The West Coast Thermal Trough Cliff Mass and Matt Brewer Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Washington The Most Important Summer Mesoscale Feature of the West Coast of North America • An inverted pressure trough based out of the Central Valley of CA that can extend into the Pacific Northwest • Associated with a tongue of warm air 925 hPa heights and temperature Terminology • Really a thermal ridge. • Probably should call it a thermally induced trough (TIT), but there are issues with the acronym. • People have been using the term “thermal trough” for years, so we won’t change it. Why is the thermal trough important? • Its development and movement has a dominant impact on temperature over the West Coast. – Warmest temperatures are associated with it. – Movement of the trough east of the Cascades is associated with profound cooling…the onshore push • Large impact on air quality (worse when trough is over an area) Why is the thermal trough important? • Wind energy. Movement of thermal trough associated with ramp-up/ramp-down problem. • Large impact on wildfires. Climatology • Based on North American Reanalysis (NARR) data. • Used 925 hPa to lessen pressure reduction issues. • Found in all seasons, but highest frequency during the summer (east of Cascades) and autumn (west of Cascades) in most locations. • Fades out between 800 and 700 hPa. # of WCTTs That Extend Into Each Quadrant by Season During 1979-2009 Synoptic Compositing of Events in western Oregon and Washington June, July, August -36h 925mb 500mb JJA -12h 925mb 500mb JJA Start 925mb 500mb JJA End 925mb 500mb JJA +12h 925mb 500mb JJA +36h 925mb 500mb -12h 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND -09h 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND -06h 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND -03h 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND Start 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND End 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND +03h 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND +06h 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND +09h 925mb: GHT TEMP & WIND Start Physical Mechanisms • • • • Downslope adiabatic warming? Surface diabatic heating? Temperature advection? Some combination? One approach to evaluating these is to run the WRF model with and without diabatic heating and terrain No heat and moisture fluxes, with same terrain Still get the trough WRF 36-km terrain Smooth or remove it WRF 36-km heights and winds at 500 hPa Pretty much the same Physical Mechanisms • The importance of downslope adiabatic warming is suggested by: • Modeling experiments (diabatic heating and terrain changed/removed) • Thermodynamic energy equation diagnostics (not shown here) • The fact that thermal troughs develop during the winter when diabatic heating is small and temperature advection is the opposite sign. Wildfire Explosions With Thermal Trough Passage The End