Environment and Happiness: New Evidence for Spain Juncal Cuñado Fernando Pérez de Gracia (University of Navarra) * Financial support from the Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnología (Spain) and European Science Foundation is acknowledged Outline of the Presentation 1. Motivation and objectives 2. Literature review 3. Empirical analysis (Spanish regions) - Significant regional differences in happiness (after controlling for socio-economic variables) - Impact of regional climate and pollution variables on happiness - Monetary value of non-market goods 4. Concluding remarks 5. Future research 1. Motivation and objectives - Economics of happiness: monetary socio-economic indicators (per capita GDP) are insufficient measures of well-being of citizens (United Nations, 1954; Erikson, 1993) - Evaluate welfare effects of different factors, such as - Health (Berger and Leigh, 1989, Blanchflower and Oswald, 2008) Education (Di Tella et al, 2001) Macroeconomic variables (Di Tella et al, 2001) Terrorism (Frey et al, 2009) Noise (Van Praag et al, 2005) Air pollution (Welsch 2002, 2006, 2007; Di Tella and MacCulloch, 2006; Ferrer-i-Carbonell, 2007; Luechinger, 2009, 2010; MacKerron and Mourato, 2009) - Climate (Frijters and van Praag, 1998; Rehdanz and Maddison, 2005 2008; Brereton et al., 2008), ... - This paper: implications of environmental policies on individual well-being (Spanish regions) 1. Motivation and objectives Objectives: - Impact of climate and air pollution conditions on happiness in Spanish regions using individual-level data from the European Social Survey and regional data on macroeconomic, climate and pollution from INE, AEMET and MMA - Do climate and pollution variables at regional level affect individual happiness? - Are these variables more significant than macroeconomic variables such as per capita GDP or unemployment in explaining individual happiness? - Do these variables explain regional differences in subjective well-being (individual happiness)? - Monetary value of non-market goods (climate, pollution) 2. Literature review Climate and pollution on happiness: - Rehdanz and Maddison (2005): temperature plays a significant role in explaining happiness (data for 67 countries) - Becchetti (2007): non-linear effects of climate variables on happiness - Brereton et al. (2008): empirical analysis for Ireland - Welsch (2006): negative and significant effect of air pollution, using data for ten European countries - Luechinger (2010): air pollution affects negatively on SWB - Ferrer-i-Carbonell and Gowdy (2007): concern about ozone pollution and concern about species extinction - Zidanseck (2007): happier people tend to care more about the environment and people who live in a better environment tend to be happier 3. Empirical analysis - - Happiness (ESS): individual´s responses to the question “How happy are you”. The respondent answers on a scale from 1 (not happy at all) to 10 (completely happy). Socio-economic individual variables (ESS) - Gender - Age - Income - Subjective general health: discrete variable with takes the following values: 1 (very good), 2 (good), 3 (fair), 4 (bad), 5 (very bad) - Marital status: 1 (married), 2 (in a civil paternship), 3 (separated), 4 (divorced), 5 (widowed), 6 (never married, never civil paternship) - Children: 1 (yes), 0 (no) - Main activity: 1 (paid work); 2 (education); 3 (unemployed looking for job)... - ... 3. Empirical analysis - - Macroeconomic variables (INE, Instituto Nacional de Estadística) - Per capita GDP - Unemployment rate Climatological variables (AEMET, Agencia Estatal de Meteorología) - T: anually averaged mean temperature (ºC) - Tmax: average mean temperature in hottest month, July (ºC) - Tmin: average mean temperature in coldest month, January (ºC) - R: regional averaged mean precipitation, July and January (mm) - H: regional relative humidity - DR: rain (number of days) - DN: snow (number of days) - DT: storms (number of days) - DF: fog (number of days) - DH: freeze (number of days) - DD: sun (number of days) - I: sun (number of hours) 3. Empirical analysis - Pollution variables (MMA, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente) - CO2 emissions (tons per km2) - NO2 concentration - PM10 (number of days per year in which PM10 concentration exceeds 35 mg/m3) 3. Descriptive statistics TABLE 3. Happiness in Spanish regions, 2008 data N Mean Std. Deviation Minimun Maximum 499 7.41 1.61 2 10 Principado de Asturias 53 7.57 1.49 3 10 Cantabria 23 7.96 0.83 5 9 105 7.88 1.57 0 10 26 7.46 1.36 5 10 La Rioja 8 6.88 1.55 4 9 Aragón 50 7.72 1.37 4 10 Comunidad de Madrid 272 7.65 1.41 2 10 Castilla y León 114 7.14 1.40 2 10 Castilla- La Mancha 80 8.00 1.42 2 10 Extremadura 55 7.38 1.76 2 10 Cataluña 527 7.60 1.67 0 10 Comunidad Valenciana 181 7.69 1.47 2 10 43 7.44 1.28 5 10 402 8.10 1.88 0 10 Región de Murcia 60 7.43 1.69 2 10 Canarias 67 7.07 1.76 3 10 2565 7.63 1.63 0 10 Galicia País Vasco Comunidad Foral de Navarra Islas Baleares Andalucía Total ANOVA F test for equal regional means= 4.703 (0.00)*** 3. Descriptive statistics Significant regional differences in happiness (F=4.70***) Andalucía, Castilla-la Mancha, Cantabria La Rioja, Canarias 3. Descriptive statistics Galicia Principality of Asturias Cantabria Basque Country Navarra La Rioja Aragon Madrid Castilla - Leon Castilla La Mancha Extremadura Catalonia Valencia Balearic Islands Andalucia Murcia Canary Islands Spain (average) N Happiness Temperature July 7.41 7.57 Temperature January 8.00 5.91 499 53 Precipitation July 22.86 36.55 NO2 PM10 CO2 17.82 16.79 Precipitation January 100.74 83.99 23 105 26 8 50 272 114 80 7.96 7.88 7.46 6.88 7.72 7.65 7.14 8.00 55 527 181 43 402 60 67 2565 7.38 7.60 7.69 7.44 8.10 7.43 7.07 7.63 1.00 2.44 Population density 93.84 101.79 Regional income 20,546 22,427 34 37 107 31 7.2 7.51 6.08 4.43 4.85 6.67 5.03 6.47 16.95 17.67 20.08 18.77 20.90 23.38 20.01 23.97 55.47 32.92 25.97 32.12 32.74 50.8 55.83 44.79 41.69 52.09 56.48 48.61 55.97 4.35 19.15 7.03 29 33 27 24 49 61 28 24 18 33 35 29 175 77 146 100 1.35 3.16 0.77 0.74 0.44 3.36 0.42 0.32 109.46 298.38 59.73 62.98 27.80 781.77 27.14 25.73 24,222 31,791 30,296 25,631 26,093 30,928 23,206 18,425 9.01 6.43 8.93 10.42 9.77 9.13 15.51 7.82 25.61 20.54 24.04 24.1 25.5 24.54 21.13 21.47 69.54 22.37 32.41 40.06 48.31 17.77 26.21 51.16 0.72 62.36 11.56 29.64 0.11 0.50 0.34 25.21 12 55 50 33 34 18 26 40.81 17 100 -15 64 47 122 86.14 0.22 1.69 1.40 2.18 0.66 1.10 2.30 1.39 26.34 228.68 216.21 213.72 93.63 126.09 278.82 211.07 16,845 27,897 21,392 25,706 18,384 19,694 20,827 23680 Figure 1. Spanish regions. - Higher temperatures in Southern regions (Extremadura, Andalucía, Murcia) Higher precipitation values in Northern regions (Galicia, Asturias) More polluted regions: Aragón, Castilla-León (thermic centrals) 3. Methodology 1. Regional differences in subjective well-being (ANOVA test on mean differences) 2. Model including socio-economic individual indicators, macroeconomic, climate and pollution variables HAPPINESSi ,k ' xi ,k ' ENVIRONMENTk i ,k 3. Monetary value of non-marketed goods HAPPINESSi , k α βx i , k γENVIRONMENTk δYi , k εi , k MRS HAPPINESS i , k / ENVIRONMENTk HAPPINESS i , k / Yi γ δ 3. First results TABLE 4. Happiness regressions Constant Age Age*age Education Educ*Educ Income Gender Health Marital status Family size Main activity Macroeconomic regional variables Climate variables Pollution variables Coast Population dens. Adjusted R2 Monetary value Male Very good Fair Bad Very bad Married Civil partnership Separated Divorced Widowed Never married, never civil pat. Paid work Education Unemployed, looking Sick, disabled Retired Housework Per capita GDP Unemployment rate January min temp. January max temp. July min temp. July max temp. January prec. July prec. NO2 PM10 CO2 Model 1 7.01 (9.17)*** -0.06 (-4.00)*** 0.001 (3.63)*** 0.2(3.26)*** -0.003 (-2.18)** 0.039 (2.14)** 0.045 (0.54) 0.57 (5.42)*** -0.37 (-3.91)*** -1.10 (-7.41)*** -1.22 (-3.03)*** 1.21 (1.99)** 0.99 (1.54) 0.081 (0.12) 0.407 (0.64) 0.42 (0.67) 0.48 (0.77) Model 2 7.12 (9.11)*** -0.06 (-3.81)*** 0.001 (3.33)*** 0.09 (3.08)*** -0.003 (-2.07)** 0.031 (1.97)** 0.05 (0.56) 0.63 (5.86)*** -0.36 (-3.57)*** -1.03 (-6.36)*** -1.12 (-2.62)*** 1.23 (2.03)** 0.96 (1.50) 0.06 (0.1) 0.4 (0.62) 0.39 (0.63) 0.52 (0.85) Model 3 6.80 (8.62)*** -0.06 (-3.81)*** 0.001 (3.43)*** 0.09 (3.02)*** -0.002 (-1.94)* 0.031 (2.01)** 0.04 (0.51) 0.63 (6.02)*** -0.37 (-3.66)*** -1.05 (-6.49)*** -1.11 (-2.62)*** 1.31 (2.16)** 1.02 (1.60) 0.14 (0.22) 0.47 (0.74) 0.47 (0.74) 0.61 (0.99) Model 4 6.16 (7.72)*** -0.06 (-3.76)*** 0.001 (3.33)*** 0.09 (3.01)*** -0.002 (-1.93)* 0.029 (1.96)** 0.05 (0.56) 0.63 (6.02)*** -0.37 (-3.66)*** -1.05 (-6.49)*** -1.11 (-2.62)*** 1.31 (2.16)** 1.02 (1.60) 0.14 (0.22) 0.47 (0.74) 0.47 (0.74) 0.61 (0.99) Model 5 5.48 (2.17)*** -0.06 (-3.98)*** 0.001 (3.51)*** 0.10 (3.13)*** -0.003 (-2.07)* 0.032 (1.98)** 0.04 (0.47) 0.99 (7.75)*** -0.36 (-3.58)*** -0.68 (-4.15)*** -1.75 (-1.74)* 1.25 (2.05)** 0.95 (1.49) 0.08 (0.12) 0.38 (0.59) 0.41 (0.65) 0.53 (0.87) 0.046 (1.34) 0.13 (0.78) 0.18 (0.78) -0.60 (-2.62)*** -0.19 (-0.61) 0.44 (2.29)** 0.20 (1.23) 0.07 (2.00)** 0.1 (0.57) 0.13 (0.55) -0.6 (-2.53)*** -0.06 (-0.17) 0.49 (2.49)** 0.22 (1.28) 0.08 (2.10)** 0.12 (0.71) 0.14 (0.55) -0.57 (-2.41)** -0.026 (-0.08) 0.50 (2.54)** 0.25 (1.50) 0.08 (2.10)** 0.12 (0.71) 0.14 (0.55) -0.57 (-2.41)** -0.026 (-0.08) 0.50 (2.54)** 0.25 (1.50) 0.07 (1.82)* 0.14 (0.65) 0.16 (0.59) -0.54 (-2.06)** -0.02 (-0.05) 0.53 (2.38)** 0.25 (1.29) 0.00(0.98) 0.026 (1.43) 0.00 (0.78) 0.01 (0.27) 0.01 (1.27) -0.003 (-2.36)** -0.16 (-2.61)*** 0.194 Pollution (PM10) Climate (July prec) Coast 0.202 325 euros 0.01 (1.14) -0.003 (-1.89)* -0.128 (-1.40) 0.24 (2.01)** -0.00 (-0.17) 0.207 325 euros -26,000 euros -0.001 (-0.88) -0.01 (-2.70)*** 0.02 (1.27) -0.003 (-1.66) 0.123 (0.94) 0.15 (1.15) -0.002 (-2.29)** 0.208 336 euros 1,000 euros 16,250 euros -0.05 (-0.28) 0.21 (0.86) -0.26 (-1.89)* 0.093 (1.16) -0.003 (-0.62) -0.005 (-0.49) 0.03 (1.36) -0.006 (-1.83)* -0.27 (-1.69)* 0.07 (0.20) -0.02 (-1.47) 0.208 609 euros 500 euros 8,000 euros 4. Concluding remarks - Increasing number of papers relating subjective well-being with environmental variables - Climate and pollution variables help explaining regional differences in subjective well-being - Negative significant impact of pollution variables (PM10 concentration) - Other geographical variables (“coast” dummy variable) - Multicolinearity among climate variables - Negative impact of higher July minimum temperature - Usual results of individual socio-economic variables on happiness: health, income, being unemployed, age... - Non significant effects of regional macroeconomic variables (per capita GDP, unemployment rate) on individual happiness - Monetary value of climate and pollution variables 5. Future research - Multilevel modelling approach - Extend the analysis to the European regions THANK YOU