News Release 15 June 2001 JAMAICA: BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEVELOPMENTS MARCH 2001 The current account of the balance of payments recorded a deficit of US$33.4M for March 2001, in contrast to the surplus of US$5.7M recorded for March 2000. With the exception of the income subaccount, all the sub-accounts contributed to the deterioration on the current account. Merchandise Trade The deficit on the merchandise trade account widened by US$20.1M to US$147.1M relative to March 2000, reflecting a contraction of US$27.3M in earnings from exports which outweighed a US$7.2M reduction in payments for imports. Contributing to the decline in the value of exports was a reduction of US$10.7M in earnings from major traditional exports, attributed mainly to lower receipts of US$10.9M for sugar exports, as well as a decline of US$6.0M in earnings from non-traditional exports. The decline in earnings from sugar exports resulted from the postponement of a shipment, traditionally made in March, to April 2001. Services The services account recorded a surplus of US$70.6M for the review month, US$3.4M below the surplus recorded for March 2000. The reduced surplus mainly reflected the combined effect of an increase of US$1.2M for transportation charges and higher payments of US$2.8M for other services. Income The income account recorded a deficit of US$26.6M for March 2001, relative to the deficit of US$28.1M recorded for March 2000, primarily reflecting a reduction of US$2.0M in net investment income outflows. Current Transfers Net receipts from current transfers declined by US$17.1M to US$69.7M for March 2001, relative to the comparable month of 2000. Largely accounting for this performance was a contraction of US$23.1M in inflows to the official sector, reflecting the exceptional inflows as payments for cellular licenses in 2000. Capital and Financial Accounts A surplus of US$1.9M was recorded on the capital account for March 2001, US$0.2M below the surplus recorded in March 2000. The financial account registered a surplus of US$31.5M, representing an expansion of US$39.1M relative to March 2000. Within the financial account, a surplus of US$220.7M for private investments was recorded, along with a small deficit of US$9.5M arising from official financial transactions. The surplus associated with private investments was largely reflective of the divestment of the Jamaica Public Service Company. In conjunction with the surplus on the capital account, the private sector surplus was more than sufficient to accommodate the deficits of the official sector and the current account, thus contributing to a build-up of US$179.7M in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica for the month. For the period April 2000 to March 2001 the current account deficit narrowed by US$3.4M to US$369.4M, relative to the deficit recorded for the period April 1999 to March 2000. The improvement reflected higher net receipts from services and current transfers, which outweighed expansions in net payments on the goods and income accounts. Merchandise Trade Over the period, the trade deficit deteriorated by US$175.3M to US$1 426.6M relative to the deficit recorded for FY1999/00. This resulted from an expansion of US$133.2M in payments for imports and a fall-off in earnings of US$42.1M from exports. For imports, growth was attributed to higher spending of US$89.9M on fuels and US$41.8M on other raw material imports. The decline in exports emanated largely from the contraction of US$34.1M in earnings from the export of sugar. In addition, there were reductions in the price of sugar on the international market. Services For the review period a surplus of US$617.9M was recorded on the services account, US$64.7M above the surplus recorded for the previous fiscal year. Within this account, respective improvements of US$77.9M and US$12.2M in net travel receipts and payments for transportation services compensated for the higher payments for other services. Net travel receipts benefited from a 9.3 per cent upturn in total visitor arrivals for the period, driven by a 14.4 per cent increase in cruise passenger arrivals. Income The income account recorded a deficit of US$383.3M for the review period, representing a deterioration of US$14.2M relative to the deficit recorded for FY1999/00. The widening of the income account was attributed to higher net investment outflows of US$38.0M, arising from increased interest payments associated with Government of Jamaica debt and profit remittances of the direct investment companies. However, improved interest earnings of US$23.8M on Bank of Jamaica’s foreign assets served as a countervailing influence. Current Transfers Net receipts from current transfers expanded by US$128.2M to US$822.6M for the review period relative to the period April 1999 to March 2000. Higher net inflows of US$59.0M attributed to the sale of two cellular licenses accounted for the improvement in net official inflows, while the growth in private sector transfers reflect a US$99.1M increase in private remittances. Capital & Financial Accounts The capital and financial accounts recorded respective surpluses of US$17.9M and US$351.5M for the review year. Within the financial account net official inflows of US$353.4M, associated mainly with Government’s foreign borrowing, and net inflows of US$580.9M relating to private investments were more than sufficient to finance the deficit on the current account, and facilitate a buildup of US$582.8M in the net international reserves of the Bank of Jamaica. At the end of March 2001, the level of gross reserves stood at US$1361.9M, representing approximately 24.0 weeks of goods imports and 16.4 weeks of imports of goods and services. The following table shows the balance of payments for March 2000 and March 2001, and for the periods April 1999 to March 2000 and April 2000 to March 2001. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS SUMMARY (US$M) 1. CURRENT ACCOUNT A. GOODS and SERVICES a. GOODS BALANCE Exports (f.o.b.) Imports (f.o.b.) b. SERVICES BALANCE Transportation Travel Other Services B. INCOME Compensation of employees Investment Income C. CURRENT TRANSFERS Official Private 2. CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT A. CAPITAL ACCOUNT a. Capital Transfers Official Private b. Acq./disposal of non-prod. non-fin'l assets B. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT Other official investment Other private investment 3/ Reserves 1/ Revised 2/ Provisional 3/ Includes errors & omissions BANK OF JAMAICA 1/ Mar 2000 2/ Mar 2001 1/ Apr-Mar 1999/00 2/ Apr-Mar 2000/01 5.7 -53.0 -127.0 146.9 273.9 74.0 -16.6 116.9 -26.3 -28.1 0.8 -28.9 86.8 27.8 59.0 -5.7 2.1 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.0 -7.8 -0.7 105.8 -112.9 -33.4 -76.5 -147.1 119.6 266.7 70.6 -17.8 117.5 -29.1 -26.6 0.3 -26.9 69.7 4.7 65.0 33.4 1.9 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 31.5 -9.5 220.7 -179.7 -372.8 -698.1 -1251.3 1550.6 2801.9 553.2 -241.6 1058.3 -263.5 -369.1 67.3 -436.4 694.4 72.8 621.6 372.8 17.7 17.7 9.0 8.7 0.0 355.1 -123.2 600.3 -122.0 -369.4 -808.7 -1426.6 1508.5 2935.1 617.9 -229.4 1136.2 -288.9 -383.3 67.3 -450.6 822.6 131.8 690.8 369.4 17.9 17.9 10.8 7.1 0.0 351.5 353.4 580.9 -582.8