IDEAs-GSEI-ITD Asian Regional Workshop on FTAs: Towards inclusive trade policies in post-crisis Asia 8-9 December 2009 Bangkok The Multiple Challenges in Asian FTAs Dr. Mia Mikic Trade Policy Section Trade and Investment Division Presentation Outline Regionalism in Asia-Pacific Status Main characteristics Concerns National level Regional level Management of ‘noodle bowl” Status of Regionalism in Asia-Pacific 1977 India Sri Lanka Bangkok Agreement Rep. of Korea Lao Bangladesh Thailand PDR Philippines Singapore ASEAN Malaysia Indonesia Papua New Guinea PATCRA Source: APTIAD, April 2008, Australia 2009 ECOTA SACU GCC MERCOSUR Macao, China BIMSTEC Iran, Is. Rep. Maldives Bhutan India Rep.of. Lao PDR SAFTA AFTA Thailand SPARTECA Australia Myanmar Marshall Is. New Micronesia Zealand Palau Singapore Tuvalu Chile Papua Turkey Niger China Korea, Nepal Bangladesh EurAsEC Japan APTA Sri Lanka CISFTA Hong Kong, China Philippines Malaysia Brunei Darussalam Cambodia VietIndonesia Bahrain Nam New Cook Is. Fiji Guinea Kiribati Nauru PICTA Niue Samoa Solomon Is. Vanuatu Tonga Qatar Jordan MSG Mexico EU © APTIAD, June 2009, not all PTAs shown USA Panama Canada NAFTA EFTA Peru RTAs explosion in Asia-Pacific Asia-Pacific 16 140 14 120 PTAs 12 100 80 8 60 6 40 4 20 08 20 06 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 0 19 82 0 19 80 20 19 78 2 Interest of countries in Asia-Pacific to negotiate had one peak in mid 1990s and then started to rise exponentially after 2002 Cumulative Cumulative 10 19 76 PTAs per year Under Negotiation …increase in number of RTA in Asia-Pacific is in line with the global trend Characteristics of RTAs in Asia-Pacific Architecture of Asia-Pacific RTAs Notes: * “FTA & EIA” stands for Free Trade Agreement and Economic Integration Agreement- a category of agreements that are notified both under goods and services; * * includes six agreements between Central Asian countries and members of CIS not in ESCAP Source: Compiled from APTIAD, August 2009 Number and make up of memberships: • Only one Asian WTO Member (Mongolia) has no RTAs (as yet!) •Asia-Pacific non-WTO members: from 1 to 11 RTAs • Average per ESCAP 6 RTAs in implementation per economy, minimum=0 RTA, maximum= 22 RTA •Often partners from outside the region COVERAGE of areas RTA NTMs Investme nt Services Competiti on IPR TF ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand FTA (AANZFTA) -*** ANZCERTA1 * - Separate Separate - Separate APTA2 - In progress In progress - - In progress ASEAN (AFTA)2 Separate Separate ASEAN-China PTA2 -** -** Separate - -*** - BIMSTEC-FTA -** -** -** - - -** India-Singapore BTA1 -*** PICTA - - - -*** SAFTA - -** - -** - -** TRANS-PACIFIC SEP1 In progress Difference between RTAs in terms of coverage: 50.0 bilateral45.0and country-bloc cover more sectors 40.0 % of agreements 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 NBTA=66 NRTA=11 NC-B=14 5.0 0.0 Competition Environment Investment Singapore issues Trade facilitiation BTA Services RTA C-B IPR Procurement Volume of trade covered As shares of exports to PTA partners in total country’s exports Concerns - at national levels: Disconnect in pursuit of trade liberalization through multilateral trade system and RTAs: Policy space (investment, competition, services, IPRs, etc) Market access BUT restrictive Rules of Origin Weak institutional dimensions - Consultative processes during negotiations - Monitoring and evaluation of implementation (no appropriate bodies – joint committees but not always functioning well) Other concerns Trade in Asia-Pacific has been more marketdriven (growth-driven?) than PTA-driven: sustainability? Forging agreements with partners outside the region kept Asia as a relatively open bloc: helping global economy? RTAs in Asia not “economic integration”: weak regional institutions and lack of incentives for convergence? Given changes in global economy, is there a need / possibility for stronger regional trade governance / integration? Managing the “noodle bowl” Towards multilateralization of RTAs? Global – WTO and rules for ensuring that RTAs are “building blocks” Regional – consolidation /enlargement of RTAs: impact on members vis-à-vis non-members sectoral impacts National – inclusive decision making for growth with more balanced effects (“Trade needs to be governed to produce benefits to all.” ) Features of the ‘model’ FTA taking into account rules and needs of developing countries GOODS SERVICES OTHERS trade in goods, including trade remedies (safeguards, antidumping measures and countervailing duties) customs procedures rules of origin technical barriers to trade sanitary and phytosanitary measures trade in services, and in particular: o trade in financial services o trade in telecommunications services commercial presence movement of natural persons intellectual property competition policy government procurement trade facilitation investment electronic commerce transparent administration of laws and regulations consultations and dispute settlement and legal and institutional issues Thank you! http://www.unescap.org/tid/aptiad escap-aptiad@un.org