THE GAME CHANGER: AN ANALYSIS OF THE BARGAINING STRATEGY IN CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEE PENSION REFORM NEGOTIATIONS A Project Presented to the faculty of the Department of Business Administration California State University, Sacramento Submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION by Narisha Bonakdar FALL 2012 THE GAME CHANGER: AN ANALYSIS OF THE BARGAINING STRATEGY IN CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEE PENSION REFORM NEGOTIATIONS A Project by Narisha Bonakdar Approved by: __________________________________, Committee Chair John B. LaRocco, J.D., LL.M ____________________________ Date ii Student: Narisha Bonakdar I certify that this student has met the requirements for format contained in the University format manual, and that this Project is suitable for shelving in the Library and credit is to be awarded for the Project. _____________________________________________ Monica Lam, Ph.D. Associate Dean for Graduate and External Programs College of Business Administration iii _____________________ Date Abstract of THE GAME CHANGER: AN ANALYSIS OF THE BARGAINING STRATEGY IN CALIFORNIA PUBLIC EMPLOYEE PENSION REFORM NEGOTIATIONS by Narisha Bonakdar The debate over California state employee pensions is as contentious as it is longstanding. Since the inception of the State Employees Retirement System in 1931 (now called the California Public Employees Retirement System), a series of Constitutional amendments, collectively bargained agreements, propositions, and legislative mandates have shaped the System and the retirement benefits available to state employees. Now, in a social and political environment that is ostensibly in favor of large reductions in benefits, the unions must make concessions to avoid being circumvented by policymakers or voters. This paper presents an analysis of the salient issues related to state employee pension reform to determine which measures are necessary to ensure that collective bargaining remains the central pillar of state employee benefit negotiations. _______________________, Committee Chair John B. LaRocco, J.D., LL.M _______________________ Date iv DEDICATION To my beloved daughter, Brooklyn, for her many sacrifices and amazing spirit in allowing me to pursue my dreams. v ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank Professor John B. LaRocco for inspiring my interest in labor negotiations early in my business studies and for providing exceptional guidance and leadership as I delved deeper into the subject matter in developing this paper. I would also like to thank my family and friends for continually supporting me as I pursued my educational goals. Without you, none of my accomplishments would not have been possible. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Dedication ................................................................................................................................ v Acknowledgements ................................................................................................ …………. vi List of Tables........................................................................................................................... ix Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. x Chapter 1. BACKGROUND …. .......................................................................................................... 1 Collective Bargaining in the Public Sector ................................................................. 1 California Public Employees Retirement Systems ...................................................... 1 State Employee Retirement Benefits ............................................................................ 3 History of State Employee Retirement Benefits ......................................................... 5 2. UNDERLYING ISSUES WITH STATE EMPLOYEE PENSION REFORM ................ 11 Unfunded Liabilities .................................................................................................. 11 Cost to Government/Taxpayers ................................................................................. 14 Public Sentiment ....................................................................................................... 15 Legal Authority to Alter Public Employee Benefits ................................................. 16 3. CURRENT PUBLIC EMPLOYEE PENSION REFORM PROPOSALS ......................... 22 The Public Pension Reform Act of 2011................................................................... 22 Public Pensions for Retirement Security Proposal .................................................... 23 Governor Brown’s Pension Reform Plan .................................................................. 24 4. LABOR NEGOTIATIONS AND “GAME THEORY” .................................................... 31 vii 5. ANALYSIS OF REFORM ALTERNATIVES .................................................................. 35 Evaluation Criteria.......................................................................................................... 35 Efficiency .................................................................................................................. 35 Equity ......................................................................................................................... 36 Legality ..................................................................................................................... 36 Political Acceptability ............................................................................................... 37 Analysis of Negotiating Points ....................................................................................... 38 Status Quo .................................................................................................................. 38 Voter Approval of Benefit Increases ......................................................................... 41 Increase Contribution Rates ....................................................................................... 41 Change Retirement Plan Type................................................................................... 44 Impose Pension Benefit Cap ..................................................................................... 51 Increase Retirement Age ........................................................................................... 54 6. RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................................................... 59 7. CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................. 63 Appendix Public Opinion Polls 2005 - 2010.......................................................................... 65 References .............................................................................................................................. 66 viii LIST OF TABLES Tables Page 1. State Employee Retirement State Formulas…………………………………………………9 2. Provisions of Pension Reform Proposals...……………………………..…………………..25 ix EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The debate over California State employee pensions is as contentious as it is longstanding. Since the inception of the State Employees Retirement System in 1931 (now called the California Public Employees Retirement System), a series of Constitutional amendments, collectively bargained agreements, propositions, and legislative mandates have shaped the System and the retirement benefits available to state employees. Now, after millions in pension investment losses, a faltering California economy, and negative public sentiment, state employees’ benefits are again being scrutinized. Despite the collectively bargained pension benefit reductions and increases in employee retirement contributions in 2010, numerous voter initiatives and legislative proposals threaten to circumvent the collective bargaining process to further reduce state employees’ retirement benefits. While benefits would generally fall under the auspices of collectively bargained memorandums of understanding, the legislature, the Governor, and voters all have the power to influence or mandate pension reform through the legislative process, the power of executive order, and the initiative process, respectively. More pension reform is imminent. The critical question is: how much? In a social and political environment that is ostensibly in favor of large reductions in pension benefits, the unions must make concessions to avoid being circumvented by policymakers or voters. This paper analyzes the salient issues related to state employee pension reform and various negotiating strategies to determine which reform measures the Unions should support to x resolve the pension reform crisis through the collective bargaining process considering those values fundamental to state employee Unions and the employees they represent. While taking a neutral stance, this analysis is based on the assumption that California statute clearly outlines that employee retirement benefits, along with other specified employee-employer relations issues, are intended to be negotiated through the collective bargaining process and, given this fact, that all stakeholders should work to ensure that collective bargaining remains the central process for determining benefits and that other means are used only as required by statute and the Constitution. It also assumes that the current pension system is unsustainable and will lead to persistent or recurring unfunded liabilities and unnecessary costs to the state if left unchanged. Ultimately, analysis of the Unions’ position and the current climate suggest that the Unions should support the elimination of retroactive benefit increases, the elimination of air time purchases, the exclusion of all forms of compensation other than base pay from final compensation calculations, the limitation post-retirement employment to prevent doubledipping, and the eligibility of employees convicted of work-related felonies to receive pension benefits. Additionally, they should support the development of a hybrid system for all new state employees work to maintain a defined benefit retirement plan as the primary retirement savings mechanism for state employees. xi