVInitial Cost= 1,000,000 Step #2: PVAfter-tax Cash Savings Rev-Exp 1 Tc t 1 k t 1 5 300,000 1 .40 N t 1 1.08 t 180, 000 180, 000 180, 000 180, 000 180, 000 2 3 4 5 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 1.08 $718, 688 Step #3: PV Tax Shield from CCA dT 1 0.5k UCC c d k 1 k 0.200.40 1 0.50.08 1,000,000 0.20 0.08 1 .08 275,132 10.19 Example #1: Cost Cutting Step #4: Step #5: Salvage 1 k N 50,000 1.085 34,029 PV Salvage PV Tax Shield Lost due to Salvage dTc 1 Salvage N d k 1 k 0.20 0.40 1 50,000 5 0.20 0.08 1.08 $9,723 Step #6: PV NWC 0 NWC NWC 1 k N 1 k N 10.20 Summary of Cash Flows: Cost Cutting Step #1 Step #2 Step #3 Step #4 Step #5 Step #6 NPV -1,000,000 718,688 275,132 34,029 - 9,723 0 $18,126 Since the NPV is positive, the firm should proceed with the cost cutting initiative. If the NPV were negative, the firm should not proceed. 10.21 Example #2: Repair versus Replace Original Machine Initial cost = 100,000 Purchased 5 years ago Salvage today = 65,000 Salvage in 5 years = 10,000 New Machine Initial cost = 150,000 5-year life Salvage in 5 years = 0 Cost savings = 50,000 per year Required return = 10% CCA Rate = 20% Tax rate = 40% 10.22 Example #2: Repair versus Replace Step #1: PV of Initial Cost less trade-in = $150,000 - 65,000 = 85,000 1 1 k t Step #2: PVAftertax Annual Cost Savings1 Tc k cos t savings 1 1.10 5 50,0001 0.40 0.10 $113,724 Step #3: PV Tax Shield from CCA dTc 1 0.5k UCC d k 1 k 0.20 0.40 1 0.5 0.10 85, 000 0.20 0.10 1 .10 $21,636 10.23 Example #2: Repair versus Replace Step #4: Step #5: Salvage 1 k N 10,000 1.105 $6,209 PV Salvage PV Tax Shield Lost due to Salvage dTc 1 Salvage N d k 1 k 0.20 0.40 1 10,000 5 0.20 0.10 1.10 $1,656 Step #6: PV NWC 0 NWC NWC 1 k N 1 k N 10.24 Summary of Cash Flows: Repair vs Replace Step #1 Step #2 Step #3 Step #4 Step #5 Step #6 NPV -85,000 +113,724 +21,636 - 6,209 +1,656 0 $45,806 Since the NPV is positive, the firm should proceed with acquiring the new machine. If the NPV were negative, the firm should keep the old machine. 10.25 Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis Machine A Initial Cost = $150,000 Pre-tax operating cost = $65,000 Expected life is 8 years Machine B Initial Cost = $100,000 Pre-tax operating cost = $57,500 Expected life is 6 years • The machine chosen will be replaced indefinitely • Neither machine will impact revenue • No change in NWC is required • The required return is 10% • CCA rate is 20% • Tax rate is 40%. Which machine should you buy? 10.26 Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis To perform an equivalent annual cost calculation, first calculate the NPV of each alternative, using the 6 steps. Then divide the NPV by the annuity factor to obtain an equivalent annual cost/benefit Choose the alternative with the higher annual benefit or lower annual cost 10.27 Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis Machine A Step #1: $150,000 Step #2: PVAfter tax cos ts Step #3: PV 1 1 k t Annual Cost 1 Tc k 1 1.10 8 65, 000 1 0.40 0.10 $208, 062 Tax Shield from CCA dT 1 0.5k UCC c d k 1 k 0.200.40 1 0.50.10 150,000 0 . 20 0.10 1 . 10 $38,182 10.28 Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis Step #4: Step #5: 0 1 k N 0 PV Salvage PV Tax Shield Lost due to Salvage dTc 1 Salvage N d k 1 k 0 Step #6: PV NWC 0 NWC NWC 1 k N 1 k N 10.29 Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis Machine B Step #1: $100,000 Step #2: PVAfter tax cos ts Step #3: PV 1 1 k t Annual Cost 1 Tc k 1 1.10 6 57,500 1 0.40 0.10 $150, 256 Tax Shield from CCA dT 1 0.5k UCC c d k 1 k 0.200.40 1 0.50.10 100,000 0 . 20 0.10 1 . 10 $25,455 10.30 Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis Step #4: Step #5: 0 1 k N 0 PV Salvage PV Tax Shield Lost due to Salvage dTc 1 Salvage N d k 1 k 0 Step #6: PV NWC 0 NWC NWC 1 k N 1 k N 10.31 Example #3: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis Calculate the NPV for each machine & divide by the annuity factor Machine A Machine B Step #1 -150,000 -100,000 Step #2 -208,062 -150,256 Step #3 +38,182 +25,455 Step #4 0 0 Step #5 0 0 Step #6 0 0 -$319,880 -$224,801 -$59,960 -$51,615 Total NPV Equivalent Annual Cost To calculate EAC, divide NPV by the annuity factor (see next page for the annuity factor) 10.32 EAC: Calculating the Annuity Factors The formula for the PV of an ordinary annuity looks like this: 1 1 k t PVAnnuity C k The Annuity Factor is the component contained within the brackets 1 1 k t k The Annuity Factors for Machine A & B are thus: 1 1.108 Annuity FactorA .10 5.33 1 1.106 Annuity FactorB .10 4.36 10.33 Example #4: Setting the Bid Price Consider the example in the textbook: Need to produce 5 modified trucks per year for 4 years We can buy the truck platforms for $10,000 each Facilities will be leased for $24,000 per year Labor and material costs are $4,000 per truck Need $60,000 investment in new equipment, depreciated at 20% (CCA class 8) Expect to sell the equipment for $5,000 at the end of 4 years Need $40,000 in net working capital Tax rate is 43.5% Required return is 20% 10.34 Example #4: Setting the Bid Price Step #1 Step #2 $60,000 PVAfter tax Annual Cost cos ts 1 1 k t k 1 Tc 1 1.20 4 5 x10, 000 24, 000 5 x 4, 000 1 0.435 0.20 $137, 488 Step #3 PV Tax Shield from CCA dTc 1 0.5k UCC d k 1 k 0.200.435 1 0.50.20 60,000 0.20 0.20 1 .20 $11,963 10.35 Example #4: Setting the Bid Price Step #4 PV Salvage Step #5 dT 1 PV Tax Shield Salvage c N Lost due to d k 1 k Salvage 1 k N 5,000 1.204 $2,411 Salvage 0.200.435 1 5,000 4 0.20 0.20 1.20 $524 Step #6 PV NWC NWC NWC 1 k N 1 k N 40,000 40,000 1.204 20,710 10.36 Example #4: Setting the Bid Price Step #1 -$60,000 Step #2 -$137,488 Step #3 +$11,963 Step #4 +$2,411 Step #5 -$524 Step #6 -$20,710 PVCosts -$204,348 10.37 Example #4: Setting the Bid Price To calculate the bid price, must now set the PV of costs equal to the PV of revenue PVCost PVRevenue 1 1 k t 204,348 5P1 T k 1 1.20 4 5P1 0.435 .20 P $27,942 P is equal to the required bid price per truck 10.38 Summary 10.8 You should know: How to determine the relevant incremental cash flows that should be considered in capital budgeting decisions How to calculate the CCA tax shield for a given investment How to perform a capital budgeting analysis for: Replacement problems Cost cutting problems Bid setting problems Projects of different lives