MATH 201 Applied Statistics Spring 2008 Section 001 8:00 to 9:00 M W F Section 002 9:10 to 10:10 M W F Section 004 1:50 to 2:50 M W F Instructor: Dr. Chris Edwards Phone: 424-1358 or 948-3969 Office: Swart 123 Classroom: Swart 302/302/303 Text: Introduction to the Practice of Statistics 5th edition, by David S. Moore and George P. McCabe Required Calculator: TI-83, TI-83 Plus (or TI-84 Plus), by Texas Instruments. Other TI graphics calculators (like the TI-86) do not have the same statistics routines we will be using and will cause you troubles. Catalog Description: An introduction to applied statistics using a statistical computing package such as MINITAB. Topics include: Descriptive statistics, elementary probability, discrete and continuous distributions, interval and point estimation, hypothesis testing, regression and correlation. Credit cannot be earned for both PBIS 189 and Mathematics 201. Prerequisite: Mathematics 104 or 108 with a grade of C or better. Course Objectives: (Click here for full document.) The goal of statistics is to gain understanding from data. This course focuses on critical thinking and active learning. Students will be engaged in statistical problem solving and will develop intuition concerning data analysis, including the use of appropriate technology. Specifically students will develop an interest and aptitude in applying statistics to other areas of human inquiry an awareness of the nature and value of statistics a sound, critical approach to interpreting statistics, including possible misuses facility with statistical calculations and evaluations, using appropriate technology effective written and oral communication skills Grading: Final grades are based on 400 points: Exam 1 Topic Descriptive Statistics Points 80 pts. Tentative Date March 5 Exam 2 Sampling, Probability, and the CLT Exam 3 Statistical Inference Group Presentations 20 Points Each Homework 10 Points Each 80 pts. April 18 80 pts. 60 pts. 100 pts. May 16 Biweekly Weekly Attendance is a very important component of success in my class because many of the skills and lessons we will learn will be a direct result of classroom activities that cannot be reproduced easily. Thus, final grades are based on attendance as well as total points earned. On the syllabus, I have noted days when I will not be taking attendance. These days are mostly review days or days we practice material we've already covered. Minimum scores for each grade and attendance level are as follows: Absences => Grade: A AB B BC C D 0 to 3 4 to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 13 or more 360 (90 %) 340 (85 %) 320 (80 %) 300 (75 %) 280 (70 %) 240 (60 %) 380 (95 %) 360 (90 %) 340 (85 %) 320 (80 %) 300 (75 %) 260 (65 %) 380 (95 %) 360 (90 %) 340 (85 %) 320 (80 %) 280 (70 %) 380 (95 %) 360 (90 %) 340 (85 %) 300 (75 %) 380 (95 %) 360 (90 %) 320 (80 %) Presentations: There will be three presentations, each worth 20 points. The descriptions of the presentations are on the Days201 file. I will assign you to your groups for these presentations randomly, but I want to avoid you having the same members each time. I expect each person in a group to contribute to the work; you can allocate the work in any way you like. If a group member is not contributing, see me as soon as possible so I can make a decision about what to do. The topics are: 1 - Displays and Regression (March 3). 2 - Sampling and Probability (April 14). 3 - Statistical Hypothesis Testing (May 14). Homework: I will collect 3 homework problems approximately once a week. The due dates are listed on the course outline below. While I will only be grading 3 problems, I presume that you will be working on many more than just the three I assign. I suggest that you work together in small groups on the homework for this class. What I expect is a well thought-out, complete discussion of the problem. Please don't just put down a numerical answer; I want to see how you did the problem. (You won't get full credit for just numerical answers.) The method you use is much more important to me than the final answer. To aid in your study groups, I will be distributing a class roll of both sections I am teaching this semester. Office Hours: Office hours are times when I will be in my office to help you. There are many other times when I am in my office. If I am in and not busy, I will be happy to help. My office hours for Spring 2008 semester are 10:20 to 11:00, Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, and 3:00 to 4:15 Thursday, or by appointment. Philosophy: I strongly believe that you, the student, are the only person who can make yourself learn. Therefore, whenever it is appropriate, I expect you to "discover" the statistics we will be exploring. I do not feel that "lecturing" to you will teach you how to do statistics. I hope to be your "guide" while we learn some statistics, but you will need to do the learning. The textbook we will be using for this class will require you to actually read it to master the material. My idea of teaching / learning is not "Teaching is telling and learning is listening". I believe that you must be active in the learning process to learn well. My job as a teacher, therefore, is not to "tell" you the answers to the problems we will encounter; rather it is to point you in a direction that will allow you to see the solutions yourselves. To accomplish that goal, I will work to find different interactive activities for us to work on. Your job is to use me, to use your text, to use your friends, and any other resources. Keep in mind that the goal is to learn statistics, not to pass the exams. (Incidentally, if you have truly learned the material, the exam results will take care of themselves.) Homework Assignments: (subject to change if we discover difficulties as we go) Homework 1, due February 15 Chapter 1: Homework 2, due February 22 Chapter 1: Homework 3, due February 29 Chapter 2: Homework 4, due March 14 Chapter 3: Homework 5, due April 2 Chapter 4: Homework 6, due April 9 Chapter 4: Homework 7, due April 23 Chapter 5: Chapter 5: Homework 8, due April 30 Chapter 6: Chapter 6: 1.17, 1.18 pages 29-30 1.34 page 37 1.60 page 60 1.66 page 62 1.88 page 86 1.110 page 89 2.18 pages 121-122 2.32 page 130 2.44 pages 146-147 3.6 pages 197-198 3.16 page 212 3.34 page 217 4.14 page 272 4.28 page 275 4.52 page 289 4.68 page 307 4.102 page 326 5.14 page 354 5.34 page 370 5.50 pages 374-375 6.16 page 398 6.28 page 399 6.36 pages 417-418 Homework 9, due May 7 Chapter 6: Chapter 7: Homework 10, due May 14 Chapter 8: 6.56 page 421 6.82 page 429 7.6 page 473 7.34 page 481 8.12 page 551 8.24 page 554 8.38 page 568 Monday Wednesday Friday February 4 Day 1 Introduction February 6 Day 2 Graphical Summaries Section 1.1 February 8 Day 3 Arizona Temps Section 1.1 February 11 Day 4 Numerical Summaries Section 1.2 February 13 Day 5 Standard Deviation Section 1.2 February 15 Day 6 Homework 1 Due Intro to Normal Section 1.3 February 18 Day 7 Normal Problems Section 1.3 (Attend. opt.) February 20 Day 8 Scatter plots and Correlation Sections 2.1 and 2.2 February 22 Day 9 Homework 2 Due Outliers I Section 2.2 February 25 Day 10 Olympic Races Section 2.3 February 27 Day 11 Outliers II Section 2.3 February 29 Day 12 Homework 3 Due U. S. Population Sections 2.4 and 2.5 March 3 Day 13 Presentation 1 Review March 5 Day 14 Exam 1 March 7 Day 15 Polls Section 3.1 to 3.3 March 10 Day 16 Lurking Variables Section 3.1 March 12 Day 17 SRS's Section 3.2 March 14 Day 18 Homework 4 Due Sampling Schemes Sections 3.3 and 3.4 March 17 Day 19 Randomness Section 4.1 March 19 Day 20 Coins, Dice, RV�s Section 4.2 March 21 Day 21 Random Variables Section 4.3 March 31 Day 22 Means and Variances Section 4.4 April 2 Day 23 Homework 5 Due Trees and Bayes' Section 4.5 April 4 Day 24 Binomial Section 5.1 April 7 Day 25 Central Limit Theorem Section 5.2 April 9 Day26 Homework 6 Due More CLT Section 5.2 (Attend. opt.) April 11 Day 27 Review (Attend. opt.) April 14 Day 28 Presentation 2 April 16 Day 29 m&m�s Section 6.1 April 18 Day 30 April 21 Day 31 CI Practice Section 6.1 April 23 Day 32 Homework 7 Due Contradiction Section 6.2 April 25 Day 33 Hypothesis Test Practice Section 6.2 (Attend. opt.) April 28 Day 34 Testing Simulation Section 6.2 to 6.3 April 30 Day 35 Homework 8 Due Gosset Simulation Section 7.1 May 2 Day 36 Matched Pairs Section 7.1 April 5 Day 37 Two Samples Section 7.2 May 7 Day 38 Homework 9 Due Proportions Section 8.1 May 9 Day 39 2 Sample Proportions Section 8.2 May 12 Day 40 Review (Attend. opt.) May 14 Day 41 Homework 10 Due Presentation 3 Review May 16 Day 42 Exam 2 Exam 3