LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034

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LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034

M.Sc. DEGREE EXAMINATION

– STATISTICS

THIRD SEMESTER

– APRIL 2006

AC 41

ST 3803 - COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS - III

Date & Time : 02-05-2006 /1.00-4.00 P.M.

Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks

Answer THREE questions choosing one from each section.

SECTION – A

1.

A Scientist studied the relationship of size and shape for painted turtles. The following table contains their measurements on 10 females and 10 male turtles.

Test for equality of the two population mean vectors.

Length (x

1

)

FEMALE

Width (x

2

) Height (x

3

) Length (x

1

)

MALE

Width (x

2

) Height (x

3

)

98

103

103

105

109

123

123

133

133

133

88

92

95

99

81

84

86

86

102

102

44

50

46

51

38

38

42

42

51

51

93

94

96

101

102

103

104

106

107

112

85

81

83

83

74

78

80

84

82

89

38

37

39

39

37

35

35

39

38

40

2.

Given the following trivariate Normal distribution with mean vector and variance covariance matrix.

4 .

45

 9 .

64

.

4

965

2 .

879 10

199

.

.

002

798

3

5

.

1 .

81

.

627

628

 i) Obtain the conditional distribution of X

1

and X

2

given X

3

= 10

(15 marks) ii) Obtain the distribution of CX where

C

5

4

6

3

7

2

 (6 marks) iii) Find the correlation matrix for the data of Female turtles given in question

No.1. Find whether the correlations are significant. (13 marks)

SECTION – B

Answer any ONE question

3.

a) Use two-phase method to solve following linear programming problem:

Max Z = 2 x

1

3 x

2

5 x

3

Sub. To x

1

 x

2

 x

3

2 x x

1

,

1 x

5 x

2

2 , x

3

 x

3

0

7

10

(18.5 marks)

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b) Solve the following transportation problem:

5 1 8 12

2

3

4

6

0

7

14

4

9 10 11 (15 marks)

4.

a) Solve the following game graphically:

B

1 2 5

A 

8

1

4

5

7

6

(18.5 marks)

b) Patients arrive at a clinic according to a Poisson distribution at a rate of 30

patients per hour. The waiting room does not accommodate more than 14

patients. Examination time per patient is exponential with mean rate 20 per hour. i) Find the effective arrival rate at the clinic. ii) What is the probability that an arriving patient will not wait? Will find a vacant seat in the room? iii) What is the expected waiting time until a patient is discharged from the clinic? (15 marks)

SECTION – C

Answer any ONE question

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5.

a) Suppose the one step transition probability matrix (tpm) is given as below:

Find Poo

(2)

, foo

(n)

, f

13

(u) and f

33

(u)

.

P

0 .

4

0

0

0

.

.

2

5

.

0

0

0

0

0

.

.

.

.

0

4

0

5

0

0

0

0

.

.

.

.

6

2

5

0

0 .

0

0

0

0 .

.

.

2

0

5

(17 marks)

b) For a three state Markov Chain with states {0,1,2} and tpm.

P =

1

2

0

1

4

0

1

3

1

4

1

2

2

3

1

2

, Find

0

,

1

and

2

.

(17 marks)

6.

a) An infinite Markov Chain on the set of non-negative integers has the transition

function as follows:

P ko

= k

1

2

and P k1 k+1

= k k

1

2

(i) Find whether the chain is positive recurrent, null recurrent or transient.

(ii) Find stationary distribution if it exists.

1

b) For a Branching process with off-spring distribution given by p(0) = p (3) = ,

2

Find the probability of extinction, when (i) X

0

= 1 and (ii) X

0

> 1.

(17+17 marks)

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