State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013 Adults with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (2011) 28.5% 30.0% 25.0% 23.8% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Oklahoma U.S. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey. 84% of national average. Bachelor Degree Attainment by Age 24, by Family Income, 2011 >$105k 80.0% 71.2% $63-105k 60.0% $33-63k 40.0% 20.0% <$33k 10.4% 30.4% 14.6% 0.0% Lowest Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile Top Quartile Source: Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY, Number 245, November 2012, www.postsecondary.org. OKPromise High School Enrollment (By High School Graduation Year) 12,000 9,527 10,000 $50,000 8,000 7,187 $32,000 6,000 7,753 9,854 9,894 10,315 10,257 10,653 8,179 5,882 $24,000 4,000 2,418 2,000 1,442 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 As of 12-20-12 Estimated Percent of Oklahoma Families with Total Income Under $50,000 70% 61% 60% 58% 58% 60% 56% 54% 52% 50% 48% 46% 48% 48% 46% Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census, American Community Survey-2001-2011 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 40% Oklahoma Public School Students Eligible for Free/Reduced Lunch 70% 59% 60% 56% 55% 55% 55% 54% 53% 52% 48% 49% 49% Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles State Reports, 2007-2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 40% 2011 50% 61% Inflation Impact on $50,000 Income Limit $50,000 in 2012 equivalent to about $37,600 in year 2000 dollars* $50,000 in year 2000 dollars equivalent to about $66,500 in year 2012 dollars* *based on national consumer price index; 33% rate of inflation from 2000 to 2012 High School Requirement Completion Rates $50,000 As of 12-20-12 2012 2011 2010 2009 66.4% 66.7% 65.4% 65.7% 64.7% 64.1% 2008 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 67.2% 71.7% 70.3% 69.2% 69.4% 2007 $32,000 High School Students Completing OKPromise Requirements (by Grad Year) 8,000 $50,000 6,000 5,051 5,365 6,322 6,576 6,470 6,780 6,634 6,831 5,673 4,216 4,000 $32,000 $24,000 1,624 2,000 884 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 As of 1-2-13 Ethnicity – 2012 HS Completers 75% 52% 58% OKPromise 3% 2% 3% 3% All HS Seniors 9% 1% n/a Hispanic African Amer. Amer. Ind. White 0% 13% 17% 11% 10% 9% 9% multi-racial 25% Asian 50% 2012 OKPromise Champions B Moss & Wapanucka 10 A Wright City 15 2A Northeast Academy - OKC 28 3A Dove Science Academy - OKC 35 4A Santa Fe South – OKC 70 5A Del City 59 6A Union - Tulsa 128 2012 OKPromise State Champions 6A-Union-Tulsa (128) 2A-Northeast Academy-OKC (28) 3A-Dove Science Academy-OKC (35) 4A-Santa Fe SouthOKC (70) 5A-Del City (59) B-Moss (10) B-Wapanucka (10) A-Wright City (15) Union Public Schools Students Eligible for Free/Reduced Lunch 60% 54% 47% 50% 40% 26% 30% 20% 30% 33% 37% 40% 41% 20% 16% 16% 18% Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 0% 2011 10% Oklahoma City Public Schools Hispanic Student Population 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 20% 22% 25% 27% 30% 40% 41% 38% 37% 35% 33% 44% Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 0% 2011 10% 2012 Gates Millennium Scholars It appears that about 37 of 53 (70%) Gates Foundation Millennium Scholars named in Oklahoma in 2012 are OKPromise students.* *Tulsa World article, 7/2/12 Gender Trends OKPromise High School Grads, 2002-2012 100% OK H.S. Seniors: 49% Female, 51% Male Female 64% 61% 60% 60% 61% 61% 60% 60% 60% 60% 58% 50% 42% 36% 39% 40% 40% 39% 39% 40% 40% 40% 40% Male 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Female Male Geographic Distribution Trends OKPromise High School Grads, 2004-2012 100% 75% 70% 69% 66% 64% 63% 63% 60% 59% 36% 37% 37% 40% 41% 58% 52% 48% 42% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 50% 25% 30% 31% 34% 2004 2005 2006 0% Rural OKProm Rural OK Urban OK Urban OKProm “Urban” is defined as the 5 most populous counties – Oklahoma, Tulsa, Cleveland Canadian, and Comanche. High School GPA’s 3.75 3.49 3.25 3.38 3.49 3.37 3.47 3.34 3.46 3.45 3.33 3.34 3.42 3.40 3.39 3.39 3.37 3.38 3.30 3.31 3.28 3.27 3.26 3.28 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 2.75 OKPromise-Overall OKPromise-Core '12 OK Seniors 2012 ACT Composite Scores 20 21.0 21.0 15 10 5 0 OKPromise Non-OKPromise 2012 ACT Testers By Income* 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 74% 46% 33% 21% 14% Under $50k 12% Over $50k OKPromise *Self-reported on ACT test application Not Reported Non-OKPromise 2012 Average ACT Scores By Income* 23 22 21 20 19 21.8 22.4 21.0 20.9 20.0 19.1 18 17 Under $50k Over $50k OKPromise *Self-reported on ACT test application Not Reported Non-OKPromise College-Going Rates Compared to All Oklahoma HS Graduates 100% 79% 81% 82% 82% 82% 81% 81% 82% 81% 80% 75% 50% 56% 58% 59% 58% 57% 58% 52% 51% 55% 25% 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 OKPromise Completers OK HS Grads College Remediation Rates 45.0% 35.0% 40.8% 36.9% 36.7% 36.3% 35.0% 36.1% 35.0% 38.3% 38.0% 35.0% 32.5% 30.4% 32.3% 31.8% 29.8% 32.2% 31.9% 31.7% 25.0% 15.0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 OK Promise 2007 2008 Ok. HS Grads 2009 2010 Full-Time College Enrollment 100% 90% 90% 89% 90% 79% 78% 79% 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 80% 70% 60% OK-Promise Non-OKPromise First-time entering students enrolled in 12 hours or more per fall or spring semester College Freshman – GPA of at least 2.0 100% 90% 80% 86% 84% 81% 81% 2009 2010 85% 84% 70% 60% OK Promise Non-OKPromise Percentages calculated based on students with GPA reported to UDS. 2011 College Freshman to Sophomore Persistence Rates 100% 75% 87% 86% 85% 83% 83% 83% 83% 84% 84% 78% 77% 76% 74% 72% 70% 71% 68% 71% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 50% 25% 0% 2002 2003 2004 OKPromise Non-OKPromise Students Degree Completion Rates (through 2011-12) 70% 58% 60% 50% 40% 50% 47% 38% 30% 20% 10% 0% 6-Year Non-OKPromise 9-Year OKPromise Employment of College Graduates in Oklahoma (after 1 year, April 2010 – June 2011) 93% 92% 92% 91% 90% 89% 89% 88% 87% All Grads OKPromise Scholarship Recipients 16,929 18,303 19,431 20,081 20,029 19,650 19,300 14,670 12,101 9,155 Actual Projected As of 1-2-13 13-14 12-13 11-12 '10-11 '09-10 '08-09 '07-08 '06-07 '05-06 '04-05 '03-04 5,889 Factors Impacting Future Enrollment and Cost of Oklahoma’s Promise Shrinking pool of potential applicants ($50,000 limit unchanged since 2000) New statutory 2nd family income check for 2012 high school graduates New statutory college GPA and “Satisfactory Academic Progress” requirements beginning in fall 2012 Average Annual Award $3,000 $2,777 $2,736 08-09 09-10 $2,846 $2,972 $2,000 $1,000 $0 10-11 11-12 Average Scholarship by Tier $4,000 $3,000 $3,728 $3,484 $3,622 $2,817 $2,943 $1,263 $1,304 $1,407 09-10 10-11 11-12 $2,000 $3,114 $1,000 $0 Research U. Regional U. 2-Yr Coll Scholarship Expenditures (In $ millions, by fiscal year) Projected $70 Actual $60 $50.9 $53.2 $50 $43.0 $40 $33.8 $25.9 $30 $20 $10 $61.3 $62.7 $59.5 $57.2 $17.8 $10.4 As of 11-14-12 FY'14 FY'13 FY'12 FY'11 FY'10 FY'09 FY'08 FY'07 FY'06 FY'05 FY'04 $0