East Stroudsburg University Environmental Scan and Five-Year Budget Projection 1|Page Donna R. Bulzoni, CPA, MBA, SPHR March 1, 2012 March 1, 2012 Table of Contents Overview…………………………………………………………………………....…..3 Economic Outlook…………………………………………………………….…...…4-5 Government……………………………………….……………………….……..…..6-7 Economic Development………………………………………………….….……...8-9 Facilities…………………………………………………………….……………....10-11 Human Resources………………………………………………………………..….…12 Financial Resources……………………………………………………….……....13-14 Enrollment……………………………………………………………………..…...15-17 Fund Raising……………………………………………………………….…….……..18 Budget Highlights…………………………………………………………..…….…...19 Five-Year Budget Projections………………………………………………....…20-21 2|Page Overview It is daunting….. Excerpt from PASSHE ‘s Statement on Gov. Corbett‟s 2012-13 proposed budget: “The proposed budget represents the latest in a cascade of reductions to the State System in the past 18 months. If this proposal stands, we will have lost more than $170 million in state and federal education and general funding, compounded by a 50 percent reduction in our capital allocation and the loss of Key ’93 funding dedicated to deferred maintenance. Taken together, these reductions now mean that we must increasingly decide whether to renovate and maintain our existing physical plant or provide students the courses and programs they require to graduate.” We are being challenged as we have never been before. As this Environmental Scan is prepared, events outside East Stroudsburg University’s control continue to negatively impact our University. Just a few short weeks ago, the Governor requested a 5% freeze, approximately $1.2M for ESU, of this year’s state appropriation with the promise it will be released should the Commonwealth’s revenue picture improve by the close of the fiscal year. As of this writing, the PASSHE Board of Governor’s has not agreed to this request. Additionally, last week the Governor made his annual budget announcement and issued his budget proposal for Fiscal Year 2012-2013. Implications for the Pennsylvania State System of Higher Education and East Stroudsburg University should it pass are not good, resulting in further reductions in state appropriation. The Governor’s budget also called for a 5% reduction in student aid which could impact enrollment should students find themselves unable to identify alternative financing options. These are very telling times for East Stroudsburg University. It is becoming more and more difficult to manage resources when state funding has become so tenuous and students’ behavior is becoming exceedingly unpredictable. We need to find ways to work smarter, with less resources (both human and capital), while staying focused on our mission and keeping our students as our first priority. Our viability hinges on it. 3|Page Economic Outlook The National Outlook States continue to be fiscally challenged as we enter the fifth year of the current recession. According to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, new state budget estimates for the upcoming fiscal year indicate states still face a long and uncertain recovery. Twenty-nine states (see Figure 1-states highlighted in blue) have projected or have addressed shortfalls totaling $44 billion for fiscal year 2013, the fiscal year that begins July 1, 2012. This number is also expected to grow as new projections are released. In recent years, the extremely large shortfalls in state budgets have been filled with deep cuts in critical public services like education, health care, and human services. Given there are fewer options for addressing the projected shortfalls for next fiscal year, further cuts in these same areas are expected to fill the new budget gaps. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Funds provided to the states by the Federal Government allowed states to avert some of the most harmful potential budget cuts in 2009, 2010 and 2011 fiscal years. However, those funds have evaporated and we are expecting some of the deepest cuts to state services since the start of the recession. States' fiscal conditions are improving but they have far to go (see Figure 3). State tax revenue grew 8.3 percent in the 12-month period ending in June 2011. However, to put things into perspective, if revenues continue to grow at last year's rate, it will take seven years to rebound. Although the revenue outlook is trending upward, the large budget shortfalls states are facing are huge by historical standards (See Figure 2). Overall, the economy remains weak and unemployment is still high. 4|Page growth. The gap between the two rates of growth is expected to reemerge beginning in 2012 and continuing through at least 2015. The Pennsylvania Outlook The Commonwealth’s economic performance is largely hinged upon job growth. During the current recession, Pennsylvania lost nearly 234,000 jobs. Job growth returned in 2010 but at very modest levels. The following table shows actual job growth in the Commonwealth in years 2010 and 2011 and forecasted job growth for 2012 (by December 2012). As you can see, job growth is expected to accelerate during 2012. Pennsylvania Job Growth Economic Growth Year Pennsylvania Nation 2008 .2% (.3)% 2009 (1.7)% (3.5)% Year Net New Jobs 2010 3.0% 3.0% 2010 64,000 2011 1.7% 1.7% 2011 60,000 2012 (forecast) 80,000 (by 12/2012) The Commonwealth’s unemployment rate peaked at 9.3 percent in July 2010 and is steadily declining. It is forecast to remain relatively constant at around 8 percent for 2012 and 2013, before declining to 7.3 percent in 2014 and 6.4 percent in 2015. In 2009, Pennsylvania’s rate of growth in real personal income declined 2.9 percent while the nation as a whole dropped 4.4 percent. Since that time, the commonwealth’s growth rate has very closely mirrored that of the national growth rate. For 2012, Pennsylvania’s growth in real personal income is expected to equal that of the national average. Growth in Real Personal Income Year Pennsylvania Nation 2009 (2.9)% (4.4)% 2010 1.5% 1.9% 2011 2.1% 2.3% 2012 2.1% 2.1% The Commonwealth has outperformed the national economy during 2008 through 2010. In 2011, the Pennsylvania and national economies expanded at roughly the same rate of 1.7 percent annual 5|Page Government Given East Stroudsburg University’s position as a member of the Pennsylvania State System of Higher Education and a “state-owned” institution, trends in governmental activity are relevant to our future financial health. The burden of addressing this issue has been shifted to the students by increasing tuition and fees. The following graph compares appropriation versus tuition and fees only (the previous graph includes all other E&G revenue sources). For Fiscal Year 2011-2012, after factoring in the Governor’s 5% appropriation freeze, approximately 21.1% of the University’s operating budget is derived from state appropriations, now approximately $20.4 million per year. With the Governor’s latest proposed reduction for the upcoming fiscal year, it drops to 17.2% or approximately $16.3M. Where once the University received approximately 2/3s of its operating budget through state appropriations, for Fiscal Year 20112012 it received slightly more than 1/5. FY 2011-2012 Revenue 21% 79% Appropriation (incl AFRP & Perf Fndg) Other For the past 15 years, appropriations have not kept pace with either student growth or increased costs due to inflation. The following chart shows PASSHE Appropriation per Student FTE as adjusted for inflation in 2010 dollars for the period Fiscal Year 2000-2001 through Fiscal Year 2010-2011. As a result of this shift, college affordability continues to decline. The National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education’s Policy, in their Alert-June 2011, made the following observations regarding college affordability: College Affordability… Many students are not able to keep pace with rising tuition, because family earnings have lost ground over the past decade. Tuition at two-year and four-year institutions has outpaced median family income in the majority of states—and in all states where community colleges are most critical to access to college opportunity and to the baccalaureate degree. Student financial aid did not keep pace with tuition costs, exacerbating the college affordability problem. Forty-four percent of low-income students (those with a family income of less than $25,000 per year) attend community colleges as their first college after high school. The most underserved populations are among the least able to afford steeply rising tuition, least likely to enroll in college, and least likely to complete degrees and certificates 6|Page PASSHE and its 14 universities, however, have remained competitively affordable. An additional issue of some importance to public higher education is the increased concern on the parts of the executive and legislative branches of government on accountability. Government expects public universities to run efficiently and to use the public funds provided as prudently as possible. Further, government expects results from the universities it funds in the form of well-trained students, who move expeditiously through their academic programs and become capable of contributing to the state’s economy. According to the PASSHE news post: East Stroudsburg University and PASSHE have been successful in meeting these expectations, producing skilled, successful graduates. According to the most recent data available from the PASSHE Institutional Resources Office, about 500,000 PASSHE alumni live and work in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. “PASSHE’s cumulative tuition and fee increases over the last five years are among the lowest in the nation. According to the latest national comparison of tuition and fee rates conducted by the Washington Higher Education Coordinating Board, PASSHE’s cumulative increases over the last five years rank fifth lowest among all public university systems made up of similar institutions (comprehensive universities – those focused primarily on teaching). The System total is about half the national average. PASSHE’s annual tuition increases have been below the rate of inflation in four of the last six years. Year Tuition $ Increase % Increase 2005-06 $4,906 $96 2.00% 2006-07 $5,038 $132 2.70% 2007-08 $5,177 $139 2.75% 2008-09 $5,538 $181 3.50% 2009-10 $5,554 $196 3.70% 2010-11 $5,804 $250 4.50% The average total cost of attendance – combined tuition, fees, room and board – at a PASSHE university is $602 below the average among all public colleges and universities in the nation and $2,433 below the average in the region. (Based on annual cost survey conducted by the College Board. The Middle States region comprises Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania and Washington, D.C.)” 7|Page Economic Development Monroe County, with a population of 169,896, is one of the fastest growing counties in Pennsylvania. Faced with an unemployment rate of 8.6% (higher than the 7.2% state averages as of December 2011), the County is focusing on ways to attract, retain and support businesses in new, knowledge-based industry clusters. Additionally, Monroe County’s lack of high paying jobs has resulted in over 25,000 people commuting daily for employment opportunities and higher wages in New York and New Jersey. The county’s tactical location has resulted in Monroe County being defined as a separate “Micropolitan” and as an “Exurbia” area which refers to the fastgrowing communities on the outer fringe, beyond the suburbs of major metropolitan communities, with a growing number of urban commuters. These regional economic challenges and geographic opportunities have positioned East Stroudsburg University as a major hub for innovation, science and technology in northeastern Pennsylvania. In 2007, ESU established the College of Business and Management to better prepare students for the global marketplace, and the division of Research and Economic Development (RED) to address the critical role higher education plays in economic development and to engage the university in economic development initiatives within the scope of its academic mission. These initiatives, strategically aligned with the university’s Research and Business Park, Science and Technology Center, Pocono Mountains Keystone Innovation Center and recently completed Innovation Center, are attracting entrepreneurial businesses and collaborative research opportunities to the region. The 51,000 sq. ft. Innovation Center includes business accelerator space and wet labs to support start-up companies. Over the past five years, the ESU Business Accelerator Program created 122.5 jobs, retained 120 jobs, and relocated/lost 42.5 jobs. The university’s Business Accelerator Program and Entrepreneurial Leadership Center are attracting start-up companies and providing entrepreneurial experiences for students and faculty in competitive industry sectors including homeland security, financial services, biotechnology/life sciences, information technology, healthcare, and advanced manufacturing. These initiatives provide a strong foundation for regional alliances and academic collaboration that prepare students to be employed and competitive in a global economy. East Stroudsburg University’s contributions to regional economic development efforts are noteworthy. According to the most recent data available from PASSHE, East Stroudsburg University is the ninth largest employer in Monroe County, providing 806 jobs directly and creating a total employment impact of 1,206 jobs. The university generates more than $273.5 million annually in direct and indirect business stimulus in Pennsylvania, $109.9 million annually in Monroe County, and $18.3M in East Stroudsburg and Stroudsburg. This encompasses the impact spending by the institution, faculty, staff, students and visitors. Additionally, ESU is located on 256 acres located in East Stroudsburg Borough and Smithfield Township that are valued at $322M. In the area of Sponsored Projects and Research, in FY 2010-2011, ESU faculty and staff submitted 94 external grants and contracts totaling $6.5M and successfully secured $3.9M. Over the past five years, the Office of Sponsored Projects and Research secured over $18M in support of faculty research, student services, construction and economic development efforts. The following chart shows funds requested and funds awarded for Fiscal Years 2007-08 through 2011-12, to date. 8|Page Millions $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 Request $10.00 Award $5.00 $0.00 Millions The next chart shows how the funds received were invested back into the University, economic development and faculty/student initiatives and projects. $12.00 $10.00 $8.00 $6.00 $4.00 $2.00 $0.00 9|Page Workforce development initiatives during FY 10-11 included administering $280,269 in employee-training grants involving 28 businesses and training over 1360 employees. The Entrepreneurial Leadership Center (ELC) sponsored ESU’s Entrepreneurial Boot Camps and Student Business Plan Competitions. Since the launch of the ELC in 2008, over 1,000 student has been introduced to entrepreneurship through the efforts of the 31 faculty and staff who participated in Entrepreneurship Across the Colleges. Additionally, through the support of a $100,000 Keystone Innovation Grant (KIG), secured by ESU on behalf of the Pennsylvania State System of Higher Education (PASSHE), a total of 236 students, representing the 14 PASSHE universities, submitted business ideas in the First Annual PASSHE Student Business Plan Competition. The grant also funds faculty commercialization and marketing efforts for the PASSHE Technology Transfer and Commercialization Resource Network. The Network provides an integrated approach to protecting intellectual property and advancing faculty and student commercialization across the fourteen PASSHE universities. The KIG grant also supports PASSHE’s partnerships with the Penn State Research Foundation (PSRF). PSRF currently serves as PASSHE’s Technology Transfer and Communication Office. ESU is currently commercializing Lyme-Aid, a tick testing kit for people and pets. Lyme-Aid was created through the ESU Student Business Plan Competition. Legislative appropriations supporting economic development initiatives during FY 10-11 included a $459,500 grant from the Monroe County Local Share Account – Gaming Funds to expand the University’s Business Accelerator Program. Funding secured for the construction and facilities in the ESU Innovation Center totaled $5.8M while ESU economic development initiatives secured $2.4M. Facilities Capital Budget The Capital Budget of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania provides for the acquisition, design, construction, and/or renovation of new or existing Commonwealth buildings, facilities, physical betterments or improvements. Specifically in the area of education, the Commonwealth’s Capital Budget provides for construction, expansion, renovation and conversion of classrooms and auxiliary buildings, utilities and recreational facilities for the State System of Higher Education, state-owned schools and state-related universities. Over the past five fiscal years, East Stroudsburg University was approved funding for the following projects: Project Science & Technology Building Renovation of Monroe Hall Keystone Commons Library Renovation Amount Approved $20,600,000 $ 7,800,000 Facilities Status $75,000,000 $25,000,000 An analysis of our physical assets shows a large part of our building inventory has moved across the 25 year threshold. While the expected acquisition of the Innovation Center, the life cycle renovation of Monroe Hall and replacement of residence halls will help, the situation will not improve until the completion of the Keystone Center. In addition, the loss of a funding stream dedicated to revitalization, i.e. Key 93 or deferred maintenance funds, as previously mentioned, is expected to adversely affect the physical plant, if left unaddressed, and tax the operating budget. Many of the projects, including back-fill and some deferred maintenance needs, have been placed on hold because of the budgetary constraints. However, essential repairs and critical needs have been adequately addressed using operating funds For Fiscal Year 2010-11, PASSHE had received $130M in capital appropriation from the Commonwealth. This amount was cut in half to $65M for Fiscal Year 2011-12. We are still uncertain whether this cut will have any impact on the funding of Keystone Commons. Key 93 Historically, PASSHE and its 14 universities have received a share of the Commonwealth’s transfer tax revenue to be used to fund deferred maintenance on PASSHE campuses. ESU’s annual share was approximately $700k. This allocation was lost during Fiscal Year 2010-2011 but restored during the current fiscal year only to be lost again for Fiscal Year 2012-13. This is forcing PASSHE universities, including ESU, to identify other funding sources for deferred maintenance. Given studies conducted by Sightlines, Inc. have and continue to show a growing backlog of deferred maintenance requirements for ESU (see chart that follows for latest available assessment), it is critical we address these needs in order to maintain and preserve our existing physical plant. Therefore, ESU has added a line item to the Education & General Operating Budget in the amount of $700k for deferred maintenance. As proposed in the Campus Facilities Master Plan, approved by the Council of Trustees in April 2010, the design to build a new Keystone Center which will house the library, the student center, the computing and telecommunications department and various multicultural programs was awarded by the Department of General Services to the joint venture of Ewing Cole and WTW Architects. This new building will be constructed in two phases on the site of the existing Center for Hospitality Management and the University Center. The student referendum for the student center portion of the new building passed in November 2010. The Office of Budget and the Governor released design funds for the first phase of the project on December 10, 2010. 10 | P a g e The Campus Facilities Master Plan proposes the University will continue to grow to a headcount of 8,500 students over the next 10 to 15 years. Growth is currently constrained due to the need for more student residence halls, additional classroom and faculty office space, and parking. However, projects are on the horizon to move us in the right direction. For example, the life cycle renovation of Monroe Hall is well underway, with expected completion in Summer of 2012. Afterward, LaRue and its annexes will be demolished. University Properties, Inc., an affiliated non-profit organization, under a contract with Allen & O’Hara Development Corporation of Memphis, Tennessee, built 969 beds of new suite style housing in two buildings on the campus northwest of the intersection of Normal and Smith Streets. Planning is currently underway to demolish Hawthorn and Hemlock Residence Halls and the Campus Police Station to create a site where one additional building +/- 500 beds will be constructed. The newly built residence halls include offices for Residence Life, Campus Police and a new Fitness Center. The new building will house the Health and Counseling Center. 11 | P a g e Parking continues to pose a challenge for the University. As a condition of the Borough’s approval of the first phase of the UPI Student Housing project, the University implemented a parking management plan to better manage, allocate, and control parking and to possibly add parking, if required. The Borough of East Stroudsburg is in the process of revising their zoning ordinance with respect to parking requirements for the University IU Zoning. The preliminary analysis of this draft ordinance indicates the Borough will require the University to construct 400 to 1,000 additional parking spaces before it will approve any future new construction projects. Surface parking spaces cost approximately $6,000 per space while a new parking garage is estimated to cost $15,000$20,000 per space. Although we can all agree that more convenient parking is desirable, there is no source of funds for new parking lots or garages except parking fees. The University is thus moving forward a plan to build a parking structure for 600 to 800 cars and a funding model based on a new student fee is currently being developed. Human Resources One of ESU’s greatest resources is it’s human resources. In Fall 2011, there were 686 full‐time employees and 157 part‐time employees at East Stroudsburg University. Of these, 298 were full‐time faculty and 69 were part‐time faculty. 89% of the full‐time faculty was tenured or on tenure‐track and 82% held the doctorate or other terminal degree. At this juncture, however, given the recent proposed cut in state appropriation and largely unpredictable rollercoaster-like enrollments, it is becoming extremely difficult to keep our human resource complement entirely intact. In comparison, in Fall 2010, there were 731 full‐time employees and 76 part‐time employees at East Stroudsburg University. Of these, 332 were full‐time faculty and 61 were part‐time faculty. 84% of the full‐time faculty was tenured or on tenure‐track and 75.7% held the doctorate or other terminal degree. The following pie chart depicts the allocation of salaries between the various bargaining units and management. 5% 16% 16% …the real value of our human resources lies in the human capital of this institution. It is about the skills, knowledge, personality, experience and creativity that can and do make us a dynamic institution and a place our students (and we) want to be. 60% 3% APSCUF SCUPA Managers AFSCME Other The value of our Human Resources, however, does not lie in numbers…..the real value of our human resources lies in the human capital of this institution. It is about the infinite value of each individual employee and his or her contributions to our campus and our students’ success stories….It is about the skills, knowledge, personality, experience and creativity of our human resources that can and do make us a dynamic institution and a place our students (and we) want to be. Administration recognizes the infinite capital of our human resources. Therefore, in an effort to preserve this human capital, several significant budgetary decisions were made in recent years based on three principles: Save full-time faculty positions Maintain the quality of education and services to our students Save permanent, full-time staff 12 | P a g e Financial Resources East Stroudsburg University is fiscally sound, receiving an unqualified opinion on its audited financial statements for Fiscal Year 2010-11. For the past five fiscal years, ESU has enjoyed increases in net assets as follows: (Note: state appropriation is considered non-operating revenue and, thus, excluded from this table.) As is the case with revenues, University operating expenditures have been consistent and predictable. To follow is a Total Operating Expenses summary (in thousands). 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 46,395 44,969 42,560 40,637 39,024 535 1,065 1,237 1,276 1,793 2,274 1,913 1,592 1,264 1,184 10,661 11,641 10,063 7,077 6,841 8,618 8,614 8,170 8,155 8,114 Institutional Support 15,789 16,145 16,653 16,272 14,461 Operations & Maintenance of Plant 7,641 7,602 8,234 7,160 8,407 Depreciation 6,984 6,105 5,623 3,827 3,886 Student Aid 3,817 3,434 2,844 2,790 2,710 Auxiliary Enterprises 13,554 12,516 12,171 12,300 10,381 116,268 114,004 109,147 100,758 96,801 Instruction Research Public Service Academic Support The sources of the University’s operating revenues have been consistent and predictable. To follow is a Total Operating Revenues summary (in thousands). 2011 Tuition & Fees Grants & Contracts 53,253 14,218 2010 2009 51,658 49,561 13,887 11,497 2008 2007 46,253 43,585 10,362 12,804 Sales & Services of Educational Departments 1,775 Auxiliary Enterprises 20,277 19,634 19,086 16,927 15,960 64 748 703 619 687 89,587 87,205 82,299 75,356 74,089 Other Revenues Total 13 | P a g e 1,278 1,452 1,195 Student Service 1,053 Total The Board of Governors adopted Policy 2011-01 on April 7, 2011. The purpose of the policy is to establish expectations for long-term financial health of System entities through the measure of unrestricted net assets and operating margins. The policy requires Presidents and the Chancellor to maintain adequate unrestricted net assets at each PASSHE entity to: of the University’s current year Educational and General revenue. Additionally, Universities are required to maintain an operating margin annually within the range of 2% to 4%. a. Protect the System and individual PASSHE entities in cases of sudden revenue reductions; b. Provide resources to address unanticipated expenses, including emergencies; and, c. Prepare for multiyear planning needs. ESU met these requirements for Fiscal Year 2010-2011, reporting a Ratio of Unrestricted Net Assets to Education & General Revenue of 13.42% and an Operating Margin of 4.27%. The policy goes on to state that University unrestricted net asset balances shall be maintained annually within the range of 5% to 10% University Financial Health Indicators (per BOG Policy 2011-01) 1. University unrestricted net asset balances shall be maintained annually within the range of 5% to 10% of the University's current year Educational and General Revenue. Unrestricted net assets Educational & General Revenue (excludes Auxiliary and Restricted) Ratio of Unrestricted Net Assets to E&G Revenue 12,648,919 94,285,069 13.42% 2. The University operating margin shall be maintained annually within the range of 2% to 4% . (Per Moody's calculation) Total Operating Revenues Reduced by Student Aid expense State appropriations, general and restricted (including ARRA) Investment income, net of related expenses Gifts for other than capital purposes Net Operating Revenues (denominator) 89,587,000 (3,817,170) 27,467,244 788,228 1,324,439 115,349,741 Total Operating Expenses Less Student Aid Interest expense on capital asset-related debt Less change in postretirement benefits liability Net Operating Expenses 116,267,992 (3,817,170) 2,298,210 (4,324,051) 110,424,981 Operating Margin (numerator) Operating Ratio 4,924,760 4.27% 14 | P a g e Enrollment The Division of Enrollment Management prepares a Freshman & Transfer Enrollment Plan for each Fall semester. This plan includes enrollment target recommendations for the upcoming Fall semester, retention strategies, financial considerations, and an enrollment goals time table. Historical Enrollment Trends The Division of Enrollment Management recognizes the need for both short-term and long-term enrollment management plans that encompass summer, winter, academic year, graduate students and alumni. With the search for a new Vice President for Enrollment Management complete and the appointment of a new vice president, we are hopeful work on a comprehensive plan will begin in the Spring of 2012. ESU continues to see growth in its undergraduate programs. However, our graduate school program was heavily based in teacher education and, as a result of the Governor’s cuts in K-12 funding, we are beginning to feel the effects in our graduate school enrollment. We are looking at the next few years as building years as we develop new programs and expand our graduate distance education programs. Until such plan is available, ESU’s budget projections will continue to be prepared in collaboration with the University’s Office of Academic and Institutional Effectiveness. Historically, the university’s enrollment goals have been loosely organized around a sense of our potential for growth, which has been considered great, tempered by the desire to retain the intimate instructional atmosphere that has characterized the university for many years. When the university last completed a master plan, the figure settled on for total enrollment was 8,500 over a 10-15 year period. While unofficial annual projections have been for 1% growth in undergraduates and to allow graduate enrollment to float naturally as capacity for graduates is less constricted, in six of the last seven years, enrollment increases have exceeded those projections. To follow are detail enrollment statistics and graphs displaying trends in enrollment over the past five fiscal years. Enrollment highlights include: Consistent increase in headcount and credit hours from Fall 2007 to Fall 2011 11.7% increase in Undergraduate student headcount from Fall 2007 to Fall 2011 36.3% decrease in Graduate student headcount from Fall 2007 to Fall 2011 Consistent increase in AfricanAmerican student enrollment 15 | P a g e East Stroudsburg University has experienced consistent enrollment growth over the past five years in both headcount and full-time equivalency (FTE). Total Headcount – Fall 2007 – Fall 2011 7800 7600 7400 7200 7000 6800 6600 Headcount 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 7053 7234 7576 7387 7353 Undergraduate Headcount Graduate Headcount 7000 1500 6500 1000 6000 500 5500 Undergraduates 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 5959 6099 6391 6372 6656 0 Graduates 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1094 1135 1185 1015 697 Total Credit Hours – Fall 2007 – Fall 2011 105000 100000 95000 90000 85000 Credit Hours 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 92134 94602.5 98789.5 97799.5 99546 16 | P a g e Future Enrollment Projections ESU understands our growth is constrained by a number of factors: We cannot grow resident enrollment without new student housing. We cannot grow commuter enrollment without additional parking. To address these issues, University Properties, Inc., as discussed in the Facilities section of this scan, constructed a new 969 bed residence hall on ESU property. While these are replacement beds for Hawthorn and Hemlock halls (which will be torn down), a second phase of privatized housing is being explored which will add beds to the complement. Additionally, the University is pursuing the construction of a parking garage on campus which will be funded with a student fee. It is anticipated this garage will relieve the current stress on the campus and reduce spillover into the neighboring community while affording us the opportunity for growth. Additional enrollment growth opportunities exist through the recruitment of the non-traditional student, transfer students, and off-campus students. As indicated earlier, with the appointment of a new Vice President for Enrollment Management, the development of both short- and long-term enrollment management plans is on the not so distant horizon. 17 | P a g e Fundraising Now more than ever, private support through the East Stroudsburg University Foundation (ESUF) Annual Fund is crucial for East Stroudsburg University to make up the losses realized in declining support from the state. Supporting the University’s number one fundraising priority, increasing support for its operating budget, has been the Foundation’s first focus in building fundraising programs. The ESUF Annual Fund provides support for: Financial assistance to students through scholarships Grants to faculty for research Funding for all Alumni events, reunions and activities including Homecoming Charitable incentives, sponsorships and prizes for ESU philanthropy initiatives Special Alumni affinity mailings invitations and newsletters Raising student awareness to embrace a culture of philanthropy The ESUF Annual Fund has been gaining momentum since fiscal year 2009-2010. Year Total Amount Restricted to ESU Programs 2010 $521,927 $355,566 2011 $698,777 $461,505 2012 (through 0131-2012) $493,181 $327,508 The ESUF is cautiously optimistic that we will reach the $800,000 goal this year since 62% of goal has been raised so far this fiscal year with five months remaining. The case to increase support for the ESUF Annual Fund through annual scholarships has begun to resonate with alumni and friends. So much so that the ESUF is pleased to report in FY 11-12 (through January 31, 2012), 23 new annual scholarships to benefit students have been funded for a total of $49,080. In FY 11-12 (through January 31, 2012), the Foundation awarded $232,565 endowed scholarships to 235 students compared to $215,781 to 230 students in FY 10-11. The amount of annual scholarships has increased this fiscal year in both dollars awarded and number awarded over the total of last fiscal year. FY 11-12 through January 31, 2012, the Foundation has awarded $187,228 annual scholarships to 175 students compared to $164,773 to 169 students in FY 10-11. The number of awards and amount awarded for the current fiscal year 2011-2012 reflect disbursements through January 31, 2012. Spring scholarships have yet to be advertised, selected or disbursed. Athletic fundraising is gaining momentum. In FY 11-12 through January 31, 2012, $252,958 has been raised for athletic purposes compared to $232,831 for all of FY 10-11. Athletic fundraising has the potential to continue to increase this fiscal year as we move into spring solicitations for FESUA. The Faculty and Staff Campaign kicked off on February 13th and is in full swing. Unfortunately, results have been dismal. There have been no new donors from the faculty or staff to date. As of January 31, 2012, the ESUF Annual Fund has raised $493,181 toward its $800,000 goal. Of the $493,181, $327,508 is restricted to programs at the university and is enhancement to department budgets. In comparison, for FY 10-11, $698,777 was raised, of which $461,505 was restricted to programs at the university thus enhancing department budgets. Further comparison shows that the ESUF Annual Fund grew 33.5% from FY 09-10 to FY 10-11. 18 | P a g e Notes 19 | P a g e Budget Highlights State Appropriation A great deal of uncertainty surrounds this tenuous revenue source. The budget projections that follow reflect the 5% freeze requested by the Governor in January, 2012 as well as an additional 20% reduction as proposed by the Governor in February, 2012. Off-Campus Revenue Opportunities East Stroudsburg University continues to pursue off-campus opportunities in Philadelphia and Lehigh Valley. These additional revenues and related costs are reflected in the budget. Performance Funding A new methodology for performance measurement is currently being implemented. As it is difficult to predict the impact of the new methodology, we are holding this revenue source constant. Banner Implementation The Banner Implementation is ongoing and requires additional human resources to ensure the project’s success (consultants, temporary employees, and student workers) is anticipated to continue through Fiscal Year 2014-2015 and is included in the budget. Purchase of Innovation Center The University anticipates closing on the Innovation Center in March 2012, with no lease expense anticipated in FY 2012-13 and forward. Deferred Maintenance Due to the loss of Key 93 funding and in an effort to maintain our existing plant, a new line was added to the Education and General Budget in the amount of $700k for deferred maintenance. The 2012-2013 Education and General Budget Early projections show a projected deficit of $4.4 million. A number of mandatory costs were considered in the development of this budget. A total of $824k in pension and healthcare cost increases are built into the budget. Other costs include $4.6M of debt service due to capital projects committed to and/or completed in prior years. The budget that follows was prepared using the following assumptions: East Stroudsburg University Education & General Budget Assumptions Fiscal Year 2012-2013 State Appropriation 20% reduction on top of 5% freeze Performance Funding No increase or decrease Tuition 3% tuition increase; 1% enrollment increase Fees Same as tuition Salaries & Benefits Per PASSHE Budget Assumptions plus LV and Philadelphia Operating Budgets No increase or decrease Debt Service No new debt issuances 20 | P a g e 21 | P a g e 96,377,566.84 TOTAL REVENUE HEAT, LIGHT, WATER & SEWER TELEPHONE AND PANET POSTAGE SHUTTLE SERVICE DESIGNATED REVENUES EXPENSE SUMMER CONFERENCES DIRECT EXPENSE COOPERATING TEACHERS (Object 625.25) CENTRAL CHARGES PAYMENTS MADE CHANCELLOR'S OFFICE ON BEHALF OF ESU IUP COLLABORATIVE DOCTORAL PROGRAM FEE MARINE SCIENCE CONSORTIUM MEMBERSHIP DUES PRESIDENTIAL AWARDS AUDITOR FEES LEGAL FEES $2,411,327.00 $301,234.66 $192,170.46 $230,000.00 $697,000.00 $592,848.00 $148,000.00 $960,237.00 $468,000.00 $35,000.00 $100,000.00 $75,000.00 $53,000.00 $75,000.00 $67,789,153.74 TOTAL EMPLOYMENT COSTS OPERATING EXPENSES: $25,497,618.31 $1,208,483.96 $6,888,308.08 $6,647,344.49 $1,958,215.27 $685,625.00 $1,581,996.43 $2,400,000.00 $259,438.00 $763,015.00 $257,880.00 $55,500.00 $36,300.00 $237,862.00 $108,514.00 $3,573,428.77 $120,000.00 $412,913.00 $564,629.95 $5,987,245.95 $3,703,052.58 $89,537.21 $3,871,370.81 $44,784.00 $836,090.93 SALARIES - APSCUF - INSTRUCTIONAL SALARIES - SCUPA SALARIES - STATE UNIVERSITY MANAGERS SALARIES - AFSCME - 37.5 HRS SALARIES - PLANT GUARDS, NURSES, FT COACHES WAGES STUDENT EMPLOYMENT FACULTY SUMMER SCHOOL PAY FACULTY OVERLOAD REGULARLY SCHEDULED CLASSES OTHER PAY OVERTIME SHIFT DIFFERENTIAL HIGHER CLASS SICK LEAVE PAY OUT ANNUAL LEAVE PAY OUT SOCIAL SECURITY CONTRIBUTIONS UNEMPLOYMENT COMPENSATION WORKER'S COMPENSATION (.5%) EMPLOYEES' HEALTH AND WELFARE FUND EMPLOYEES' HOSPITALIZATION INSURANCE ANNUITANTS' HOSPITAL EMPLOYEES' GROUP LIFE INSURANCE FUND RETIREMENT CONTRIBUTIONS CELL PHONE STIPENDS TUITION WAIVER-EMPLOYEE & DEPENDANTS PERSONNEL EXPENSES 18,049,360.00 319,436.00 2,020,456.00 60,626,115.14 4,396,665.01 1,985,638.69 560,536.00 1,069,543.00 2,785,030.00 3,575,000.00 989,787.00 STATE APPROPRIATION - BASE STATE APPROPRIATION - AFRP STATE APPROPRIATION - PERFORMANCE FUNDING TUITION INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT FEE OTHER STUDENT FEES INCOME ON INVESTMENTS SUMMER CONFERENCE REVENUE INSTRUCTIONAL TECHNOLOGY FEE OTHER INCOME RETURN OF PEBTF DEF PREMIUM CONTRIBUTIONS REVENUE: 2011-2012 2,310,040.00 301,234.66 197,170.46 230,000.00 697,000.00 592,848.00 148,000.00 960,237.00 468,000.00 35,000.00 100,000.00 75,000.00 53,000.00 75,000.00 $69,305,338.30 25,836,526.06 1,236,983.96 6,934,590.39 6,740,407.31 1,958,215.27 685,625.00 1,581,996.43 2,400,000.00 259,438.00 763,015.00 257,880.00 55,500.00 36,300.00 237,862.00 108,514.00 3,633,381.58 120,000.00 412,913.00 610,776.75 5,996,576.47 4,005,167.57 93,188.69 4,434,523.16 44,784.00 861,173.66 94,772,497.23 13,971,509.60 319,436.00 2,020,456.00 63,651,395.75 4,677,903.37 2,045,207.85 566,141.36 1,069,543.00 2,875,904.30 3,575,000.00 2012-2013 2,379,341.20 301,234.66 197,170.46 230,000.00 697,000.00 592,848.00 148,000.00 960,237.00 468,000.00 35,000.00 100,000.00 75,000.00 53,000.00 75,000.00 $71,209,228.34 26,301,583.53 1,259,249.67 7,059,413.02 6,861,734.64 1,993,463.14 685,625.00 1,581,996.43 2,400,000.00 259,438.00 763,015.00 257,880.00 55,500.00 36,300.00 237,862.00 108,514.00 3,692,188.74 120,000.00 412,913.00 659,638.89 5,996,576.47 4,325,580.97 93,191.24 5,115,771.73 44,784.00 887,008.87 97,601,445.89 13,971,509.60 319,436.00 2,020,456.00 66,197,451.58 4,865,019.51 2,106,564.09 571,802.77 1,069,543.00 2,904,663.34 3,575,000.00 2013-2014 2,450,721.44 301,234.66 197,170.46 230,000.00 697,000.00 592,848.00 148,000.00 960,237.00 468,000.00 35,000.00 100,000.00 75,000.00 53,000.00 75,000.00 $74,283,081.25 27,090,631.04 1,297,027.16 7,271,195.40 7,067,586.68 2,053,267.04 685,625.00 1,581,996.43 2,400,000.00 259,438.00 763,015.00 257,880.00 55,500.00 36,300.00 237,862.00 108,514.00 3,791,964.89 120,000.00 412,913.00 712,410.00 6,475,556.15 4,671,628.44 93,195.57 5,881,172.32 44,784.00 913,619.13 100,541,906.32 13,971,509.60 319,436.00 2,020,456.00 68,845,349.64 5,059,620.29 2,169,761.01 577,520.80 1,069,543.00 2,933,709.98 3,575,000.00 2014-2015 Fiscal Years 2011-2012 through 2015-2016 EAST STROUDSBURG UNIVERSITY 2,524,243.08 301,234.66 197,170.46 230,000.00 697,000.00 592,848.00 148,000.00 960,237.00 468,000.00 35,000.00 100,000.00 75,000.00 53,000.00 75,000.00 $78,187,844.56 28,309,709.43 1,355,393.38 7,598,399.20 7,385,628.08 2,145,664.06 685,625.00 1,581,996.43 2,400,000.00 259,438.00 763,015.00 257,880.00 55,500.00 36,300.00 237,862.00 108,514.00 3,946,119.03 120,000.00 412,913.00 769,402.80 6,993,600.64 5,045,357.64 93,200.07 6,640,515.09 44,784.00 941,027.71 103,598,310.25 13,971,509.60 319,436.00 2,020,456.00 71,599,163.63 5,262,005.10 2,234,853.84 583,296.01 1,069,543.00 2,963,047.08 3,575,000.00 2015-2016 Increases vary per year Held constant $.01 incr 1/2012 Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant PASSHE bgt assumptions + LV,Philadelphia PASSHE bgt assumptions + LV,Philadelphia PASSHE bgt assumptions + LV,Philadelphia PASSHE bgt assumptions + LV,Philadelphia PASSHE bgt assumptions + LV,Philadelphia Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Held constant Latest salary increase and benefit assumption data available Held constant Held constant Latest salary increase and benefit assumption data available Latest salary increase and benefit assumption data available Latest salary increase and benefit assumption data available Latest salary increase and benefit assumption data available Latest salary increase and benefit assumption data available Held constant 3% Tuition Increase 5% add'l decr 2012, 20% decr 2013; constant after Held constant Held constant 3.0% Tuition incr; 1% Enrollment incr + LV, Philadelphia 3.0% Tuition incr; 1% Enrollment incr + LV, Philadelphia 3% Increase (1% enrollment + 2% fee increase) Decr 2013 to actual 2012 +1% Increase Held constant 1% Enrollment incr; no rate incr + LV,Philadelphia Held constant Prior year adjustment received in 2012 Budget Assumptions 22 | P a g e $5,535,616.00 TOTAL CAPITAL COSTS $5,501,870.23 TOTAL TRANSFERS $97,979,838.78 ($1,602,271.94) EXPENDITURES AND TRANSFERS TOTAL REVENUE LESS EXPENDITURES AND TRANSFERS TOTAL: $93,043.00 $50,000.00 $258,585.54 $1,547,752.28 $912,547.30 $526,056.00 $359,744.42 $328,601.00 $147,887.78 $554,408.91 $319,436.00 $252,808.00 $151,000.00 SUMMER CONFERENCES SCHOLARSHIP COMMITMENT HARDSHIP GRANTS DEBT SERVICE ON MASTER PLAN PROPERTY ACQUISITIONS DEBT SERVICE ON SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY BUILDING DEBT SERVICE ON GESA PROJECT DEBT SERVICE ON PED SAFETY/STORM WATER MGMT PROJECT DEBT SERVICE MARINE SCIENCE CONSORTIUM SYTEC PROJECT (SAP) DEBT SERVICE ON BANNER DEBT SERVICE ON BOND ON RESEARCH PARK BUILDING ACADEMIC FACILITY RENOVATION PROGRAM - BUDRPT DATA CAPITAL INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENT COMMITMENT BANNER CONSULTANT COSTS TRANSFERS: $40,000.00 $30,000.00 $1,758,666.00 $2,785,030.00 $538,269.00 $383,651.00 $19,153,198.80 $150,000.00 $60,000.00 $120,000.00 $348,967.24 $20,000.00 $1,900,000.00 $6,314,344.92 $701,800.00 $164,883.43 $808,955.59 $175,000.00 $9,450.00 $21,000.00 $20,000.00 $75,000.00 $1,924,980.50 ****** General Support Inst Fee Amt (60.0% ) ****** Non-Add PRESIDENTIAL INITIATIVES FUNDING CLASSROOM FURNITURE INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT FEE EXPENSE INVESTMENT IN INSTRUCTIONAL TECHNOLOGY LIBRARY ACQUISITIONS BUDGET SUMMER CONFERENCE PROCEEDS ALLOCATION CAPITAL: TOTAL OPERATING COSTS PRESIDENTIAL SEARCH BANNER CONSULTANT (FROM PASSHE) CHANCELLORS .5% SHARE OF TUITION & FEES A. COHN MEMORIAL JAZZ COLLECTION SERVICE AGREEMENT WITH ESU FOUNDATION DEPARTMENT OPER BUDGTS LEASE - CENTER FOR RESEARCH & ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT RED BLDG MAINTENANCE ACADEMIC AFFAIRS BUDGET HEARING REQUESTS TRANSPORTATION EXPENSE - COACHES UPWARD BOUND MATCH UPWARD BOUND ROOM & BOARD NEW FACULTY MOVING EXPENSE REIMBURSEMENTS INSURANCE-DGS TUITION WAIVER-OTHER THAN EMPLOYEE DEFERRED MAINTENANCE BAD DEBT EXPENSE OPERATING EXPENSES - Contd.: 2011-2012 175,000.00 9,450.00 20,000.00 2,042,211.81 700,000.00 150,000.00 175,000.00 9,450.00 20,000.00 1,982,729.92 700,000.00 150,000.00 ($4,380,758.08) $99,153,255.31 $5,546,006.07 93,043.00 50,000.00 259,726.15 1,547,871.47 $912,333.69 525,750.56 358,410.41 382,406.00 156,350.00 587,870.79 319,436.00 252,808.00 100,000.00 $5,738,985.65 $40,000.00 $30,000.00 $1,871,161.35 $2,875,904.30 538,269.00 383,651.00 ($3,775,128.95) $101,376,574.83 $5,706,622.53 93,043.00 50,000.00 259,886.22 1,548,231.30 911,151.66 525,994.94 358,493.75 401,698.00 157,750.00 588,129.66 319,436.00 252,808.00 240,000.00 $5,842,591.15 $40,000.00 $30,000.00 $1,946,007.80 $2,904,663.34 538,269.00 383,651.00 $18,618,132.83 164,883.43 164,883.43 $18,562,925.29 $380,368.49 20,000.00 1,900,000.00 6,744,387.77 2013-2014 87,692.00 $366,252.06 20,000.00 1,900,000.00 6,744,387.77 2012-2013 ($4,282,046.05) $104,823,952.37 $5,825,939.90 93,043.00 50,000.00 259,617.78 1,547,158.98 913,145.43 525,745.00 358,243.75 682,250.00 156,500.00 587,991.96 319,436.00 252,808.00 80,000.00 $5,949,478.09 $40,000.00 $30,000.00 $2,023,848.11 $2,933,709.98 538,269.00 383,651.00 $18,765,453.13 2,103,478.17 700,000.00 150,000.00 20,000.00 175,000.00 9,450.00 164,883.43 $395,042.20 20,000.00 1,900,000.00 6,744,387.77 2014-2015 Fiscal Years 2011-2012 through 2015-2016 EAST STROUDSBURG UNIVERSITY ($5,362,887.68) $108,961,197.93 $5,796,252.00 93,043.00 50,000.00 259,767.01 1,547,301.91 913,572.69 525,974.65 359,327.08 682,250.00 155,000.00 587,771.66 319,436.00 252,808.00 50,000.00 $6,059,769.11 $40,000.00 $30,000.00 $2,104,802.04 $2,963,047.08 538,269.00 383,651.00 $18,917,332.26 2,166,582.51 700,000.00 150,000.00 20,000.00 175,000.00 9,450.00 164,883.43 $410,295.35 20,000.00 1,900,000.00 6,744,387.77 2015-2016 Held constant Held constant Assumes no additional financing Assumes no additional financing Assumes no additional financing Assumes no additional financing Per bond statement; assumes 3 participants As per PASSHE SAS Budget Per bond statement Per bond statement Held constant Held constant Computing Center estimate Held constant Held constant 3.0% Tuition increase; 1% Enrollment increase Cgs w/enrollment; assumes 1% increase per year Held constant Held constant to 2/20/2013 Increase at the same rate as tuition and fees Held constant Held constant +Philadelphia, Lehigh Valley 2013; held constant Bldg purchased 2012 Held constant One time 2012 Held constant Held constant One time 2012 Held constant Fleet cars returned 2012-now Enterprise 3% Tuition increase Loss of Key 93 funding Held constant Budget Assumptions