IMPACT OF REGULATORY AND OTHER PUBLIC POLICIES ON COMPETITION IN THE ‘STAPLE FOOD’ SECTOR: EMERGING FINDINGS FROM THE CUTS-CREW PROJECT IN FOUR CONTRIES Presentation by R. S. (Shyam) Khemani Principal, MiCRA, Washington DC, USA and Consultant-Advisor, CUTS Jaipur/New Delhi, India Email contact: rskhemani@aol.com Topics To Be Covered 1. Role and Importance of Competition 2. Constraints to Competition: Public Policy & Private Business Restraints 3. Inter-face Between Economic Regulation & Competition Policies: Promoting Effective Competition 4. CREW Project: Sectors/Countries 5. Emerging Findings 6. Concluding Messages Why Competition & Competition Policy Matter • Why are we interested in competition? ‘Competition is absolutely essential at every stage of economic development’ (Robert Solow, Commission on Growth and Development, May 2008) • Role for Competition Policy ‘ Strong competition policy is not just a luxury to be enjoyed by rich countries, but a real necessity for those striving to create democratic market economies’ (Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize Winner, August 2001) COMPETITIVE PROCESS AUTOMATIC NEEDS To Safeguarded and Sustained NOT Be: Competition can be distorted by public policies and restrictive business practices. Public policy often manipulated by interest groups source of/entrench anticompetitive business practices and policies Results in higher prices, lower/inefficient output, reduced choice and adversely affects consumer (and producer) welfare, investment…….. Adversely impacts especially on the Major Source of Distortions “The ‘really big’ distortions to competition are in poor countries” Distortions to competition are not always obvious: “they have to be dug out of each market”; “they are hard to find…(and) significant forces gain from their existence” (William Lewis, The Power of Productivity, 2004) Why Sector Specific Competition Assessments? Distinction between Systemic vs. Industry/Sector/Case Specific Impact Regulatory reforms such as reducing/eliminating Tariffs & Non-Tariff Barriers to Trade; Restrictions on Ownership-Investment Generally Systemic Impact. Enforcing Competition Law--case by case application Firm/Industry/Sector Impact. Complementary Buttress each other Especially Competition Advocacy Competition Law-Policy & Economic Regulation Competition Law & Policy and Economic Regulation—Complementary or Antithetical? Both deal with ‘Market Failures’ Effective ‘Competition Advocacy’ can foster greater policy coherency and consistency Focus on measures-indicators that matter: Prices, Output, Choice, Access to vital products/critical inputs, Consumer and Producer Welfare…. Focus on policies-regulations least interfere with markets CREW: Competition Reforms in Key Markets for Enhancing Social-Economic Welfare Project Focus on Two ‘Key Sectors’ Across Four Countries Sectors: (i)Passenger Bus Transportation and (ii) Staple Foods Countries: Ghana (Maize), India (Wheat), Philippines (Rice) and Zambia (Maize) Research Approach: Desk and Field Research (including interviews), ‘Perception’ Surveys…… KEY OBJECTIVES OF CREW-KEY SECTOR COMPETITION DIAGNOSTIC COUNTRY REPORTS(DCR) Analyze & evaluate existing sector specific regulatory & economic policies in terms of impact on competition, social and economic welfare Identify gaps/distortions/areas where benefits of competition can be strengthened and improved Build broad based support/informed discussion for increased competition benefits through regulatory-economic policy reforms Recommend & chart appropriate course of action; monitor, evaluate and report outcomes Overall Findings Across Countries Governments have intervened in varying but using broadly similar policy instruments Different roles by government dominance to increased/higher participation by private sector Similar objectives: food security, increase production towards self-sufficiency, stabilize/reduce market fluctuations, provide price support to farmers….. Instruments: Subsidies for critical inputs/consumption, government as purchasertrader-distributor, import restrictions Mixed outcomes distortions < potential EMERGING FINDINGS--INDIA Wheat: Farm Gate to Marketing: Bihar & Rajasthan. Average annual consumption 53Kg per capita Supply chain analysis: India-Typically 9 Intermediaries; US 2-3 Intermediaries Long supply chain Increased costs: Mark-ups India 135% vs. US 9% Wastage: India 8-10% Critical inputs: Fertilizer & Seed Government dominance-subsidization in Fertilizer: Distortionary effects EMERGING FINDINGS—INDIA—Contd. Fertilizer Subsidization Non-optimal usage; productivity stagnant; adverse impact on investment and production Import dependence Seed: Liberalization; Entry Hybrid seeds (high profits); small farmers reliance on own crops Between 1966-2005: 19 Laws/Amendments/Regulatory-Economic Policy changes…..re: seed uncertainty While Barriers to Entry lowered, Low inter-firm competition : Benefits to skewed towards large farmers EMERGING FINDINGS—INDIA—Contd. Marketing-Procurement-WarehousingDistribution: various policies & public sector Institutions Objectives: Provide price support & Reduce Price Fluctuations & Increased Food Security Agricultural Products Marketing Committee (APMC) Foster Investment…. Agricultural Pricing Policy (APP) Price Support Food Corporation of India (FCI) Warehousing Public Distribution System (PDS) Distribution Outlets…. Emerging Recommendations--India Agricultural policies primarily State Government level wide variation in outcomes point to need for policy harmonization, re-vamping, improved implementation. Production: Fertilizer Concerted action to improve ‘enabling environment’ Removal of price controls over inputs (natural gas) & outputs (urea): low-prices low public & private investment…. Production: Seed liberalization private entry, vibrant competition BUT public sector focused on main seeds, private sector on hybrids higher profits Emerging Recommendations—India— Contd. PPP Bihar highly successful similar approach need to be disseminated/adopted in Rajasthan & beyond… Marketing: APMC—Divergent experiences Rajasthan contract farming, direct marketing low private participation Bihar repealed APMC no regulatory oversight no improved competition, low public and private investment…..point to need for multi-pronged, harmonized multi- Emerging Recommendations—India— Contd. Marketing: APP: Procurement extensively bu public sector agencies limited presence in rural areas MSP benefits larger farmers small farmers confront market access problems Distortions: Stock piling-surplus > required quantity increase in wholesale & retail prices Need to promote private participation, increased cross-agency competition, entry through ‘bidding’ for marketing rights…. Emerging Recommendations—India— Contd. Warehousing: Overall private participation low 17% national capacity. Unattractive: Require comprehensive reforms re: availability of land, credit and taxation…. Distribution: Targeted Public Distribution System (TDPS) performanceimplementation issues leakages to wrong beneficiaries, pilferage, financial non-viability…. Fair price shops policy local monopolies Emerging Recommendations—India— Contd. India ‘staple food’ situation indicative of extensive distortions induced by plethora of cumulated ill-designed and poorly implemented policies and regulations coupled with heavily bureaucratic procedures and inept public sector participation that has failed to levarage competition and private sector participation. Requires massive over-haul. EMERGING FINDINGS—Philippines Rice: Paddy field to retail marketing: Metro Manila & Central Luzon. Average annual per capita consumption 114 Kg Supply chain analysis: Significant competition at each stage. Mark-ups low 2-5% at different levels Entry easy, licensing, registration etc. do not pose major barriers National Food Authority (NFA) interventionist regulator with wide-ranging powers Monopoly over imports EMERGING FINDINGS--PhilippinesContd. Many marginal producers & traders Domestic production & yields increased<consumption rice imported As trader NFA does not significantly, directly influences prices BUT As monopoly importer insufficient competition at import level Domestic prices>International prices EMERGING FINDINGS--PhilippinesContd. Import liberalization 10 fold increase in imports (Good or Bad? Food security, adverse impact on small farmers….) WTO ascension trade liberalization measures adopted –rice sector: special treatment Rice prices would decrease 6-7%; Aggregate consumer surplus would increase > reduction in producer surplus Net benefit to economy Key Recommendation: Rice: Philippines Government needs to reconsider its rice import policy re: quotas and tariffs. Reduce/eliminate import quotas, increase private sector participation in imports Move towards full WTO agreement/trade liberalization re: rice Emerging Findings--Ghana Maize: Per capita consumption 44 Kg per annum; Preferred food staple, however 4th largest crop (value terms) Focus on Brong Ahafo and Ashanti Regions— among primary maize producers Cultivation mainly by small resource poor rainfed farmers (2 million) 85% supply consumption (white maize), 15% for poultry and other uses (yellow maize-mainly imports) Gradual increase in production/yield < potential Emerging Findings—Ghana—Contd. Until 1990s lack of comprehensive policy framework Adoption of pro-market-private sector reforms including agriculture: Medium Term Agricultural Development Program (MTADP) pricing-supply liberalization of seed & fertilizer Various other policies-institutions re: agricultural diversification, sector adjustment credits, price stabilization, supply of critical inputs, R&Dproductivity programs, food security among others. Emerging Findings—Ghana—Contd. Creation of: National Food Buffer Stock Co (NAFCO) --Introduction of block farm program-increase mechanization --Subsidies fertilizer and seeds --Purchase surplus/store….. --Determine minimum guaranteed price… --Licensed Buying Co (LBC) net work… 21% Agriculture Sector Budget subsidies (2008) Fertilizer not domestically produced reliance on imports Emerging Findings—Ghana—Contd. Wide range of options-sources for seed, fertilizer mainly skewed to district capitals Marketing-distribution: segmented, unorganized, sales through middlemen and/or purchases by ‘market queens’ High degree of rivalry/competition Capital requirements pose as barriers 75% farmers rely on self financing, access to financing an issue General awareness of fertilizer subsidy program However, opacity in NAFCO price determination Key Recommendations--Ghana Government needs to facilitate distribution of subsidized fertilizer, expand low interest credit financing to farmers especially in rural areas Improve infrastructure (transport-warehousing) to increase market access 70% farmers without access to warehouse storage, 50% farmers indicate problems re: availability of seed Key Recommendations—Ghana--Contd Increase communications/awareness of various support policies, especially determination of minimum guaranteed prices—84% unaware of government support price, 89% how its established Engage with NGO’s, civil society, other publicprivate sector entities to achieve these goals Emerging Findings--Zambia Maize primary food: avaerage per capita consumption 120Kgs Production primary by small farm holders History of government intervention in supply, distribution, pricing with haphazard policy implementation distortions continue to persist 1971-1988 average subsidy 70% price of maize, 20% total government spending 1990s embarked on structural adjustment, promarket/private sector oriented policies Emerging Findings—Zambia—Contd. Farmer Input Support Program (FISP) primarily fertilizer Food Reserve Agency (FRA) sets minimum prices, purchases-stock pile surplus, targeted distribution for poverty reduction…. Fertilizer not produced domestically imported 13 importers—while rivalry, government dominance thru’ FISP two major companies found colluding-market allocation prosecuted under Zambia Competition & Consumer Protection (ZCCP) Law by Zambia Competition Commission Emerging Findings—Zambia—Contd. Under FISP, government dominant importer of fertilizer (66-80%) sets prices, subsidy level, allocates supply thru’ bidding, allegations of irregularities dominated by two companies, found violating ZCCP law Nitrogen Company of Zambia (NCZ), a SOE, inefficient, allocated imported fertilizer for blending crowding out private participation… FRA dominant purchaser of maize (26-86%), with purchase price> free market equilibriumcrowds out private firms, stifling competition Emerging Findings--Zambia 30-40 Millers significant competition tho’ new entrants face BTEs in form of capital requirements, economies of scale, market fluctuations, excess capacity….. Traders dominated by 4 major companies w/40%+ market shares, potential exercise of market power Different views re: subsidies and impact on production (skewed towards larger farmers), prices (lead to higher costs, prices)… Overall policies viewed to reduce competition, increased business uncertainty, adverse effects on investment… Emerging Recommendations--Zambia Emerging findings suggest unfinished agenda re: agricultural policy framework, especially for maize Need to re-vise/re-vamp subsidy programs and role and functioning of government entities e.g. NCZ, FISP, FRA in markets Address allegations re: irregularities in bidding processes, distribution of critical inputs to rural areas, determination of minimum support prices….. Concluding Remarks Draft DCRs represent ‘work-in-progress’ Different countries have adopted similar approaches re: provision of critical inputs, minimum support prices, creating government agencies to purchase and stock-pile supplies, stabilize prices and other objectives such as security and availability of staple foods Differences in policies/regulations also exist with different outcomes History of past government interventions and some existing policies-regulations persist in distorting markets Concluding Remarks—Contd. In all 4 countries, role of private sector and procompetition/pro-market measures have been ‘ham-strung’ Point to un-tapped opportunities for increasing affordability, competitive supply and access to staple foods and poverty alleviation A course of formulating and advocating alternative policy approaches and possible actions is required The Next Step in the DCRs Thank You