The Debate Over Internet Taxation And the Implications for Local Government Revenues Suzette Barta, Oklahoma Cooperative Extension Service, Oklahoma State University October 2, 2001 Michael Faraday describing electricity to a politician... COURTESY OF THE ARCHIVES, CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY. "Sir, I do not know what it is good for. But of one thing I am quite certain, some day you will tax it." Fascinating Facts Average annual online expenditure among US adults who purchase online was $763 in 2000. (Emarketer) 66% of American workers have Internet access on the job. (Worthlin Worldwide) 58% of U.S. households are now online. (Nielsen/Net Ratings) There is still a digital divide and income is the #1 driver of Internet usage. (Forrester) Amazing Growth (Internet Shopping) Percentage of US Population that has purchased on-line. – – – – – 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 7% 10% 17% 27% 37% 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Fascinating Projections US Online Retail Sales $Billion $200.0 $180.0 $160.0 $140.0 $120.0 $100.0 $80.0 $60.0 $40.0 $7.8 $20.0 $0.0 1998 $184 b $44.9 b b 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Sources: 1998-2000 Estimates by Forrester, http://www.nrf.com 2001 and 2003 Projections by e-Marketer, http://www.emarketer.com 2004 projection by Forrester 2004 Holiday Shopping On-Line 14 12.6 12 10 8 8 Billion$ 6 4 4 2 1.5 0 1997 1998 Source: Forrester 1999 2000 Top Five Web Properties: July 2001 AOL Time Warner Yahoo! MSN Microsoft Lycos Network Source: Nielsen//NetRatings Unique Audience (Millions) 64.7 55.8 48.4 26.1 21.8 Reach % 63% 55% 47% 26% 21% Most Popular Items Purchased online Item Market Capture (Adult Online Shoppers) Books and Magazines 42% CDs/Movies/Videos 39% Travel Related 39% Clothing 29% Source: Diameter’s@plan Advertising and Deloitte and Touche on shop.org Average Web Usage: July/2001 Number of Sessions/month 20 Number of unique sites visited 11 Time spent per month 10:19:06 Time spent per session 31:44 Duration of page viewed 00:51 Active Internet Universe 102 million Current Internet Universe Estimate 165 million Source: Nielsen//NetRatings The Picture is not perfect for e-tailers •By November of 2000, dot.coms were failing at a rate of 1 per day. •So far this year (2001), 248 dot.coms have closed for a loss of 87,795 jobs. That’s more than double the jobs lost in 2000. •Analysts agree: The days of triple digit growth are over. •The U.S Government sold more via ecommerce in 2000 than Amazon.com did. Trouble in Paradise? Author: Jerry King, Newsfactor.com Perspective... Based on U.S. Department of Commerce Data for 2000: •U.S. Consumer Retail Spending totaled $3.2 trillion •U.S. Online Retail Spending totaled $25.8 billion. •Online Spending still only totals about 0.8% of all retail spending. Business to Business E-Commerce (80-90% of online sales) $Trillion 2.8 1.9 1.4 0.9 1 1999 2000 0.7 1998 2001 2002 2003 Source: The Boston Consulting Group: http://www.bcg.com/ E-Tax Opinion Survey Statement 1. It is unfair to make local retailers collect sales taxes on goods when Internet retailers do not have to. 2. Local retailers are put at a disadvantage when competing for sales against online merchants who collect no taxes. % That Agrees 72% 65% E-Tax Opinion Survey (Continued) Statement 1. Support the collection of sales taxes on goods acquired through the Internet. 2. Will not support higher local taxes to make up for losses due to Internet sales. % That Agrees 60% 85% Source: National Research, Inc. http://www.naco.org/ Counties report Good Financial Conditions On the other hand, in a survey of counties, 84% reported financial conditions that were “very good” or “excellent”. 47% expect financial conditions to improve. Source: County Revenue and Expenditure Patterns, National Association of Counties and Kansas University. How many tax dollars do state and local governments stand to lose due to e-commerce in the future? The most commonly cited figure is $10 billion by 2003. Share of Loss Estimated Loss to the State of Oklahoma and All Local Governments in 2003 is $100 million. Loss to Counties 3% Loss to Municip. 37% Loss to State Government 60% State of Oklahoma Estimated Loss in General Revenue in 2003 0.51% or $60 million General Revenue Lost Revenue Estimated loss for all OK Counties in 2003 Loss of 0.88% or $3.2 million General Revenue for Counties Estimated Loss to the Counties Considerations and Concerns How reliable is the national estimate of a $10 billion loss by 2003? Poorer and more remote counties may be impacted less due to less Internet accessibility. Sparsely populated counties that are already subject to outshopping due to lack of retail will be impacted less. Outshopping may be the more important issue From 1998-99, the average town in Oklahoma lost about $20,000 in sales tax collections due to increased out-shopping. The average town lost $4,500 due to ecommerce. While e-commerce is an issue, out-shopping may be an even greater one for rural communities. Based on a study by Barta and Lansford (2000). The Internet Tax Freedom Act - October 1, 1998 •Barred state and local governments from taxing Internet access from 10-1-98 until 10-21-01. • Declared that the Internet should be a tariff-free zone. • Issued a 3-year moratorium on multiple and discriminatory taxes on e-commerce. • Established the Advisory Commission on Electronic Commerce which was to submit a report to Congress by 4/21/00. Discriminatory Taxation Any type of taxation that is imposed on one kind of retailer, but not on others. Ways to discriminate against internet retailers Federal Internet Sales Tax Allowing sales tax to be collected from an e-store by multiple states for a single transaction Internet access taxes Ways to discriminate against Brick& Mortar retailers Allowing Internet retailers to be exempt from all sales taxes. Commission submits its report on April 12, 2000 Bridging of the digital divide. Protection of consumer privacy. A permanent ban on international tariffs on ecommerce. A simplification of state sales and use tax systems. Permanent ban on Internet access taxes. Extension of the Internet tax moratorium on multiple or discriminatory taxation. Clarification of nexus standards. Recent Legislative Activity 8/2/01: The House Judiciary Subcommittee on Commercial and Administrative Law passed the Internet Tax Nondiscrimination Act. – – – Calls for permanent ban on Internet access taxes and 5year extension on current moratorium. Makes no mention of a simplification compact among the states. Will move to the full Judiciary committee in September. 10/21/01: Current ban on taxation will run out. If a ban on new internet taxes is extended… …what will be the impact on local government sales tax collections? Measuring Impact on Oklahoma Governments in 2000. Based on the respected Forrester/NRF Online Retail Index, B2C online retail sales totaled $44.9 bil in 2000. About 1% of those purchases, $449 mil, can be attributed to Oklahoma. 2000 Impact on Oklahoma State Sales Tax Collections 100% 90% 80% 70% Lost State Collections 60% 50% Actual State Collections 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% STC At a 4.5% state tax rate, the state lost about $20.2 mil in sales tax collections. That’s a loss of about 1.5%. 2000 Impact on Oklahoma County Sales Tax Collections At an average county rate of 0. 4%, 63 out of 77 county governments lost about $1.8 million. That’s a decrease of about 1.9%. 14 of 77 counties did not collect sales tax. 100% 90% 80% Lost County Collections 70% 60% 50% 40% Actual County Collections 30% 20% 10% 0% STC 2000 Impact on Oklahoma Municipal Sales Tax Collections 100% 90% 80% Lost City Collections 70% 60% 50% 40% Actual City Collections 30% 20% 10% 0% STC At an average municipal sales tax rate of 2.89%, cities and towns lost about $13 mil. That’s a loss of about 1.5%. Streamlined Sales Tax Project Formed in March of 2000 38 states are involved – – 32 as voting participants 6 as non-voting observers Objectives: – – – Simplification of state & local sales & use taxes Standardization of tax administration across states Identification of computer software that could be used to implement the collection of sales tax SSTP Participants/Observers Participants Observers No Sales Tax Streamlined Sales Tax Project Dec. 2000: SSTP approves: – – National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL) also approved a simplification act. – Uniform Sales and Use Tax Administrative Act Streamlined Sales and Use Tax Agreement NCSL provisions are less comprehensive than SSTP Act State legislatures must adopt the act into law in their own states. States That Have Signed SSTP or NCSL Legislation SSTP Act Enacted NCSL Act Enacted Modified Act Enacted Questions?