State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

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State Regents Meeting
January 31, 2013
Adults with Bachelor’s Degree
or Higher (2011)
28.5%
30.0%
25.0%
23.8%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
Oklahoma
U.S.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey. 84% of national average.
Bachelor Degree Attainment by
Age 24, by Family Income, 2011
>$105k
80.0%
71.2%
$63-105k
60.0%
$33-63k
40.0%
20.0%
<$33k
10.4%
30.4%
14.6%
0.0%
Lowest
Quartile
2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile Top Quartile
Source: Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY, Number 245, November 2012, www.postsecondary.org.
OKPromise High School Enrollment
(By High School Graduation Year)
12,000
9,527
10,000
$50,000
8,000
7,187
$32,000
6,000
7,753
9,854
9,894
10,315 10,257
10,653
8,179
5,882
$24,000
4,000
2,418
2,000
1,442
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
As of 12-20-12
Estimated Percent of Oklahoma Families
with Total Income Under $50,000
70%
61% 60%
58% 58%
60%
56%
54%
52%
50%
48%
46%
48% 48%
46%
Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census, American Community Survey-2001-2011
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
40%
Oklahoma Public School Students Eligible
for Free/Reduced Lunch
70%
59%
60%
56%
55%
55%
55%
54%
53%
52%
48% 49% 49%
Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles State Reports, 2007-2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
40%
2011
50%
61%
Inflation Impact on $50,000
Income Limit


$50,000 in 2012 equivalent to about
$37,600 in year 2000 dollars*
$50,000 in year 2000 dollars equivalent
to about $66,500 in year 2012 dollars*
*based on national consumer price index; 33% rate of
inflation from 2000 to 2012
High School Requirement
Completion Rates
$50,000
As of 12-20-12
2012
2011
2010
2009
66.4% 66.7% 65.4% 65.7% 64.7% 64.1%
2008
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
67.2%
71.7% 70.3% 69.2% 69.4%
2007
$32,000
High School Students Completing
OKPromise Requirements
(by Grad Year)
8,000
$50,000
6,000
5,051
5,365
6,322
6,576 6,470 6,780 6,634 6,831
5,673
4,216
4,000
$32,000
$24,000
1,624
2,000
884
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
As of 1-2-13
Ethnicity – 2012 HS Completers
75%
52% 58%
OKPromise
3% 2%
3% 3%
All HS Seniors
9%
1%
n/a
Hispanic
African Amer.
Amer. Ind.
White
0%
13% 17% 11% 10% 9% 9%
multi-racial
25%
Asian
50%
2012 OKPromise Champions
B
Moss & Wapanucka
10
A
Wright City
15
2A
Northeast Academy - OKC
28
3A
Dove Science Academy - OKC
35
4A
Santa Fe South – OKC
70
5A
Del City
59
6A
Union - Tulsa
128
2012 OKPromise State Champions
6A-Union-Tulsa (128)
2A-Northeast
Academy-OKC (28)
3A-Dove Science
Academy-OKC (35)
4A-Santa Fe SouthOKC (70)
5A-Del City (59)
B-Moss (10)
B-Wapanucka (10)
A-Wright City (15)
Union Public Schools Students Eligible for
Free/Reduced Lunch
60%
54%
47%
50%
40%
26%
30%
20%
30%
33%
37%
40% 41%
20%
16% 16% 18%
Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
0%
2011
10%
Oklahoma City Public Schools
Hispanic Student Population
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
20% 22%
25% 27%
30%
40% 41%
38%
37%
35%
33%
44%
Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
0%
2011
10%
2012 Gates Millennium Scholars

It appears that about 37 of 53 (70%)
Gates Foundation Millennium Scholars
named in Oklahoma in 2012 are
OKPromise students.*
*Tulsa World article, 7/2/12
Gender Trends
OKPromise High School Grads, 2002-2012
100%
OK H.S. Seniors: 49% Female, 51% Male
Female
64% 61% 60% 60% 61% 61% 60% 60% 60% 60%
58%
50%
42%
36% 39% 40% 40% 39% 39% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Male
0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Female
Male
Geographic Distribution Trends
OKPromise High School Grads, 2004-2012
100%
75%
70%
69%
66%
64%
63%
63%
60%
59%
36%
37%
37%
40%
41%
58%
52%
48%
42%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
50%
25%
30%
31%
34%
2004
2005
2006
0%
Rural OKProm
Rural OK
Urban OK
Urban OKProm
“Urban” is defined as the 5 most populous counties – Oklahoma, Tulsa, Cleveland
Canadian, and Comanche.
High School GPA’s
3.75
3.49
3.25
3.38
3.49
3.37
3.47
3.34
3.46
3.45
3.33
3.34
3.42
3.40
3.39
3.39
3.37
3.38
3.30
3.31
3.28
3.27
3.26
3.28
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
2.75
OKPromise-Overall
OKPromise-Core
'12
OK Seniors
2012 ACT Composite Scores
20
21.0
21.0
15
10
5
0
OKPromise
Non-OKPromise
2012 ACT Testers By Income*
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
74%
46%
33%
21%
14%
Under $50k
12%
Over $50k
OKPromise
*Self-reported on ACT test application
Not Reported
Non-OKPromise
2012 Average ACT Scores By Income*
23
22
21
20
19
21.8
22.4
21.0
20.9
20.0
19.1
18
17
Under $50k
Over $50k
OKPromise
*Self-reported on ACT test application
Not Reported
Non-OKPromise
College-Going Rates Compared
to All Oklahoma HS Graduates
100%
79% 81% 82% 82% 82% 81% 81% 82% 81% 80%
75%
50%
56% 58% 59% 58% 57% 58% 52%
51% 55%
25%
0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
OKPromise Completers
OK HS Grads
College Remediation Rates
45.0%
35.0%
40.8%
36.9%
36.7%
36.3%
35.0% 36.1%
35.0%
38.3%
38.0%
35.0%
32.5%
30.4%
32.3% 31.8%
29.8%
32.2% 31.9%
31.7%
25.0%
15.0%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
OK Promise
2007
2008
Ok. HS Grads
2009
2010
Full-Time College Enrollment
100%
90%
90%
89%
90%
79%
78%
79%
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
80%
70%
60%
OK-Promise
Non-OKPromise
First-time entering students enrolled in 12 hours or more per fall or spring semester
College Freshman – GPA of at least 2.0
100%
90%
80%
86%
84%
81%
81%
2009
2010
85%
84%
70%
60%
OK Promise
Non-OKPromise
Percentages calculated based on students with GPA reported to UDS.
2011
College Freshman to Sophomore
Persistence Rates
100%
75%
87%
86%
85%
83%
83%
83%
83%
84%
84%
78%
77%
76%
74%
72%
70%
71%
68%
71%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
50%
25%
0%
2002
2003
2004
OKPromise
Non-OKPromise Students
Degree Completion Rates
(through 2011-12)
70%
58%
60%
50%
40%
50%
47%
38%
30%
20%
10%
0%
6-Year
Non-OKPromise
9-Year
OKPromise
Employment of College Graduates
in Oklahoma
(after 1 year, April 2010 – June 2011)
93%
92%
92%
91%
90%
89%
89%
88%
87%
All Grads
OKPromise
Scholarship Recipients
16,929
18,303
19,431 20,081 20,029
19,650 19,300
14,670
12,101
9,155
Actual
Projected
As of 1-2-13
13-14
12-13
11-12
'10-11
'09-10
'08-09
'07-08
'06-07
'05-06
'04-05
'03-04
5,889
Factors Impacting Future Enrollment
and Cost of Oklahoma’s Promise



Shrinking pool of potential applicants
($50,000 limit unchanged since 2000)
New statutory 2nd family income check
for 2012 high school graduates
New statutory college GPA and
“Satisfactory Academic Progress”
requirements beginning in fall 2012
Average Annual Award
$3,000
$2,777
$2,736
08-09
09-10
$2,846
$2,972
$2,000
$1,000
$0
10-11
11-12
Average Scholarship by Tier
$4,000
$3,000
$3,728
$3,484
$3,622
$2,817
$2,943
$1,263
$1,304
$1,407
09-10
10-11
11-12
$2,000
$3,114
$1,000
$0
Research U.
Regional U.
2-Yr Coll
Scholarship Expenditures
(In $ millions, by fiscal year)
Projected
$70
Actual
$60
$50.9 $53.2
$50
$43.0
$40
$33.8
$25.9
$30
$20
$10
$61.3 $62.7
$59.5
$57.2
$17.8
$10.4
As of 11-14-12
FY'14
FY'13
FY'12
FY'11
FY'10
FY'09
FY'08
FY'07
FY'06
FY'05
FY'04
$0
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