1 The relative contribution of abundance and phylogeny to 2 the structure of plant facilitation networks 3 4 5 6 Miguel Verdú1* and Alfonso Valiente-Banuet 2,3 7 1 8 Marjal s/n Apartado Oficial, 46470 Albal, Valencia, Spain. E-mail: 9 <Miguel.Verdu@uv.es>. Tel: +34 96 122 05 40. Fax: + 34 96 1270967. Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificación (CIDE, CSIC-UV-GV), Camí de la 10 11 2 12 Nacional Autónoma de México. A. P. 70-275, C. P. 04510, México, D. F., México. E- 13 mails: <avali@servidor.unam.mx>, <avalib@gmail.com>. Telephone: 52 55 56229010; 14 Fax: 52 55 56161976 Departamento de Ecología de la Biodiversidad, Instituto de Ecología, Universidad 15 16 3 17 Autónoma de México, 04510, D. F. 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Centro de Ciencias de la Complejidad, Ciudad Universitaria, Universidad Nacional *Corresponding author. 1 33 34 35 Abstract 36 neutral processes, the relative abundances of species, and the phylogenetic relationships 37 of the interacting species. Previous efforts directed to analyze the relative contribution 38 of these factors to network structure have not been able to fully incorporate the 39 phylogenetic relationships between the interacting species. This limitation stems from 40 the difficulty of predicting interaction probabilities based on the independent 41 phylogenies of interacting species (e.g., plants and animals). This is not the case for 42 plant facilitation networks, where nurse and facilitated species evolve in a common 43 phylogeny (e.g. spermatophyte phylogeny). Facilitation networks are characterized by 44 both high nestedness and interactions tending to occur between distantly related nurse 45 and facilitated species. We evaluate the relative contribution of phylogeny and species 46 abundance to explain both the frequency of observed interactions as well as the network 47 structure in a real plant facilitation network at Tehuacán Valley (Central Mexico). Our 48 results show that the combined effects of phylogeny and species abundance were, by 49 far, the best predictors of both the frequency of the interactions observed in this 50 community and the parameters (nestedness and connectance) defining the network 51 structure. This finding indicates that species interact proportionally to both their 52 phylogenetic distances and abundances simultaneously. In short, the phylogenetic 53 history of species, acting together with other ecological factors, has a pervasive 54 influence in the structure of ecological networks. The structure of the real ecological networks is determined by multiple factors including 55 56 57 58 59 60 2 61 Introduction 62 Community ecology is experiencing a renewal of interest in the study of the structure of 63 ecological communities thanks to the development of complex network theory 64 (Bascompte & Jordano 2007) and phylogenetic methods (Webb et al. 2002). The few 65 attempts to integrate both fields unambiguously show that phylogenetic effects are 66 important determinants of community structure (Cattin et al. 2004, Bersier & Kehrli 67 2008, Rezende et al. 2007, 2009). However all these empirical studies also recognize 68 that the variability seen in the interactions between species in an ecological network 69 cannot be explained fully by phylogenetic effects. 70 Other effects like species abundance or phenotypic complementarity can 71 theoretically explain the structure of the ecological networks, specially the nested 72 organization of the interaction matrix. Differences in species abundance may produce 73 high nestedness (i.e. a tendency of specialists to interact preferentially with generalists) 74 because the most abundant species simply have higher chances to interact with their 75 more abundant counterparts (Vázquez 2005). Similarly, phenotypic complementarity 76 determines the degree of functional matching between interacting species and may thus 77 generate nestedness (Rezende et al. 2007). Interestingly, when traits determining such 78 phenotypic complementarity evolve in a conserved way, the hierarchical nature of 79 phylogenetic relations can contribute to increased nestedness. 80 Plant facilitation networks are characterized by both high nestedness (Verdú & 81 Valiente-Banuet 2008) and a clear phylogenetic relationship between benefactor 82 (nurses) and beneficiary (facilitated) species (Valiente-Banuet & Verdú 2007, 2008). 83 Plant facilitation interactions are phylogenetically structured because they tend to occur 84 between distantly related nurses and facilitated species. This assembly process results 85 from the fact that species with similar regeneration niches tend to compete whereas 3 86 species with complementary niches tend to coexist. As the regeneration niche is an 87 evolutionary conserved trait, coexistence mediated by facilitation is more likely 88 between distantly than closely related species, ultimately leading to phylogenetic 89 overdispersion (Valiente-Banuet & Verdú 2007, 2008). Renegeration niche is ultimately 90 determined by a complex array of phenotypic characters and therefore, niche 91 complementarity is produced by complementarity in many phenotypic traits. Following 92 Rezende et al. (2007) rationale on phenotypic complementarity and phylogenetic 93 conservatism, it would be expected that the high level of nestedness detected in 94 facilitation networks would be explained by the hierarchical structure of phylogenetic 95 relationships derived from the niche complementarity existing between nurses and their 96 facilitated plant species. 97 Despite the undeniable value of these theoretical studies, they have not 98 addressed the multiplicity of factors acting simultaneously in the structure of real 99 networks. A recent method developed by Vázquez et al. (2009) provides us with the 100 opportunity to evaluate the relative contribution of multiple factors to explain the 101 observed matrix of interactions as well as the structure of the interaction network (i.e. 102 network connectance – or the proportion of realized interspecific links-, nestedness, 103 etc). The method first derives interaction probability matrices resulting from different 104 factors (i.e. abundance, phenological synchrony, etc) and then calculates the likelihood 105 of these matrices given the observed matrix of interactions. As expected, Vázquez et al. 106 (2009) found that the combination of different effects (abundance and spatiotemporal 107 overlap) was the best predictor of the observed pairwise interactions between pollinators 108 and plants. Despite previous findings that phylogenetic relationships are crucial in 109 shaping community structure, Vázquez et al. (2009) could not incorporate phylogenetic 110 information into their framework because there is no way of deriving an expected 4 111 probability matrix based on the independent phylogenies of plants and animals. 112 However, the situation is different for ecological interactions between species evolved 113 in a common phylogeny. This is the case for plant facilitation networks because the 114 interactions occur between plants (nurses and facilitated species). Thus, we could easily 115 derive the probability matrix of interactions from the matrix of phylogenetic distances 116 between the nurse and the facilitated species under the assumption of phylogenetic 117 overdispersion (Fig 1). As facilitation interactions tend to occur between distantly 118 related species (Valiente-Banuet & Verdú 2007, Verdú et al. 2009), we have an 119 exceptional opportunity to evaluate the relative contribution of phylogeny together with 120 other factors, such as abundance, in the pattern of observed interactions. We predict 121 that, together with abundance, phylogenetic relationships between species are important 122 determinants of the observed interactions due to the species-specific nature of the 123 facilitative interactions (Callaway 2007). At the same time, this method allows us to 124 evaluate the contribution of phylogeny and other factors to the structure of the real 125 interaction network (i.e. network connectance and nestedness). Thus, we also tested 126 whether the high levels of nestedness and connectance observed in the real facilitation 127 networks may be explained by both differences in species abundance and phylogenetic 128 history (Verdú & Valiente-Banuet 2008). 129 130 Methods 131 Study site 132 The study was conducted in the tropical desert community of San Juan Raya located in 133 the North West part of the Tehuacán Valley occupying ca. 100 km2 (18º 20'N, 97° 134 28'W). The annual mean temperature is 21°C, and annual rainfall averages about 380 135 mm, with 85% of it during the summer (Valiente-Banuet et al. 2000). The vegetation is 5 136 dominated by the columnar cactus Neobuxbaumia mezcalaensis and many shrub species 137 like Lippia graveolens, Calliandra eriophylla, Mascagnia seleriana, Echinopteryx 138 eglandulosa, Pseudosmodyngium multifolium, Acacia subangulata, A. constricta, 139 Hechtia podantha, Cnidosculus tehuacanesis, Yucca periculosa and Mimosa lacerata. 140 141 142 Observed matrix of pairwise interactions The observed matrix of pairwise interactions was constructed by recording the 143 facilitative associations between adult nurses and seedlings of facilitated plants. We 144 sampled four 100 x 10 m2 transects to count the number of seedlings (non-reproductive, 145 small plants) of each species growing beneath canopies of adult (reproductive) plants 146 and in open space. Our samplings recorded ca. 96% of the whole species inhabiting this 147 plant community. A species was considered to be facilitated when the percentage of 148 individuals recruiting under canopies was greater than expected by the overall canopy 149 cover in the community, estimated by means of the line-interception method as 150 explained below. At the same time we recorded the nurse species with which each 151 seedling was associated to generate a facilitation network. Such network was a matrix 152 containing the number of individuals of each beneficiary species occurring beneath each 153 nurse species. Given that observational and experimental evidence suggest that 154 facilitation in this community occurs between distantly related species (Valiente-Banuet 155 & Verdú, 2007; Castillo et al., 2010), we assume that phylogenetic overdispersion 156 underlies the structure of the facilitation network. This contrasts with most phylogenetic 157 analyses that normally test if closely related species tend to behave similarly in the 158 network (Ives & Godfray 2006; Verdú et al., 2010). 159 160 6 161 Likelihood analysis of pairwise interaction probabilities 162 We evaluated the ability of abundance and phylogeny to explain the observed matrix of 163 pairwise interactions described above by means of the likelihood approach developed 164 by Vázquez et al. (2009). For comparison with these matrices, we also defined a null 165 probability matrix in which all pairwise interactions were equiprobable. 166 We calculated the interaction probability matrices expected under the 167 assumptions that interactions were 1) homogeneous across pairs of species (Null 168 matrix); 2) determined solely by relative species abundances or phylogeny, and 3) 169 determined by the interaction of abundance and phylogeny matrices. 170 The null probability matrix was defined as a matrix in which all pairwise 171 interactions had the same probability 1/IJ of occurrence, where I and J are the numbers 172 of facilitated and nurse species in the network. 173 The probability matrix derived of plant abundances was constructed by 174 multiplying the vectors of nurse and facilitated plant abundances. To obtain an estimate 175 of species abundance independent of the data included in the observed matrix of 176 pairwise interactions, we performed different samplings in the same area. As the 177 relevant measure of nurse abundance for facilitated seedlings is nurse cover, we 178 established eight 50 m linear transects in which the coverage of the adult plants was 179 recorded following the line-interception method (Canfield 1941, Floyd & Anderson 180 1987). The abundance of facilitated seedlings was estimated by counting the number of 181 seedlings of each species in an extensive sampling of an area of 5000 m2. The 182 underlying assumption of this analysis is that the probability of interaction increases 183 with plant abundances. Because we do not know a priori how estimates of phylogenetic 184 distance may quantitatively affect the interaction probabilities, we tested different 185 scenarios in which such increasing relationship followed a linear (using the 7 186 untransformed abundance matrix), power (raising the abundance matrix to a given 187 power) or exponential (exponentiating the abundance matrix) curve (see detailed 188 methods in Appendix A in Electronic Supplementary Material). 189 The probability matrix derived of plant phylogeny distances was based on the pairwise 190 phylogenetic distances between nurses and facilitated plant species (Fig. 1). The 191 probability of interaction between a nurse and a facilitated species was estimated as the 192 phylogenetic distance between them divided by the sum of all the pairwise distances 193 between all the nurses and all the facilitated species. The phylogenetic distances matrix 194 was obtained from the community phylogeny generated with the help of the program 195 Phylomatic2 and Phylocom 4.1 (Webb et al. 2008). This program generates a 196 community phylogeny by matching the family names of our study species with those 197 contained in a backbone phylogeny, which is the megatree based on the updated work 198 of the Angiosperm Phylogeny Group (Stevens 2005). The megatree was constructed 199 with all phylogenetic information available in the Phylomatic2 repository [accessed in 200 January 28, 2011] plus two published phylogenies of Fabaceae (Gómez-Acevedo et al. 201 2010) and Cactaceae (Hernández-Hernández et al 2011) containing Mexican species, 202 allowing thus a better resolution of the tree. As the megatree is calibrated with age 203 estimates from Wikstrom et al. (2001), the program returns a calibrated tree with the 204 study species in which the undated nodes have been evenly distributed between dated 205 nodes (Webb et al. 2008). We replaced phylogenetic distance values of zero by 1e-15 to 206 avoid infinite values in the likelihood calculation. Different scenarios in which 207 facilitation interactions increased with phylogenetic distances following linear, power or 208 exponential curves were also tested as explained above for abundance (see detailed 209 methods in Appendix A in Electronic Supplementary Material). 8 210 We also calculated combined probabilities of abundance and phylogeny as the 211 element-wise multiplication of abundance and phylogeny matrices. We used the 212 abundance and phylogeny matrices which best performed in the three scenarios (linear, 213 power and exponential) described above (see detailed methods in Appendix A in 214 Electronic Supplementary Material). In essence, selecting the probability distributions 215 obtained from the best scenario is equivalent to selecting, say, a log-transformation over 216 other types of data manipulation (e.g., raising the data to a power or performing an 217 arcsine of the square root transformation) when the original data seems to be log- 218 normally distributed. 219 220 All the probability matrices were normalized so that their elements added up to 221 one (see Appendix B in Electronic Supplementary Material). We compared the Akaike 222 information criterion (AIC) values across candidate models to select the best fit model. 223 The model with lower AIC value was selected as the best model. As a rule of thumb, 224 models whose AIC is less than 2 units larger than the best fit model also have 225 substantial support, whereas those with models resulting in AIC values > 10 units larger 226 have virtually no support (Burnham & Anderson 2002). All the likelihood analyses 227 were run with R-code provided by D. Vázquez. 228 229 Aggregate network statistics 230 The ability of the above four probability matrices (Null, abundance, phylogeny and 231 abundance x phylogeny) to explain aggregate network statistics as connectance (the 232 proportion of pairs of nurses and facilitated plant species that directly interact) and 233 nestedness (the degree to which specialists interact with proper subsets of the species 234 generalists interact with) was evaluated following Vázquez et al. (2009) approach. We 9 235 fitted both transformed (exponential and power) and untransformed (linear) probability 236 matrices of abundance and phylogeny and the latter always predicted better the network 237 parameters. The method uses a randomization algorithm to evaluate to what extent null, 238 phylogeny and abundance probabilities matrices predicted the observed connectance 239 and nestedness. The algorithm assigns the total number of interactions originally 240 observed in the facilitation matrix according to the four probability matrices, with the 241 only constraint that each species received at least one interaction (see Vázquez et al. 242 2009 for further mathematical details). 243 We calculated several measures of nestedness because of the lack of consensus 244 on the best method to define and quantify nestedness (Ulrich et al 2009). Nestedness 245 was calculated with the BINMATNEST (Rodríguez-Gironés & Santamaría, 2006), 246 NODF (Almeida-Neto et al. 2008) and discrepancy (Brualdi & Sanderson 1999) 247 algorithms. As network metrics that use interaction frequencies instead of 248 presence/absence of interactions have been shown to be more robust against variation in 249 sampling effort (Blüthgen 2010), we also calculated the equivalent of connectance and 250 nestedness for quantitative matrices (Bersier at al. 2002, Tylianakis et al. 2007; Galeano 251 et al. 2009). Quantitative nestedness calculates the nestedness of a network taking into 252 account the weight of the interactions, according to the method proposed by Galeano et 253 al. (2009). Quantitative connectance was calculated as the ratio between the mean 254 number of interactions per species (linkage density) and the number of species in the 255 network (Tylianakis et al. 2007). All the analyses were run with the R-code provided by 256 D. Vázquez modified to include other nestedness and connectance measures as 257 implemented in the bipartite package (Dormann et al. 2009) of R statistical software (R 258 Development Core Team 2009). 259 10 260 Results 261 Likelihood analysis of pairwise interaction probabilities 262 The null matrix was the worst predictor of the observed interaction matrix (Tab. 1). 263 Phylogeny alone improved the fit of the Null matrix but also performed poorly. Both 264 null and phylogeny based matrices alone had AIC´s one order of magnitude larger than 265 that of the observed probability matrix fitted to itself (Tab 1). Abundance based models 266 fit better than null and phylogeny models but interestingly the best predictor was by far 267 the matrix combining the abundance and phylogeny probability matrices. In fact, this 268 combined matrix was (1/1e-53) = 1e53 times more likely to be the best explanation for the 269 observed interaction matrix compared to abundance only (see weights in table 1). The 270 combined matrix represents the interaction probabilities expected if species interact 271 proportionally to both their phylogenetic distances and abundances. Although this 272 combined matrix was the best predictor, it should be noted that much variation in the 273 observed interactions still remains unexplained as the differences in AIC´s suggest 274 (6006 vs. 1088 for the abundance x phylogeny vs. observed interaction matrix, see Tab. 275 1) . 276 277 Aggregate network statistics 278 The null and phylogeny matrices alone did not predict correctly any of the network 279 statistics observed in the San Juan Raya plant community (Tab. 2). These matrices 280 strongly overestimated connectance and underestimated nestedness measures. 281 The abundance matrix correctly predicted all the nestedness values but failed to predict 282 both the qualitative and the quantitative connectance. The combined phylogeny x 283 abundance matrix failed to correctly predict the qualitative measure of connectance but 284 correctly predicted all the nestedness values and the quantitative connectance measure. 11 285 Discussion 286 The structure of the real ecological networks is determined by multiple factors including 287 neutral processes as well as factors related to the traits of each species (Vázquez 2005, 288 Rezende et al. 2007). By applying a recent method to evaluate the relative contribution 289 of these factors alone or combined, it becomes immediately evident that single factors 290 cannot explain the variability seen in the ecological interactions among plant species in 291 the Tehuacan system in which we worked. Indeed, our data show that the combined 292 effects of phylogeny and species abundance were, by far, the best predictor of network 293 properties as nestedness and connectance observed in a real plant facilitation network. 294 However, we also find that such information is not enough to correctly predict the 295 occurrence and frequency of pairwise interactions, as reported by Vázquez et al. (2009) 296 in a pollination network. These results pose two questions with interesting 297 consequences. Why is the combined effect of phylogeny and abundance a better 298 predictor of pairwise interactions than phylogeny or abundance alone? Why are we still 299 so far from a correct prediction of the true pairwise interactions? 300 Obviously phylogeny alone is a bad predictor of the observed ecological 301 interactions because it does not take into account the encounter probability between 302 species, which is mediated by local abundance in the community. Once the encounter 303 probability is accounted for by combining phylogeny and abundance matrices, 304 phylogeny becomes relevant to explain the observed interactions. On the other side, the 305 fact that the interactions between nurses and facilitated species are worse predicted by 306 abundance alone than by abundance plus phylogeny indicates that this type of 307 interactions is species-specific and therefore that nurses are not replaceable (see 308 Callaway 1998 for a discussion on species-specificity in facilitative interactions). This 309 is an important issue from both theoretical and practical points of view. Theoretically, 12 310 the identification of highly species-specific facilitative interactions opens the possibility 311 to consider facilitation in local communities as a mechanism of ongoing coevolutionary 312 processes among plants (Thompson 2005, Olesen et al. 2008). This information is also 313 relevant from a conservation point of view if we want to use facilitation as a restoration 314 tool to choose the correct pair of nurse and target plant species (Gómez-Aparicio et al. 315 2004, Padilla & Pugnaire 2006, Siles et al. 2008). 316 Why are we still so far from a correct prediction of the true pairwise 317 interactions? Although we have improved substantially the prediction of pairwise 318 interactions by combining abundance and phylogeny, it seems obvious that many more 319 processes are acting simultaneously in shaping such interactions. For example, we can 320 detect some pairwise interactions occurring between closely related species that clearly 321 depart from the expected phylogenetic pattern. These phylogenetically unexpected 322 interactions usually occur between species within Fabaceae (Acacia constricta , 323 Calliandra eryophylla and Mimosa lacerata facilitating Aeschynomene compacta). 324 Probably, the ability of Fabaceae species to harbor colonies of nitrogen-fixing bacteria 325 in their roots may compensate their competitive effects (Callaway 2007). Similarly, the 326 negative effects of trees on seedling survival may be offset by the positive effects of 327 mycorrhizal networks established between trees and neighboring seedlings (Booth & 328 Hoeksema 2010). Likewise, indirect effects through third species may be favoring the 329 appearance of the phylogenetically unexpected associations. When many plants grow 330 together indirect effects are usually positive and alleviate direct competitive effects 331 (Valiente-Banuet & Verdú 2008, Callaway 2007). Experimental evidence suggests that 332 the relationships between nurses and beneficiaries in this community are not fully 333 explained by pairwise phylogenetic connections (Castillo et al., 2010). Almost all nurse 334 plants in our system facilitate several species at once, and this creates the potential for 13 335 very complex indirect and species-specific interactions among different beneficiary 336 species beneath nurses (Cuesta et al. 2010). These indirect interactions are highly likely 337 to modify the pairwise relationships between nurses and beneficiary species that are the 338 basis of our networks. Similarly, Hill & Kotanen (2009) found that the level of 339 herbivory was better predicted by a combined measure of phylogenetic distances of the 340 target plant to all its confamilial species rather than to a single, closest relative, 341 neighbor. Interestingly, these results were only found under controlled –common 342 garden- conditions but not in wild populations, suggesting that phylogenetic influences 343 operate in addition to other sources of ecological variation. 344 The combination of abundance and phylogeny matrices did not explain all the 345 variation in the observed facilitation interactions but correctly predicted relevant 346 network parameters like nestedness and connectance. Three different causes have been 347 invoked to cause nestedness in interaction matrices: passive sampling, asymmetric 348 interaction strength and phenotypic complementarity (Ulrich et al. 2009). Nestedness 349 through passive sampling is produced when the most abundant species simply have 350 higher chances to interact with their more abundant counterparts. Nestedness through 351 asymmetric interaction strength is produced when some interactions are “forbidden” 352 because of biological constraints, such as phenological asynchrony or morphological 353 mismatching between the interacting species. Paradoxically, phenotypic 354 complementarity, the opposite extreme to morphological mismatching, may also cause 355 nestedness. Rezende et al. (2007) demonstrated that complementarity between 356 phenotypic traits of plants and animals can explain the nested pattern of interaction 357 networks, particularly when several traits are involved. As phenotypes are complex 358 arrays of multiple traits, it is very difficult to properly characterize the complementarity 359 between multidimensional phenotypes of species. Instead, the phylogenetic relationship 14 360 between species may inform us about phenotype complementarity given that closely 361 related species tend to be similar in several phenotypic traits because they inherit 362 multiple traits from a single ancestor. This is exactly the case for the morphological and 363 physiological traits defining the regeneration niche of plants, which are evolutionarily 364 conserved and therefore closely related species tend to have the same regeneration niche 365 (Valiente-Banuet et al. 2006, Valiente-Banuet & Verdú 2007, Verdú & Pausas 2007, 366 Pausas & Verdú 2008). Accordingly, facilitative interactions are produced by 367 connecting distantly-related species with complementary regeneration niches (nurses 368 and facilitated plants) and this pattern of interactions also produces significant 369 nestedness. 370 371 In short, we have shown that the phylogenetic history, acting together with other ecological factors, has a pervasive influence in the structure of ecological networks. 372 373 Acknowledgments 374 We are very grateful to Diego Vázquez for providing the R-code and helping with the 375 analyses. A. Vital, C. Silva and J.P. Castillo helped with field samplings. R. M. 376 Callaway, M. Goberna, E. Rezende and D. Vázquez provided valuable comments on the 377 manuscript. This work was funded by AECID (Projects A017475/08, A023461/09), 378 DGAPA-UNAM (Project IN-224808-3), and CYTED (Acción 409AC0369). 379 380 References 381 Almeida-Neto, M. et al. 2008. 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Likelihood of the observed pattern of facilitation interactions in the San Juan 483 Raya (Tehuacán Valley, central México) community together with the candidate 484 models to explain such pattern on the basis of abundance, phylogeny or null matrices. 485 The abundance and phylogeny matrices were transformed to fit power and exponential 486 curves respectively, as explained in the Electronic Appendix A. The AIC and Akaike 487 weights (wi) of each candidate model is shown with the delta AIC with respect to the 488 best fit model. 489 Number of Likelihood AIC dAIC wi parameters Observed 1 543 1088 Abundance x Phylogeny 4 3008 6020 0 1 Abundance 2 3131 6264 244 1e-53 Phylogeny 2 5420 10843 4823 0 Null 1 5522 11045 5025 0 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 20 502 Table 2. Observed and predicted values of nestedness and connectance in the San Juan 503 Raya plant facilitation network. Predicted values are based on null, abundance and 504 phylogeny matrices. Untransformed matrices of phylogeny and abundance were used 505 for this analysis because of its greater predictive ability relative to transformed matrices. 506 Mean and 95% confidence intervals are shown for each predicted value. Estimates 507 correctly predicting the observed value are highlighted in bold. 508 Observed Connectance Nestedness 0.21 90 BINMATNEST Nestedness 26 NODF Nestedness 122 discrepancy Quantitative 0.122 Nestedness Null Phylogeny Abundance Ab x Phylo 0.70 0.66 0.27 0.27 [0.68, 0.71] [0.64, 0.67] [0.26, 0.28] [0.25, 0.28] 30 43 89 89 [24, 35] [389, 49] [86, 92] [85, 91] 34 20 27 33 [28, 39] [17, 22] [25, 30] [26, 41] 321 319 126 131 [305, 338] [302, 335] [111, 141] [118, 145] 0.313 0.297 0.132 0.127 [0.305, 0.320] [0.290, 0.304] [0.127, 0.137] [0.122, 0.131] Connectance Quantitative Predicted 0.71 0 0.18 0.72 0.70 [0, 0.04] [0.14, 0.23] [0.67, 0.77] [0.65, 0.75] 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 21 516 Figures 517 518 Fig 1. Derivation of an interaction probability matrix from the phylogenetic 519 relationships between nurses and facilitated species. A) Phylogenetic tree of facilitated 520 (framed plants) and nurse (unframed plants) species; numbers above branches represent 521 arbitrary units of time spent between two nodes or between a node and a tip; B) Matrix 522 of phylogenetic distances between nurses (in columns) and facilitated (in rows) species; 523 C) Matrix of interaction probabilities obtained by dividing each phylogenetic distance 524 by the sum of all the distances. 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 22 541 Fig.1 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 A 1 B C 4 1 10 10 0.16 0.16 10 10 0.16 0.16 6 6 0.09 0.09 6 6 0.09 0.09 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 Phylogenetic tree Phylogenetic distances matrix Interaction probability matrix 23