Robert Houze University of Washington (with contributions from B. Smull & D. Wilton) Summer Presented at: Texas A& M, 31 March 2005 Winter July-August 1000 mb wind December 1000 mb wind July-August 200 mb wind December 200 mb wind July-August Precipitation December Precipitation Rest of Talk Monsoon convection over oceans Winter MONEX (1978) Summer MONEX (1979) JASMINE (1999) Monsoon convection over land, near mountains TRMM (2002-2003) December 1978 January 1979 Johnson & Houze 1987 WINTER MONEX Diurnal variation of high cloudiness near Borneo Bintulu S. CHINA SEA December 1978 BORNEO 08 LST 20 LST 14 LST 02 LST Houze et al. 1981 Radar Obs. of WINTER MONEX Borneo cloud system BORNEO S. CHINA SEA Bintulu Stratiform Precipitation Houze et al. 1981 Diurnal gravity wave generation of mesoscale convection over coastal South America Pacific Andes South America Pacific Andes South America Mapes et al. 2003 Summer MONEX (1979) JASMINE (1999) 1999 Johnson & Houze 1987 Location of Ship during JASMINE on-station time NOAA Ship Ronald H. Brown Bay of Bengal Equator 60E 100E Webster et al. 2002 Percent High Cloudiness in the Summer Monsoon May-September 1999 < 235 K 850 mb wind < 210 K 300 mb wind & sfc pressure Zuidema 2002 Diurnal cycle, mean percent high cloudiness, 1999 Cloud Top < 210 K Zuidema 2002 Location of cloud systems by horizontal dimension May-September 1999 Cloud Top < 210 K r < 85 km r = 85-140 km r = 140-210 km r > 210 km Zuidema 2002 South Asian Topography JASMINE Mesoscale Convective Systems Defined & tracked by 218 K infrared threshold Zuidema 2002 JASMINE 1999, Ship Track & Satellite Data 85-90 E Ship Track Webster et al. 2002 IR Temperature 08:30 LST IR Temperature 11:30 LST IR Temperature 14:30 LST IR Temperature 17:30 LST IR Temperature 20:30 LST IR Temperature 20:30 LST Ship radar JASMINE 1999 Ship Radar Data 2345 LST 22 May 99 0215 LST 23 May 99 0615 LST 23 May 99 JASMINE 1999 Ship Radar Data Reflectivity Reflectivity Doppler Radial Velocity 22 May 1999 2300 LST JASMINE 1999 Ship Radar Data Reflectivity Reflectivity Doppler Radial Velocity 22 May 1999 2143 LST 23 May 1999 0650 LST JASMINE Ship Radar Data TRMM Precipitation Radar Swath TRMM Precipitation Radar shows extensive stratiform structure 23 May 1999 0650 LST SUMMER MONEX 6 July 1979 850 mb wind Houze & Churchill 1987 Microphysics SUMMER MONEX 6 July 1979 20N NOAA P3 Aircraft Radar 20N 14N 14N 88E 92E 88E 92E Houze & Churchill 1987 Flight Level Temperature (deg C) SUMMER MONEX Microphysics, All P3 flights, 3-8 July 1979 -25 -20 Columns Plates & Dendrites Columns Aggregates & Drops Dendrites -15 -10 Plates -5 0 Needles * * Melting Aggregates Drops Relative Frequency of Occurrence Houze & Churchill 1987 Summary of Oceanic Monsoon Convection 1978 1999 Oceanic deep convection in both winter & summer monsoons occurs in deep, broad mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) MCSs often form over ocean and propagate seaward, apparently gravity waves forced by diurnal heating over high terrain MCSs have a discrete component of propagation—consistent with wavelike behavior Radars (on land, ship, aircraft & satellite) show broad areas of stratiform precipitation in mature maritime MCSs Microphysical imagery from aircraft show extensive ice particle growth by deposition & aggregation, consistent with stratiform precipitation TRMM Observations of Convection over Land in the Himalayan Region 2002-2003 TRMM TRMM Precipitation Radar Data Set Used in This Study • June-September 2002, 2003 • 1648 Overpasses over Himalayan region • Data specially processed at University of Washington • Cartesianized to facilitate analysis in “Mountain Zebra” • This dataset optimized to analyze vertical structure of echoes TRMM Satellite Instrumentation l = 2 cm Important! PR measures 3D structure of radar echoes Kummerow et al, 1998 Idealized Horizontal Pattern of the Radar Echo Pattern in a Mesoscale Convective System Radar reflectivity Echo type Plan View Houze 1997 Conceptual Model of Vertical Structure “Convective” Rain Elements Houze 1997 Conceptual Model of Vertical Structure “Stratiform ” Rain Elements Houze 1997 To study the vertical structure of convective regions we define 3D echo “cores” • The TRMM Precipitation Radar data are provided in “bins” ~5 km in the horizontal and ~0.25 km in the vertical • Echo cores are formed by contiguous bins (in 3D space) of reflectivity values which exceed the threshold of 40 dBZ. echo core 3D radar echo bounded by 40 dBZ contour “Deep Convection” Core: 14 June 2002, 0859 UTC “deep convection” cores are those for which the maximum heights of the 40 dBZ core are greater than 10 km 4 km level 30N Height (km) 16 28N 8 0 74E 76E 55 Distance (km) 110 Analysis Subregions °N Western Subregion Central Subregion Arabian Sea INDIA Eastern Subregion Bay of Bengal °E Normalized Frequency Distribution of 40 dBZ Convective Echo Core Heights In western region-graupel particles lofted to great heights by strong updrafts Lightning Frequency Based on TRMM Satellite Observations Lightning evidently results from graupel particles lofted to great heights—in NW region Barros et al. 2004 “Wide Convection” Core: 22 July 2002, 13:09 UTC “wide convection” cores are those for which the area of the 40 dBZ core are greater than 1,000 km2, corresponding to a dimension of approximately 30km 4 km level 34N Height (km) 16 30N 72E 76E 8 0 120 Distance (km) 240 Cumulative Distribution of Convective Core Breadth In western region—wide convective areas more frequent Analysis of stratiform echo regions Used TRMM algorithm for separating echoes into stratiform & convective regions Two criteria: Existence of bright band Lack of intense echo cores “Broad Stratiform” Case: 5 June 2003, 13:47 UTC “broad stratiform” cases are those for which the area classified by the TRMM algorithm as stratiform precipitation is greater than about 50,000 km2, corresponding to a dimension of approximately 225 km Echo Classified 4.5 km level as Stratiform 30N 28N 4.5 Section km level Cross 30N Height (km) 16 8 0 22N 24N 94E92E 100E 98E 22N 288 Distance (km) 92E 576 100E Cumulative Distribution Function for Stratiform Precipitation Areas In western region—wide stratiform areas less frequent TRMM Satellite Instrumentation l = 2 cm Important! PR measures 3D structure of radar echoes Kummerow et al, 1998 Contoured Frequency by Altitude Diagram All data 1648 overpasses Relative frequency of occurrence Stratiform Convective Reflectivity Statistics by Sub-Region, Rain-Type, & Altitude Convection is stronger & deeper in west Stratiform more pronounced in east Locations of Intense Convective Cases and Wide Stratiform Cases Intense Convective °N Wide Stratiform Concavities lead to concentration of intense convection in NW and stratiform systems in NE °E Terrain Elevation Categories °N °E Lowland 0-300 m, Foothills 300-3000 m, Mountain >3000 km Mountain Foothills Lowland Reflectivity Statistics by Subtending Terrain Convection is slightly deeper & stronger over the lowlands than the foothills Wide Area of Convection Case: 1309 UTC 22 July 2002 00 UTC Soundings Wide Area of Convection Case: 1309 UTC 22 July 2002 12 UTC Soundings Broad Stratiform Case: 13:47 UTC 5 June 2003 12 UTC Soundings Summary of Himalayan Region Convection As seen by TRMM 2002-2003 40 dBZ cores most intense occur at border of moist flow & downslope dry flow deepest & broadest in NW continental regime can reach 17+ km graupel lofted to high levels, electrification concentrated near mountains, esp. NW concavity of the Himalayas strongest over lowlands & foothills Large stratiform echoes larger & more frequent in NE maritime regime concentrated near mountains, esp in the NE concavity Conclusions TRMM Over oceans Deep, broad mesoscale convective systems Often diurnally forced by heating over land Gravity waves implicated Deposition & aggregation dominant microphysics in stratiform regions Over land More cellular—less likely to form MCSs with large stratiform regions Convection intense—graupel lofted to high levels, electrification Stratiform regions—can be larger where maritime flow intrudes over land Near & over mountains Convection most frequent close to mountains Convection strongest just upstream of mountains, & over foothills Intense convection occurs at border of moist flow & downslope dry flow THE END Thanks for your attention WINTER MONEX Diurnal variation of high cloudiness near Borneo Bintulu S. CHINA BORNEO SEA December 1978 08 LST 20 LST 14 LST 02 LST Houze et al. 1981 Diurnal cycle, mean percent high cloudiness, 1999 <235 K <210 K Zuidema 2002 Stratiform precipitation shown by the Bintulu Radar Churchill & Houze 1984 WINTER MONEX Time series of high cloudiness seen by satellite SOUTH CHINA SEA BORNEO December 1978 Houze et al. 1981 SUMMER MONEX 8 July 1979 850 mb wind Houze & Churchill 1987 SUMMER MONEX 8 July 1979 Microphysics 20N NOAA P3 Aircraft Radar 20N 16N 16N 82E 86E 82E 86E Houze & Churchill 1987 Thunderstorm over India “low echo centroid” (coalescence & riming) Maheshwari & Mathur 1968 Colorado Rockies Big Thompson Storm 1976 “low echo centroid” Caracena et al. 1979 Contoured Frequency by Altitude Diagrams Contoured Frequency by Altitude Diagrams Contoured Frequency by Altitude Diagrams Contoured Frequency by Altitude Diagrams Contoured Frequency by Altitude Diagram All data 1648 overpasses Relative frequency of occurrence Reflectivity by Sub-Region Reflectivity Related to Rain Rate Z=R^1.25 25 R (mm/h) 20 15 Series1 10 5 0 0 10 30 20 dBZ 40 50 20-year Alpine Autumn Precipitation Climatology (rain gauge analysis by Frei and Schaer 1998)