University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics Development Economics Preliminary Examination June 2002 Answer any three questions. All questions have equal weight. Please type your answers. Your answers must be submitted no later than noon on Monday, June 24. 1. Empirical analyses of developing country economic performance typically use a measure of real per capita GDP (RPCDGP) as their dependent variable. How good a measure does this provide of the underlying yet unobservable variable of interest, economic welfare? Provide a rigorous critique, focusing on the definition and measurement of RPCGDP relative to a workable definition of welfare, and proposing and considering the merits of amendments or alternatives to RPCGDP. In the latter part of your answer, rank the amendments and/or alternatives in order of desirability according to some clearly stated normative criterion. 2. In their article, “Does natural resource abundance increase Latin American income inequality,” Journal of Development Economics, Volume 59 (1999): 3-42, Leamer, Maul, Rodriguez, and Schott argue that natural resource abundance and export orientation are fundamentally related to Latin America’s high levels of income inequality as well as to their weak growth performance. a. Evaluate their empirical argument concerning the impacts of natural resource booms on inequality and growth. Then, comment more broadly on the empirical issue of whether specialization in natural-resource exports has proven to be problematic for inequality and growth elsewhere in the world, emphasizing both trends and potential explanations of these trends. b. Develop or borrow an endogenous growth model that explicitly links inequality and slow growth to natural resource specialization. Try to be clear about what assumptions drive the inequality and the growth results and how they are linked. Do the results depend on the ownership structure of the resource sector? If so, how? If not, why not? c. Choose a policy intervention that might be used to improve growth and inequality outcomes associated with your model. Comment on the potential tradeoffs associated with the policy intervention you choose. 3. Sociologist David Lehman wrote that neoclassical economics could not decide whether share tenancy contracts were “an imperfect thing in a perfect world or the perfect thing for an imperfect world.” He might have added a third option, namely that sharecropping is “an imperfect thing in an imperfect world.” a. Develop a model of sharecropping contracts that you find compelling. You may draw on an existing model, or develop one of your own. Whichever you do, please be sure to indicate why you find the model you develop compelling. That is, what are the key features that your preferred model captures correctly? b. How would you describe your model in terms of the Lehman-esque categories above? Be sure to develop your model with sufficient analytical detail so that your categorization of your theory of sharecropping is credible. c. Would redistribution of land ownership rights be a ‘good’ thing according to your model? That is, what private and, or social effects would redistribution of landownership from landlords to tenants have in your model? Again, be sure to buttress y our answer with sufficient analytical detail so that your answer is credible. 4. Raising agricultural productivity through technological innovation is widely recognized as fundamental to economic development and continues to be a major goal of economic policy in many countries and regions of the developing world. Correspondingly, development economists have continued to work hard to improve their understanding of the factors that shape the dynamics of technology adoption in agricultural areas of developing countries. Most adoption models treat the household as a unified decision-making unit and examine the role of factors such as prices, learning processes, resource constraints, and market failures in shaping performance outcomes. This problem asks you to consider the role intrahousehold factors could play in slowing technology adoption processes in developing countries, in the context of a new crop or technology that holds the promise of rising returns but potentially significant differences in how those returns, relative to alternative activity choices, are distributed within the household. a. Begin by identifying contexts where you think this sort of modeling effort is most likely to be of importance to understanding technology adoption outcomes, considering both household level, rural market, and economy-wide features. b. Then, develop an intrahousehold model where technology adoption outcomes are hampered by the distribution of resources, different preferences, and power of the husband and wife, and be explicit about your assumptions regarding how these outcomes depend on the technology and these other factors. Be explicit also about the ways in which the adoption of the new technology is likely to affect other critical outcomes in a rural household and how these other effects are likely to affect the decision-making of different household members. 2 c. In broad terms, where and how would you focus empirical research efforts to examine the relative importance of intrahousehold factors in shaping technological advance in rural areas of developing countries? What would you expect to find in terms of the importance of this issue to shaping the pace of agricultural technological innovation ? 5. Imagine a small open economy in which n goods are produced using m factors. Production of each good also generates pollution. Vectors p, q, c, y and z, each of length n, denote world and domestic prices, consumption of marketed commodities, domestic supply, and pollution respectively. Factor endowments are given by a vector v, with length m. World prices are determined outside the model by the small country assumption, and domestic prices are related to them by q = p + t, where t is a vector of tariffs or export taxes. Firms are also subject to pollution taxes at rates given by the n-vector s. Choose the first good to be numéraire, so p = (1, p2, …, pn) and q = (1+t1, p2+t2, …, pn+tn). A representative consumer has a utility function u(c, z), with uc > 0 and uz < 0; by assumption, this function is strictly quasiconcave in c. Aggregate expenditure is denoted by the conditional expenditure function e(q,z,u) min q' c | u, where a prime denotes the transpose of a vector. This function is non-decreasing and concave in q, and non-decreasing in z and u. Aggregate income is given by a revenue (or GNP) function g(q,s,v) maxq' y s' z | v. The revenue function is convex in (q, s) and concave in v; its derivatives with respect to environmental taxes give the quantities of pollution emitted, i.e. zi g(q, s,v) si 0 . Net imports, m, are the excess of domestic demands over supplies; given the properties of the expenditure and revenue functions, mi = ei – gi for the ith sector, where ei and gi are partial derivatives with respect to price. By this definition, mi< 0 if a good is a net export. Assume that tariff and tax revenues are rebated to consumers in lump-sum form. Equilibrium is described by the aggregate budget constraint (1), the market-clearing condition for net imports (2), and the production of pollution (3): e(q, z,u) g(q,s,v) s'z t' m (1) m eq (q, z,u) gq (q,s,v) (2) z gs (3) These equations can be solved as a system for the three endogenous variables: aggregate welfare (u), net imports, and the quantity of pollution produced. 3 a. Using total differentiation, find and characterize the first-best combination of trade and environmental policies. b. Consider a constrained case in which environmental policy cannot be used. Find and characterize the second-best trade policy solution. Comment on economic welfare relative to the first-best case. c. This model illustrates the assertion that “every economic policy is a de facto environmental policy by virtue of its effects on the allocation of resources and the structure of production”. It can equally be said that every environmental policy is a de facto economic policy. Using insights from the above model, consider informally the case of an industrializing developing country in which the poor are overwhelmingly employed in a highly polluting, protected, import-competing industry, but pollution is consumed equally by rich and poor alike. Discuss the dilemma of a social planner concerned both to alleviate poverty and maintain environmental quality. 4