Searching for High Energy Diffuse Astrophysical Neutrinos with IceCube Sean Grullon For the IceCube Collaboration TeV Particle Astrophysics 2009 Stanford Linear Accelerator Laboratory Overview • Astrophysical Neutrinos & Searching for a Diffuse Flux of Muon Neutrinos • Muon Energy Estimation • 22 String Diffuse Analysis Results • Outlook for 40 Strings • Questions & Discussion Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 2 Neutrinos as Cosmic Messengers Neutrinos help answer many questions in astrophysics: •What are the sources of highest energy cosmic rays? Are there pp and p interactions at the source? •Can neutrino production be linked to TeV sources, GRBs, AGN? • Can a superposition of faint neutrino sources cause a detectable signal? Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 3 2007-2008: 18 Strings 2006-2007: 13 Strings IceTop 2005-2006: 8 Strings Air shower detector threshold ~ 300 TeV 2004-2005 : 1 String InIce first data 2005 upgoing muon 18. July 2005 80-86 Strings, 60 Optical Modules per AMANDA String 19 Strings 677 Modules Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 4 Cosmic ray Atmospheric m n m Astrophysical (signal) n Atmospheric n Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 5 Downgoing Muon Rejection • Apply quality cuts on Data, Corsika MC, and Atmospheric Neutrino MC Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 6 Diffuse Analysis Strategy • Find an excess of astrophysical neutrinos (E-2) over atmospheric neutrinos (E-3.7) at the high-energy tail of an energy distribution Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 8 Energy Estimation •Convert what is measured, Cherenkov light, to an estimate of the Muon energy. •Simplest estimation: Number of Triggered Optical Modules (NCh) •More Sophisticated: Muon Energy Loss (dE/dX) m p e+e- photo-nuclear pair-creation bremsstrahlung Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 9 Reconstructing The Muon energy loss Formulate LLH: k log P({ni } | {mi }) ni log mi m N log m m Approximate as: dusty i 1 clean Incorporate Ice Properties: Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 shallow 10 deep Muon Energy Correlation – 40 Strings dE/dX Reco NChannel •dE/dX reco more linearly correlated with Muon energy Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 11 Energy Resolution – 40 Strings Width 0.27 Width 0.43 •dE/dX reco has narrower energy resolution Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 12 Energy Resolution as a Function of Muon Energy – 40 Strings Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 13 The dE/dX distribution of IC22 275.7 days LiveTime •Find cut that minimizes average upper limit •Energy Cut > 1.4 Keep •Background above cut = 4.1 Events •Observed Data above cut = 4.0 Events • Sensitivity: 2.5 x10-7 GeV cm-2 s-1 sr-1 Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 14 The dE/dX distribution of IC40 300 days LiveTime - MC Only Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 15 Likelihood Analysis Method • Likelihood - product over bin-by-bin Poisson probabilities: k L P({ni } | {mi }) i 1 Events observed in bin i mi n i ni ! e mi Events expected in bin i mi N c ci N p pi N e ei Conventional Atmospheric ν Prompt ν Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 Astrophysical ν 16 Fitting Example: 1 Year IC40 - No Astrophysical or Prompt ν •“Data” Poisson sampled from 1 year of Atm. ν MC Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 17 Allowed Regions, No Astrophysical or Prompt ν : 1 Year of IC40 Preliminary IC40 Diffuse Sensitivity: E2 < 1.1 x 10-8 GeV cm-2 s-1 sr-1 No Systematics included Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 18 Models & Limits IC22 WB IC40 Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 19 Summary • A reliable log-likelihood reconstruction of the muon energy loss is now available for IceCube analyses. • The IC22 sensitivity is E2 < 2.5 x 10-8 GeV cm-2 s-1 sr-1 above a dE/dX cut of log10(dE/dX) >= 1.4 • 275.7 days of IC22 data were analyzed and compared with the Bartol + naumov RQPM atmospheric neutrino simulation. No data excess over the atmospheric neutrino prediction observed above the dE/dX cut. • The IC40 analysis uses a likelihood method giving a preliminary sensitivity of E2 < 1.1 x 10-8 GeV cm-2 s-1 sr-1 and the incorporation of systematic errors is currently underway. Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 21 Backup slides Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 22 Systematics – IC22 New from IceCube Data AMANDA depth Atms. Nu MC Coinc. Mu • Observed data exceeds MC by a factor of 2 in deep ice • Deep Ice 40% clearer. Single Mu Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 24 COGZ COGZ Systematic Test (low energy, NCh<50) Data COGZ upgoing cos(zenith) horizon Data - MC Atms. Nu MC upgoing cos(zenith) horizon • Data excess is observed even with the low energy events (conventional atmospheric neutrinos) • Divide the detector in 2 depths : upper half and lower half Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 25 Systematic Test Upper Half Estimator Energy Sensitivity Bartol+Naumov 1e-7 E-2 data -7 cut x 10 RQPM MC log10(dEdX) >=0.97 NCh >=68 0.50 0.41 7.9 7.9 12.2 15.0 5 3 log10(NPe) >=2.85 0.54 8.0 11.3 5 Lower Half Estimator Energy Sensitivity Bartol+Naumov 1e-7 E-2 data -7 cut x 10 RQPM MC log10(dEdX) >=0.91 NCh >=80 log10(NPe) >=3.15 0.58 0.47 15.5 12.8 14.0 15.7 0.64 2.4 6.4 Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 14 25 4 26 Sensitivities: Likelihood Method Extraterrestrial Only Energy Estimator MRF Limit MCν 0.04 4* 10-9 MCμ 0.066 6.6* 10-9 Photorec 0.101 1.01* 10-8 MuE 0.122 1.22* 10-8 NChan 0.125 1.25* 10-8 Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 28 Fitting Example: No Signal Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 29 Fitting Example: No Signal Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 30 Allowed Signal and Prompt Regions Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 31 Fitting Example: Signal + Prompt + Conventional Atmospheric Neutrinos “Data” sampled from Atm Nu backgro und Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 34 Allowed Extraterrestrial and Prompt Regions Sean Grullon – TeVPA 2009 35