國立中央大學 資 訊 管 理 學 系 碩士論文 ERP 導入前決策對導入風險影響之研究 The Relationship between ERP Pre-implementation Decisions and Implementation Risks in ERP Projects— A Survey on Taiwan’s Manufacturing Firms. 指導教授: 何靖遠博士 研究生: 林雅梅 中 華 民 國 九 十 二 年 七 月 Decisions and Implementation Risks in ERP Projects—A Survey on Taiwan’s Manufacturing Firms. Author: Ya-mei Lin Adviser: Dr. Chin-Yuan Ho Department of Information Management National Central University No.300, Jung-da Rd., Jung-li City, Taoyuan , Taiwan 320, R.O.C Abstract About half of ERP implementations fail to meet expectations. (Stefanou, 2000) Thus, we include the concept of risk management to categorize problems through experienced companies survey. It can make the adopting firms aware of risks what they might encounter during the implementation under the specific selection and project. What we want to say in the study is how to prevent the risks from realization by managerial actions, rather than how to decrease the risks. A mail survey is conducted over the CommonWealth Top 1000 Manufacturers in Taiwan. Out of 138 respondents, 98 firms that have implemented ERP systems considered valid empirical data for us to test our hypotheses. The research findings show that the ERP implementation risks can be categorized into five types, they are ERP systems design, user involvement and training, IT planning and integration, skill mix, and management structure and strategy. If the functions of a firm’s chosen ERP software cannot meet its motivation, the misfit will contribute to the implementation risks. The source and scope of ERP play a moderating role, and budget control has an interaction effect between the motivational misfit and implementation risks. While the schedule, the size, top management support, and the structure have no significant interaction on the pre-implementation misfits and ERP implementation risks. Keywords: ERP; Pre-implementation decisions; Misfit; Risk relationship between Contents 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................. 1 2. LITERATURE REVIEW ...................................................................................... 4 2.1 ERP Implementation Process and Pre-Implementation Decisions ........ 4 2.2 Selection Process and Derived Motivations and Selection criteria ....... 7 2.2.1 Selection process............................................................................ 7 2.2.2 Motivation.................................................................................... 10 2.2.3 Selection criteria .......................................................................... 14 2.2.4 Summary...................................................................................... 15 2.3 ERP Implementation Risk.................................................................... 17 2.3.1 The Definition of Risk ................................................................. 17 2.3.2 Measuring The Implementation Risk Of ERP Project................. 17 2.3.3 Risk Management ........................................................................ 19 REFERENCE ...............................................................................................................20 1. INTRODUCTION Not all of ERP implementations are entirely successful. In fact, about half of ERP implementations fail to meet expectations. (Stefanou, 2000) Most of them suffered from over-budget, over-time, user dissatisfaction, threatened lawsuit, failed to introduce all planned modules, or the big and horizontal ERP systems pulling back into beta testing. (Hill, 1999) Did it due to the big-time ERP oversold or companies under-committed? In the seller part, the keen competition makes the market in chaos. There are international and local vendors in Taiwan. Besides the ERP solutions from the leading ERP vendors, such as SAP R/3, Oracle Applications, and J. D. Edwards, the enterprise applications from local ERP vendors, such as TIPTOP and WorkFlow ERP from Data Systems Consulting Co., Ltd., and PROYOUNG’s VPROERP, are also adopted by many domestic manufacturers. There are also traditional package vendors scraped or extended their former financial or human resource software as so-called ERP package. The term “ERP” is seriously generalized. ERP vendors will tell you that their software will solve all your problems, but there will still be gaps. (Hill, 1999) These gaps may result from the misift between ERP’s best practice and business process or simply result from the vendors’ overpromise. In the buyer part, considering the smaller average size of Taiwan organizations, they should have more effective way to select appropriate ERP software, vendor, and consultants. Those SMEs may adopt ERP software because of the competition pressure or the pressure from their suppliers or customers. (Holland et al., 1999) Comparison with large companies, they pay fewer efforts in selecting and also have less ability to handle the problems resulting from ERP implementation. (Everdingen et al., 2000; Adam and O'Doherty, 2000)some firms, such as ODM (original design manufacturers)/ OEM (original equipment manufacturers), child company (Parr and Shanks, 2000), or the merged company (Bingi, 1999), may be assigned to adapt some ERP and ERP vendor that may not suit their firms. Moreover, managers who planned to implement ERP may be overwhelmed and confused by research recommendations and, thus, become reluctant to pursue ERP due to a fear of failure. Most ERP projects fail to live up to expectations. As a result, scholarly and managerial publications are increasingly addressing the factors that critical success factors in ERP implementation and the ERP implementation problems. The results showed the tough tasks and lots of unknown risks of implementing ERP and were less helpful to companies planned to implement ERP. For these companies, it is helpful to categorize problems through experienced companies survey because it can make them aware of risks what they might encounter during the implementation under the specific selection and project. In MIS implementation, most of key decisions are made in pre-implementation stage. These pre-implementation decisions will have the greatest effect on an assessment of the project’s probability of success or failure should be possible at that time. (Ginzberg, 1981) However, pre-implementation factors of ERP are often underestimated or unspecifically treated. Current ERP research concerning the pre-implementation only covers the survey of motivation and selection criteria for adopting ERP software (Mabert, 2000; Everdingen et al., 2000) and the way to depict and select appropriate ERP software. (Sistach et al., 1999; Franch and Pastor, 2000; Brown et al., 2000; Oliver and Romm, 2000; Stefanou, 2000) Wheather the chosen ERP software, vendor, and consultants can meet the company’s motivation and selection criteria or not has not been discussed. Whether these misfits were related to any implementation problems also has not been discussed. Problems, or risks, in ERP implementation process are mostly reported by some case studies. (Markus and Tanis, 1999; Sumner, 2000; Markus et al., 2000; Scott and Vessey, 2002) This study is to investigate the implementation risks that can be attributed to the degree how appropriate pre-implementation decisions is, including the selection and project specifications, and the effect of firm characteristics. On discussing this relationship a survey is used on Taiwan’s manufacturing firms that have implemented ERP. Risks associated with this enterprise-wide ERP software are inevitable but can be reduced with appropriate managerial actions throughout the implementation process and the pre-implementation decisions as well. Even though companies may not satisfy every needs and adhere to every planned selection criteria because of the limit resource and choices, they can also be aware of the risks arisen from those abandoned needs and criteria. Thus, they can control the project better through risk management. Research questions include the following: 1 What categories of problems do Taiwan’s manufacturing firms encounter when they implement an ERP package? 2 How the functions of a company’s chosen ERP software cannot meet the planned needs can contribute to ERP implementation risks? 3 How the firm’s chosen ERP software, vendor, and consultants can not meet the planned selection criteria can contribute to ERP implementation risks? 4 What project specifications can companies do in the early stage to control the risk resulting from the misfits? 2. LITERATURE REVIEW Whether the chosen ERP software, vendor, and consultants can meet the company’s motivations and selection criteria or not has not been discussed. Whether these misfits were related to any implementation problems also has not been discussed. Problems, or risks, in ERP implementation process are mostly reported by some case studies. In section 2.1, we will discuss the shortage from the past research of implementation process. We can find that there are few researches concerning how the pre-implementation decisions contributing to the latter stages. In section 2.2, we will discuss the shortage from the factor of motivations and selection criteria. We can find that there are few researches concerning how these motivations and selection criteria been satisfied. In section 2.4, we will discuss the implementation problems. 2.1 ERP Implementation Process and Pre-Implementation Decisions In this section, we review four of those process models of ERP implementation (Bancroft et al., 1998; Ross, 1998; Markus and Tanis, 1999; Parr and Shank, 2000) and one of MIS development process models (Davis, 1974). Then through the comparing, we discuss the findings including (1) what pre-implementation decisions are; (2) how the pre-implementation factors of ERP are underestimated or unspecifically treated in former research. Bancroft et al. (1998) proposed an ERP implementation model that was derived from discussions with 20 practitioners and from studies of three multinational corporation implementation projects. Bancroft et al.’s (1998) model has five phases. They are focus, as is, to be, construction and testing, and actual implementation. The focus phase is essentially a planning phase in which the key activities are the set-up of the steering committee, selection and structuring of the project team, development of the project’s guiding principles and creation of a project plan. The “as is” phase covers analysis of current business processes, installation of the ERP, mapping of the business processes on to the ERP functions and training of the project team. The “to be” phase covers high-level design and then detailed design subject to user acceptance, followed by interactive prototyping accompanied by constant communication with users. The key activities of the construction and testing phase are the development of a comprehensive configuration, the population of the test instance with real data, building and testing interfaces, writing and testing reports and, finally, system and user testing. The final phase, actual implementation, covers building networks, installing desktops and managing user training and support. In summary, the model of ERP implementation extends from the forming of the project team and the implementation plan to the system going live. Ross (1998) developed a five-phase model based on 15 case studies of ERP implementation. The phases are design, implementation, stabilization, continuous improvement, and transformation. The design phase is essentially a planning phase in which the key activities are determinations of critical guidelines and decision making for the implementation. The implementation phase covers all phases of Bancroft et al.’s (1998) model except the focus phase. In Ross’s (1998) model, the stabilization phase occurs after the implementation phase and is a period of time in which system problems are fixed and organizational performance consequently improves. Then, the continuous improvement phase covers steady improvement in which functionality is added. Finally, firms expect to reach the stage of transformation in which organizational boundaries and systems are maximally •flexible. Markus and Tanis (1999) developed a four-phase model of ERP implementation, which includes chartering, project, shakedown, and onwards and upwards. The chartering phase begins before Bancroft et al.’s (1998) focus and Ross’ (1998) design phases. The key activities are the development of the business case for the ERP package selection, identification of the project manager, and budget and schedule approval. Key players in this phase include vendors, consultants, company executives, and IT specialists. The project phase is similar to Ross’ (1998) project phase therefore covers Bancroft et al.’s (1998) as is, to be, construction and testing and actual implementation phases. The key activities of this phase are software configuration, system integration, testing, data conversion, training and roll-out (Markus and Tanis, 1999). The shakedown phase is similar to Ross’ (1998) stabilization phase which key activities are bug fixing and rework, system performance tuning, retraining, and staffing up to handle temporary inefficiencies. The final phase, onward and upwards phase, is essentially a continuous improvement phase of Ross’ (1998) model. Parr and Shanks (2000) developed a three-phase model, project phase model (PPM). The PPM consists of two concepts: implementation phases and sub phases, and critical success factors. Firstly, the three major phases are planning, project, and enhancement. The subphases in project phase are set-up, re-engineer, design, configuration & testing, and installation. The planning phase is similar to Markus and Tanis’ (1999) chatering phase, which includes the selection of an ERP, assembly of a steering committee, determination of high-level project scope and broad implementation approach, selection of a project team manager and resource determination. The project phase extends from the identification of ERP modules through to installation and cut-over. The enhancement phase includes the stages of system repair, extension and transformation. Secondly, the PPM builds on previous models of the ERP implementation process by augmenting them with CSFs in order to provide guidance to practitioners in planning and monitoring an ERP implementation. Several points need to be made about these four models of ERP implementation. Firstly, Parr and Shanks (2000) and Markus and Tanis (1999) included a planning phase, which occurs prior to the actual implementation project and is not to be seen in Bancroft et al.’s (1998) and Ross’s (1998) models. Secondly, Parr and Shanks (2000) is the only one relating CSFs to the phases of implementation. However, it does not show how the CSFs of one phase relate to the following phases. Thirdly, none of them relates the process losses to the phases of implementation. In MIS implementation, one popular conceptualization of the phases is Davis’ (1974). The three phases are definition, physical design, and implementation. By the end of definition phase, almost all key decisions about the system have been made, including project goals, scope, and overall approach. The importance of these pre-implementation decisions to the ultimate success of the system should be apparent. (Ginzberg, 1981) ERP implementation, in comparison, is a complex package implementation. (Sumner, 2000) So in ERP implementation, the pre-implementation decisions include project goals, scope, overall approach, and the selection of an ERP as well. These pre-implementation decisions will have the greatest effect on an assessment of the project’s probability of success or failure should be possible at that time. After the review of the ERP implementation models and comparison with MIS implementation model, we define the pre-implementation decisions as the ERP package selection (Markus and Tanis, 1999; Parr and Shanks, 2000), the selection of vendors and consultants (Markus and Tanis, 1999), the determination of the steering committee and the project team and project manager (Bancroft et al., 1998; Markus and Tanis, 1999; Parr and Shanks, 2000), the project scope and size (Davis, 1974; Parr and Shanks, 2000), and budget and schedule approval (Markus and Tanis, 1999).0 2.2 Selection Process and Derived Motivations and Selection criteria 2.2.1 Selection process In the former section, we can find that the selection of ERP software, vendors, and consultants are out of appropriate consideration. In this section, we discuss further in the aspect of ERP selection process. We review three ERP acquisition methods (Sistach et al., 1999; Stefanou, 2000; Teltumbde, 2000) and one framework of commercial off the shelf (COTS) software acquisition (Finklestein et al., 1996). Through the review of studies concerning ERP selection processes, we found that ERP systems procurement has not reached the required maturity. Most of them are the workshop or conference proceedings, and lack of further following up published papers. SHERPA is a more complete method among these researchers proposed. After Sistach et al. proposed it at 1999, this method had been modeled by a formal language, NoFun, at 2000. (Franch and Pastor, 2000). And there was following up study on this method proposed in FirstWorld Class IT Service Management Guide. (Sistach and Pastor, 2000). The role of SHERPA within a general ERP life cycle up to implementation and maintenance is shown as figure 2.1. Figure 2.1. The Five-Phase of SHERPA (Sistach et al., 1999) The five phases of SHERPA are: (0) study strategy and business processes and decide to acquire an ERP; (1) search for candidates and first filter; (2) dig into the candidates and second filter; (3) Analysis and demonstration of candidates and visits to the providers; and (4) final decision, negotiation and planning. Phase 0 is a first attempt to organize the work on the IS needs of the organization in order to help it decide if an ERP is a good solution to satisfy these needs, or alternatively if it seems better to develop a new proprietary IS, to maintain existing applications or integrate best-of-breed or vertical software packages. However, we recognize that this is a complex problem that needs a deeper research and that may also be addressed through methods for IS strategic planning. Phase 0 is divided in two sub phases. In the first stage, the project team studies the business, its departments and business processes to evaluate how well each ERP adapts to the organization. In the second stage, a committee has to decide if the company has to acquire an ERP. In Phase 1, based on the knowledge about the company obtained on Phase 0 and on some minimum requirements about candidate ERPs (maximum cost affordable, platform, etc.), the project team conducts a market research looking for ERPs suitable for the organization. The project team has to obtain enough minimum information on each ERP. In Phase2, the project team needs much more information about the ERPs obtained in Phase 1. Applying a long list of more detailed selection criteria the project team should select 2 or 3 ERP candidate solutions. The selection criteria have to be considered as useful guidelines, not as exclusion criteria. If an ERP solution seems adequate but implies important changes in the IT infrastructure or in any other part of the organization or simply does not comply with some criteria, it should not be eliminated directly. The purpose in Phase3 is to obtain a much deeper knowledge on each solution, specifically on its functionality and adaptability to the organization. The ERP providers have to demonstrate their products to the project team, the company top management, the mid-level management (department managers) and a selected group of future final users. Finally, the project team negotiates the contract with the selected ERP provider, including the estimation of the cost and the schedule for the implementation and a contingency plan. Stefanou proposed a three-phase framework of ERP systems selection. (Stefanou, 2000) They are business vision, requirements and constrains to the desire of change, and ERP selection and ROI/value evaluation. The first phase considers the business vision as a starting point for ERP initiation/acquisition. The second phase consists of the detailed examination and definition of business needs, and of the various constraints. Before proceeding, the desire and commitment to change by all people in the organization needs to be evaluated. It is a significant force required to fill the gap between business needs and constraints. The third phase is similar to phase1 to phase4 of SHERPA (Sistach et al., 1999). The key activities of this phase are the selection of modules of the core system, and the examination of certain selection criteria for vendor, product, and implementation partner. To evolve specific criteria for ERP projects, Teltumbde (2000) comprises the following seven domains of action: (1) Creation of organisational infrastructure, (2) Constitution of the repertoire of ERP products, (3) Preparation phase, (4) Context setting phase, (5) Evaluation and selection phase, (6) Approval of the selection, (7) Mid-course evaluation. Phase 1 to phase 4 is similar to SHERPA phase 0, which include the constitution of a steering committee and an evaluation team by top management, list of criteria for a repertoire of ERP products, drawing up people from businesses with in-depth process knowledge, and iterative process of information gathering, analyzing, engaging, educating and validating with the broader community of stakeholders. Phase 5 is similar to phase1 to phase4 of SHERPA (Sistach et al., 1999). The key activities of phase 6 and phase 7 are top management approval to the selected product and midcourse evaluation carried out with the involvement of a larger set of people involved in the implementation. Since ERP systems are packages, reference was made to an earlier study that identifies the activities that are undertaken in order to acquire commercial off the shelf (cots) software. These are: (1) acquisition and specification of requirements, (2) understanding the available packages, (3) assessment of package compatibility (with respect to the requirements), (4) selection of the best available package. (Finkelstein et al., 1996) Essentially, it is quite the same of the frameworks proposed by Finkelstein et al., (1996), Sistach et al. (1999), and Stefanou (2000). What deserves to be mentioned is the concept of approval in the framework proposed by Teltumbde (2000). In phase 2, the list of criteria for a repertoire of ERP products is based on the information collected from various sources. It is validated through communication to the representative structure and approved by the steering committee. In phase 4, iterative process of information gathering, analyzing, engaging, educating and validating with the broader community of stakeholders is carried out, hence, approval of stakeholders are gained. In phase 6, the team obtains top management approval to the selected product. In phase 7, the midcourse evaluation carried out with the involvement of a larger set of people involved in the implementation, hence, approval of these users are gained. During the selection processes, the factors that lead to ERP adoption are ascertained and the selection criteria are set, what will be discussed further in the following sections. “Companies engaging in ecommerce or supply chains operate in a sophisticated business and technological environment and they can be heavily computer-intensive. In such cases, the effectiveness of ERPS, which span beyond traditional organizational boundaries, requires collaboration between partners, coordination of decisions, as well as accurate and real-time information flow in a network of enterprises.” (Stefanou, 2000) Brown, et al. (2000) categorized the factors of motivations to two types, including: 1) business factor; and 2) information technology factor. After a review of prior literature, Brown, Vessey, and Powell developed 36 items that describe potential ERP package capabilities. Then, based on factor analyses of the survey responses from 122 senior IS managers, four business factors (data integration, new ways of doing business, global capabilities, flexibility/agility) and four IT factors (IT purchasing, IT cost reduction, IT expertise, IT architecture) are identified. Adam and O'Doherty (2000) studied 14 ERP implementation projects used SAP in Ireland. Because of the smaller average size of Irish organizations, the result can reflect the different selection and implementation of SMEs from those of large firms. In their study of 14 ERP implementation projects, the most common goals pursued the ERP software were the implementation of a robust transaction processing system (nine companies) – a ‘world class system’ for two companies. The traditional benefits of ERP systems, in particular cost reduction benefits, were also sought for nine companies while for 28% of the respondents year 2000 had been a major incentive to buy an ERP system, although in no case had it been the only rationale. Three companies were also seeking improvements in the visibility of their transactions while four companies bought ERP software under instruction from their foreign headquarters and put forward no specific goals for the implementation. Finally, electronic business was a long-term objective for six companies. Mabert (2000) conducted an ERP survey of U.S. manufacturing firms, which included the extent of packaged ERP system use in manufacturing firms, the motivation to pursue such an application, the implementation experience, and benefits obtained. 479 usable responses of 5,000 mailed questionnaires were received, which are randomly selected set of APICS members employed within manufacturing firms. According to the responses, the motivations to implement ERP are listed by the average scale as follows: Replace legacy systems, Simplify and standardize systems, Improve interactions and communication with suppliers and customers, gain strategic advantage, Link to global activities, Solve the Y2K problems, Pressure to keep up with competitors, Ease of upgrading systems, and Restructure company organization. Reinhard and Bergamaschi (2001) conducted a questionnaire survey of ERP implementation in Brazil. According to 67 usable responses, with 45 project managers and 22 users, the pre-implementation motivations are listed by the frequency managers/users choose as follows: Information Integration (44/22); Need for management information (42/19); Year 2000 bug (30/13); Search for competitive advantage (29/20); Evolution of IT architecture (28/10), Process redesign (25/12), Personnel reduction (16/8), Business globalization (15/8), Imposed by upper administration (12/10), and Pressure of business partners (4/0). 2.2.3 Selection criteria Certain packages are regarded as having an exceptional functionality in some of their modules, as is the case, for example, with PeopleSoft’s Human Resources module. Other vendors are regarded as specializing in certain industries, supporting industry-specific best practices, as for example SAP in Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals, Oracle in Energy and Telecommunications and Baan in Aerospace and Defense industries (Aberdeen Group, 1997) Shankarnarayanan (1999) recommends the following criteria for evaluating ERP software: (i) functional fit with the Company’ s business processes, (ii) degree of integration between the various components of the ERP system, (iii) flexibility and scalability, (iv) complexity; user friendliness, (v) quick implementation; shortened ROI period, (vi) ability to support multi-site planning and control, (vii) technology; client/server capabilities, database independence, and security, (viii) availability of regular upgrades, (ix) amount of customization required, (x) local support infrastructure, (xi) availability of reference sites, (xii) total costs, including cost of licence, training, implementation, maintenance, customization and hardware requirements. Bernroider and Koch (2001) have a more detail discussion on the differences in characteristics of the ERP system selection criteria between small or medium and large organizations. They found that there were 12 of the 29 selection criteria items with strong relationship to organization size. Several aspects dealing with flexibility (e.g. increased organizational flexibility, process improvement and improved innovation capabilities) have been rated as less important by smaller organizations, as these tend to be more flexible from the beginning and do not need to use an ERP solution for this goal. In addition, the adaptability and flexibility of the software is higher valued by smaller organizations, as these advantages and maybe unique business processes need to be preserved. A short implementation time and therefore lower costs are also given more importance, as resources are a bigger issue. Internationality of the software and customer and supplier needs are given less importance 2.2.4 Summary From the discussion of the above, there are three points need to be made. Firstly, we found that ERP systems procurement has not reached the required maturity. We can only find concerning research as the of conference or workshop proceedings. ERP procurement becomes a strategic and mission critical process for those organizations considering the adoption of an ERP (Franch and Pastor, 2000). “Organizations aim at implementing ERPs to enable the overall informational integration of functional areas across their –re-engineered– business processes, by replacing with them most of their proprietary legacy systems, and thus reducing their future needs for in-house bespoke IS development. Usually, an ERP-based IS is set to become the back office transactional foundations upon which to build the rest of decisional and communicational ISs, both at intra- and inter-organizational levels. Thus, in order to reach most or all of the organization functional units and business processes, the implementation and maintenance of an ERP-based IS usually becomes a risk and change-intensive project requiring significant economical, temporal and labor investments. Regard to their current options for software-based management Information Systems (IS) is the fast and wide proliferation of large packaged ready-made Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) systems. All this gives more and more importance to the task of acquiring ERP software, usually referred to by the headings of ERP systems procurement, acquisition or selection. In contrast with this state of affairs, we found that ERP systems procurement has not reached the required maturity. We can only find concerning research as the of conference or workshop proceedings. However, obviously, “it is more difficult for an adhoc method to be as complete and rich as may be a public method developed for being used, reused, and enriched by many people.” (Sistach et al., 1999) Secondly, “The characteristics of the ERP software have to match the criteria used by companies to select information.” (Everdingen et al., 2000) There are few literatures studied about whether the motivations why a firm pursued ERP software were achieved or not. In my searching, there is one study testing whether the motivations for initiating the project were achieved or not. In Reinhard and Bergamaschi’s (2001) study, they listed 11 items of motivations and tested whether the motivations for initiating the project were achieved or not in project managers’ and users’ opinion. These motivations were tested in subjective way, but there should be other objective way to be used. As long as we can differentiate between motivations and selection criteria, we may set some positive and negative evaluation criteria to ensure the motivations are achieved. This is why Day and Barksdale (1994) pointed out the importance of the purchasing goals. Finally, none of them discussed how the effect of the proposed processes, although all of them mentioned about the importance of the selection process. Through these researches, we are still not sure that how successfully the ERP project can be improved if we follow some framework they proposed. Teltumbde (2000) pointed “organizations find it very difficult to perform such evaluation of IT investments, which is much worse in the case of ERP projects.” One reason is that it is extremely difficult to estimate all the costs and to assess all the benefits much before the `to be’ processes are configured. (Teltumbde, 2000) The other is the limited choices of ERP software, vendors, and consultants result in the gap between the evaluation and the real choice. 2.3 ERP Implementation Risk 2.3.1 The Definition of Risk Hottenstein and Dean (1992) defined project risk as the likelihood that a project will fail to achieve its objectives. Risk is the degree of uncertainty concerning loss, and the higher complexity will result in higher uncertainty. “Risk management strategies are not necessarily oriented toward the reduction of risk. Rather they are oriented toward giving the manager tools for successfully managing a project given its risk profile. If a risk profile is not acceptable, ways might be found to reduce risk at its sources,” Hottenstein and Dean (1992) pointed. 2.3.2 Measuring The Implementation Risk Of ERP Project There are two ways to measure the risk of software projects. One is to ask experienced project managers to identify, rank and rate the risks they perceived. 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