Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org 1 What does “Tidal Flat Morphodynamics” Mean? 2 What does “Tidal Flat Morphodynamics” Mean? Morphodynamics = the process by which morphology affects hydrodynamics in such a way as to influence the further evolution of the morphology itself. External Hydrodynamic Forcing Waves Orbital Velocity Tidal Currents External Sediment Sources/Sinks Sediment Transport Tidal Flat Morphology 2 Tidal Flat Definition and General Properties (a) Open coast tidal flat e.g., Yangtze mouth Tidal flat = low relief, unvegetated, unlithified region between highest and lowest astronomical tide. e.g., Dutch Wadden Sea (b) Estuarine or backbarrier tidal flat (Sketches from Pethick, 1984) 3 Tidal Flat Definition and General Properties e.g., Yangtze mouth (a) Open coast tidal flat Note there are no complex creeks or bedforms on these simplistic flats. Tidal flat = low relief, unvegetated, unlithified region between highest and lowest astronomical tide. e.g., Dutch Wadden Sea (b) Estuarine or backbarrier tidal flat (Sketches from Pethick, 1984) 3 Where do tidal flats occur? 4 Where do tidal flats occur? Mean tidal range (cm) Tide-Dominated (High) Tide-Dominated (Low) According to Hayes (1979), flats are likely in “tide-dominated” conditions, i.e., Tidal range > ~ 2 to 3 times wave height. (Large sediment supply can push tidal flat regime toward larger waves.) Mixed Energy (Tide-Dominated) Mixed Energy (Wave-Dominated) Wave-Dominated Mean wave height (cm) 4 Where do tidal flats occur? In Spain too! Tidal flats near the mouth of the Guadalquivir River estuary: http://www.iberia-natur.com/en/reise/201009_Montijo.html http://www.iberia-natur.com/en/reise/201009_Montijo.html 4 Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org What moves sediment across flats? 5 What moves sediment across flats? Answer: Tides plus concentration gradients 5 What moves sediment across flats? Answer: Tides plus concentration gradients; (i) Due to energy gradients: Tidal advection High energy waves and/or tides Low energy waves and/or tides Higher sediment concentration 5 What moves sediment across flats? Answer: Tides plus concentration gradients; (i) Due to energy gradients: Tidal advection High energy waves and/or tides Low energy waves and/or tides Higher sediment concentration Tidal advection High energy waves and/or tides Low energy waves and/or tides Lower sediment concentration 5 What moves sediment across flats? Answer: Tides plus concentration gradients; (ii) Due to sediment supply: 6 What moves sediment across flats? Answer: Tides plus concentration gradients; (ii) Due to sediment supply: Suspended sediment source from e.g., river, local runoff, bioturbation or easily eroded bed Tidal advection Higher sediment concentration “High concentration boundary condition” Net settling of sediment 6 What moves sediment across flats? Answer: Tides plus concentration gradients; (ii) Due to sediment supply: Suspended sediment source from e.g., river, local runoff, bioturbation or easily eroded bed Tidal advection Higher sediment concentration “High concentration boundary condition” Net settling of sediment Tidal advection Lower sediment concentration “High concentration boundary condition” Net settling of sediment 6 Typical sediment grain size and tidal velocity pattern across tidal flats: (a) Open coast tidal flat e.g., Yangtze mouth Mud is concentrated near high water line where tidal velocities are lowest e.g., Dutch Wadden Sea (b) Estuarine or backbarrier tidal flat (Sketches from Pethick, 1984) 7 Typical sediment grain size and tidal velocity pattern across tidal flats: Mud is concentrated near high water line where tidal velocities are lowest. Ex. Jade Bay, German Bight, mean tide range 3.7 m; Spring tide range 3.9 m. Photo location Fine sand Sandy mud Mud 5 km 1 m/s Umax (Reineck 1982) (m/s) 0.25 0.50 1.00 1.50 (Grabemann et al. 2004) 8 Typical sediment grain size and tidal velocity pattern across tidal flats: Mud is concentrated near high water line where tidal velocities are lowest. Ex. Jade Bay, German Bight, mean tide range 3.7 m; Spring tide range 3.9 m. Photo location Fine sand Sandy mud Mud 5 km 1 m/s Umax (Reineck 1982) (m/s) 0.25 0.50 1.00 1.50 (Grabemann et al. 2004) 8 Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org Following energy gradients: Storms move sediment from flat to sub-tidal channel; Tides move sediment from sub-tidal channel to flat Ex. Conceptual model for flats at Yangtze River mouth (mean range 2.7 m; spring 4.0 m) 0 (Yang, Friedrichs et al. 2003) km Spring Low Tide (0 m) Spring Low Tide (0 m) (a) Response to Storms Study Site Spring High Tide (+4 m) Storm-Induced High Water (+5 m) 1 km 20 1 km (b) Response to Tides 9 Maximum tide and wave orbital velocity distribution across a linearly sloping flat: z = R/2 h(t) = (R/2) sin wt Z(x) h(x,t) z=0 z = - R/2 x=0 x x=L x = xf(t) Spatial variation in tidal current magnitude UT90/UT90(L/2) 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 Landward TideInduced Sediment Transport 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 x/L 10 Maximum tide and wave orbital velocity distribution across a linearly sloping flat: z = R/2 h(t) = (R/2) sin wt h(x,t) z=0 z = - R/2 x=0 x x = xf(t) Spatial variation in tidal current magnitude Spatial variation in wave orbital velocity 3.0 1.2 UW90/UW90(L/2) UT90/UT90(L/2) 1.4 1.0 0.8 Landward TideInduced Sediment Transport 0.6 0.4 0.2 x=L Z(x) 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 x/L 0.8 1 2.5 2.0 Seaward Wave-Induced Sediment Transport 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 x/L 10 Wind events cause concentrations on flat to be higher than channel Wind Speed (meters/sec) 15 (Ridderinkof et al. 2000) Germany 10 10 km Netherlands 5 Flat site Channel site Sediment Conc. (grams/liter) 0 1.0 (Hartsuiker et al. 2009) Flat Channel 0.5 0.0 250 260 270 280 290 Day of 1996 Ems-Dollard estuary, The Netherlands, mean tidal range 3.2 m, spring range 3.4 m 11 Wind events cause concentrations on flat to be higher than channel Wind Speed (meters/sec) 15 (Ridderinkof et al. 2000) Germany 10 10 km Netherlands 5 Flat site Channel site Sediment Conc. (grams/liter) 0 1.0 (Hartsuiker et al. 2009) Flat Channel 0.5 0.0 250 260 270 280 290 Day of 1996 Ems-Dollard estuary, The Netherlands, mean tidal range 3.2 m, spring range 3.4 m 11 Wadden Sea Flats, Netherlands Severn Estuary Flats, UK (mean range 2.4 m, spring 2.6 m) (mean range 7.8 m, spring 8.5 m) 200 LANDWARD 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 40 (Janssen-Stelder 2000) Elevation change (mm) Sediment flux (mV m2 s-1) Larger waves tend to cause sediment export and tidal flat erosion SEAWARD 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 Significant wave height (m) 30 (Allen & Duffy 1998) ACCRETION 20 Wave power supply (109 W s m-1) 10 2 0 3 1 -10 0.5 -20 EROSION -30 Depth (m) below LW Flat sites 5 km (Xia et al. 2010) Depth (m) below LW 12 0 10 20 Sampling location 20 km 4 Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org Elevation (m) Accreting flats are convex upwards; Eroding flats are concave upwards Accreting & convex-up Accreting & convex-up Eroding & concave-up Severn, UK, Macrotidal Jiangsu Province, China, Mesotidal (Kirby 1992) Relative Area (Ren 1992 in Mehta 2002) Accreting Eroding & concave-up Eroding Louisiana, USA, Microtidal (Lee & Mehta 1997 in Woodroffe 2000) 13 As tidal range increases (or decreases), flats become more convex (or concave) upward. German Bight tidal flats U.K. tidal flats (Dieckmann et al. 1987) (Kirby 2000) MTR = 1.8 m Convex Elevation (m) Elevation (m) MTR = 2.5 m MTR = 3.3 m Convex Mean Tide Level Mean Tide Level Concave Concave 0 Wetted area / High water area 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Wetted area / High water area 14 Models incorporating erosion, deposition & advection by tides produce convex upwards profiles Ex. Pritchard (2002): 6-m range, no waves, 100 mg/liter offshore, ws = 1 mm/s, te = 0.2 Pa, td = 0.1 Pa Envelope of max velocity (Flood +) High water Convex Initial profile Last profile 1.5 hours 4.5 3 6 Low water 10.5 9 7.5 Evolution of flat over 40 years At accretionary near-equilibrium without waves, maximum tidal velocity is nearly uniform across tidal flat. 15 Lobate shoreline Embayed shoreline Equilibrium bathymetry between low and high tide Analytical results for equilibrium profiles with spatially uniform maximum tidal or wave orbital velocity: Tides only Convex Embayed Waves only Embayed Concave (Friedrichs & Aubrey 1996) x=0 Distance across tidal flat x=L Uniform tidal velocity favors convex-up profile; uniform wave orbital velocity favors concave-up profile. Embayed shoreline enhances profile convexity; lobate shoreline (slightly) enhances profile concavity. 16 Model incorporating erosion, deposition & advection by tides plus waves favors concave upwards profile Equilibrium flat profiles (Roberts et al. 2000) Elevation Convex Convex Concave Concave Across-shore distance 4-m range, 100 mg/liter offshore, ws = 1 mm/s, te = 0.2 Pa, td = 0.1 Pa, Hb = h/2 Tidal tendency to move sediment landward is balanced by wave tendency to move sediment seaward. 17 Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org South San Francisco Bay Tidal Flats: South San Francisco Bay 700 tidal flat profiles in 12 regions, separated by headlands and creek mouths. MHW to MLLW MLLW to - 0.5 m San Mateo Bridge 0 4 km Dumbarton Bridge 12 1 11 2 3 10 4 9 8 5 Semi-diurnal tidal range up to 2.5 m 7 6 (Bearman, Friedrichs et al. 2010) 18 Dominant mode of profile shape variability determined through eigenfunction analysis: Amplitude (meters) Across-shore structure of first eigenfunction South San Francisco Bay MHW to MLLW First eigenfunction (deviation from mean profile) 90% of variability explained MLLW to - 0.5 m San Mateo Bridge Mean + positive eigenfunction score = convex-up Mean + negative eigenfunction score = concave-up Dumbarton Bridge Normalized seaward distance across flat Height above MLLW (m) Mean profile shapes 12 Profile regions 1 11 2 3 10 4 9 5 4 km 6 8 7 Normalized seaward distance across flat (Bearman, Friedrichs et al. 2010) 19 Significant spatial variation is seen in convex (+) vs. concave (-) eigenfunction scores: 8 4 10-point running average of profile first eigenfunction score Convex Eigenfunction score 12 Profile regions 0 1 Concave -4 4 2 5 0 -2 8 9 4 km 10 6 8 7 6 11 3 9 5 Convex 2 1 10 4 7 Regionally-averaged score of first eigenfunction 11 2 3 4 Concave 12 Tidal flat profiles (Bearman, Friedrichs et al. 2010) 20 Profile regions 12 11 10 2 3 4 (Bearman, Friedrichs et al. 2010) Tide Range 2 2.4 r = + .87 2.3 0 2.2 -2 Concave 1 3 5 7 9 Profile region 11 2.1 3 Fetch Length 2 2 r = - .82 0 1 -2 Concave 1 3 5 7 9 Profile region 11 8 7 6 Convex 4 Eigenfunction score 2.5 Mean tidal range (m) Eigenfunction score 4 km Convex 4 9 5 Average fetch length (km) 1 0 21 Profile regions 12 11 10 2 3 4 (Bearman, Friedrichs et al. 2010) 2.3 0 2.2 -2 Concave 3 5 7 9 Profile region 11 .8 Deposition 2 .6 r = + .92 .4 .2 0 0 -2 -.2 Concave 1 3 5 7 9 Profile region 3 Fetch Length 2 2 r = - .82 0 1 -2 Concave 1 3 5 7 9 Profile region 11 0 1 Convex 4 2.1 Eigenfunction score r = + .87 Mean tidal range (m) 2 2.4 7 6 Convex 4 8 11 -.4 Net 22-year deposition (m) Eigenfunction score 2.5 Tide Range 1 Eigenfunction score 4 km Convex 4 9 5 Average fetch length (km) 1 21 11 10 2 3 4 9 5 2.3 0 2.2 -2 Concave 3 5 7 9 Profile region 11 .6 r = + .92 .4 .2 0 0 -2 -.2 Concave 1 3 5 7 9 Profile region 11 -.4 2 r = - .82 0 1 -2 2.1 .8 Deposition 2 Fetch Length Concave 1 3 1 Convex 4 Eigenfunction score r = + .87 3 2 5 7 9 Profile region 11 Convex 4 7 6 Convex 4 Eigenfunction score 2 2.4 Net 22-year deposition (m) Eigenfunction score Tide Range 1 Eigenfunction score 2.5 Mean tidal range (m) Convex 0 40 30 2 Grain Size 0 20 r = - .61 -2 10 Concave 1 3 5 7 9 Profile region 11 8 Average fetch length (km) 1 4 km 4 Profile regions 12 Mean grain size (mm) -- Tide range & deposition are positively correlated to eigenvalue score (favoring convexity). -- Fetch & grain size are negatively correlated to eigenvalue score (favoring concavity). 0 21 Tide + Deposition – Fetch Explains 89% of Variance in Convexity/Concavity South San Francisco Bay 4 Observed Score Modeled Score Eigenfunction score Convex MLLW to - 0.5 m San Mateo Bridge r = + .94 r2 = .89 2 0 Dumbarton Bridge Modeled Score = C1 + C2 x (Deposition) + C3 x (Tide Range) – C4 x (Fetch) Concave -2 1 3 5 7 Profile region 1 9 Profile regions 12 11 10 2 3 4 9 5 6 22 MHW to MLLW 8 7 (Bearman, Friedrichs et al. 2010) 11 Tide + Deposition – Fetch Explains 89% of Variance in Convexity/Concavity South San Francisco Bay 4 Observed Score Modeled Score Eigenfunction score Convex MLLW to - 0.5 m San Mateo Bridge r = + .94 r2 = .89 2 0 Dumbarton Bridge Modeled Score = C1 + C2 x (Deposition) + C3 x (Tide Range) – C4 x (Fetch) Concave -2 1 3 5 7 Profile region 1 9 11 Profile regions 12 11 10 2 3 4 9 5 6 22 MHW to MLLW 8 7 (Bearman, Friedrichs et al. 2010) Seaward distance across flat Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org (Jaffe et al. 2006) 23 Eigenfunction score 10-point running average of profile first eigenfunction score Regions 12 11 10 1 2 3 4 9 5 6 Eigenfunction score 4 km 8 7 Regionally-averaged score of first eigenfunction (Bearman, unpub.) 24 Eigenfunction score 10-point running average of profile first eigenfunction score Regions 12 11 10 1 Inner regions (5-10) tend to be more convex 2 3 4 Eigenfunction score 9 5 Inner regions 4 km 6 8 7 Regionally-averaged score of first eigenfunction (Bearman, unpub.) 24 Variation of External Forcings in Time: Central Valley (Ganju et al. 2007) South San Francisco Bay MHW to MLLW MLLW to - 0.5 m San Mateo Bridge Dumbarton Bridge San Jose (Bearman, unpub.) 25 - Trend of Scores in Time (+ = more convex, - = more concave) Outer 1 11 10 2 3 4 Region 2 Region 1 Score -1 -1 7 0 -2 -1 Region 4 Region 6 Region 5 0 Score 1 0 0 -2 -1 Region 7 -2 Region 8 4 Score 6 8 0 -2 2 0 4 2 2 1 0 0 Region 9 Region 12 Region 11 Region 10 Score 4 km 9 5 Inner Region 3 Regions 12 0 2 1 -1 1 1900 1950 Year 2000 1900 1950 Year 2000 -1 1900 1950 Year 2000 (Bearman, unpub.) 26 - Trend of Scores in Time (+ = more convex, - = more concave) - Outer regions are getting more concave in time (i.e., eroding) - Inner regions are not (i.e., more stable) Outer 1 11 10 2 3 4 Region 2 Region 1 Score -1 -1 7 0 -2 -1 Region 4 Region 6 Region 5 0 Outer regions Score 1 0 0 -2 Inner regions -1 Region 7 -2 Region 8 4 Score 6 8 0 -2 2 0 4 2 2 1 0 0 Region 9 0 2 Outer regions Region 12 Region 11 Region 10 Score 4 km 9 5 Inner Region 3 Regions 12 1 -1 1 1900 1950 Year 2000 1900 1950 Year 2000 -1 1900 1950 Year 2000 (Bearman, unpub.) 26 Outer - Trend of Scores in Time (+ = more convex, - = more concave) CENTRAL VALLEY SEDIMENT DISCHARGE - Outer regions become more concave as sediment discharge decreases Region 2 4 4 2 -2 -1 Score * -2 2 0 2 -1 Region 8 4 4 Score 6 6 2 4 0 2 6 4 2 -2 Region 9 2 * 6 2 4 0 2 1 2 6 4 1 2 0 Region 12 0 6 * 1 2 1900 1950 Year 2000 6 4 4 -1 2 2000 6 4 Region 11 Region 10 1950 Year 0 4 Region 7 Score Region 6 * 6 4 1900 2 Region 5 1 6 4 -2 2 Region 4 0 * 6 -1 2 1900 1950 Year 2000 4 km 9 5 6 8 7 Sediment Disch. (MT) * 0 Sediment Disch. (MT) 6 0 2 3 Inner Region 3 Sediment Disch. (MT) * -1 -1 11 10 4 Sediment Disch. (MT) Score Region 1 1 Regions 12 Outer regions Inner regions *SIGNIFICANT Outer regions (Bearman, unpub.) 27 Outer - Trend of Scores in Time (+ = more convex, - = more concave) PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION - No significant relationship to changes in shape Region 2 1 0 0 0 -2 -1 -1 1 Score 1 1 1 0 -2 0 0 -1 -1 1 4 1 2 1 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 -1 0 -1 0 -1 -1 -1 -2 Region 8 4 0 0 Region 7 Score Region 6 Region 5 0 Region 12 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 -1 1 1900 1950 Year 2000 -1 1900 1950 Year 2000 7 -1 -1 Outer regions Inner regions Region 9 Region 11 Region 10 6 8 -1 -1 Region 4 PDO Index -2 Score 0 9 5 PDO Index -1 1 0 4 km PDO Index -1 2 3 Inner Region 3 1 11 10 4 -1 1900 1950 Year 2000 PDO Index Score Region 1 1 Regions 12 Outer regions (Bearman, unpub.) 28 Outer - Trend of Scores in Time (+ = more convex, - = more concave) Relationship to preceding deposition or erosion - Inner and outer regions more concave after erosion, more convex after deposition Region 2 0 -.2 -.4 -2 Region 4 0 .2 Score .3 0 0 Score .6 * .3 0 0 2 * Score 2 .5 1 0 0 .6 .3 0 Region 12 Region 11 .6 * * 0 .3 0 1 1950 Year 1 Region 9 0 Region 10 1900 0 -.3 -2 Region 8 4 * 0 2000 .4 0 -.2 -1 2 2 Region 6 1 Region 7 4 -.4 Region 5 * -2 0 0 -.3 -1 -2 0 .2 0 1 0 -1 1900 1950 Year 2000 -.2 -1 -.3 1900 1950 Year 2000 6 8 7 Bed change (m) 0 -1 4 km 9 5 Inner Region 3 Bed change (m) -1 4 Bed change (m) .3 11 10 2 3 Bed change (m) Score Region 1 1 Regions 12 Outer regions Inner regions *SIGNIFICANT Outer regions (Bearman, unpub.) 29 Outer - Trend of Scores in Time (+ = more convex, - = more concave) SAN JOSE RAINFALL - Inner regions more convex when San Jose rainfall increases Region 2 0 15 -2 20 Score 15 -2 * 15 0 10 -1 Region 8 * 2 0 20 4 15 2 10 0 20 20 1 Region 7 Score Region 6 Region 5 0 4 10 10 Region 4 * 0 15 10 10 -2 Region 9 20 2 20 15 1 15 10 0 10 Region 12 Region 11 Region 10 20 20 20 0 2 1 15 15 15 -1 1 1900 1950 Year 10 2000 1900 1950 Year San Jose Rainfall (in) 10 -1 -2 Score 15 San Jose Rainfall (in) 15 20 0 10 -1 2000 10 1900 1950 Year 2000 4 km 9 5 Inner San Jose Rainfall (in) 20 -1 4 Region 3 20 -1 11 10 2 3 San Jose Rainfall (in) Score Region 1 1 Regions 12 8 7 6 San Jose Outer regions Inner regions *SIGNIFICANT Outer regions (Bearman, unpub.) 30 Outer - Trend of Scores in Time (+ = more convex, - = more concave) CHANGES IN TIDAL RANGE THROUGH TIME - No significant relationships to temporal changes in tidal range Region 2 0 -2 1.7 -1 -2 1.7 Region 4 Score 1.8 0 0 -2 1.7 -1 Region 7 Region 8 1.8 4 Score Region 6 1.8 1 2 1.7 0 1.7 -2 4 1.8 2 2 1 0 1.7 0 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.7 Region 12 1.8 0 2 1.8 1 -1 1 1900 1950 Year 1.7 2000 1900 1950 Year 1.7 -1 2000 Outer regions Inner regions Region 9 Region 11 Region 10 7 1.7 Region 5 1.8 0 Score 1.8 6 8 Tidal Range (m) 1.8 0 9 5 Inner Region 3 Tidal Range (m) -1 4 4 km Tidal Range (m) Score 1.8 -1 11 10 2 3 1.7 1900 1950 Year 2000 Tidal Range (m) Region 1 1 Regions 12 Outer regions (Bearman, unpub.) 31 Temporal Analysis: Multiple Regression Significance (slope/std err) Region Mult Reg Rsq CV Seds SJ Rainfall Dep/Eros r1 0.82 4.21 ––– ––– r2 0.73 3.19 ––– ––– r3 0.71 3.07 ––– ––– r4 0.55 2.10 ––– ––– r5 0.95 8.18 ––– 3.43 r6 0.53 ––– ––– 1.51 r7 0.35 ––– 1.39 ––– r8 0.47 ––– 1.29 1.12 r9 0.66 2.03 ––– 2.4 r10 0.94 3.41 ––– 7.77 r11 0.46 1.05 ––– 1.37 r12 0.51 1.39 ––– ––– Less Central Valley sediment discharge: Outer regions more concave. More San Jose Rains: Inner regions more convex. Recent deposition (or erosion): Middle regions more convex (or concave) 12 1 2 11 San Jose 3 10 4 9 5 6 (Bearman, unpub.) 8 7 32 Tidal Flat Morphodynamics Carl Friedrichs Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary Main Points 1) On tidal flats, sediment (especially mud) moves toward areas of weaker energy. 2) Tides usually move sediment landward; waves usually move sediment seaward. 3) Tides and/or deposition favor a convex upward profile; waves and/or erosion favor a concave upward profile. 4) South San Francisco Bay provides a case study supporting these trends, both in space and time. Photo of Jade Bay tidal flats, Germany (spring tide range 3.8 m) by D. Schwen, http://commons.wikimedia.org