Brazil's Economic Challenge: Balancing economic growth, poverty alleviation and environmental conservation. Joshua Farley, PhD Prof, Community Development and Applied Economics Fellow, Gund Institute for Ecological Economics 205 B Morrill Hall University of Vermont Burlington, VT 05405 jfarley@uvm.edu 1 Summary of presentation • Brief intro to ecological economics • The Brazilian economy from an EE perspective • My research 2 Intro to Ecological Economics Laws of Physics • Can’t make something from nothing or vice versa • Can’t do work without energy • Disorder increases Laws of ecology • Conversion of ecosystem structure into economic products degrades and destroys ecosystem services e.g. biodiversity • Waste emissions degrade and destroy ecosystem services e.g. climate 6 Laws of Economics Goal 1: Sustainable Scale 8 Markets do not address scale Goal 2: Just Distribution 9 Markets systematically concentrate wealth Goal 3: Efficient Allocation • What is efficient? • Conventional definition: food and eflornithine • Ecological economic definition: Satisfying basic needs at lowest ecological cost • Essential resources • Food • Water • Energy • Ecosystem services 10 Balancing Sustainability, Justice and Efficiency in Brazil 12 Sustainable scale • • • • • Forestry code debate Forest reserves Energy supply, expansion of dams Unregulated development Growing economy, shrinking ecosystems 13 14 15 Just distribution • • • • • Gini and change over time Decrease in extreme poverty Bolsa familiar Bolsa floresta Buying on credit 16 Efficient allocation • Public vs. private sector • Land bubbles and speculation • Credit and interest rates • Present vs. future • Impact of QE on an open economy • Transactions tax 17 Essential resources: Water 18 Manaus, Olinda Essential resources: Food Soy 19 Essential resources: Food • Fome Zero • Bolsa Familiar • PAA (food acquisition program)/Brasil Sem Miséria (Brazil without misery) • Secretaria de Segurança Alimentar e Nutricional (SESAN) • Ministério de Desenvolvimento Social e Combate à Fome (MDS) • Secretaria de Agricultura Familiar • More than 200 human milk banks across Brazil - the largest and most effective programme of its kind in the world • Already exceeded millennium goal of reducing childhood mortality by 73% 20 Essential resources: Energy 21 Essential resources: Ecosystem Services 22 Agroecology, farmer livelihoods and ecosystem services in the Atlantic Forest 24 Forest, mountains and family farmers 23% of SC’s Atlantic Forest left intact, vs. 7% for country as whole Family farmers produce 87% of agricultural output Atlantic Forest Biome • endemism rates ranging from 30% in birds to 44% in plants (Mittermeier 2005) Atlantic Forest Biome • Over 90% of the Atlantic Forest now gone • This remnants are patchily distributed in 245,173 fragments, 83,4% of are smaller than 50 ha • Global priority for biodiversity conservation, i.e., a biodiversity hotspot • Few tropical biodiversity hotspots are “hotter” than the Atlantic Forest in terms of existing threats and conservation value (Laurance 2009, Ribeiro 2011) Ecological research suggests that the extensive deforestation of the Atlantic Forest has come at the cost of system resilience, and the forest may fail to recover from any new disturbances (Mittermeier 2011) Ecological Threshold • Island biogeography: 90% decrease in ecosystem size associated with 50% decrease in species diversity (MacArthur & Wilson 2001). • Significant time lags between forest loss and extinction (Brooks & Balmford 1996) • Strong potential to transition to new ecosystem • Brief window of opportunity for action Brazil’s National Forestry Code • Mandatory conservation and reforestation of critical ecosystems • Area of Permanent Preservation (APP) • 30 meters alongside streams, wetlands, small rivers • 50 meters alongside springs • Steeps slopes and hilltops • Legal Forest Reserve 20% of remaining property (small holders can double count) Typical farm Economic Threshold • Short term • Small family farms 87% of all properties and 44% of the land in the SC • Incomes declining relative to urban areas • Restoration would leave many farms nonviable • Long term • Catastrophic flooding, infrastructure loss • Contamination of rivers • Extensive erosion and soil loss, etc. Current “solution” • Effects of poverty immediate, of deforestation delayed • Santa Catarina’s governor: Choice between “crops or slums” • Declared state forestry code allowing greater deforestation (Souto 2009) • National government may follow suit Agroecology as a Potential Solution • Silvo-pastoral rotational grazing increases ES from ag land • Reforesting APP and RL with high value native species (e.g. acai) increases economic benefits from native ecosystem Agroforestry • Complies with forestry code • Estimated IRR of 18% in Atlantic Forest • Excellent initial results with açai (Euterpe edulis) • Farmers in SC study site willing to implement if trees and extension provided Next project phase High Biodiversity Voisin Silvopastoralism From family farmer livelihood to provision of Ecosystem services Juçara palm - Euterpe edulis Açai – Euterpe oleracea