INTRODUCTORY STATISTICS Chapter 10 HYPOTHESIS TESTING WITH TWO SAMPLES: TWO MEANS, PAIRED DATA, TWO PROPORTIONS PowerPoint Image Slideshow SEC. 10.2: TWO POPULATION MEANS WITH UNKNOWN STANDARD DEVIATIONS If you want to test a claim that involves two groups (the types of breakfasts eaten east and west of the Mississippi River) you can use a slightly different technique when conducting a hypothesis test. (credit: Chloe Lim) OVERVIEW The two independent samples are simple random samples from two distinct populations. For the two distinct populations: a) if the sample sizes are small, the distributions are important (should be normal) b) if the sample sizes are large, the distributions are not important (need not be normal) In order to account for the variation of means and standard deviation, we take the difference of the sample means,𝑋1 − 𝑋2 , and divide by the standard error in order to standardize the difference. The result is a t-score test statistic. USING A CALCULATOR When the population standard deviation is unknown, use the Student t test. On your calculator, this is in the STAT menu under TESTS. Choose 2-SampTTest and enter the mean, standard deviation and number of the sample for each sample. Choose NO for the Pooled option. Choose CALCULATE to get the test statistic and p-value, DRAW to get a sketch of the graph. When making your decision, the same rules apply as for one sample: If α > p-value, reject the null hypothesis If α ≤ p-value, do not reject the null hypothesis EXAMPLE A statistics instructor believes that there is no significant difference between the mean class scores of statistics day students on Exam 2 and statistics night students on Exam 2. She takes random samples from each of the populations. The mean and standard deviation for 35 statistics day students were 75.86 and 16.91. The mean and standard deviation for 37 statistics night students were 75.41 and 19.73. Is there sufficient evidence to support her claim? EXAMPLE To test if increasing calcium intake lowers blood pressure, 21 healthy men were recruited for an experiment. 10 of the men received a calcium supplement for 12 weeks, while the control group of 11 men received a placebo pill. The following data is the decrease in systolic blood pressure for a subject after 12 weeks, in millimeters of mercury. An increase appears as a negative response. Calcium 7 -4 18 17 -3 -5 1 10 11 -2 Placebo -1 12 -1 -3 3 -5 5 2 -11 -1 -3 Is there evidence to support the claim that calcium lowers blood pressure? SEC. 10.3: TWO POPULATION MEANS WITH KNOWN STANDARD DEVIATIONS In the rare case that we are comparing two population means and know the population standard deviations, we can use the normal distribution. On your calculator, use the 2-SampZTest in this case. The test statistic will now be a z for z-score, but the p-value is evaluated the same. EXAMPLE A hospital notices that the babies born in their community seem to weigh less at birth than the state average. Of the babies born at the hospital in the last five years, 433 babies were born with an average weight of 6.8 lbs. and a standard deviation of 1.56 lbs. A sample of 550 babies in the state were surveyed that had an average weight of 7.1 lbs. The state health department states that the standard deviation of baby weights is 0.87 lbs. Should the hospital be concerned about low birth weights in their community? SEC. 10.4: COMPARING TWO INDEPENDENT POPULATION PROPORTIONS When conducting a hypothesis test that compares two independent population proportions, the following characteristics should be present: 1. The two independent samples are simple random samples that are independent. 2. The number of successes is at least five, and the number of failures is at least five, for each of the samples. 3. Growing literature states that the population must be at least ten or 20 times the size of the sample. This keeps each population from being over-sampled and causing incorrect results. On your calculator use the 2-PropZTest. EXAMPLE Suppose the Acme Drug Company develops a new drug, designed to prevent colds. The company states that the drug is equally effective for men and women. To test this claim, they choose a simple random sample of 100 women and 200 men from a population of 100,000 volunteers. At the end of the study, 41 of the women caught a cold; and 98 of the men caught a cold. Based on these findings, can we reject the company's claim that the drug is equally effective for men and women? Use a 0.05 level of significance. QUIZ REVIEW: CONFIDENCE INTERVALS 1. Suppose average pizza delivery times are normally distributed with an unknown population mean and a population standard deviation of six minutes. A random sample of 28 pizza delivery restaurants is taken and has a sample mean delivery time of 36 minutes. Find a 90% confidence interval for the mean and the error bound. 2. Suppose that 14 children, who were learning to ride two-wheel bikes, were surveyed to determine how long they had to use training wheels. It was revealed that they used them an average of six months with a sample standard deviation of three months. Assume that the underlying population distribution is normal. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean and find the error bound. 3. Suppose that a market research firm is hired to estimate the percent of adults living in a large city who have cell phones. Five hundred randomly selected adult residents in this city are surveyed to determine whether they have cell phones. Of the 500 people surveyed, 421 responded yes they own cell phones. Using a 95% confidence level, compute a confidence interval estimate for the true proportion of adult residents of this city who have cell phones. QUIZ REVIEW: HYPOTHESIS TESTS 1. A study is done to determine if Company A retains its workers longer than Company B. Company A samples 15 workers, and their average time with the company is five years with a standard deviation of 1.2. Company B samples 20 workers, and their average time with the company is 4.5 years with a standard deviation of 0.8. The populations are normally distributed. a. Are the population standard deviations known? b. Conduct an appropriate hypothesis test. At the 5% significance level, what is your conclusion? 2. Suppose a consumer group suspects that the proportion of households that have three cell phones is 30%. A cell phone company has reason to believe that the proportion is not 30%. Before they start a big advertising campaign, they conduct a hypothesis test. Their marketing people survey 150 households with the result that 43 of the households have three cell phones. This PowerPoint file is copyright 2011-2015, Rice University. All Rights Reserved.