News Release 25 January 2010 Jamaica Balance of Payments1 September 2009 Provisional data for September 2009 show that there was an improvement in the current account deficit of Jamaica’s Balance of Payments. This improvement was primarily due to a contraction in the merchandise trade deficit. Net proceeds from private transactions were insufficient to offset net official investment outflows and the deficit on the capital and current accounts. In this context, the net international reserves (NIR) declined, albeit marginally, for the month. Influenced by lower payments for fuel imports, there was a decline in the merchandise trade deficit for the period January to September 2009. This was largely responsible for a contraction in the current account deficit over the period. Net official and private inflows were more than sufficient to offset the current account deficit. consequence, there was an increase in the NIR of the Bank of Jamaica for the period. September 2009 Provisional data indicate that the current account deficit narrowed by US$90.4 million in September 2009, relative to the deficit in September 2008 (see Table). This improvement stemmed primarily from a contraction of US$115.3 million (42.5 per cent) in spending on fuel imports largely reflecting a 33.2 per cent decrease in the average price of crude oil on the international market in September 2009, relative to September 2008. With the exception of miscellaneous commodities, which increased by 14.6 per cent, all the other categories of imports also recorded double digit declines. The impact of the fall in imports on the merchandise trade deficit was partly offset by declines of US$97.8 million (82.3 per cent), and US$21.7 million (56.1 per cent) in earnings from alumina and mineral fuel exports, respectively. 1 For more details see Balance of Payments Monthly Statistical Update at http://www.boj.org.jm/publications_home.php 1 As a There were also improvements in the services and current transfers sub-accounts. With regard to the services sub-account, the improvement was principally due to the continued decline in net transportation payments, associated with the lower level of imports. Growth in current transfers reflected higher official grant inflows of US$19.0 million and US$10.02 million from the European Union which were received for debt reduction and national security sector reform, respectively. This offset a 17.3 per cent decline in gross private remittances. An increase in the deficit on the income sub-account was the sole offsetting influence to the improvement of the above noted sub-accounts. The expansion in the deficit on the income sub-account was mainly attributed to declines in compensation to employees and lower investment income inflows. With regard to financing, net inflows from private investment transactions were insufficient to offset net official investment outflows and the deficits on the current and capital accounts. As a result, the NIR of the Bank of Jamaica declined marginally by US$1.0 million for the month. January – September 2009 There was a US$1 735.2 million reduction in the current account deficit for the period January to September 2009, relative to the comparable period in 2008. An improvement in the merchandise trade deficit was the main source of the reduction, stemming primarily from a decline of US$1 909.8 million (64.5 per cent) in the value of mineral fuel imports. There were also declines in the value of all the other categories of imports, with the exception of miscellaneous commodities. The impact of the contraction in imports on the merchandise trade deficit was partly offset by lower earnings from major traditional exports, particularly alumina, as well as non-traditional exports, mainly ethanol. For the review period, there was also an improvement in the services sub-account. The increase in the surplus on the services sub-account resulted from a fall in freight and insurance charges, related to the reduction in the value of imports. Net earnings from travel also increased marginally reflecting a 19.8 per cent decline in spending of Jamaicans travelling abroad. 2 The impact of the improvement in the merchandise trade and services sub-accounts on the current account deficit was, however, partly offset by an increase in the deficit on the income sub-account, as well as lower net current transfers. The deterioration in the income account was related to contractions in inflows associated with compensation to employees and investment income. The decline in current transfers reflected a contraction of 14.9 per cent in gross remittance inflows. In relation to financing, net official and private investment inflows were more than sufficient to finance the current account deficit. As a result, there was an increase of US$160.3 million in the NIR during the review period. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS SUMMARY US$MN 1/ September 1/ September Jan-Sep Jan-Sep 2008 2009 Change 2008 2009 Change 1. CURRENT ACCOUNT -240.4 -149.9 90.4 -2309.1 -573.9 1735.2 A. GOODS BALANCE -376.6 -306.0 70.6 -3863.7 -2271.6 1592.1 Exports (f.o.b.) 246.6 107.7 -138.9 2276.7 1044.4 -1232.3 Imports (f.o.b.) 623.1 413.7 -209.5 6140.5 3316.0 -2824.4 B. SERVICES BALANCE -25.3 -3.1 22.2 325.8 613.1 287.3 Transportation -62.5 -40.7 21.7 -506.3 -264.9 241.4 Travel 78.9 76.2 -2.7 1321.6 1329.6 8.0 Other Services -41.7 -38.6 3.2 -489.5 -451.6 37.9 -34.3 -39.4 -5.1 -404.7 -435.2 -30.5 -18.8 C. INCOME Compensation of employees 12.1 10.0 -2.2 47.7 28.9 Investment Income -46.4 -49.3 -2.9 -452.4 -464.1 -11.7 D. CURRENT TRANSFERS 195.8 198.5 2.7 1633.5 1519.8 -113.7 Official 7.8 37.1 29.3 76.3 124.5 48.2 Private 188.0 161.4 -26.5 1557.3 1395.4 -161.9 240.4 149.9 -90.4 2309.1 573.9 -1735.2 A. CAPITAL ACCOUNT 4.6 -2.4 -7.0 26.0 18.4 -7.6 a. Capital Transfers 4.6 -2.4 -7.0 26.0 18.4 -7.6 2. CAPITAL & FINANCIAL ACCOUNT Official 7.0 0.6 -6.4 48.6 45.2 -3.3 Private -2.4 -3.0 -0.5 -22.6 -26.9 -4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1727.6 b. Acq./disposal of non-prod. non-fin'l assets B. FINANCIAL ACCOUNT 235.9 152.4 -83.5 2283.1 555.5 Other official investment 27.4 -0.7 -28.1 558.0 168.3 -389.7 Other private investment 2/ 171.7 152.0 -19.6 2098.5 547.5 -1551.0 Reserves 36.8 1.0 -373.4 -160.3 1/ Provisional 2/ Includes errors & omissions BANK OF JAMAICA 3 4