Overview of categorical by categorical interactions: Part I: Concepts, definitions, and shapes Jane E. Miller, PhD The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. What is an interaction? • The association between one independent variable (X1) and the dependent variable (Y) differs depending on the value of a second independent variable (X2). • Can be thought of as an exception to a general pattern: – X1 is associated with Y in one way when X2 = 1, but in a different way when X2 = 2. • X1 is sometimes termed the “focal predictor” • X2 is referred to as the “modifier” or “modifying variable.” The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Statistical interactions defined • When X1 and X2 not only potentially have separate effects on Y, but also have a joint effect that is different from the simple sum of their respective individual effects. – The association between X1and Y is conditional on X2. – The specific combinations of values of X1 and X2 determine the value of Y. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Three general shapes of interaction patterns 1. Size: The effect of X1 on Y is larger for some values of X2 than for others; 2. Direction: the effect of X1 on Y is positive for some values of X2 but negative for other values of X2; 3. The effect of X1 on Y is non-zero (either positive or negative) for some values of X2 but is not statistically significantly different from zero for other values of X2. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Synonyms for “interaction” • Terminology for interactions varies by discipline. • Common synonyms include: – Effects modification – Moderating effect – Modifying effect – Joint effect – Contingency effect – Conditioning effect – Heterogeneity of effects The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Specifying an interaction model • Multivariate regression specifications to test for interactions include a combination of “main effects terms” and “interaction terms.” The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Main-effects-only specification • A main-effects-only model implies that controlling for other covariates (Xi), – the effect of X1 on Y is the same for all values of X2, – and the effect of X2 is the same for all values of X1. • Its specification can be written: Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2, where X1 is the main effect term for the first independent variable (IV) X2 is the main effect term for a second IV The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Example: Main-effects-only model • If Y is birth weight in grams • X1 is dummy variable for <HS – coded 1 for mothers with less than complete high school – 0 for all other infants, the reference category • X2 is a dummy variable for black race – coded 1 for black infants – 0 for white infants, the reference category • Birth weight = β0 + β1<HS + β2Black implies that the shape of the education/birth weight association is the same for black as for white infants – the education/birth weight (X1/Y) association is not modified by race The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Education and race main effects only Size of black/white birth weight gap is same in each education group. BW (g.) Black White <HS =HS >HS Mother’s educational attainment The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Interaction specification • A model with interactions implies that controlling for other covariates, – the effect of X1 on Y is different for different values of X2. Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X1 _ X2, where X1 is the main effect term for the focal IV in the interaction, X2 is the main effect term for the modifying IV, X1 _X2 is the interaction term between the focal and modifying IVs. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Interaction term • The value of the interaction term variable is defined as the product of the two component variables: X1_ X2 = X1 × X2 • When naming an interaction term variable, I often use an “_” to connect the names of the two component variables. – E.g., <HS_black would be the interaction between the two variables “<HS” and “black.” • E.g., for case #1, if – <HS (X1) = 1 – Black (X2) = 1 – The interaction term <HS_black = 1 × 1 = 1 The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Contingency of coefficients in an interaction model Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X1 _ X2, • Inclusion of the interaction term X1_ X2 means that the βis on the main effects terms X1 and X2 no longer apply to all values of X1 and X2. – The main effects and interactions βis for X1 and X2 are contingent upon one another and cannot be considered separately. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Implications for interpreting main effects and interaction coefficients Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X1_X2 • In the interaction model: – β1 estimates the effect of X1 on Y when X2 = 0, – β2 estimates the effect of X2 on Y when X1 = 0, – β3 must also be considered in order to calculate the shape of the overall pattern among X1, X2, and Y. • E.g., when X1 and X2 take on other values. • See podcast on calculating the shape of an interaction pattern. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Example: Interaction model BW = β1<HS + β2Black + β3<HS_black, • If β3 is statistically significantly different from zero, the shape of the education/birth weight association is different for black than for white infants. • β1 estimates the association between education and birth weight among whites (e.g., when Black = 0) • β2 estimates the difference in birth weight for blacks compared to whites when <HS = 0 (e.g., for more educated mothers). • β3 estimates how predicted birth weight deviates from the value implied by β1 and β2 alone, for different combinations of education and race. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Education and race main effects, and interaction: Size of gap Size of black/white birth weight gap varies across education groups. BW (g.) Black White <HS =HS >HS Mother’s educational attainment The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Possible patterns: Interaction between two categorical independent variables • Example: Race and mother’s education as predictors of birth weight – Birth weight (BW) in grams is the dependent variable; – The focal independent variable, mother’s educational attainment, is an ordinal categorical variable; – The modifier, race, is a nominal independent variable. • An interaction means that the association between mother’s education and birth weight differs by race . The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Race main effect, but no education main effect or interaction BW (g.) Black White <HS =HS >HS Mother’s educational attainment The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Education main effect, but no race main effect or interaction BW (g.) Black White <HS =HS >HS Mother’s educational attainment The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Education and race main effects, but no interaction Size of black/white birth weight gap is same in each education group. BW (g.) Black White <HS =HS >HS Mother’s educational attainment The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Education and race main effects, and interaction: Size of gap Size of black/white birth weight gap varies across education groups. BW (g.) Black White <HS =HS >HS Mother’s educational attainment The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Education and race main effects, and interaction: Direction of gap Direction of black/white birth weight gap varies across education groups. BW (g.) Black White Black>white <HS Black<white Black<white =HS >HS Mother’s educational attainment The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Summary: Some possible patterns of race, education, and birth weight BW BW <HS =HS BW <HS >HS =HS >HS <HS Main effect: education Main effect: race BW =HS >HS Interaction: magnitude >HS Main effects: race & education Black White BW <HS =HS <HS =HS >HS Interaction: direction & magnitude The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Continue on to Part II • Information on – Creating variables – Specifying models – Calculating overall shape of an interaction pattern from regression coefficients For a categorical by categorical interaction The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Suggested resources • Chapter 16, Miller, J. E. 2013. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. • Chapters 8 and 9 of Cohen et al. 2003. Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences, 3rd Edition. Florence, KY: Routledge. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Suggested exercises • Study guide to The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. – Problem set for chapter 16 – Suggested course extensions for chapter 16 The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Contact information Jane E. Miller, PhD jmiller@ifh.rutgers.edu Online materials available at http://press.uchicago.edu/books/miller/multivariate/index.html The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition.