Chapter 4 Investment Policy Portfolio Construction, Management, & Protection, 4e, Robert A. Strong Copyright ©2006 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Business & Economics. All rights reserved. 1 We investment professionals also need to keep in mind that some who participate in our investment decisions will be younger and less experienced than we are; some, perhaps the most influential, will be older and more powerful but may be far less experienced with investing. They may care greatly about the fund being discussed but may not be expert in investing. We, as professionals, must manage their understanding. Charles D. Ellis 2 Outline Introduction The Purpose of Investment Policy Elements of a Useful Investment Policy Risk and Return Considerations: Different Investors Critiquing and Revising the Investment Policy Statement 3 Introduction Investment policy is a statement about the objectives, risk tolerance, and constraints the portfolio faces Investment management is the practice of attempting to achieve the objectives while staying within the established constraints 4 Introduction (cont’d) A statement of investment policy may be required in many cases • e.g., ERISA 5 Introduction (cont’d) This chapter addresses: • Why an investment policy statement is important • How you go about creating one • What should be in it 6 Example of A Policy Statement 7 The Purpose of Investment Policy Outline Expectations and Responsibilities Identify Objectives and Constraints Outline Eligible Asset Classes and Their Permissible Use Provide a Mechanism for Evaluation 8 Outline Expectations and Responsibilities Introduction Responsibilities and Knowledge Needs of Informed Clients The Investment Manager’s Responsibilities 9 Introduction Investment policy is the responsibility of the client • e.g., a individual, an endowment fund’s board Investment management is the responsibility of the money manager • e.g., a bank trust department, a brokerage firm 10 Responsibilities and Knowledge Needs of Informed Clients The client must set explicit investment policies consistent with his objectives • Set the investment objective • Understand how the policy statement promotes the accomplishment of the objectives 11 Responsibilities and Knowledge Needs of Informed Clients (cont’d) The client must define long-range objectives appropriate to the fund • A short-term focus may lead to suboptimal investment performance 12 Responsibilities and Knowledge Needs of Informed Clients (cont’d) The client must ensure the managers are following the investment policy • • • Clients need an interest in understanding their own objectives Clients need an appreciation of the fundamental nature of capital markets Clients need the discipline to work out the basic policies that will succeed in achieving their realistic investment objectives 13 The Investment Manager’s Responsibilities Educate the client about infeasible objectives Develop an appropriate asset allocation and investment strategy Communicate the essential characteristics of the portfolio to the client 14 The Investment Manager’s Responsibilities (cont’d) Monitor and revise the portfolio as necessary • • Clients are entitled to progress reports from the investment manager It is periodically necessary to revise the portfolio because of changes in market conditions 15 The Investment Manager’s Responsibilities (cont’d) Ensure there is a mechanism for learning when a client’s needs change • e.g., marriage, children, health expenditures • A material change in an investor’s situation may require substantial changes in the portfolio asset allocation, the time horizon, the risk tolerance, or the return requirements 16 Identify Objectives and Constraints Introduction Individual Investors Charitable Portfolios Institutional Portfolios Other Considerations in Setting Effective Objectives 17 Introduction Objective setting should include: • A target return • An appropriate level of risk 18 Individual Investors Bailard, Biehl, and Kaiser classification: Confident Individualist Adventurer Impetuous Careful Guardian Celebrity Anxious Source: Thomas E. Bailard, David L. Biehl, and Ronald W. Kaiser, Personal Money Management, 5th ed. (Chicago: Science Research Associates, Inc., 1986). 19 Individual Investors (cont’d) Guardians take forever to make a decision and then worry constantly about it • Stability of principal or income are appropriate objectives Celebrities make decisions quickly • Like investment fads and worry about being left out 20 Individual Investors (cont’d) Adventurers make decisions quickly and feel good about them • Often have substantial stock market experience • Seek capital appreciation Individualists are both careful and confident • Will listen to advice, read research reports, and investigate investment alternatives Straight arrows move between the two dimensions 21 Charitable Portfolios An endowment fund is a perpetual portfolio designed to benefit both current citizens and future generations • e.g., churches, the public library, the YWCA, environmental groups, etc. A foundation is an organization designed to aid the arts, education, research, or welfare in general • Organizes as either a trust or as a nonprofit corporation 22 Charitable Portfolios (cont’d) Creative tension between the needs of current beneficiaries and the future beneficiaries for an endowment fund • Avoid short-term thinking when portfolio needs are long term – Myopic loss aversion: investors are more sensitive to losses than to gains 23 Institutional Portfolios Insurance companies and pension funds have special needs: • e.g., defined benefit retirement plans must ensure they will be able to meet payments 24 Other Considerations in Setting Effective Objectives Real Risk Emotional Reactions Investment Committee’s Knowledge Other Capital or Income Resources Legal Restrictions Unanticipated Consequences of Interim Fluctuations 25 Real Risk The consequences of a loss vary widely, depending on the circumstances • e.g., a professional in his peak earning years versus a retired widow 26 Emotional Reactions BBK taxonomy • e.g., a guardian is unable to ignore a loss in portfolio value 27 Investment Committee’s Knowledge The investment committee: • Should differentiate between fact and opinion • Should be honest in assessing the committee’s ability and seek professional assistance when appropriate 28 Other Capital or Income Resources How important is the particular portfolio to the client’s overall financial position? • There is no requirement that an investor keep all of his money with one brokerage firm, trust department, or money manager • The client may be diversified even if it does not appear so 29 Legal Restrictions Some states have a legal list outlining permissible investment • e.g., insurance companies may not buy corporate bonds without an investment-grade rating 30 Unanticipated Consequences of Interim Fluctuations Fluctuations may not matter in the short run in theory, but this may not be the case in practice • e.g., an endowment fund that needs to generate money for annual scholarships 31 Outline Eligible Asset Classes and Their Permissible Uses There is substantial evidence that the asset allocation decision is the single most important investment decision investors make • Affects long-term rates of return more than security selection, market timing, or taxes 32 Outline Eligible Asset Classes and Their Permissible Uses An asset class is a logical subgroup of the set of investment alternatives • e.g., equities, bonds, and cash Asset allocation is the relative proportion of money distributed across the various asset classes 33 Provide A Mechanism for Evaluation The Dual Aspects of Evaluation Choosing the Benchmark 34 The Dual Aspects of Evaluation An effective performance evaluation should: 1) Confirm that the manager managed in a way he was hired to manage – e.g., an equity manager should not be 75 percent in cash 35 The Dual Aspects of Evaluation (cont’d) An effective performance evaluation should: 2) Evaluate how well the manager did it – How well did the portfolio do relative to other portfolios comparable in risk and security composition? • e.g., a stock portfolio that loses 2 percent when the market is down 15 percent performed well 36 Choosing the Benchmark Determining the benchmark is an integral part of setting investment policy A benchmark can be absolute • e.g., a 10% rate of return A benchmark can be relative • e.g., top quarter 37 Choosing the Benchmark (cont’d) A good benchmark should: • Be investable – It should be a viable investment alternative • Be specified in advance – e.g., median manager performance is not known until the end of the evaluation period: this is not a good benchmark • Be unambiguous – The securities that comprise the benchmark and the relative proportion each occupies should be known 38 Elements of A Useful Investment Policy Return Risk Constraints 39 Return Reasonable and Unreasonable Objectives A Note on Total Return 40 Reasonable and Unreasonable Objectives The investment policy statement should say something specific about a target return • The level of performance the fund seeks to obtain • The chosen target should be feasible and consistent with the marketplace 41 Reasonable and Unreasonable Objectives (cont’d) Examples of feasible return objectives: • A long-term average rate of return of 10 percent • Over a five-year period, achieve a rate of return of at least 80 percent of the S&P 500 index • Generate a cash flow of $25,000 in the following 12 months, with subsequent annual cash flows growing at a 2.5 percent annual rate • Reach a terminal value of $1 million by a certain future time 42 Reasonable and Unreasonable Objectives (cont’d) Examples of infeasible return objectives: • Maintain purchasing power with 100 percent probability • Earn at least a 10 percent rate of return each calendar year • Ensure that the value of the fund never falls below the principal and produce an annual yield of 7 percent 43 A Note on Total Return Total return is a function of both income received and realized or unrealized gains on the portfolio components • In the past, some portfolios allowed only interest and dividends could be spent • Most states have adopted the Uniform Management of Institutional Funds Act, which allows an institution to spend income plus a “prudent” portion of capital gains 44 Risk Introduction Views of Risk The Manager’s View of Risk 45 Introduction Professional managers cannot get rid of risk, but they can manage it Managers may use a relative determination • Less risk than average, more risk than average, or normal risk – Requires measuring risk using beta or return variance 46 Introduction (cont’d) Long-term investors can assume above average risk because: • Over the long run, more risk leads to better returns • Some investors are unable to take a long-term perspective because of liquidity needs or other constraints – There may be an extra return increment for those who are able to supply long-term capital 47 Views of Risk Relative market risk • A portfolio beta more or less than 1 • Dynamic because it implies a concern with periodic fluctuations in portfolio value Dispersion around the average outcome • Measure historical mean returns and standard deviations for your asset allocation 48 Views of Risk (cont’d) Dispersion around a target return • e.g., a sure percentage versus some fluctuation in return Likelihood of failing to achieve a certain level of return • e.g., minimize the probability that the return falls below the average inflation rate 49 The Manager’s View of Risk Tversky and Kahneman’s fear of regret says that managers do not like having to apologize to clients, so they avoid risk • Managers should manage the client’s investment risk, not the risk to their own egos • One fiduciary duty requires the investment manager to act in the sole best interest of the client 50 Constraints Time Horizon Tax Situation Liquidity Needs Legal Considerations Unique Needs and Special Circumstances 51 Time Horizon The length of time the investment will be at work is critical to proper asset allocation • In the long run, daily fluctuations in security values do not matter • The growth of earnings is most important in the long run 52 Tax Situation Taxes are the largest component of trading costs for many investors • Federal, state, and local taxes can exceed 50 percent combined – Investors may avoid taxable bonds and stocks with a high dividend yield – Fund managers should carefully consider the sale of a stock when it would result in a realized (taxable) capital gain 53 Liquidity Needs Some portfolios must produce a steady stream of income to the owner or to a set of beneficiaries • The manager must ensure the required funds are available in a timely fashion 54 Legal Considerations Some types of investment portfolios face a legal list of eligible assets • e.g., restricted to investment-grade bonds or a minimum payout ratio of fund assets to maintain tax-exempt status 55 Unique Needs and Special Circumstances Social investing • e.g., clients may not want to invest in tobacco stocks or in electric utilities using nuclear power sources • Empirical evidence on whether or not social investing influences realized investment returns is mixed • Legally, a fiduciary cannot justify mediocre performance by alleged social benefits 56 Risk and Return Considerations: Different Investors Introduction Individual Investors Institutional Investors 57 Introduction Suitability is important in developing appropriate investment policy statements • Refers to the general “fitness” of a particular investment vehicle or investment approach to a particular investor • Investment recommendations should be made with full recognition of the suitability of individual investments for different situations 58 Individual Investors Range of Requirements Portfolio Integration with Other Assets Risk Education 59 Range of Requirements Individual investors have a wider range of requirements than institutional investors • The investment manager must refine: – The investor’s needs – The investor’s risk tolerance – The investor’s comprehension of the realities of the marketplace 60 Portfolio Integration with Other Assets A manager who is responsible for the investor’s entire portfolio may face a substantially different set of constraints than a manager who handles only part of the investor’s assets • The presence of other assets may change the appropriate return and level of risk tolerance 61 Risk Education Some aspects of risk are not immediately logical • Complicates decision making by the client 62 Institutional Investors Mutual Funds Endowment Funds Pension Funds Life Insurance Companies Property and Casualty Insurance Company 63 Mutual Funds A mutual fund is an existing portfolio of assets into which someone can invest directly All mutual funds have a stated investment objective • The prospectus is the legal document that describes the fund’s purpose and investment policy 64 Mutual Funds (cont’d) Mutual funds seek to earn the best return consistent with the requirements and constraints of the fund prospectus • For a chosen level of risk, the fund manager seeks to maximize the total return 65 Endowment Funds An endowment fund is a long-term investment portfolio designed to assist the organization in carrying out its charitable purpose An endowment fund has three purposes: • Help maintain operating independence • Provide operational stability • Provide a margin of excellence 66 Endowment Funds (cont’d) Endowment funds frequently have an established payout rate based on the average level of fund assets Endowments usually have at least 50 percent of their assets in equities • The typical national asset mix is 60 percent equities and 40 percent bonds 67 Pension Funds There are two main types of pension funds: • In defined contribution plans, the employer establishes a set dollar contribution to be made on the employee’s behalf – The employee makes the asset allocation decision 68 Pension Funds (cont’d) There are two main types of pension funds: • In defined benefit plans, the employer guarantees a specific level of retirement benefits regardless of the performance of the market – e.g., when the employee reaches age 65, the firm will pay its retirees 75 percent of the average of their three highest earning years annually 69 Life Insurance Companies Life insurance companies are regulated by state insurance commissioners Life insurance companies seldom have more than 10 percent of their assets in equities 70 Life Insurance Companies (cont’d) Investment policy at a life insurance company is liability driven • The performance of the capital markets is secondary • The principal investment objective is to earn a competitive return on the surplus 71 Property and Casualty Insurance Company Property and casualty companies differ significantly from life insurance companies: • Disasters strike without warning and vary in scope • With many policies, there is never a claim Liquidity is especially important at a property and casualty company 72 Critiquing and Revising the Investment Policy Statement Characteristics of a Good Statement Revising the Policy 73 Characteristics of A Good Statement 1) It is realistic • The return objectives are reasonably attainable in ordinary market conditions • The target return and the statements about risk should be logically consistent 74 Characteristics of A Good Statement (cont’d) 2) It should be unambiguous to an outsider • Specify what return and yield mean • Scrutinize words like normal, average, or ordinary 75 Characteristics of A Good Statement (cont’d) 3) It should have been sustainable over the past • A statement should not contain language that everyone fully expects to be ignored periodically 76 Revising the Policy Procedures for Modifying the Statement Changes in the Client’s Financial Condition 77 Procedures for Modifying the Statement Changes should be made: • When necessary • When legally required • Carefully and sparingly An annual policy review provides a useful mechanism for discussing possible changes 78 Changes in the Client’s Financial Condition It may be necessary to accelerate the policy review if there are material changes in the client’s financial situation • The joint responsibility of the client and the investment manager 79