252onesx3 1/15/08 Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis tests for a Variance or Standard Deviation including situations where the Distribution is not Normal In Parts A and B of this course we did confidence intervals and hypothesis tests for variances. Parts a) and b) below were done for you in the section on confidence intervals for standard deviations or variances. Parts c) and d) were done for you in the section on hypothesis tests for a single mean or variance. Here all the problems are presented with the underlying data and the Minitab instruction ‘OneVariance’ is used with the subcommand ‘test’, which indicates that there is a test for a variance or standard deviation and the subcommand ‘StDev’, which signals tests for standard deviations rather than variances. An explanation is available from Minitab at OneVariance or on the website at http://courses.wcupa.edu/rbove/eco252/OneVariance.pdf a) Find a 95% confidence interval for the standard deviation if n 31 and s 1000 . We found 799 1337 b) Find a 95% confidence interval for the standard deviation if n 400 and s 1000 . We found 935 1075 In a) and b) I assumed that x 1000 . This has no effect on the results. c) Test the hypotheses H 0 : 2 64 and H 1 : 2 64 , when s 2 100 (or s 10 ) and n 17 . We did not reject the null hypothesis at the 2% significance level. d) Test the hypotheses H 0 : 2 64 and H 1 : 2 64 , when s 2 100 (or s 10 ) and n 73 . We found pval 2Pz 3.04 2.5 .4988 .0024 . Since this is below .02, we reject the null hypothesis at the 2% significance level. In c) and d) I assumed that x 26 . This has no effect on the results. The results are labeled ‘standard’ if the test assumes the Normal distribution and ‘adjusted’ if the Normal distribution is not assumed Normal. The instruction ‘describe’ is run to verify that the data sets have the sample variances given in the problems. Names on the columns indicate the standard deviation and sample size. The ‘adjusted’ versions will not be done if only the sample variance or standard deviation is given instead of the data. Since one of the data columns has 400 items in it, the data goes on forever. ————— 1/15/2008 5:21:42 PM ———————————————————— Welcome to Minitab, press F1 for help. MTB > WOpen "C:\Documents and Settings\RBOVE\My Documents\Minitab\252vardat.MTW". Retrieving worksheet from file: 'C:\Documents and Settings\RBOVE\My Documents\Minitab\252vardat.MTW' Worksheet was saved on Tue Jan 15 2008 Results for: 252vardat.MTW MTB > describe c1-c4 Descriptive Statistics: 1000-31, 1000-400, 10-17, 10-73 Variable 1000-31 1000-400 10-17 10-73 N 31 400 17 73 N* 0 0 0 0 Variable 1000-31 1000-400 10-17 10-73 Maximum 4596 6258.4 43.63 55.41 Mean 3000 3000.0 26.00 26.00 SE Mean 180 50.0 2.43 1.17 StDev 1000 1000.0 10.00 10.00 Minimum 181 480.4 12.02 11.28 Q1 2509 2303.9 17.62 17.66 Median 3182 2989.5 23.23 25.48 Q3 3857 3701.4 34.38 31.38 252onesx3 1/15/08 MTB > OneVariance c1; SUBC> StDev. Test and CI for One Standard Deviation: 1000-31 Method The standard method is only for the normal distribution. The adjusted method is for any continuous distribution. Statistics Variable N StDev Variance 1000-31 31 1000 1000876 95% Confidence Intervals CI for Variable Method StDev 1000-31 Standard (799, 1337) Adjusted (770, 1428) CI for Variance The ‘standard’ interval is the (639139, 1788260) same as was computed in the (593343, 2038131) example. The ‘adjusted’ interval is slightly larger. MTB > OneVariance c2. Test and CI for One Standard Deviation: 1000-400 Method The standard method is only for the normal distribution. The adjusted method is for any continuous distribution. Statistics Variable N StDev Variance 1000-400 400 1000 999978 95% Confidence Intervals CI for Variable Method StDev 1000-400 Standard (935, 1075) Adjusted (938, 1071) CI for Variance The ‘standard’ interval is the (874528, 1154652) same as was computed in the (879821, 1146687) example. The ‘adjusted’ interval is slightly larger. MTB > Onevariance c3; SUBC> test 8.0; SUBC> StDev. Test and CI for One Standard Deviation: 10-17 Method Null hypothesis Alternative hypothesis Sigma = 8 Sigma not = 8 The standard method is only for the normal distribution. The adjusted method is for any continuous distribution. Statistics Variable N StDev Variance 10-17 17 10.0 100 95% Confidence Intervals CI for Variable Method StDev 10-17 Standard (7.4, 15.2) Adjusted (7.9, 13.5) Tests Variable 10-17 Method Standard Adjusted Chi-Square 25.01 44.10 CI for Variance (55, 232) (63, 183) DF 16.00 28.21 P-Value 0.139 0.058 Since the pvalue is above the significance level(2%), we cannot reject the null hypothesis. 252onesx3 1/15/08 MTB > OneVariance c4; SUBC> test 8.0; SUBC> StDev. Test and CI for One Standard Deviation: 10-73 Method Null hypothesis Alternative hypothesis Sigma = 8 Sigma not = 8 The standard method is only for the normal distribution. The adjusted method is for any continuous distribution. Statistics Variable N 10-73 73 StDev 10.0 Variance 100 95% Confidence Intervals CI for Variable Method StDev 10-73 Standard (8.6, 11.9) Adjusted (8.4, 12.4) Tests Variable 10-73 Method Standard Adjusted Chi-Square 112.48 77.59 CI for Variance (74, 143) (70, 155) DF 72.00 49.66 P-Value 0.003 0.014 Since the pvalue is below the significance level(2%), we can reject the null hypothesis. MTB > print c1-c4 Data Display Row 1000-31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 3585.88 4208.84 3584.18 2537.54 2694.04 2751.20 3744.45 1346.52 1067.43 3975.77 3889.84 3181.92 3255.15 2509.42 1756.47 3139.21 2704.48 4092.88 2403.32 2154.06 2342.59 3857.39 3402.92 3198.86 4149.09 3867.03 2525.65 2780.30 3525.85 181.02 4596.36 1000-400 10-17 10-73 2332.38 3631.72 3728.59 3484.29 2976.47 2736.88 3177.08 4499.26 3852.93 2995.52 2702.48 4043.66 1706.15 2769.16 3352.77 3274.47 3232.55 3356.36 4251.93 3661.79 1221.20 4957.76 4115.83 3489.31 2722.16 3859.90 4058.14 2494.56 2507.21 4110.37 1645.96 4100.41 3913.43 3936.15 1484.80 2076.94 4488.63 3597.14 23.23 21.22 19.12 32.08 20.80 14.75 41.99 25.02 36.69 16.12 27.35 43.63 22.55 40.27 12.02 30.16 14.92 25.32 26.60 48.87 26.86 16.01 20.56 18.16 28.80 37.07 35.81 51.45 55.41 27.90 44.29 26.52 18.06 27.38 27.24 17.26 32.19 32.46 25.34 37.29 13.66 16.88 23.46 15.33 37.43 22.11 16.95 33.48 28.39 25.73 34.30 30.25 36.20 13.29 11.28 Remainder of printout is only on website. 252onesx3 1/15/08 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 1774.88 3251.67 2221.52 1912.87 1960.33 2350.21 3052.26 4024.03 3041.15 2586.67 2824.09 4162.63 3166.53 1996.34 3348.13 4557.73 4081.44 3282.24 3103.18 3654.16 1601.42 2477.06 3286.22 4721.80 1979.27 3133.21 3551.79 4226.53 2870.94 3604.24 2469.79 4647.54 2770.07 3357.55 2851.20 1863.61 4041.75 3931.55 2335.68 2515.66 2753.84 3327.70 2812.00 2772.66 3960.05 2741.96 2847.82 2592.07 4421.32 2696.11 2665.06 3042.39 2740.32 4480.85 977.65 3744.12 2423.26 3285.62 4763.85 2792.37 3929.38 2251.02 3820.15 2102.19 910.32 1411.93 2764.54 4507.08 5915.88 2534.89 3983.83 20.56 29.25 27.26 30.57 15.78 12.83 35.71 25.48 36.25 22.54 16.95 21.66 25.50 22.44 15.38 16.41 23.71 27.87 29.55 11.41 16.63 28.46 23.77 14.16 18.09 32.20 18.83 13.67 22.85 27.71 16.22 39.64 54.42 18.72 19.91 252onesx3 1/15/08 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 1770.19 2964.52 2765.96 1805.81 2949.55 2481.94 3033.35 2800.88 4434.94 2383.93 2071.61 3530.37 1091.78 3479.44 3433.80 532.12 2344.79 2186.33 2016.65 3212.81 2625.35 3843.67 3949.20 3483.37 2602.04 1984.20 2348.46 2110.39 2596.92 3176.62 4218.21 2695.17 2495.89 1197.32 2771.44 2837.61 3086.60 2334.37 3309.69 1601.12 2294.44 2561.26 3506.28 2812.36 2181.63 2141.92 2842.33 2889.61 3028.59 3240.51 2935.72 3722.19 2819.42 3921.63 2929.52 1537.71 2695.97 3554.81 1282.16 3190.07 1660.83 1590.22 2135.77 3739.28 4411.74 3575.15 3673.32 3697.54 5055.17 1898.51 4716.79 252onesx3 1/15/08 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 1591.77 4201.63 3094.67 2110.40 4911.63 3395.22 2806.96 4357.49 1732.98 2616.00 2547.66 2966.70 1581.03 3440.20 4249.13 3722.63 3455.32 5299.88 3090.00 4755.18 1742.58 2501.03 953.23 3991.53 2979.82 2737.08 2136.72 2757.17 1986.16 2885.58 1923.80 2934.41 4758.51 3478.32 2903.88 3674.27 2144.84 2242.74 1971.98 1030.34 2110.35 4453.39 3629.44 2979.78 4228.80 6258.45 3720.46 3026.36 2702.80 2651.12 2149.83 4588.30 3002.66 4770.34 4654.46 4418.60 3011.57 2431.78 2987.65 2522.72 1932.74 3669.19 3517.89 3125.30 1535.63 3118.88 3130.77 1580.65 2022.97 3228.78 4163.11 252onesx3 1/15/08 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 2848.41 1958.37 2588.27 2340.48 4143.81 3611.96 3507.27 4686.37 1661.93 4089.09 1625.85 3804.53 977.44 3163.20 998.17 3267.30 3584.50 3974.51 4533.53 2398.18 1963.06 3736.85 4074.85 2389.99 2128.68 2869.89 3098.42 2211.61 480.43 1570.77 4250.99 1029.87 1231.13 3898.61 3114.58 1258.22 2991.28 3289.39 4280.63 2662.10 2745.91 4494.05 5655.68 2212.03 1837.98 2208.59 2202.20 1977.30 2435.02 2592.33 2634.57 3231.73 4691.36 2749.36 3332.67 3223.76 4222.82 4761.06 2997.92 3340.95 4326.20 3686.37 3936.70 4381.16 1150.20 3020.05 1941.54 1991.57 3775.72 2671.23 4254.46 252onesx3 1/15/08 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 2927.84 3519.61 3459.66 1157.49 4089.27 4853.39 3679.57 3584.13 2389.36 3092.55 3964.82 2573.31 3155.64 2929.04 3702.63 3730.52 2507.85 2004.36 2844.88 4480.43 3687.82 2859.14 1070.79 3586.39 3779.05 3294.23 3469.96 3107.17 1054.63 3587.60 1248.57 2405.29 1292.80 3719.25 4006.10 3965.97 2253.73 852.12 2601.43 1668.03 1541.09 3005.08 2372.21 1662.77 3456.84 3262.28 4515.33 3747.91 1875.45 2792.30 2293.81 709.39 3520.51 2063.99 2142.87 4856.27 2250.02 1904.11 2686.53 1209.78 3722.23 2996.36 3230.56 3102.23 2825.09 3493.37 4935.61 2161.09 2930.42 3767.48 2209.33 252onesx3 1/15/08 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 4223.12 2673.24 3488.98 3886.65 1655.96 3541.90 3273.69