Watching Colorado Weather Nolan J. Doesken Colorado Climate Center Colorado State University Presented at Arkansas River Basin Water Forum April 7, 2005, Trinidad, Colorado Prepared by Odie Bliss How do we monitor the climate of Colorado? Rangeland pasture near Trinidad, Colo., photo by Gary Kramer, NRCS. National Weather Service Pueblo NWS Forecast Office NWS Weather Station Csu wx sta Holly NWS Cooperative weather station MMTS Rocky Ford NWS Coop weather station CRS 8-inch gauge National Weather Service Cooperative Program Colorado Cooperative Weather Stations February 2005 Precipitation Totals Year 20 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 00 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 05 00 Annual Mean Temperature (F) Trinidad Average Temperatures Trinidad Average Annual Mean Temperature 57 55 53 51 49 47 45 Year 20 00 19 95 19 90 19 85 19 80 19 75 19 70 19 65 19 60 19 55 19 50 19 45 19 40 19 35 19 30 19 25 19 20 19 15 19 10 19 05 19 00 Annual Precipitation (inches) Trinidad Annual Precipitation Totals Trinidad Annual Precip 30 25 20 15 10 5 USDA, Natural Resources Conservation Service, NRCS NRCS Manual Snow Readings NRCS Typical Snotel Site Fremont Pass 19 40 19 42 19 44 19 46 19 48 19 50 19 52 19 54 19 56 19 58 19 60 19 62 19 64 19 66 19 68 19 70 19 72 19 74 19 76 19 78 19 80 19 82 19 84 19 86 19 88 19 90 19 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 20 00 20 02 20 04 SWE (inches) Porphyry Creek April 1 SWE Porphyry Creek Snow Course April 1 Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 2002 Water Year Colorado Agricultural Meteorological Network (CoAgMet) Automated weather stations with daily and hourly readings of: – Temperature – Humidity – Wind – Precipitation – Solar energy – Evapotranspiration CoAgMet Southeast Colorado Hoehne CoAgMet Weather Station Hoehne Daily Temperatures Hoehne Relative Humidity Hoehne Solar Radiation Hoehne Wind Speed Month D D ec - 04 04 04 ov ec - N 4 4 4 4 4 -0 4 p0 p0 g0 l-0 l-0 O ct Se Se Au Ju Ju n04 -0 4 -0 4 M ay Ju -0 4 r-0 4 M ay Ap M ar -0 4 b04 n04 n04 M ar Fe Ja Ja Reference ET (Inches) Hoehne ET Reference Hoehne ET Reference 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 What’s our current situation? Photos courtesy of NRCS 1999 Water Year Precipitation 2000 Water Year Precipitation 2001 Water Year Precipitation 2002 Water Year Precipitation 2003 Water Year Precipitation 2004 Water Year Precipitation Arkansas Basin April 1 Snowpack How are we doing this year? Canon City Canon City 2005 Water Year 30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1957 Min Year - 1962 Period of Record Average - 1906 - 2002 2005 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated 20 15 10 5 Months SE P G AU JU L JU N AY M AP R AR M FE B N JA EC D V O N C T 0 O Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) 25 Walsenburg Walsenburg 2005 Water Year 2005 Water Year 30 Year Averages-1971-2000 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Months SE P G AU JU L JU N AY M AP R AR M FE B N JA EC D V O N C T 0 O Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) 20 WY 2005 precipitation map Arkansas Basin Snowpack 2005 2003 2004 2002 http://www.co.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/data/basins.html Colorado April 1 Snowpack http://www.co.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/data/getsnomap.html Year 2002 1999 1996 1993 1990 1987 1984 1981 1978 1975 1972 1969 1966 1963 1960 1957 1954 1951 1948 1945 1942 1939 7-year running mean 1936 1933 1930 1927 1924 1921 Arkansas River 1918 1915 1912 1909 1906 1903 1900 1897 1893 1890 Streamflow (Cubic Ft per Second) Arkansas River at Canon City Streamflow History Arkansas River at Canon City Streamflow Values through 2004 1400 Average 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Reservoir Levels Colorado Statewide Reservoir Levels on October 1st for Years 1997-2004 140 133 130 122 Percent of Average 120 100 100 93 80 74 72 Oct 1. 2003 Oct 1. 2004 60 48 40 20 0 Oct 1. 1997 Oct 1. 1998 Oct 1. 1999 Oct 1. 2000 Oct 1. 2001 Oct 1. 2002 US Drought Monitor Map There’s one more piece to the puzzle CoCoRaHS is a unique, non-profit community based network of volunteers of all ages and backgrounds working together to measure and map precipitation (rain, hail and snow). five five 5 five Five Important Reasons 5 5 five 5 Photo by M. Suedekum 1) Precipitation is important and highly variable 2) Data sources are few and rain gauges are far apart Photo by Henry Reges 3) Measurements from many sources are not always accurate (especially snow) 4) There is almost no quantitative data being collected about hail 5) Storm reports can save lives CoCo RaHS is you and me measuring rain and snow! Southeast Colorado August 19, 2004 Colorado Overview January 30, 2005 We need volunteers! Our goal is at least one per square mile over urbanized areas. As many as we can find in rural areas. How to sign up? http://www.cocorahs.org – Click “Join Us” For More Information, Visit the CoCoRaHS Web Site http://www.cocorahs.org Support for this project provided by Informal Science Education Program, National Science Foundation and many local charter sponsors. Colorado Climate Center Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloading http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu – click on “Drought” – then click on “Presentations”