8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Competition, technology innovation, and industrial structure in the Business Aviation Industry Mario Mustilli Professor in Management, School of Management & Economics, Seconda Università degli Studi di Napoli, www.economia.unina2.it, Capua (CE), Italy mario.mustilli@unina2.it +39 0814207154 Filomena Izzo PhD in Management and Innovation, School of Management & Economics, Seconda Università degli Studi di Napoli,– Capua (CE), Italy. filomena.izzo@unina2.it, +39 3282792625 ABSTRACT This article aims to investigate the nature of competition and the industrial structure in the Business Aviation Industry (BAI). The aircraft product is a typical Complex Product System (CoPS). Recent study based the nature of the competition in the CoPS industries on the knowledge needed to generate and develop the product. We proposed an extended approach, including collateral assets and scale economies, to understand the drivers of competitive advantage and the industrial structure in the BAI. The methodology research is based on archival data (1930-2004), empirical analysis (1994-2004) and interviews to industrial experts. We find that the BAI tends to oligopoly, because there are high barrier to entry: collateral assets, scale economies, knowledge, and financial resources to compete in the global CoPS industry. Finally, we demonstrated that the product technology innovation is not a relevant force for the incumbent survival. Our research is helpful to managers who need to devise strategy to reduce the uncertainty about the dynamic of Business Aviation (BA) evolution market. Choosing to study the BA market satisfies two needs: to give more insight to the Italian aeronautical industries and, second, the scientific novelty of the analysis. In the next years, the business aviation market October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 1 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 will be the most rampant sector of the aeronautical civil arena, and several Italian aeronautical companies showed particular interest. Besides, analyzing a barely investigated market sector represented a strong motivation as well. INTRODUCTION The Civil Aviation market is divided into Scheduled and Non-Scheduled Transportation. The Scheduled Transportation consists in regularly fly activities using predetermined airports and routes (ordinary transport). This kind of flying transportation satisfies the economical regular demand. This market is divided into Regional and Commercial Aviation. The Regional Aviation commutes between close and minor airports. While, Commercial Aviation flies over national, international and intercontinental routes, connecting major airports (Jane’s, 2005 - 2006). The Non-Scheduled Transportation gathers all the remaining flying activities of the Civil Aviation not considered by the Scheduled ones. In particular, the General Aviation represents the main part of the Non-Scheduled Civil Transportation Aviation. It includes: Flight Training, Gliding, Ballooning, Parachuting, Aerobatics, Flying Clubs, Fire Fighting, Air Ambulance, Police Air Patron and Business aviation. Business aviation refers to planes less 100 seats, owned by “ a corporation or (other business organization …, powered by at least two engine, equipped to fly day, night and instruments to transport business personnel, prospect, customers, suppliers and friends in connection with the execution of business duties” (Aviation Week & Space Technology, 1953, p.18). About 90% of consumers use business aircraft to improve people and time efficiency, only the remaining 10% buys a plane for different reasons: leisure and image (Denstadli, 1998, 1999; Lian and Denstadli, 2004; Fowkes et al, 1985; TRB, 1998, 2000, 2003; Trevino et al, 1987, 1990; NBAA 2004, 2005; GAMA, 2006). Anyway, both October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 2 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 typologies of costumers have the same expectations and behaviours (Honeywell, 2004). Therefore, it is evident the Business Aviation is a global industry, because the business aircraft is a universal product, in fact, there is a universal segment across the country. Aircraft is a typical CoPS. The CoPS are characterized by high value engineering-based capital goods (Hobday, 1998; Acha et al., 2004; Miller et al, 1995). They are built as projects (Oshri and Newell, 2005) in collaboration with a sizeable number of suppliers. Hatchuel, Saidi-Kabeche and Sardas (1997) come to many of the same conclusions about the aviation production systems, although they do not explicitly refer to the CoPS approach. As they suggest, “… a ‘product’ is somehow synonymous with a ‘project’.” (op cit. p. 868). The barriers to entry into producing CoPS are very high and most, if not all, CoPSproducing industries tend toward oligopoly (Hardstone, 2004). In this paper, we examine the nature of competition in the BAI and the industrial structure. The article is organized as follows: in the next sections, we provide an overview about nature of competition in the CoPS industries, present our approach and hypotheses. We, then, describe the data, methodology, and results. We conclude by discussing the article’s contribution. THEORY AND HYPOTHESES Nature of competition, innovation, and industrial structure in the BAI: an extended approach Competition, innovation and industrial structure in CoPS industries The dynamics of innovation and competition in CoPS industries differ from those in mass production (Bonaccorsi, et al, 1996; Davies, 1997; Hobday, 1998). CoPS require a wide breadth of knowledge and skills for their generation and development (Acha et al., 2004), “They are a function of the tacit processes of knowledge” (Paoli and Prencipe, 1999, p. 143). October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 3 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Civil aviation industry is characterized by complex knowledge bases, and uncertainty in performance. Mowery and Rosenberg (1981) emphasized this point specifically: “Central to an understanding of the innovation process in the commercial aircraft industry is the high degree of systemic complexity embodied in the final product. The finished commercial aircraft comprises a wide range of components for propulsion, navigation, and so on, that are individually extremely complex. The interaction of these individually complex systems is crucial to the performance of an aircraft design, yet extremely difficult to predict from design and engineering data, even with presently available computer-aided design (CAD) techniques. (..) This pervasive technological uncertainty has been and remains an important influence upon producer structure and conduct in the industry.” (1981, p. 348). Eliasson (1996) discusses the same phenomenon, which he terms ‘integrated production’, and he draws particular attention to the capabilities of the systems integrator in this process. Complex technology may be more difficult to imitate. Most difficult to imitate, however, is the organizational capability to integrate complex technologies through the product design, the engineering and manufacturing processes, including also designs that minimize future maintenance and modernization costs. Most of the knowledge is embodied in teams of people as “empirical experience” (Eliasson, 1996, p. 130). Prencipe categorized the capabilities of firms developing multi-technology products. The taxonomy includes: 1) absorptive capabilities (capabilities to monitor, identify and evaluation new opportunities emerging from general advances in science and technology); 2) integrative capabilities (capabilities to set the requirements, specify source equipment, materials and components designed and produced internally or externally; and integrate them into the architectures of existing products); 3) co-ordinative capabilities (capabilities to coordinate the development of new and emerging bodies of technological knowledge); and 4) generative capabilities (capabilities to innovate both at the component and architectural October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 4 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 level) (Prencipe, 2001, pp. 305–306). In other words, these firms have to know a lot more than they do (Brusoni, Prencipe and Pavitt, 2001; Paoli and Prencipe, 1999). Bonaccorsi (et al., 2001) highlighted the nature of competition in CoPS industries is ability to manage simultaneously the task of systems integration, and the pace of technological advancement. Therefore, the barriers to entry into producing CoPS are very high and most, if not all, CoPS-producing industries tend toward oligopoly (Hardstone, 2004). Examples of CoPS industries tend to oligopoly are: aero-engine industries (Miller and Sawers, 1968; Phillips, 1971; Constant, 1980; Vincenti, 1986; Garvin, 1998; Bonaccorsi et al, 2005), and commercial aircraft industry (Acha et al, 2007; Phillips, 1971; Movery and Rosemberg, 1982; Esposito, 1996; Vicari, 1989, 1991; Parazzini, 2003). It is evident, that the academic studies stressed the importance of the knowledge about the nature of competition in the CoPS industries. Whereas, we extend this approach including the specialised collateral assets and the scale economies. Specialised complementary assets, innovation and incumbent survival Teece (1986) highlighted the importance of specialised complementary asset (after sales support, brand image, and customer switching costs) as a critical factor in determining who benefits from innovation. These resources are generally valuable and difficult to imitate and can therefore be a source of competitive advantage (Barney 1991). Mitchell (1989) found that the possession of specialized complementary assets enhanced the probability that incumbents in the medical diagnostic imaging industry would enter a newly emerging subfield. October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 5 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Tripsas (1997), in her study of the typesetter industry, showed that incumbents may be buffered from the negative effects of technological discontinuities if they possess specialized complementary assets. Lerner and Merges (1998) showed incumbents possess specialized complementary assets necessary to commercialize the new technology are frequently in a stronger bargaining position to appropriate the joint value created. Rothaermel and Hill (2005) found that incumbent industry performance declined if the new technology could be commercialized through generic assets, but that incumbent industry performance improved if the new technology could be commercialized through specialized assets. Therefore, the academic study highlight that specialized complementary assets play a powerful effect on incumbent position. According to these approaches, we test these hypotheses : Hp1t: specialized complementary assets characterize BAI competition, they represent high barrier to entry and play a powerful effect on incumbent survival Hp1(bis)t: technology product innovation is not a relevant force for the incumbent survival in the BAI. Scale economies and universal product The aircraft is a typical universal product (Porter, 1986; Yoshino, 1988). These characteristic gives to the firms some benefits: 1) large volume amortize fix investments; 2) standardization of product 3) concentrating value-adding activities in a few countries; 4) adopting a uniform market positioning and marketing mix. In this industry, firm gains scale or learning curve advantage (ibidem). In the market of scale economies, the focus of October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 6 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 competition is based on lower cost and differentiation via minor design variations and strategic positioning tactics (Porter, 1985). In our research, we verified the importance of scale economies, and the strategies of firm’s product portfolio. We test following hypothesis: Hp2t: business aircraft is a universal product, so scale economies represent high barrier to entry in the BAI. Hp2 (bis)t: there are no technology product innovation in the BAI, the incumbents focus competition on differentiation via minor design variations and strategic positioning tactics. We proposed an extended approach to understand the nature of competition and the industrial structure in the BAI. We expect that the BAI tend to oligopoly because there are high barrier to entry: management of CoPS, specialized complementary assets and scale economies. Hp3t: BAI tends to oligopoly because there are high barrier to entry: management of CoPS, specialized complementary assets and scale economies. DATA AND METHODOLOGY To test our hypothesis we adopt both qualitative and quantitative approach. We propose an integrated analysis of industrial and technology competition (1994-2004), historical data (1930-2004) and interviews to industrial experts (Italian Aerospace Research Center Marketing Director, Piaggio Aero Industries Marketing Director, Alenia Industries Marketing Director, Italian Business Aviation Association President, European Business Aviation Association President). BAI is divided in Turboprop and Jet market. Historically, the Business Jet market is composed by four classes: Light, Medium, Large, and Long range; whereas Turboprop market is divided in three classes: Light, Medium and Heavy. October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 7 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 We used several sources for the historical data: Acts of American Institute of Astronautics Convention (2003); specialized magazines such as Business Jet, Flight International, Aviation Week & Space Technologies, Volare; Organizations’ web sites; Companies’ reports; Business Jet industry historical documentation (Phillips, 1994, 1971). Quantitative data were derived from several specialized sources: Jane’s All the World Aircrafts, General Aviation Manufacturing Association reports, National Business American Association, European Business Aviation Association reports; Companies’ web sites. Technology competition, product portfolio strategy and scale economies Grupp Index The evaluation of technological progress and companies’ technological position is a wellknown problem. It has been approached in several different ways. In the neoclassical approach, the concept of technical progress was introduced through measures of productivity, which are very indirect measures of technological attributes of products. A wide literature has used patents as indicators of the level of the inventive activities of firms, industries and countries, and of different aspects of the firms’ technological strategies (i.e. technological diversification, protection from imitation, licensing). While recognising the prominent role that patents play in the research on innovation strategies, we share the view of study of technology competition that identify a product, which is composed of a number of characteristics evolving over time, as relevant unit of analysis (Lancaster, 1971; Saviotti and Metcalfe, 1984; Sahal, 1985a; Trajtenberg, 1990; Grupp, 1998). Innovation on products occurs by the improvement (change in the type or value) of their technical characteristic, or by the introduction of new characteristics. The level of the technological characteristics incorporated in the product represent an output of the firms’ technological strategy, which October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 8 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 does not reveal information about the firms’ R&D investment or whether the company makes or buys the technologies. The emphasis on the characteristics of the products has been introduced within the characteristic approach and the Hedonic price method (Griliches, 1971; Lancaster, 1971), in which it has developed the idea that products are a bundle of characteristics and that consumers choose characteristics instead of products. Therefore, the arguments of the utility functions are the characteristics and not the products. Within this approach, the benefit of the characteristics for the consumers are detected through regression models measuring the contribution of the technical characteristics to the formation of the product prices. On this basis, Trajtenberg (1990) developed a model for studying the product innovation in the CT scanners industry. However, the use of the price for estimating the weight of the characteristics presents some difficulties: the approach is based on the assumption that the market is competitive, but in a number of industries the price is not determined by the free interplay of supply and demand (Sahal, 1985b); data on prices are not always publicly disclosed, and even in the case in which price lists are available, the price of a specific product can change over time (e.g. because of cost reductions) determining uncertainty in the selection of data. Moreover, the use of economic variables in the evaluation of technical attributes does not allow the ‘pure’ measurement of technology advance (Saviotti and Metcalfe, 1984). Saviotti and Metcalfe (1984) described a product by technical and service characteristics and by the mapping between the two. More recent contributions use measures of diversity (entropy measure, Weitzman’s measure) using data on technical and service characteristics to measure the emergence of new product niches as an indicator of the technical progress (Saviotti, 1996; Frenken et al., 1999, 2000). Anyway, these measures allow the identification of dominant designs and product differentiation at the industry level, but are not used to October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 9 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 detect technological positions of actors. Several contributions have developed technometric measures based on various multidimensional functions that link technical characteristics in order to analyse the rate of technological progress (Dodson, 1985; Martino, 1985; Sahal, 1985a), but most of them do not address the analysis of technological competition among actors. A simple technometric indicator was proposed by Grupp (1998). It measures directly the technical progress. Each product in a market segment is represented by a k-tuple of technical characteristics at time t which is compared with other k-tuples for other products. The advantages of a technometric indicator are the following: it is dimensionless, it is observable over a period of time for detecting technical progress, it allows the identification of brands and firms for the analysis of technological positions of actors. Another advantage that comes from the use of technical characteristics of products with respect to other measures of innovation such as patents, is that they allow the identification of technological trajectories and their evolution over time through indicators of output of the innovative activity, which is directly related to the product and not only to the firms’ technological competencies. The main problem of this indicator is related to the aggregation of the indexes for each characteristic at the firm or at the product/brand level and the consideration of trade-offs among characteristics. Because the index is dimensionless, weighted averages of the indexes could be a solution. A careful process in the determination of the weights and trade-offs is necessary for reducing the subjectivity of the analysis. In this paper, we use range, speed and cabin-size as primary technological parameters of the business aircraft. Our choice validated by several experts and found its confirmation in market researches (Honeywell, 2006). (1) October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 10 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics Ktmax jk ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 the maximum value of k for the company j, at the time t, among all its products. Kt+1min k the minimum value of k at the time t+1 in the market. Kt-1max k is the maximum value of k at the time t-1 in the market. The meaning of the Grupp Index T can be interpreted as follows: T = 0 ο the company is positioned on the previous technological lowest limit; T = 1 ο the company is positioned on the previous technological upper frontier; T >1 ο the company has improved on the previous technological upper frontier; T <1 οthe company results positioned below the previous technological lowest limit. New product introduction A useful indicator to know the technology innovation intensity and the competitors’ product strategy in the industries history is the introduction of new models of product. An aircraft product is based on program. The programme is based on "core" technology platform, whereas aircraft versions are developed on the same programme through the modification of few characteristics (Frigant and Talbot, 2005). It is clear, therefore, that the innovations contained in different product versions are incremental, while radical innovation occurs with the introduction of a new programme. The data collected (Janes' 2005-2006) differentiates each year the launch of new product versions to add of new programme. Other information comes from the introduction of new products is on the existence of scale economies. Of course, data on the costs of development would be more appropriate to estimate the existence of scale economies resulting from the production of different versions and aircraft programs, but these data are hardly made public by companies. An indirect measure of scale economies is provided by data on programs and versions of products. In the design and production of aircraft, in fact, an effective way to exploit scale economies is to use October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 11 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 the same program as a basis for the development of a family of products. In literature, many authors are based on measures reach product family as an indication of existence of scale economies (Sutton, 1998; Monwery and Rosenberg, 1982; Rothwell and Gardiner 1989, 1990; Giuri, 2003). Industrial competition In order to study the industry’s concentration we used Herfindahl Index (Grossack, 1965; Boyle e Sorensen, 1971; Curry e Gorge, 1983). It is the summation of the squared companies’ shares in the evaluated market. To determine the companies’ market shares, we considered the number of the sold aircrafts. This approach might be considered not perfectly correct. Nevertheless, it is matter of fact that the aircrafts’ price is information not always available as well as reliable. This forced us to focus on the number of aircrafts rather than the companies’ turnover. The Herfindahl index assumes value between 0 and 1. A lower value indicates a market less concentrated; instead, a value closer to 1 denotes a market structure high concentrated. In a market with few actors, a low index gives a raw indication of the competition; in fact, in an oligopoly situation a low index means that no one is able to prevail on others. (2) Knowing every single company’s share deviations is an important indicator of the competition intensity (Joskow, 1960; Geroski e Toker, 1996). Therefore, the joint investigation of the market concentration and the market mobility gives better evidence for a thorough quantitative and qualitative analysis. October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 12 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 In order to study the market shares mobility, we used Pashig Index (Baldwin, 1995). It assumes value between 0 and 1. Its value close to 1 indicates a high intensity of the competition, so, the higher instability of the market shares. (3) PASHIG = RESULTS Business Turboprop market The first aircrafts destined to Business Aviation were turboprops (1930-1950). The incumbents in the turboprop market were Cessna and Beechcraft and remained the same until 2004 (figure 2). There was only one relevant entrant in the Business turboprop market: Pilatus (figure 2). The experts highlighted that Pilatus’ attempt was supported by a competitive product in terms of technological performance and price, and excellent customer support. Herfindahl index (figure 4) showed no one is able to prevail on others, in addition Pashig index (figure 3) confirmed the higher stability of the market shares. The product portfolio strategy of incumbents were stable, in fact in the 1994-2004 they didn’t launch new product (table 3-6) profiting by scale economies. Index Grupp (table 5) confirmed that there were no technology innovations by incumbents; in addition, the new entrants – Piaggio - (table 3) with an innovative product (table 5) didn’t achieve market success (figure 2), because there were high barrier to entry in the market: high brand loyalty, excellent customer support, and high switching cost. Business Jet market The post-war period saw the affirmation of jet technology. The first mover in the Business jet market was Lockheed and North America Aviation (1950s-1960s), but they didn’t have success (table 1). The principal reasons of failure were technological and market uncertainty. October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 13 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 The late entrants Dassault (in the Large Jet segment), Learjet (in the Medium Jet segment), and Gulfstream (in the Long Range Jet segment) had success. During the following years, attempts to penetrate the business jet market were numerous, but most of them turned out to be failures, for example: the Isreaely Aircraft Industry (IAI), the German Hamburger Flugzeugbau, Mitsubishi, and Piaggio (table 1). These failures were characterized by common elements: 1) inadequate distribution network and customer support; 2) supply of products with characteristics similar or slightly higher than those already existing on the market; 3) product portfolio smaller than market leaders; 4) leaders’ brand loyalty; 5) high customer switching costs. Only Cessna and Raytheon succeeded to enter in the jet segment, because they enjoyed excellent reputation in the business turboprop market. In 1971 Cessna opened the lower end of the market: Light business jet segment. Cessna’s decision was a very risky one. Other companies before Cessna tried in the same experiment but none had success, like as MS-760, Lear Jet-23, Italian Cobra F-400, IAI B-301C, Heinkel Potez CM-191, Saab 105, Macchi MB-330, HA 230. Cessna’s success depended by different factors: 1) cheapness of aircraft (purchase price, maintenance and operating costs were low; 2) ease of use of the machine; 3) extensive network of customer service centres; 4) strong image and high brand loyalty gained in the turboprop market; 5) excellent customer service (for example, the company offered free training courses for the management and piloting of its aircraft); 6) wide portfolio of products; 7) belonging to the Industrial Group (table 2) which guaranteed access to knowledge and economic resources. Only Raytheon was able to penetrate the Light jet segment, because the company enjoyed a strong reputation and brand loyalty won in the Business Turboprop market. Until the beginning of the 1990s, the incumbent remained the same (figure 1): Bombardier, Cessna, Dassault, Gulfstream and Raytheon. The market tends to oligopoly October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 14 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 (figure 1), in fact Herfindahl index (figure 4) showed no one is able to prevail on others. Pashig index (figure 3) confirmed these, showing the higher stability of the market shares. Index Grupp (table 5) showed there were no technology innovations by the incumbents. Moreover, the study on number of versions and programs (table 6) confirms that main competitors extended their product portfolio, penetrating other segments (table 4) and using the same program. It is clear, therefore, the existence of scale economies in the industry. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION Our analysis highlights the existence and survival the dominant market position in the BAI. The incumbents are the same from more than 30 years. We demonstrate that there are no technology and industrial competition in the BAI. In fact, we find: a) specialized complementary assets (brand loyalty, swiching cost, customer support) characterize historically BAI competition, they are high barrier to entry in the market, and play a powerful effect on incumbent survival, in fact, there are not relevant new entry (Hp1t is confirmed); b) technology product innovation is not a relevant force for incumbent survival, in fact the Grupp index show there are not innovation by incumbents in the 19942004 (Hp1(bis)t is confirmed); c) the study on programs/versions of products and the market share highlights the existence of scale economy in the BAI (Hp2t is confirmed); in fact, the incumbents extended their product portfolio, penetrating other segments and using the same program (Hp2 (bis)t is confirmed); d) all incumbents belonging to Industrial Group, which had assured the access to skill, knowledge and financial resources needed to generate and develop aircraft product. October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 15 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Therefore, our study highlight that the BAI tends to oligopoly because there are high barrier to entry: management of CoPS, specialized complementary assets and scale economies (Hp3t is confirmed). Managerial contributions Our research is helpful for manager who need to devise strategy that reduce the uncertainty about the dynamic of BA evolution market. It suggests the probability of successful entry into BAI greatly depends on having different factor: collateral assets, scale economies, knowledge and financial resources to compete in the global CoPS industry. Acknowledgements The authors are grateful for the support received by Italian Aerospace Research Center Marketing Director, Piaggio Aero Industries Marketing Director, Alenia Industries Marketing Director, Italian Business Aviation Association President, European Business Aviation Association President. October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 16 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Table 1: Business Jet market share historical data, 1961-1991 Product/ Manufacturer/ (jet segment) 1960 1961 1962-1964 1965-1967 1968-1970 1971-1973 1974-1976 1977-1979 1980-1982 1983-1985 1986-1988 1989-1991 North American 100,0% Aviation (Medium segment) 71,7% 82,1% 14,8% 12,0% 11,6% 13,9% 6,4% 6,4% - - - Lockheed (Medium segment) - 28,3% 14,6% 10,8% 6,1% 5,6% 0,6% 3,8% - - - - Learjet/ Bombardier (Medium segment) - - 1,4% 25,6% 29,0% 20,6% 27,2% 30,8% 23,8% 15,5% 4,6% 6,4% Aero Commander, IAI (Medium segment) - - 0,5% 20,3% 5,0% 5,1% 4,2% 8,2% 8,0% 7,8% 6,2% 5,5% Hawker/Raytheon (Light and Medium segment) - - 1,4% 11,8% 12,7% 6,5% 4,2% 7,1% 5,8% 7,4% 12,7% 8,3% Dassault (Large Segment) - - - 16,3% 12,0% 13,8% 15,0% 10,3% 10,4% 10,2% 15,7% 7,5% Gulfstream (Long Range segment) - - - 0,3% 21,0% 10,5% 6,9% 5,8% 5,1% 9,4% 16,8% 15,0% Hamburger Flugzeugbau (Medium jet) - - - - 2,1% 1,1% - - - - - - Cessna (Light segment, ) - - - - - 25,1% 27,9% 27,6% 33,8% 33,1% 29,7% 40,7% Canadair/ Bombardier (Heavy segment) - - - - - - - - 4,5% 7,7% 6,9% 10,8% Beechcraft/ Raytheon (Medium segment) - - - - - - - - 2,2% 8,8% 7,3% 5,8% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 212 508 424 354 519 720 1013 625 434 361 Total % Total number of Business Jets 100,0% 100,0% 15 October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 46 17 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Table 2: Industrial group by incumbent manufacturer INDUSTRIAL GROUP BUSINESS BRAND Elicopter Aircraft Bell Cessna (Piston, turboprop, BJ) E-Z-GO Jacobsen Kautex Greenlee Textron Fluid & Power Raytheon Textron Industrial Missile Defence Intelligence, surveillance and reconnassance Raytheon Precision engagement Homeland Security Aircraft General Dynamics Dassault Information System and Technology Combat Systems Marine Resources Business Jet Press Avioncs, structure Raytheon Raytheon Hawker (BJ) Beechcraft (BJ) King Air (Turboprop) General Dynamics General Dynamics General Dynamics General Dynamics Gulfstream Socpress S.A.B.C.A. Industrial Société de Véhicules Electriques Aerospace Sistem Dassault Dassault Systèmes C series (commercial aviation) CRJ series (regional aviation) Learjet (BJ) Challenger (BJ) Global (BJ) Bombardier Amphibious Bombardier (military) Bombardier Bombardier Bombardier Bombardier Bombardier Bombardier Aerospace Bombardier Rail vehicles Transit Systems Propulsion and Controls Transport Services RailControl Solution Bogies October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy Raytheon 18 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Figure 1: Business jet, manufacturer market share (unit) by manufacturer, 1994-2004 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1994 1995 1996 AvCraft Embraer 1997 1998 1999 Bombardier Gulfstream 2000 2001 2002 Cessna Raytheon 2003 2004 Dassault Figure 2: Business turboprop, manufacturer market share (unit) manufacturer, 19942004 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1994 Cessna Pilatus October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Maule Air Inc. Raytheon 2000 2001 Pacific Aerospace Socata 19 2002 2003 Piaggio New Piper 2004 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Table 3: Business turboprop, product portfolio by manufacturer, 1994-2004 CLASS MANUFACTURER MODEL Heavy PILATUS PC-12 Heavy RAYTHEON KINGAIR 200 Heavy RAYTHEON KINGAIR 350 Heavy PIAGGIO P180 Avanti Light Maule Air Inc. MT-7-420 Light SOCATA TBM 700 Light NEW PIPER Meridian Light Pacific Aerospace PAC 750XL Medium CESSNA CARAVAN Medium CESSNA GRAND CARAVAN Medium RAYTHEON KINGAIR 90 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Table 4: Business jet, product portfolio by manufacturer, 1994-2004 CLASS LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT LIGHT MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LARGE LARGE LARGE LARGE LARGE LARGE LONG RANGE LONG RANGE LONG RANGE LONG RANGE LONG RANGE LONG RANGE LONG RANGE LONG RANGE MANUFACTURER-MODEL 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Cessna - Citation II Cessna - Citation V Cessna - CJ 1 Bombardier - Learjet 31A Raytheon - Hawker 400 XP Cessna - Citation Ultra Cessna - Citation Bravo Cessna - CJ 2 Cessna - Citation Encore Raytheon - Premier I Bombardier - Learjet 40 Cessna - CJ 3 Cessna - Citation VI Raytheon - Hawker 800 Dassault - Falcon 50 Raytheon - Hawker 1000 Cessna - Citation VII Gulfstream - G 100 Bombardier - Learjet 60 Bombardier - Learjet 45 XR Cessna - Citation X Raytheon - Hawker 800 XP Dassault - Falcon 50 EX Bombardier - Learjet 45 Cessna - Citation Excel Gulfstream - G 200 AvCraft - Envoy 3 Bombardier - Challenger 300 Cessna - Citation Sovereign Cessna - Citation XLS Bombardier - Challenger 601 Dassault - Falcon 2000 EX Dassault - Falcon 2000 Bombardier - Challenger 604 Embraer - Legacy Executive Dassault - Falcon 2000 EX Easy Dassault - Falcon 900 B Gulfstream - G 400 Dassault - Falcon 900 EX Gulfstream - G 500 Bombardier - Global Express Dassault - Falcon 900 C Dassault - Falcon 900 EX Easy Bombardier - Global 5000 October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 20 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Figure 3: Pashig index by industry 1994 - 2004 1,00 0,90 0,80 0,70 0,60 0,50 0,40 0,30 0,20 0,10 0,00 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Jet 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2003 2004 Turboprop Figure 4: Herfindahl index by industry 1994 - 2004 1,00 0,90 0,80 0,70 0,60 0,50 0,40 0,30 0,20 0,10 0,00 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Jet October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy 2000 2001 Turboprop 21 2002 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 Table 5: Grupp index by manufacturer 1994 - 2004 Manufacturer Speed Payload JET MARKET AvCraft 0,13 1,00 Bombardier 0,74 0,23 Cessna 1,00 0,16 Dassault 0,69 0,86 Gulfstream 0,78 0,47 Raytheon 0,52 0,12 Embraer 0,46 0,28 TURBOPROP MARKET Cessna 0,17 0,80 0,00 0,00 Maule Air Inc. -0,02 0,48 Pacific Aerospace 1,40 0,93 Piaggio 0,85 0,77 Pilatus 1,00 1,00 Raytheon 0,72 0,01 Socata 0,76 0,22 New Piper Range 0,08 0,86 0,44 0,54 1,00 0,19 0,40 0,00 -0,32 -0,30 0,63 1,00 0,67 0,07 0,05 Table 6: Number of programs and version index by manufacturer, 1994 - 2004 Manufacturer Cessna Bombardier Raytheon Gulfstream Dassault Cessna Raytheon October 18-19th, 2008 Florence, Italy programs BUSINESS JET 1 1 1 1 1 BUSINESS TURBOPROP 1 1 22 versions 14 9 5 4 9 2 3 8th Global Conference on Business & Economics ISBN : 978-0-9742114-5-9 References Acha, V., & Brusoni, S, & Principe, A (2007). 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