What is Visual Analytics? Jim Thomas AAAS Fellow, PNNL Fellow Director National Visualization and Analytics Center Jim Thomas 9/16/2008 What is Visual Analytics? Third Wave: Knowledge based society Visual analytics enables the creation of knowledge Definitions Motivation behind the need for science of visual analytics What Visual Analytics is and is not: examples Establishment of VAC partnerships from basic sciences to deployed missions Transition to DHS Perspectives: Video 2 The Third Wave Wealth System “Third Wave Wealth system is increasingly based on serving, thinking, knowing and experiencing.” transdisciplinary science Revolutionary Wealth: Alvin and Heidi Toffler, Alfred Knopf publisher 2006, authors of Future Shock and The Third Wave Knowledge based economy: "The new production of knowledge: The dynamics of science and research in contemporary societies" By Michael Gibbons, Camille Limoges, Helga Nowotny, Simon Schwartzman, Peter Scott, and Martin Trow "Re-Thinking Science: Knowledge and the Public in a Age of Uncertainty" By Helga Nowotny, Peter Scott, and Michael Gibbons Data – Information – Knowledge - Wisdom 3 Visual Analytics Definition Congress: Visual analytics provides the last 12 inches between the masses of information and the human mind to make decisions Science: Visual analytics is the science of analytical reasoning facilitated by interactive visual interfaces 4 History of Graphics and Visualization • 70s to 80s • 90s to 2000s – CAD/CAM Manufacturing, cars, planes, and chips – 3D, education, animation, medicine, etc. • 80s to 90s – Scientific visualization – Realism, entertainment – Information visualization – Web and Virtual environments • 2000s to 2010s – Visual Analytics – Visual/audio appliances 5 Selected Societal Drivers and Observations Scale of Things to Come: Information: In 2002, recorded media and electronic information flows generated about 22 exabytes (1018) of information In 2006, the amount of digital information created, captured, and replicated was 161 EB In 2010, the amount of information added annually to the digital universe will be about 988 EB (almost 1 ZB) A Forecast of Worldwide Information Growth Through 2010: IDC National Open Source Enterprise - Intelligence Community Directive No. 301, July 11, 2006 UC Berkeley School of Information Management and Systems: Now much Information 6 Why Must Change Scale of Things to Come: Information: Drivers of Digital Universe: 70% of the Universe is being produced by individuals Organizations (businesses, agencies, governments, universities) produce 30% Wal-Mart has a database of 0.5 PB; it captures 30,000,000 transactions/day The growth is uneven Today the United States accounts for 41% of the Universe; by 2010, the Asia Pacific region will be growing 40% faster than any of the other regions 7 Why Must Change Scale of Things to Come: Information: Drivers of Digital Universe: Kinds of Data: About 2 GB of digital information is being produced per person per year 95% of the Digital Universe’s information is unstructured 25% of the digital information produced by 2010 will be images By 2010, the number of e-mailboxes will reach 2 billion The users will send 28 trillion e-mails/year, totaling about 6 EB of data 8 Why Must Change Scale of Things to Come: Information: Drivers of Digital Universe: Kinds of Data: Interaction: Today's interaction designed for point and click on individual items, groups(folders), and lists Today's interaction assumes user knows subject, concepts within information spaces, and can articulate what they want Today's interaction assumes data and interconnecting relationships are static in meaning over time Today's interaction is one way initiated Today’s interaction (WIMP) designed over 30 years ago 9 Observations on Complexity and Uncertainty Disorganized Complexity almost always comes with unstructured data, 95% of data Organized Complexity1: one could conceivably model or simulate, such as city neighborhood as a living mechanism Disorganized Complexity1: seemingly random collections, unknown relationships, unknown forces With Unstructured data comes a significant, amount of uncertainty Uncertainty2: The lack of certainty, A state of having limited knowledge where it is impossible to exactly describe existing state or future outcome, more than one possible outcome. Vagueness or ambiguity are sometimes described as "second order uncertainty", where there is uncertainty even about the definitions of uncertain states or outcomes. Must enable and rely on human judgment 1. 2. Weaver, Warren (1948), “ Science and Complexity”. American Scientist 36:536 Tannert C, Elvers HD, Jandrig B (2007). "The ethics of uncertainty. In the light of possible dangers, research becomes a moral duty." EMBO Rep. 8 (10): 892-6. 10 Critical Thinking* “…the quality of our life and that of what we produce, make, or build depends precisely on the quality of our thoughts.” Elements of thought: Points of View Implications & Consequences Purpose of the Thinking Question at Issue Assumptions Concepts Information Interpretation And Inference * Foundations of Critical Thinking www.criticalthinking.org 11 Example Heuer’s Central Ideas “Tools and techniques that gear the analyst’s mind to apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis… structuring information, challenging assumptions, and exploring alternative interpretations.” Examples Demonstrating Need Towards Predictive Analytics - discovery of the unexpected through Hypothesis/Scenariobased Analytics (hypothesis testing – IN-SPIRE) Human Information Discourse Japan Trade Protection Protection Measures Measures Japan Trade Protection Measures Trade Protection 13 Examples Demonstrating Need Changing Nature of Information Structure: Temporal, dynamically changing relationships, determination of intent (DC Sniper & ThemeRiver) 14 Examples Demonstrating Need Information synthesis while preserving security and privacy Data signatures that are semantic and scale Video Images Firm 5Firm 6 Firm 4 Firm 7 Firm 3 Firm 8 Firm 2 Country A Firm 9 Firm 1 Firm 10 A Bank Financial Audio Discover what is there AND discover what isn’t there 15 Visual analytics requires rapid data ingest into analytical process All source, all types, little standards, gathered with unknown quality What’s in here? analyst 16 16 Visual analytics requires mathematical and semantic representations and transformations of data Transations Cyber Power grid Financial 17 Into scalable analytical reasoning framework Visual analytics is the discovery of relationships in data; plus finding the dots High dimensional fuzzy, likely incomplete relationships 18 Visual analytics is the discovery of relationships at different scales within changing temporal conditions High dimensional fuzzy, likely incomplete relationships 19 Visual analytics often requires the syntheses of data sources, types, etc. Biological Activity Space Chemical Structure Space Relating Chemical Attributes with Biological Activity 20 Chemical Structure Viewer Visual Analytics is about reasoning, hypothesis creation and validation, evidence marshalling, uncertainty refinement STAB RESIN 21 Visual Analytics is the bridge between theory, experiment, and the human mind for discovery in science (predictive science) Environment Energy Health Economics 22 Visual Analytics is about mapping the abstract and the physical together; e.g. geospatial 23 Visual Analytics is about assessible analytic tools from mobile, desktop, command center back to cell phone: walkup usable 24 24 Context-sensitive Interactive Dynamic Auditable Composition support Visual Analytics is about visual communication, the message, the story, etc Visual Analytics is about Analytic Methods and Verification 25