II-B II. General equilibrium approaches—theory A. Ana lytical tools : produce rs, consumers, markets and trade B. Geometric models of trade and environment - What are we measuring? Environmental and we lfare outcome s C. Comparative static result s and standa rd theo rems D. Simple models of trade and env ir onmental poli cy - Environmental and welfare costs of trade poli cies. 1 II-B Geometric models 1. Standard model of resource allocation, production, trade and welfare 2. An open economy with pollution 3. Measuring pollution and economic welfare 2 II-B A simple GE model • Assume: – Two goods produced and consumed – Each good is produced using two factors • Constant returns to scale – One factor (labor) is intersectorally mobile; the others are “specific” to sectors – Markets are complete and competitive • Prices are set in world markets 3 II-B y2 Production Possibiliti es b = (y1, y2) ƒ2(v) y1 Labor a = (L1, L2) Resource All ocation ƒ1(v) Labor 1. Gene ral equili brium of the 2 X 3 econo my 4 II-B Spot test! 1. Use the diagram to show the value of total income. 2. For a given set of consumer preferences, show the pattern of trade. 3. Demonstrate that (a, b) is an equilibrium (hint: Walras’ Law). 5 II-B y2 h b ƒ2(v) Inco me (in terms of y1) y1 Labor a ƒ1(v) Labor Gene ral equili brium of the 2 X 3 econo my 6 II-B y2 b = (y1, y2) ƒ2(v) d = (y1', y2'') y1 L a = (L1, L2) c = (L1', L2') ƒ1(v) L 2. Produc tion and resource all ocation effects of a price chang e 7 II-B Spot test! • What happens to factor returns when relative output prices change? 1. Returns to specific factors rise (fall) as sectoral output rises (falls) 2. Wage change depends on laborintensity of expanding sector 8 II-B y2 b f ƒ (v) 2 b y1 L a e ƒ1(v) L 3. Effects of an increase in the labor force 9 II-B Spot test! 1. What happens to the structure of output as specific factor endowments increase? 2. What is the effect of technical progress in a sector? 1. The sector using that factor expands--and the other contracts 2. That sector’s output expands, and the other’s output contracts 10 II-B An open economy with pollution • The Antweiler, Copeland, Taylor (2001) diagram – ‘Clean’ and ‘dirty’ goods – Comparative advantage in dirty good – Tariff on imports of clean good • Effects of trade liberalization: – scale – composition – technique 11 II-B Clean good UW UT A pT C B pW YT YW Dirt y good zA zC z=2()x Composition zB Scale zS Techn ique z=1()x Poll ution Sour ce: Adapted from Antweil er et al. 2001 12 II-B Factor endowment growth • Scale and composition effects 13 II-B Clean good C E D pW Dirt y good zC zE zD Composition z=3()x Scale zI Poll ution Techn ique z=1()x 14 II-B Environment and economic welfare • ACT model tells us what happens to pollution. • But consumer utility: u = u(c, -z) – Price or endowment changes affect c as well as z: what is the change in net welfare? – example: trade liberalization 15 II-B Welf are R – value of output C- utilit y from env ir onmental qua lit y Tariff 16 II-B Spot test! Q. In the previous example, what is the optimal tariff, and how is it calculated? A. Where absolute values of slopes of R and C are equal (marginal environmental benefit=marginal cost in terms of consumption) B. Q. What is the optimal tariff on imports of a dirty good? C. A. t = 0. 17 II-B Summary and conclusions • • • • Assumptions about optimizing behavior Assumptions about markets and technology Assumptions about trade Models must make assumptions explicit and be demonstrably consistent • Complications can be introduced, but at a cost • Target of analysis is important. Is it the environment only? Or a broader concept of welfare? 18 II-B For next sessions • Review duality and basic concepts, if necessary – Buffie, or equivalent. • Look at OEE Ch. 2 models, and/or Ulph (1999). 19