GEF Investment in Climate Change Mitigation and Sound Chemicals Management Dr. Ming Yang Sr. Environment Economist / Climate Change Specialist myang@theGEF.org Global Environment Facility October 5, 2011 Trinidad (Prepared in September, 2011) Outline The GEF GEF’s 20 Years’ Investment in Climate Change Mitigation and Sound Chemicals Management GEF 5 Resources and Strategy in Climate Change Mitigation and Chemicals Investment Case Studies on GEF Investments Key Points in GEF5 Project Development 2 The GEF 3 The GEF Secretariat GEF’s Operation: Based in Washington, D.C, the GEF Secretariat reports directly to the GEF Council and Assembly, ensuring that their decisions are translated into effective actions. GEF’s Mission: A mechanism for international cooperation for the purpose of providing new, and additional, grant and concessional funding to meet the agreed incremental costs of measures to achieve agreed global environmental benefits The GEF is the Financial Mechanism of the UNFCCC, CBD, Stockholm Convention, UNCCD and the Nagoya Protocol. The GEF also provides assistance to International Waters and the Montreal Protocol. The GEF provides Secretariat Services to the Adaptation Fund Board. 4 The GEF 1991-2011 Strategic Guidance Operations 10 Agencies STAP GEF Assembly Countries: Political FPs Conventions Countries: Convention FPs 182 participating countries, private sector, and civil society Action GEF Agencies GEF Council Countries: Council Members/ Constituencies •UNDP GEF Secretariat •UNEP •World Bank ADB •AFDB Evaluation Office US$ 16.13 billion as of June 2010 •EBRD •FAO Projects Countries: Operational FPs, Convention FPs, other gov’t agencies, civil society Over 2,700 projects •IADB •IFAD •UNIDO 5 GEF 20 Years’ Investment in Climate Change Mitigation and Chemicals 6 Two scenarios showing synergy of a GEF Project Global Environment Benefit Investment savings Cost (US$ million) 20 Years – Financing for Climate Change Mitigation GEF Trust Fund invested about US$3 billion in over 150 countries – Mitigation – Adaption – Technology Needs Assessments – National Communications to the UNFCCC 8 20 Years – Financing for ODS and POPs GEF Trust Fund invested about US$613 million including – $ 187 million in ODS • 21 ODS projects • 19 individual countries and 6 regional projects – $ 426 million in POPs • 219 POPs projects • Over 154 countries 9 20 Years – Catalyzing investment Catalytic – Leveraged more than US$18 billion in cofinancing on its US$3 billion of investments in CC – Leveraged more than US$875 million in co-financing on its US$ 613 million of investments in ODS/POPs • US$ 187 million in ODS • US$ 426 million in POPs Cost-effective – Over 2.5 billion tonnes of CO2 avoided in CC, less than US$ 1.2 per ton CO2 – The ODS portfolio of the GEF additionally eliminated 1.16 billion tonnes of CO2 Equivalent. 10 Distribution of GEF Approved 851 CC Projects in Regions Russia: 3 projects; Regional 13 Other countries: one project each. Global 49 Africa 252 Latin America 160 East Europe and Central Asia 124 Asia 253 11 Distribution of GEF US$ 187 million in 21 ODS Projects Russian Federation 62.15% Regional 8.71% Poland 7.80% Ukraine 5.31% Belarus 4.92% Lithuania 2.03% Slovenia 1.97% Bulgaria 1.68% Slovak Republic 1.37% Azerbaijan 1.25% Czech Republic 1.03% Hungary 0.84% Kazakhstan 0.42% Latvia 0.23% Tajikistan 0.15% Uzbekistan 0.09% Estonia 0.03% Armenia 0.02% Turkmenistan 0.01% - Russia: 3 projects; Other countries: one project each. 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 12 Distribution of GEF US$ 426 POPs Projects Africa 8% 2% 23% Asia Global 20% Total $426 million 3% East Europe and Central Asia Latin America 44% Regional 13 Continued Financing Climate Change Mitigation: Strategic Objectives for GEF-5 (2010-2014) 1. Demonstration, deployment, and transfer of innovative low-carbon technologies 2. Market transformation for energy efficiency in industry and the building sector 3. Investment in renewable energy technologies 4. Energy efficient, low-carbon transport and urban systems 5. Conservation and enhancement of carbon stocks through sustainable management of land use and forestry (LULUCF) 6. Enabling activities and capacity building 14 Continued Financing ODS and POPs: Strategic Objectives for GEF-5 (2010-2014) Phase out POPs and reduce POPs releases; Phase out ODS and reduce ODS releases; and Pilot sound chemicals management and mercury reduction. 15 GEF 5 Resources and Strategy in Climate Change and Chemicals Investment 16 Increased Resources in Climate Change (US$ million) 4,500 4,000 Total Replenishment 4,250 Grow by 36% Climate Change Mitigation 3,500 3,131 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,360 Grow by 36% 1,500 1,000 1000 500 - GEF 4 (July 2006- June 2010) GEF 5 (July 2010 - June 2014) 17 Resources in ODS and POPs 425 GEF-5 Target By 25% 340 GEF-4 Resource - 100 200 300 400 500 18 Utilization of the GEF funds in POPs 1991-2010 $ 5.0 million 12% Caribbean Sea Total: $40.7 million Rest of Latin America $ 35.7 million 88% 19 Climate Change Allocation in GEF 5 STAR $ million 160 150 140 120 94 100 87 80 54 60 40 30 40 26 20 4 0 China India Russian Federation Brazil Mexico Indonesia South Africa Average other 137 countries 20 GEF 5 Set-aside Funds for Climate Change and Chemicals Climate Change Total: US$272 million (US$1360 million X 20%) – National Communications and Technology Needs Assessments (US$80m) – Global and regional technology centers and network (US$42m) – Incentives for countries to participate (with STAR) in global and regional projects (US$20m) – Global and regional projects (targeted research, etc.) (US$10m) – Support for carbon finance (US$20m) – Sustainable Forest Management/REDD + incentives (US$100m) ODS and POPs Total: US$35 million for national communications 21 Key Points in GEF’s Project Development 22 Full-sized projects (> $1 Million) PIFs are cleared by CEO Council approval of Work Program Agency terminal evaluation and GEF EO evaluation GEF Agency completion of project & implementation start GEF Agency approval of project CEO endorsement of project 23 Medium-sized projects (< = $1 Million) Single –step Approval Two-step Approval (if PPG is needed) Agency submits PIF/PPG for CEO approval Agency submits final MSP project document for CEO approval* GEF Agency completes implementation followed by evaluation and financial closure Agency submits final MSP project document for CEO approval* GEF Agency completes implementation followed by terminal evaluation and financial closure * Agency approves MSP after CEO approval of the project and starts implementation. 24 Country endorsement (by Country National Operational Focal Point) All Project Identification Forms should have endorsement of Operational Focal Point when submitted to GEF for clearance (in case of full-sized projects) or approval (in case of medium-sized projects requesting project preparation grants) 25 Review criteria for FSP/MSP • Country eligibility and ownership; • Agency’s Comparative advantage; • Resource availability; • Project consistency; • Project design; • Baseline of the project; • Incremental costs of the project; • Project co-financing; • Monitoring and evaluation; and • Agency’s responses to comments and reviews. 26 Project baseline Project Baseline: Activities that would happen without GEF’s investment The costs of the baseline activities: to be covered by normal development expenditures such as government budgets, bilateral aid, the private sector, NGO resources, and loans from international financial institutions, including IDA and the Multilateral Fund. The impacts of the baseline activities (GHG emissions and global environmental benefits): to be estimated through historical projects and/or trend analyses 27 Alternative project and incremental costs Alternative Project: Activities that would happen with GEF’s investment Unit Cost Long run average cost – HCFC chillers Incremental costs of the alternative project may include – technology licensing; – procurement of equipment and engineering services; – acquisition of additional natural resources, such as land for wind farm development; – training for professionals to manage new technologies, etc. Net incremental costs can be negative Net incremental cost Long run average cost – NON-HCFC chillers Year 1 Year 2 Operation years 28 Example of baseline and GEF investment scenarios Energy saving (Million metric tons of oil equivalent MMToe) 1.36 MMtoe Baseline Scenario 12th Five Year Plan 14 MMtoe 11th Five Year Plan $11 bn $7.3 bn $12 bn GEF project Scenario Indirect project investment 20 MMtoe Direct project investment 0.3 MMtoe 0.18 0.82 Investment (US$ billion) 29 Case Studies on GEF Investments in EE and ODS 30 Case study 1: Commercialization of CFC-Free Refrigerators in China 1998-2006 GEF Financing 9.86 ($mn) Co-financing Total Government Private Other 32.29 ($mn) 1.38 29.72 .20 Ratio of co-financing 1: 3.3 GHG Emission Mitigation 42 (million tCO2e) Cost of carbon reduction US$1/tCO2e) Increased Efficiency of Household Refrigerators 29% (weighted average) Institutional Framework and Governance Impacts -Transformed the refrigerator market by promoting energy efficient models - Reduced GHG and CFC emissions via CFC-free appliances 31 Case study 2: Financing Energy Efficient Building Chillers in Thailand 1998-2005 GEF Financing 2.50 ($mn) Co-financing Total Government Other 2.73 ($mn) 0.26 2.47 Ratio of Co-financing GHG Emission Mitigation Technology Transfer 1: 1.1 1.224 (million tCO2e) 17 CFC-based chillers replaced New Chiller Installations Per Year 25% in 2005; by 2010 two-thirds of remaining inefficient chillers were replaced Institutional Framework and Governance Impacts -Achieved target energy savings and ozone depleting substances reduction - Demonstrated successful replacement of CFC chillers with nonCFC chillers for further replication 32 Case study 3: Promotion of HCFC-free Energy Efficient Refrigeration and Air-Conditioning Systems in the Russian Federation CEO Endorsed 2010 GEF Financing 18.2 ($mn) Co-financing Total 40.0 ($mn) Ratio of Co-financing 1: 2.2 Expected GHG Emission Mitigation 15.6 (million tCO2e) Expected Institutional Framework and Governance Impacts -Introduce more energy efficient designs through technology transfer in the refrigerator and air conditioning manufacturing sectors -Building capacity for greater market share of energy efficient technology through greater consumer awareness and demand -Meet 2015 Montreal Protocol 33 GEF Co-financing Total of cash and in-kind resources committed by: – governments, – other multilateral or bilateral sources, private sector, – NGOs, project beneficiaries, and concerned GEF agencies. Essential for meeting the GEF project objectives 34 Historical GEF Co-financing (US$ million) Ratio in climate change mitigation 3:18 6,899 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 2,410 2,591 2,515 1,655 3,000 2,000 1,000 - 13 523 GEF - 4 GEF - 3 GEF - 2 GEF - 1 GEF - 0 35 Key for HCFC/EE project development Policy and regulation of the government; Involvement of multilateral and local commercial banks; Development of energy service companies (ESOCs); Incentives to technology users; Capacity building and development for technology users and commercial bank professionals; Removing other barriers; and Working together. 36 Conclusions (1) GEF’s achievements in climate change – Financial mechanism for the UNFCCC – US$3 billion, over 850 projects, 150 countries – Leveraged US$18 billion co-financing in climate change projects – Mitigated about 2.5 billion tons of CO2 GEF’s achievements in ODS and POPs – Invested US$ 613 million – Leveraged US$ 875 co-financing – Mitigated 1.155 GT of CO2 Equivalent 37 Conclusions (2) Looking forward Climate Change GEF5 (2010-2014) – US$1.36 billion in climate change – Six strategic objectives – Greater positive impacts on global environment benefits – Baseline and co-financing are important in project development Looking forward ODS and POPs GEF5 (2010-2014) – Three strategic objectives – More funds available – Developing projects that meet strategic objectives of CC, ODS, and POPs has high priority in the GEF. Linkages can be made with ODS and Hazardous Waste Management and ODS and Energy Efficiency. 38 Thank you for your attention! 39