2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufacturers Mei-chin Chu, Jyh-Ming Chan, and Yu-Te Huang Department of International Business Southern Taiwan University, Tainan, Taiwan Presenter: Mei-chin Chu The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 1. Policy approval day (2008/9/11) Table 1. SAR and SCAR of subsidized firms during approval period DAYS SAR t(SAR) SCAR t(SCAR) -5 -1.45 -3.48*** -1.4 -3.48*** -4 -1.74 -3.23*** -3.19 -3.35*** -3 0.50 2.50*** -2.69 -3.30*** -2 0.02 0.03 -2.66 -1.90** -1 0.50 0.93 -2.16 -1.30* 0 -0.39 -0.71 -2.55 -1.36* 1 0.61 0.77 -1.94 -0.95 2 -0.84 -1.52* -2.77 -1.14 3 -0.60 -1.52* -3.37 -1.22 4 -2.59 -4.98*** -5.96 -1.90** 5 -1.24 -4.39*** -7.20 -2.12** * Significant level α=0.1; ** α= 0.05; ***;α=0.01 2 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 1. Policy approval day (2008/9/11) Table 2. SAR and SCAR of industry during approval period DAYS SAR t(SAR) SCAR t(SCAR) -5 -0.56 -7.94*** -0.56 -7.94*** -4 -0.33 -4.30*** -0.89 -7.34*** -3 0.22 4.67*** -0.67 -5.75*** -2 -0.48 -8.39*** -1.15 -8.84*** -1 0.18 2.86*** -0.97 -6.79*** 0 -0.19 -3.50*** -1.16 -7.47*** 1 -0.32 -5.40*** -1.49 -8.74*** 2 -0.62 -12.27*** -2.1107 -11.47*** 3 -0.70 -12.02*** -2.81 -13.61*** 4 -1.17 -13.15*** -3.99 -16.89*** 5 -1.16 -16.54*** -5.15 -19.1*** * Significant level α=0.1; ** α= 0.05; ***;α=0.01 3 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 1. Policy approval day (2008/9/11) Table 3. SCAR during the approval date Subsidized Firms Industry Period SCAR t(SCAR) SCAR t(SCAR) (-5,0) -2.5455 -1.3642* -1.1624 -7.4654*** (0,5) -5.0434 -2.5374*** -4.1774 -19.9687*** (-1,1) 0.7328 0.7122 -0.3389 -2.916*** (-5,5) -7.2034 -2.1238** -5.1461 -19.1079*** * Significant level α=0.1; ** α= 0.05; ***;α=0.01 2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management 4 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 2. Policy implementation day (2008/10/1) Table 4. SAR/SCAR of subsidized firms during implementing period DAYS SAR t(SAR) SCAR t(SCAR) -5 0.2984 0.6034 0.2984 0.6034 -4 1.3261 2.7951*** 1.6245 1.8124** -3 0.5658 1.0483 2.1903 2.8422*** -2 -0.8597 -2.946*** 1.3306 2.3165*** -1 -0.4192 -0.6159 0.9115 1.3386* 0 0.2159 0.3439 1.1274 1.3464* 1 0.1514 0.2323 1.2788 1.7584** 2 0.5795 1.0971 1.8583 1.8657** 3 0.0211 0.1241 1.8793 2.2719*** 4 -0.2991 -0.9907 1.5802 1.5312* 5 -0.0664 -0.1271 1.5138 1.9897** * Significant level α=0.1; ** α= 0.05; ***;α=0.01 5 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 2. Policy implementation day (2008/10/1) Table 5. SAR/SCAR of industry during implementing period DAYS SAR t(SAR) SCAR t(SCAR) -5 0.6983 11.6135*** 0.6983 11.6135*** -4 1.0841 16.1615*** 1.7824 17.9818*** -3 0.1658 2.6628*** 1.9482 14.7365*** -2 -0.6751 -11.3875*** 1.2731 9.1048*** -1 -0.5762 -8.6426*** 0.6969 4.4434*** 0 0.7987 11.5206*** 1.4956 8.2206*** 1 0.244 4.1192*** 1.7395 8.7211*** 2 0.596 10.5773*** 2.3355 10.7873*** 3 0.1528 2.644*** 2.4884 10.7737*** 4 0.0771 1.298* 2.5654 10.6421*** 5 -0.0151 -0.2868 2.5503 10.2549*** * Significant level α=0.1; ** α= 0.05; ***;α=0.01 6 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 2. Policy implementation day (2008/10/1) Table 6. SCAR in the short run for subsidized firms and industry during implementing period Subsidized firms Industry Period SCAR t(SCAR) SCAR t(SCAR) (-5,0) 1.1274 1.3464* 1.4956 8.2206*** (0,5) 0.6023 0.6361 1.8535 11.1986*** (-1,1) -0.0518 -0.0783 0.4665 4.3705*** (-5,5) 1.5138 1.9897** 2.5503 10.2549*** * Significant level α=0.1; ** α= 0.05; ***;α=0.01 2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management 7 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 3. Extending research period Graph 1. Trend of SAR and SCAR for subsidized firms during the policy period 8 2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.1 Stock prices 3. Extending research period Table 7. SCAR of subsidized firms and industry during policy period Subsidized firms Industry Period SCAR t(SCAR) SCAR t(SCAR) (-1,1) 0.73 0.71 -0.34 -2.92*** (-5,5) -7.20 -2.12** -5.15 -19.11*** (-5,10) -4.62 -1.96** -2.35 -10.12*** (-5,30) -5.28 -1.33* -2.21 -4.93*** (-5,60) 1.27 0.56 -7.27 -11.70*** (-5,135) 10.26 2.22** -0.04 -0.05 * Significant level α=0.1; ** α= 0.05; ***;α=0.01 2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management 9 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.2 Sales performance Table 8. Sale Capability of Energy Labeled manaufactures Time Industry TECO SANYO SAMPO TATUNG TKEC 2007 Q4 1.058 0.479 0.977 0.665 0.450 2.107 2008 Q1 0.259 0.122 0.211 0.158 0.102 0.618 2008 Q2 0.509 0.248 0.445 0.318 0.200 1.193 2008 Q3 0.784 0.384 0.696 0.451 0.298 1.727 2008 Q4 1.099* 0.511* 0.894 0.659 0.435 2.247* 2009 Q1 0.210 0.095 0.251* 0.160* 0.091 0.542 2009 Q2 0.414 0.196 0.459 0.309 0.187 1.060 2009 Q3 0.708 0.304 0.731 0.480 0.283 1.552 2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management 10 The Impacts of Saving-Energy Subsidy Policy on The Financial Performance for Energy Labeled Product Manufactures 4. Empirical Analysis 4.3 Managerial perfomance Based on the previous literature, four models were employed to measure the managerial performance of enterprises. Two different indicators were used to measure dependent variables: Tobin’s q and ROA. In terms of firm’s size, both Assets and Sales were adopted in different regression model. 2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management 11 Table 9. Result of the Managerial Performance Regression Analysis Dep. var. Indep.var. Tobin's q ROA Size(Assets) Size(Sales) Size(Assets) Size(Sales) Fixed effects Random effects Fixed effects Random effects C -5.806 (-5.81 ) *** 1.469 (5.93) *** -82.061 (-13.22) *** -19.137 (-13.96) *** SIZE 0.488 (7.27) *** -0.012 (-0.63) 5.811 (13.93) *** 1.845 (18.09) *** LEV -1.303 (-8.21) *** -0.780 (-5.72) *** -11.665 (-11.82) *** -12.864 (-16.52) *** ATO 0.001 (0.04) 0.012 (0.32) 3.916 (21.63) *** 1.459 (6.59) *** SGROW -0.0000010 (-0.78) -0.0000014 (-1.12) 0.000002 (0.30) -0.000002 (-0.32) GPERIOD -0.521 (-18.99) *** -0.528 (-18.96) *** -2.208 (-12.95) *** -1.917 (-11.22) *** GCOMP* GPERIOD 0.276 (0.82) 0.248 (0.74) 2.103 (1.01) 1.470 (0.72) R-sq. 0.63 0.04 0.57 0.12 Adj. R-sq. 0.59 0.04 0.52 0.12 N=8,492 (772 firms with 11 quaterly data); ( ) is value of the t-statistic. * sig. leve α=0.1, ** α= 0.05; ***α=0.01 12 Table 9. Result of the Managerial Performance Regression Analysis Note: 1.Tobin’s q=(market value of outstanding shares + debt)/total assets 2.ROA=net profit after tax/average assets 3.Size(assets) =log(assets); Size(sales)=log(sales) 4.LEV= Leverage= debt/assets 5.ATO= Asset turnover=sales/assets 6.SGrow = Sales Grow ={(sales of this quater-sales of the same quater for previous year)/ Sales of the same quater for previous year}*100% 7.GComp= subsidized Companies GComp=1; if not=0 8.GPeriod=subsidized Period Gperiod=1;if not=0 2010 International Conference on Knowledge-Based Economy & Global Management 13