c) d) CII Institute of Logistics PGDSCM/DSCM/ADSCM & CERTIFICATE PROGRAMS Semester-end Examinations- December 2011 7) If A and B are mutually exclusive events a) P(A U B) = P (A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B) b) P(A U B) = P (A) + P(B) c) P(A U B) = P (A) P(B) d) P(A ∩ B) = P (A) + P(B) 8) Laspeyre’s index no is 121. Paasche’s index no is 169. Fisher’s index no. is a) 145 b) 143 c) 154 d) 172 9) The base of hexadecimal system is a) 8 b) 10 c) 2 d) 16 10) The weighted average of the max and min payoff of every act is considered in a) Laplace criterion b) Hurwicz criterion c) Maximum criterion d) Minimax regret criterion QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES Time: 3 hours Marks: 100 Part A Answer all questions (10 x 1 = 10 Marks) 1) The graphical representation of a cumulative frequency distribution is a) Histogram b) Frequency polygon c) Ogive d) Bar diagram 2) The value which occurs most often is a) Median b) Mean c) Mode d) Quartile 3) The standard deviation of a set of values is 15. If every value is multiplied by 3 S.D. becomes a) 15 b) 45 c) 5 d) 18 4) 5) 6) The correlation coefficient a) Lies between -1 and +1 b) Lies between 0 and 1 c) Is greater than 1 d) Lies between -1 and 0 The regression coefficients a) Can take any value b) should be of the same sign c) Product should be less than 1 d) both (b) and (c) The matrix obtained by interchanging rows and columns is a) Adjoint b) transpose Inverse none of them Part B Answer any four 1) (4x15= 60 marks) Find the mean and S.D. for the following data Class: 100 – 150 150–200 Frequency: 23 47 Class: 400 – 450 Frequency: 92 2) 200–250 250–300 300–350 350–400 65 89 104 118 450 – 500 500 – 550 76 51 550 – 600 600 – 650 37 18 Find the two regression lines from the following data X: 27 28 27 28 29 27 29 30 29 31 Y: 18 20 18 21 21 19 22 24 23 25 3) Briefly explain the function of DBHS 4) Briefly explain the different methods of probability sampling 5) Calculate Fisher’s index number from the data below Base Year Items A B C D E 6) Price 10 18 8 12 24 Current Year Quantity 25 35 50 20 15 Price 12 19 10 11 26 Quantity 28 40 45 24 18 The prices of shares of a company on different days in a month were found to be 66, 65, 69, 70, 69,71, 70, 63, 64 and 68. Discuss whether mean price of shares can be taken as 68 at 5% LS. (Value of ‘t’ at 5% LS for 9 d.o.f is 1.833) Part C Answer any two: 1) (2*15=30 marks) Stereo industries has to decide on the production of a new turntable expected to have a market life of 10 years by either budding a large plant costing Rs.28,00,000 or a small plant costing Rs.14,00,000. Estimate of sales over the 10 year period is expected to be as below: High demand with probability 0.5; Moderate demand with probabaility 0.3 and Low demand with probability 0.2. Outcomes for the combination of plant size and demand are: High Moderate Low Large 10,00,000 6,00,000 -20,000 Small 2,50,000 4,50,000 5,50,000 Advice the industries whether to go in for a large or small plant 2) The mean number of accidents attributed to taxi drivers in a metropolitan city is 3. Out of 1000 drivers, what is the number of taxi drivers with a) No accidents b) Not more than 3 accidents ( e-3= 0.0498) 3) Seven hundred children were chosen from rural school and 200 had eye defects. Out of 900 children from urban schools, 180 had similar defects. Examine whether more percentage of rural school children have eye defects. *****************************