World Water Forum 2009: Water and Energy Security for All: Feedback of the Sirte 2008 Conference on “Water for Agriculture and Energy: the Challenges of Climate Change” Maher Salman, Technical Officer, FAO 20 March 2008 – Istanbul, Turkey The Challenge Africa has a vast potential for agricultural expansion and of both renewable and non-renewable energy sources however... ... the continent is lagging behind in terms of energy and agricultural productivity, with serious implications for development and trade balance Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 The Projections African population reaching 2 billion people by 2030 and expected to double by 2050 Energy demand is expected to double by 2030 while the cereal bill for low income countries is expected to triple by 2030 Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 Agriculture and food security in Africa Undernourished Population (as % of total population) • • Approximately 40% of the population of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is undernourished. Agriculture is a basis of African economy: it generates 1/3 of the GDP and employs about 70% of the work force in most countries. Source: FAOSTAT, 2003 Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 Irrigation Irrigation (as % of cultivated area) • • • Irrigation is practised on 6 % of the total cultivated area of the continent This value ranges from practically 0 in the Central African Republic to almost 100 percent in Egypt About 70 % of the total area under irrigation is found in 5 countries (South Africa, Egypt, Madagascar, Morocco and Sudan). Source: FAO, AQUASTAT, 2005 Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 Irrigation Potential River basin Congo 9.8 Nile 8.0 Zambezi 3.2 Niger 2.8 Volta 1.5 Madagascar 1.5 Lake Chad 1.2 Sub-total 2.2 Other West 6.7 Other South 2.5 Other East 3.1 AFRICA Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 28.0 Other North Sub-total Source: FAO, AQUASTAT, 2005 million ha 14.2 42.5 The Energy Gap • The electricity consumption in most of the African countries does not reach one tenth of the world average consumption. • In SSA 526 million people live without access to power supply. • The supply of energy is limited and unreliable. • Limited coverage of public electricity grids People without electricity (1970-2030) Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 Hydropower Potential • The hydropower potential of Africa is about 13% of the World potential • Only 5% of this potential is exploited • Lack of funding and international support for commercial energy projects Transition ec. Latin America 20% 13% 17% 18% 5% China 8% 13% OECD 20% Africa North Africa 13% 56% Middle East South Asia 7% 2% West Africa Central Africa Source: World Energy Council East Africa(WEC), 2001 Southern Africa Hydropower Generation by Region East Asia 8% The Sirte Conference: Objectives Examined the issue of water resources in Africa in the context of higher demand from the agriculture and energy sectors and climate change. • • Enriched discussions held at the Committee of the Whole, the two roundtables, and the parallel events 53 National Investment Briefs Discussed water control projects within the framework of the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP). About 1,000 projects reviewed (country by country, region by region for short, medium and long term) Examined investment needs and management problems for harnessing water and irrigation at village level, for the rehabilitation of large-scale hydro-agricultural works and for the development of major river basins. Investment needs estimated at US$ 65 billion in the span of 20 years Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 The Sirte Conference: Outcomes National Investment Briefs (NIBs) for all African countries with estimated investment needs in water for agriculture and energy based on a review and updating of NEPAD-CAADP and other investment Projections at both country and river basin levels A declaration by Governments of Africa and development partners to put together an Action Plan and engage into investment programmes for water development in support of agriculture and energy at short, medium and long term A follow up mechanism to monitor and evaluate the agreed Action Plan and to promote more investment programmes on water for agriculture and energy in Africa Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 Conference Themes and Focus THEME 1: Prospects for Food and Energy Demand by 2015 and Projections for 2030- 2050 THEME 2: Defining the Investment Envelope THEME 3: The Financing Mechanisms and Implementation Strategies FOCUS ON: Concrete Programmes and Action Plan for Assessment of their financial cost in terms of feasibility studies and implementation of works Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 The investment Envelope for Africa - 1 43% Ongoing 1,000 projects 57% Pipeline AFRICA Rehabilitation of Size of project Small scale water control irrigation Time Frame 2,385 778 Short-term 7,041 3,509 Medium-term Large scale Total 7,818 28,207 10,981 38,758 Long-term 1,491 1,329 12,042 14,862 Total 10,917 5,616 48,067 64,600 AFRICA Rehabilitation of Size of project Small scale water Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of ClimateLarge Changescale Time Frame control irrigation Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 4% 1% 12% Short-term Total 17% The Investment Envelope for Africa - 2 The Investment Envelope in terms of Project Size Large scale 74% The Investment Envelope by Time Frame Short-term 17% Long-term 23% Rehabilitation of irrigation 9% Small scale w ater control 17% Medium-term 60% Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 The Investment Envelope by Region North Africa Northern Africa 15% Southern Africa 26% West Africa East Africa Central Africa East Africa 24% Central Africa 3% West Africa 32% Southern Africa Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 The Investment Framework Prerequisites • Policy alignment • Public and private institutional capacity • Enabling environment that can attract and implement larger proportions of investment Objectives • To set out the investment requirements and monitor the impact of investments. • To integrate the diverse economic sector interests at national level and matching these with capital and recurrent budget allocations of governments and the eligibility requirements of donors. • To allow explicit recognition of private investment. Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 Key Messages water for energy and water for agriculture are not to be seen as necessarily alternative approaches, instead water management for hydropower and agriculture should go hand in hand In many cases, hydropower dams are promoted as being suitable for multipurpose functions, such as supplying water for irrigation and drinking water, both in the case of large and small-hydropower facilities Agriculture and energy are two highly interconnected sectors: on one side, any further growth in the rural space will necessarily increase demand for energy; on the other side, an increased access to energy could ensure an adequate agriculture development that would, thus, stimulate rural and economic development Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 Conclusions African Countries have to make progress towards meeting the Maputo budget target Development partners need to increase investment in the water sector to help broaden and accelerate the recent economic and agricultural growth process Water for Agriculture and Energy in Africa: The Challenges of Climate Change Sirte, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya. 15-17 December 2008 THANK YOU