Aggregate Demand AD=CIGXn AD =CIGXn Consumption • Main determinant is income • Other determinants: – Wealth (value of assets) if W C S – Expectations (for TT% or future wealth) – Debts (if D increases, C & S will decrease) – Taxes (if T increase, C & S decrease, etc) AD =CIGXn Investment Investment is: – Business spending for capital stock – Most volatile component of AD/GDP – Assumed to require a loan – Decisions are based on MC (i%) vs. MB(exp Rate of Ret) AD =CIGXn Government Spending • More Government Spending (AD) • Less Government Spending (AD) AD =CIGXn Net Exports • Xn are sensitive to: TrIPS – Taste/real interest rates/Investment/Price level/Speculation SID = More M and Fewer X = (AD ) WES = Fewer M and More X = (AD ) LUKE, Use the FOREX Changes (Δ) in AD • Δ Consumption (C) – C↑ .: AD .: GDPR↑ & PL↑ .: u%↓ & π%↑ – C↓ .: AD .: GDPR↓ & PL↓ .: u%↑ & π%↓ • Δ Gross Private Investment (IG) – IG↑ .: AD .: GDPR↑ & PL↑ .: u%↓ & π%↑ – IG↓ .: AD .: GDPR↓ & PL↓ .: u%↑ & π%↓ • Δ Government Spending (G) – G↑ .: AD .: GDPR↑ & PL↑ .: u%↓ & π%↑ – G↓ .: AD .: GDPR↓ & PL↓ .: u%↑ & π%↓ • Δ Net Exports (XN) – XN↑ .: AD .: GDPR↑ & PL↑ .: u%↓ & π%↑ – XN↓ .: AD .: GDPR↓ & PL↓ .: u%↑ & π%↓ Increase in AD LRAS PL SRAS P P1 AD1 AD Y YF GDPR C↑, IG↑, G↑ and/or XN↑ .: AD .: GDPR↑ & PL↑ .: u%↓ & π%↑ Decrease in AD LRAS PL SRAS P P1 AD AD1 YF Y GDPR C↓, IG↓, G↓ and/or XN↓ .: AD .: GDPR↓ & PL↓ .: u%↑ & π%↓ If the G has a balanced budget • They are spending = to taxes collected • If they increase spending and don’t have a balanced budget = borrowing It will come from the loanable funds market, therefore raising the r% by crowding us out. If AD goes down • Transfer payments will increase b/c the increase in u% will lead to more people applying for welfare and other benefits. Extra determinates of AD • ▲’s consumer confidence if we have optimism then AD> • ▲’s in wealth – assets value > then AD > • ▲’s monetary policy – if the Fed > MS then AD> AD Summary • AD reflects an inv rel beetw PL and GDPR • Δ in PL creates real-balance, i%, and foreign purchase effects that explain AD’s downward slope • Δ in C, IG, G, XN cause Δ in GDPR bc they Δ AD. • Increase in AD = AD • Decrease in AD = AD Full Employment • Full Employment equilibrium exists where AD intersects SRAS & LRAS at the same point. PL LRAS SRAS P AD YF GDPR Recessionary Gap • A recessionary gap exists when equilibrium occurs below full employment output. SRAS LRAS PL P AD Y YF GDPR Inflationary Gap • An inflationary gap exists when equilibrium occurs beyond full employment output. PL LRAS SRAS P AD YF Y GDPR Increase in AD = Up/left movement along SRPC PL SRAS SRPC π1 π P1 .. AD1 AD Y YF P . . LRAS π% GDPR un u C↑, IG↑, G↑ and/or XN↑ .: AD .: GDPR↑ & PL↑ .: u%↓ & π%↑ .: up/left along SRPC u% Decrease in AD = Down/right along SRPC LRAS PL P1 . SRAS SRPC π . P π% . . π1 AD AD1 YF Y GDPR u un u% C↓, IG↓, G↓ and/or XN↓ .: AD .: GDPR↓ & PL↓ .: u%↑ & π%↓ .: down/right along SRPC Other Details: RATCHET EFFECT (or “sticky wages”) – Prices don’t always go down when AD shifts left due to: wage contracts, worker morale, minimum wage laws, “menu costs” – costs to change prices up & down frequently & fear of “price wars” with competition. SHORT RUN – period when wages & other costs are FIXED (suppliers need time to adjust to change in AD/AS)