What's Happening In the
Global Consciousness Project?
An overview of analytical
findings and recent developments
Roger Nelson, Director
Peter Bancel, Principal Analyst
Global Consciousness Project
http://noosphere.princeton.edu
Structure
Where there should be none
 There is “some there there”
 Odds less than 1 in 1,000,000
 Two independent measures
 Correlated response to events
 Distance structure
 Time structure
 Psychological structure
 Data anomalies vs selection
 A sampling of explorations
A World Spanning Network of REGs (EGGs)
Google Map of nodes
http://noosphere.princeton.edu/egghosts/
Internet transfer of data to Princeton
It looks random: Combined data
For a whole day, about 60 eggs
We can see better what’s happening by
Plotting cumulative deviations (2 - df)
Average
cumulative
deviation
shown by
the black
dotted line
Formal tests: First identify major events
Then ask if there is a trend
of accumulating deviations
Figures show sequential history of a sample of
Data collected in a pre-defined time period
The test statistic is the terminal value
September 11 2001
Destruction of the World Trade Towers
A 50-hour trend followed the attacks
Two days
Synchronized Meditation
Half a million people aroud the world
New Years Eve 1999-2008
(10 years  37 time zones)
Average Variance Decrease
Concatenate almost 10 years of formal data
250 rigorously defined global events
Odds: Million to 1 against chance
Small effect: The average Z-score is about
0.35
Independent Statistics
First order, S1, is called Netvar
Second order, S2, is called
Covar
S1:
S2:
Event data contain
Highly significant correlations
S1+S2
S1
S2
Control data, 1000 Resamplings of Database
Independent Measures
Simulate Netvar with average effect
Calculate Covar for same “events”
Blue = random
Netvar
Red = random Covar
Time structure: Sliding the “event” away
From the actual event time produces
Drop-off for both Netvar and Covar
Dispersion = Netvar+Covar
Event
+/- 15 days
Correlated
measures
Blue = Network Variance
Red = Global Covariance
Time structure
Correlation of two independent measures
Z-scores maximal for events ~ 1-2 hours
What might explain
this?
Distance Structure
Independent measures, distance scale
Both are driven by inter-reg correlation
Blue: pair-product data in 1000 km bins
Red: simulation in 7 event pseudo-sets
Green line: regression fit to real data
Blue line: regression fit simulation data
Yellow: weighting for regression
Psychology: Netvar and Covar Response
Differs for Categories of events
Blue = Netvar
Red = Covar
Gold = Relative DF
Netvar and Covar Response
Correlation in “Super” Categories
Blue = Netvar
Red = Covar
Green = Correlation
Gold = Relative DF
ANOVA
Interaction: Statistic x Category
Event Data
Blue = Netvar Red =
Covar
Simulation Data
2-Way ANOVA: Netvar and Covar
Statistic by Category Interaction
Data Sort
P-value
3 categories
0.008
6 categories
0.057
6 cats + astro
0.042
6 cats +wcup
0.039
6 + astro + wcup
0.028
Daily Rhythm?
Only exact 24 hour “day” shows
Evidence of correlation with
consciousness
Explorations
Explorations
Long term trend suggests
Searching for external correlates
Social variable: Presidential Approval
Raw Approval Rating
2 Parameter model fit
F = a (value) + b (slope)
Red = polls
Blue = data
Red = polls
Blue = data
It is important to remember
this is a correlation. There
is no assertion of causation.
All Earthquakes, Richter 6 or More
Cumulative Deviation of Covariance
Quakes on Land +/- 30 hours
Consciousness implied
Premonition suggested
Controls (no humans affected)
Ocean Quakes +/- 30 hours
Same trend, independent subsets
Begin early ~ 8 hours before quake
GCP/EGG Project
The people who make it go
International collaboration of 100 Scientists, Artists, Friends, …
Peter Bancel, Paris, professional analysis, collaboration
William Treurniet, Canada, egganalysis programming
John Walker, Switzerland, programming, general support
Richard & Connie Adams, USA, general support
Paul Bethke, USA, windows programming, network
Dick Bierman, Netherlands, design and realtime display
Dean Radin, USA, design and independent analysis
Brad Anderson, USA, widget programming
Taylor Jackson, Canada, realtime display maintenance
Greg & Lefty Nelson, USA, program architecture, general support
Fernando Rodríguez, Spain, egghosts google map
Leane Roffey, USA, music, outreach, general support
Jaroen Ruuward, Netherlands, realtime programming
Dick Shoup, USA, independent analysis
Nishith Singh, India, realtime programming
Mahadeva Srinivasan, India, general support
… And all the EGG hosts around the world