Chapter 5 Investment Policy 1

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Chapter 5
Investment Policy
1
We investment professionals also need to keep in
mind that some who participate in our investment
decisions will be younger and less experienced
than we are; some, perhaps the most influential,
will be older and more powerful but may be far
less experienced with investing. They may care
greatly about the fund being discussed but may not
be expert in investing. We, as professionals, must
manage their understanding.
- Charles D. Ellis
2
Outline
 Introduction
 The
purpose of investment policy
 Elements of a useful investment policy
 Risk and return considerations: different
investors
 Critiquing and revising the investment
policy statement
3
Introduction
 Investment
policy is a statement about the
objectives, risk tolerance, and constraints
the portfolio faces
 Investment
management is the practice of
attempting to achieve the objectives while
staying within the established constraints
4
Introduction (cont’d)
 A statement
of investment policy may be
required in many cases
• E.g., ERISA
5
Introduction (cont’d)
 This
chapter addresses:
• Why an investment policy statement is
important
• How you go about creating one
• What should be in it
6
Example of A
Policy Statement
7
The Purpose of
Investment Policy
 Outline
expectations and responsibilities
 Identify objectives and constraints
 Outline eligible asset classes and their
permissible uses
 Provide a mechanism for evaluation
8
Outline Expectations and
Responsibilities
 Introduction
 Responsibilities
and knowledge needs of
informed clients
 The investment manager’s responsibilities
9
Introduction
 Investment
policy is the responsibility of
the client
• E.g., a individual, an endowment fund’s board
 Investment
management is the
responsibility of the money manager
• E.g., a bank trust department, a brokerage firm
10
Responsibilities and Knowledge
Needs of Informed Clients
1) The client must set explicit investment
policies consistent with his objectives
•
Set the investment objective
•
Understand how the statement promotes the
accomplishment of the objectives
11
Responsibilities and Knowledge
Needs of Informed Clients
2) The client must define long-range
objectives appropriate to the fund
•
A short-term focus may lead to suboptimal
investment performance
12
Responsibilities and Knowledge
Needs of Informed Clients
3) The client must ensure the managers are
following the investment policy
•
•
•
Clients need an interest in understanding
their own interest
Clients need an appreciation of the
fundamental nature of capital markets
Clients need the discipline to work out the
basic policies that will succeed in achieving
their realistic investment objectives
13
The Investment Manager’s
Responsibilities
 Educate the client about infeasible
objectives
 Develop an appropriate asset allocation
and investment strategy
 Communicate the essential characteristics
of the portfolio to the client
14
The Investment Manager’s
Responsibilities (cont’d)
4) Monitor and revise the portfolio as
necessary
•
•
Clients are entitled to progress reports from
the investment manager
It is periodically necessary to revise the
portfolio because of changes in market
conditions
15
The Investment Manager’s
Responsibilities (cont’d)
5) Ensure there is a mechanism for learning
when a client’s needs change
•
E.g., marriage, children, health expenditures
•
A material change in an investor’s situation
may require substantial changes in the
portfolio asset allocation, the time horizon,
risk tolerance, or return requirements
16
Identify Objectives and
Constraints
 Introduction
 Individual
investors
 Charitable portfolios
 Institutional portfolios
 Other considerations
17
Introduction
 Objective
setting should include:
• A target return
• An appropriate level of risk
18
Individual Investors
 Bailard,
Biehl, and Kaiser classification:
Confident
Individualist
Adventurer
Impetuous
Careful
Guardian
Celebrity
Anxious
19
Individual Investors (cont’d)
 Guardians
take forever to make a decision
and then worry constantly about it
• Stability of principal or income are appropriate
objectives
 Celebrities
make decisions quickly
• Like investment fads and worry about being left
out
20
Individual Investors (cont’d)

Adventurers make decisions quickly and feel good
about them
• Often have substantial stock market experience
• Seek capital appreciation

Individualists are both careful and confident
• Will listen to advice, read research reports, and
investigate investment alternatives

Straight arrows move between the two
dimensions
21
Charitable Portfolios

An endowment fund is a perpetual portfolio
designed to benefit both current citizens and future
generations
• E.g., churches, the public library, the YWCA,
environmental groups, etc.

A foundation is an organization designed to aid
the arts, education, research, or welfare in general
• Organizes as either a trust or as a nonprofit corporation
22
Charitable Portfolios (cont’d)
 Creative
tension between the needs of
current beneficiaries and the future
beneficiaries for an endowment fund
• Avoid short-term thinking when portfolio needs
are long term
– Myopic loss aversion: investors are more sensitive
to losses than to gains
23
Institutional Portfolios
 Insurance
companies and pension funds
have special needs:
• E.g., defined benefit retirement plans must
ensure they will be able to meet payments
24
Other Considerations
 Real
risk
 Emotional reactions
 Investment committee’s knowledge
 Other capital or income sources
 Legal restrictions
 Unanticipated consequences of interim
fluctuations
25
Real Risk
 The
consequences of a loss vary widely,
depending on the circumstances
• E.g., a professional in his peak earning years
versus a retired widow
26
Emotional Reactions
 BBK
framework
• E.g., a guardian is unable to ignore a loss in
portfolio value
27
Investment Committee’s
Knowledge
 The
investment committee:
• Should differentiate between fact and opinion
• Should be honest in assessing the committee
ability and seek professional assistance when
appropriate
28
Other Capital or
Income Sources
 How
important is the particular portfolio to
the client’s overall financial position?
• There is no requirement that an investor keep
all of his money with one brokerage firm, trust
department, or money manager
• The client may be diversified even if it does not
appear so
29
Legal Restrictions
 Some
states have a legal list outlining
permissible investment
• E.g., insurance companies may not buy junk
bonds
30
Unanticipated Consequences of
Interim Fluctuations
 Fluctuations
may not matter in the short run
in theory, but this may not be the case in
practice
• E.g., an endowment fund that needs to generate
money for annual scholarships
31
Outline Eligible Asset Classes
and Their Permissible Uses
 There
is substantial evidence that the asset
allocation decision is the single most
important investment decision investors
make
• Affects long-term rates of return more than
security selection, market timing, or taxes
32
Outline Eligible Asset Classes
and Their Permissible Uses
 An
asset class is a logical subgroup of the
set of investment alternatives
• E.g., equities, bonds, and cash
 Asset
allocation is the relative proportion of
money distributed across the various asset
classes
33
Provide A Mechanism for
Evaluation
 The
dual aspect of evaluation
 Choosing the benchmark
34
The Dual Aspect of Evaluation

An effective performance evaluation
should:
1) Confirm that the manager managed in a way
he was hired to manage
–
E.g., an equity manager should not be 75% in cash
35
The Dual Aspect of Evaluation
(cont’d)

An effective performance evaluation
should:
2) Evaluate how well the manager did it
–
How well did the portfolio do relative to other
portfolios comparable in risk and security
composition?
•
E.g., a stock portfolio that loses 2% when the market is
down 15% performed well
36
Choosing the Benchmark
 Determining
the benchmark is an integral
part of setting investment policy
 A benchmark
can be absolute
• E.g., a 10% rate of return
 A benchmark
can be relative
• E.g., top quarter
37
Choosing the
Benchmark (cont’d)
 A good
benchmark should:
• Be investable
– It should be a viable investment alternative
• Be specified in advance
– E.g., median manager performance is not known
until the end of the evaluation period
• Be unambiguous
– The securities that comprise the benchmark and the
relative proportion each occupies should be known
38
Elements of A Useful
Investment Policy
 Return
 Risk
 Constraints
39
Return
 Reasonable
and unreasonable objectives
 A note on total return
40
Reasonable and Unreasonable
Objectives
 The
investment policy statement should
specify a target return
• The level of performance the fund seeks to
obtain
• The chosen target should be feasible and
consistent with the marketplace
41
Reasonable and Unreasonable
Objectives (cont’d)
 Examples
of feasible return objectives:
• A long-term average rate of return of 10 percent
• Over a five-year period, achieve a rate of return
of at least 80 percent of the S&P 500 index
• Reach a terminal value of $1 million by a
certain future time
42
Reasonable and Unreasonable
Objectives (cont’d)
 Examples
of infeasible return objectives:
• Maintain purchasing power with 100 percent
probability
• Earn at least a 10 percent rate of return each
calendar year
• Ensure that the value of the fund never falls
below the principal and produce an annual yield
of 7 percent
43
A Note on Total Return
 Total
return is a function of both income
received and realized or unrealized gains on
the portfolio components
• In the past, come portfolios allowed only
interest and dividends could be spent
• Most states have adopted the Uniform
Management of Institutional Funds Act, which
allows an institution to spend income plus a
“prudent” portfolio of capital gains
44
Risk
 Introduction
 Views
of risk
 The manager’s view of risk
45
Introduction
 Professional
managers cannot get rid of
risk, but they can manage it
 Managers
may use a relative determination
• Less risk than average, more risk than average,
or normal risk
– Requires measuring risk using beta or return
variance
46
Introduction (cont’d)
 Long-term
investors can assume above
average risk because:
• Over the long run, more risk leads to better
returns
• Some investors are unable to take a long-term
perspective because of liquidity needs or other
constraints
– There may be an extra return increment for those
who are able to supply long-term capital
47
Views of Risk
 Relative
market risk
• A portfolio beta more or less than 1
• Dynamic because it implies a concern with
periodic fluctuations in portfolio value
 Dispersion
around the average outcome
• Measure historical mean returns and standard
deviations for your asset allocation
48
Views of Risk (cont’d)
 Dispersion
around a target return
• E.g., a sure percentage versus some fluctuation
in return
 Likelihood
of failing to achieve a certain
level of return
• E.g., minimize the probability that the return
falls below the average inflation rate
49
The Manager’s View of Risk
 Tversky
and Kahneman’s fear of regret
says that managers do not like having to
apologize to clients, so they avoid risk
• Managers should manage the client’s
investment risk, not the risk of their own egos
• One fiduciary duty requires the investment
manager to act in the sole best interest of the
client
50
Constraints
 Time
horizon
 Tax situation
 Liquidity needs
 Legal considerations
 Unique needs and special circumstances
51
Time Horizon
 The
length of time the investment will be at
work is critical to proper asset allocation
• In the long run, daily fluctuations in security
values do not matter
• The long-term growth of earnings is important
in the long-run
52
Tax Situation
 Taxes
are the largest component of trading
costs for many investors
• Federal, state, and local taxes can exceed 50
percent combined
– Investors may avoid taxable bonds and stocks with a
high dividend yield
– Fund managers should carefully consider the sale of
a stock, resulting in a realized (taxable) capital gain
53
Liquidity Needs
 Some
portfolios must produce a steady
stream of income to the owner or to a set of
beneficiaries
• The manager must ensure the required funds
are available in a timely fashion
54
Legal Considerations
 Some
types of investment portfolios face a
legal list of eligible assets
• E.g., restricted to investment-grade bonds or a
minimum payout ratio of fund assets to
maintain tax-exempt status
55
Unique Needs and
Special Circumstances
 Social
investing
• E.g., clients may not want to invest in tobacco
stocks or in electric utilities using nuclear
power sources
• Empirical evidence on whether or not social
investing influences realized investment returns
is mixed
56
Risk & Return Considerations:
Different Investors
 Introduction
 Individual
investors
 Institutional investors
57
Introduction
 Suitability
is important in developing
appropriate investment policy statements
• Refers to the general fitness of a particular
investment vehicle or investment approach to a
particular investor
• Investment recommendations should be made
with recognition of the suitability of individual
investments for different situations
58
Individual Investors
 Range
of requirements
 Portfolio integration with other assets
 Risk education
59
Range of Requirements
 Individual
investors have a wider range of
requirements than institutional investors
• The investment manager must refine:
– The investor’s needs
– The investor’s risk tolerance
– The investor’s comprehension of the realities of the
marketplace
60
Portfolio Integration With
Other Assets
 A manager
who is responsible for the
investor’s entire portfolio may face a
substantially different set of constraints than
a manager who handles only part of the
investor’s assets
• The presence of other assets may change the
appropriate return and level of risk tolerance
61
Risk Education
 Some
aspects of risk are not immediately
logical
• Complicates decision making by the client
62
Institutional Investors
 Mutual
funds
 Endowment funds
 Pension funds
 Life insurance companies
 Property and casualty insurance companies
63
Mutual Funds
 A mutual
fund is an existing portfolio of
assets into which someone can invest
directly
 All mutual funds have a stated investment
objective
• The prospectus is the legal document that
describes the fund’s purpose and investment
policy
64
Mutual Funds (cont’d)
 Mutual
funds seek to earn the best return
consistent with the requirements and
constraints of the fund prospectus
• For a chosen level of risk, the fund manager
seeks to maximize the total return
65
Endowment Funds
 An
endowment fund is a long-term
investment portfolio designed to assist the
organization in carrying out its charitable
purpose
 An endowment fund has three purposes:
• Help maintain operating independence
• Provide operational stability
• Provide a margin of excellence
66
Endowment Funds (cont’d)
 Endowment
funds frequently have an
established payout rate based on the average
level of fund assets
 Endowments
usually have at least 50
percent of their assets in equities
• The typical national asset mix is 60 percent
equities and 40 percent bonds
67
Pension Funds
 There
are two main types of pension funds:
• In defined contribution plans, the employer
establishes a set dollar contribution to be made
on the employee’s behalf
– The employee makes the asset allocation decision
68
Pension Funds (cont’d)
 There
are two main types of pension funds:
• In defined benefit plans, the employer
guarantees a specific level of retirement
benefits regardless of the performance of the
market
– E.g., when the employee reaches age 65, the firm
will pay its retirees 75 percent of their three highest
earning years annually
69
Life Insurance Companies
 Life
insurance companies are regulated by
state insurance commissioners
 Life
insurance companies seldom have
more than 10 percent of their assets in
equities
70
Life Insurance
Companies (cont’d)
 Investment
policy at a life insurance
company is liability driven
• The performance of the capital markets is
secondary
• The principal investment objective is to earn a
competitive return on the surplus
71
Property and Casualty
Insurance Companies
 PC
companies differ significantly from life
insurance companies:
• Disasters strike without warning and vary in
scope
• With many policies there is never a claim
 Liquidity
is especially important at a PC
company
72
Critiquing and Revising the
Investment Policy Statement
 Characteristics
of a good statement
 Revising the policy
73
Characteristics of A Good
Statement
1) It is realistic
•
The return objectives are reasonable
attainable in ordinary market conditions
•
The target return and the statements about risk
should be logically consistent
74
Characteristics of A Good
Statement (cont’d)
2) It is unambiguous to an outsider
•
Specify what return and yield mean
•
Scrutinize words like normal, average, or
ordinary
75
Characteristics of A Good
Statement (cont’d)
3) It should have been sustainable over the
past
•
A statement should not contain language that
everyone fully expects to be ignored
periodically
76
Revising the Policy
 Procedures
for modifying the statement
 Changes in the client’s financial condition
77
Procedures for Modifying
the Statement
 Changes
should be made:
• When necessary
• When legally required
• Carefully and sparingly
 An
annual policy review provides a useful
mechanism for discussing possible changes
78
Changes in the Client’s
Financial Condition
 It
may be necessary to accelerate the policy
review if there are material changes in the
client’s financial situation
• The joint responsibility of the client and the
investment manager
79
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